Allan Hunt Murphy
#122,845
Most Influential Person Now
Allan Hunt Murphy's AcademicInfluence.com Rankings
Allan Hunt Murphymathematics Degrees
Mathematics
#5936
World Rank
#8299
Historical Rank
Probability Theory
#75
World Rank
#98
Historical Rank
Statistics
#489
World Rank
#564
Historical Rank
Download Badge
Mathematics
Allan Hunt Murphy's Degrees
- PhD Statistics University of South Carolina
- Masters Statistics University of South Carolina
- Bachelors Mathematics University of South Carolina
Similar Degrees You Can Earn
Why Is Allan Hunt Murphy Influential?
(Suggest an Edit or Addition)Allan Hunt Murphy's Published Works
Number of citations in a given year to any of this author's works
Total number of citations to an author for the works they published in a given year. This highlights publication of the most important work(s) by the author
Published Works
- A New Vector Partition of the Probability Score (1973) (1006)
- Skill Scores Based on the Mean Square Error and Their Relationships to the Correlation Coefficient (1988) (750)
- What Is a Good Forecast? An Essay on the Nature of Goodness in Weather Forecasting (1993) (739)
- A General Framework for Forecast Verification (1987) (697)
- Time Series Models to Simulate and Forecast Wind Speed and Wind Power (1984) (444)
- Skill Scores and Correlation Coefficients in Model Verification (1989) (363)
- Reliability of Subjective Probability Forecasts of Precipitation and Temperature (1977) (350)
- “Good” Probability Assessors (1968) (332)
- Probability Forecasting in Meteorology (1984) (324)
- Diagnostic verification of probability forecasts (1992) (271)
- Economic value of weather and climate forecasts (1997) (226)
- Probability, Statistics, And Decision Making In The Atmospheric Sciences (1985) (217)
- Scoring rules and the evaluation of probabilities (1996) (216)
- Hailfinder: A Bayesian system for forecasting severe weather (1996) (215)
- The Value of Climatological, Categorical and Probabilistic Forecasts in the Cost-Loss Ratio Situation (1977) (210)
- Equitable Skill Scores for Categorical Forecasts (1992) (207)
- A Note on the Ranked Probability Score (1971) (176)
- The attributes diagram A geometrical framework for assessing the quality of probability forecasts (1986) (157)
- Scoring rules in probability assessment and evaluation (1970) (152)
- The Finley Affair: A Signal Event in the History of Forecast Verification (1996) (149)
- A comparative evaluation of objective and subjective weather forecasts in the united states (1984) (141)
- Experiments in the laboratory and the real world (1973) (135)
- Forecast verification: Its Complexity and Dimensionality (1991) (134)
- Misinterpretations of precipitation probability forecasts (1980) (131)
- Impacts of Feedback and Experience on the Quality of Subjective Probability Forecasts. Comparison of Results from the First and Second Years of the Zierikzee Experiment (1984) (111)
- Scalar and Vector Partitions of the Probability Score: Part I. Two-State Situation (1972) (107)
- The Coefficients of Correlation and Determination as Measures of performance in Forecast Verification (1995) (103)
- On the “Ranked Probability Score” (1969) (96)
- Diagnostic Verification of Temperature Forecasts (1989) (88)
- Nonlinear Utility and the Probability Score (1970) (86)
- Climatology, Persistence, and Their Linear Combination as Standards of Reference in Skill Scores (1992) (86)
- THE RANKED PROBABILITY SCORE AND THE PROBABILITY SCORE: A COMPARISON (1970) (77)
- Economic Value of Weather And Climate Forecasts: Contents (1997) (75)
- Assessing the Value of Frost Forecasts to Orchardists: A Dynamic Decision-Making Approach (1982) (73)
- Probabilities, Odds, and Forecasts of Rare Events (1991) (70)
- On the Relationship between the Accuracy and Value of Forecasts in the Cost–Loss Ratio Situation (1987) (67)
- Verification of Probabilistic Predictions: A Brief Review (1967) (64)
- Forecast value: prototype decision-making models (1997) (62)
- Use of an Analogue Procedure to Formulate Objective Probabilistic Temperature Forecasts in The Netherlands (1983) (62)
- Hedging and Skill Scores for Probability Forecasts (1973) (62)
- General Decompositions of MSE-Based Skill Scores: Measures of Some Basic Aspects of Forecast Quality (1996) (60)
- Credible Interval Temperature Forecasting: Some Experimental Results (1974) (58)
- EVALUATION OF FORECASTS (1994) (57)
- The Early History of Probability Forecasts: Some Extensions and Clarifications (1998) (56)
- Sensitivity of Decisions to Probability Estimation Errors: A Reexamination (1968) (55)
- subjective probability forecasting experiments in meteorology: some preliminary results (1974) (53)
- A Note on the Utility of Probabilistic Predictions and the Probability Score in the Cost-Loss Ratio Decision Situation (1966) (50)
- Decision Making and the Value of Forecasts in a Generalized Model of the Cost-Loss Ratio Situation (1985) (49)
- Screening probability forecasts: contrasts between choosing and combining (1995) (48)
- On the Economic Value of Seasonal-Precipitation Forecasts: The Fallowing/Planting Problem (1986) (47)
- Exploratory Analysis of Precipitation Events with Implications for Stochastic Modeling (1985) (45)
- A Note on Probability Forecasts and “Hedging” (1967) (45)
- Value of Weather Information: A Descriptive Study of the Fruit-Frost Problem. (1984) (40)
- forecasters and probability forecasts: some current problems1,2 (1971) (40)
- A Case Study of the Use of Statistical Models in Forecast Verification: Precipitation Probability Forecasts (1998) (40)
- credible interval temperature forecasts (1972) (40)
- Repetitive decision making and the value of forecasts in the cost-loss ratio situation: a dynamic model (1985) (39)
- Comparative Evaluation of Weather Forecasting Systems: Sufficiency, Quality, and Accuracy (1988) (38)
- CAN WEATHER FORECASTERS FORMULATE RELIABLE PROBABILITY FORECASTS OF PRECIPITATION AND TEMPERATURES ? (1977) (36)
- Probability Forecasts: A Survey of National Weather Service Forecasters (1974) (34)
- A Sample Skill Score for Probability Forecasts (1974) (28)
- The value of climate information: A decision‐analytic approach (1983) (28)
- Forecast Terminology: Composition and Interpretation of Public Weather Forecasts2,3 (1983) (27)
- A new decomposition of the Brier score: formulation and interpretation (1986) (26)
- Decision-Making Models in the Cost-Loss Ratio Situation and Measures of the Value of Probability Forecasts (1976) (22)
- Anders Ångström and His Early Papers on Probability Forecasting and the Use/Value of Weather Forecasts (1994) (22)
- A Coherent Method of Stratification within a General Framework for Forecast Verification (1995) (21)
- The Family of Quadratic Scoring Rules (1978) (21)
- Probabilistic temperature forecasts: The case for an operational program (1979) (21)
- Decision-analytic assessment of the economic value of weather forecasts: The fallowing/planting problem (1987) (21)
- Numerical Weather Analysis and Prediction. (1962) (19)
- Measures of the Utility of Probabilistic Predictions in Cost-Loss Ratio Decision Situations in which Knowledge of the Cost-Loss Ratios is Incomplete (1969) (19)
- Quality value relationships for imperfect weather forecasts in a prototype multistage decision-making model (1990) (18)
- Hedging and the Mode of Expression of Weather Forecasts (1978) (17)
- Use and Value of Multiple-Period Forecasts in a Dynamic Model of the Cost-Loss Ratio Situation (1988) (16)
- The value of seasonal precipitation forecasts in a haying/pasturing problem in Western Oregon (1985) (16)
- Objective and Subjective Precipitation Probability Forecasts: Some Methods for Improving Forecast Quality (1986) (16)
- Economic Value of Weather And Climate Forecasts: Forecast verification (1997) (15)
- A decision‐analytic study of the joint value of seasonal precipitation and temperature forecasts in a choice‐of‐crop problem (1986) (15)
- The Use of Credible Intervals in Temperature Forecasting: Some Experimental Results (1977) (15)
- Objective and Subjective Precipitation Probability Forecasts: Statistical Analysis of Some Interrelationships (1986) (14)
- Quantification of Uncertainity in Fire-Weather Forecasts: Some Results of Operational and Experimental Forecasting Programs (1987) (14)
- On seeking a best performance measure or a best forecasting method (1992) (14)
- Forecasters and Probability Forecasts: the Responses to a Questionnaire (1971) (14)
- The Use of Probabilities in Subjective Quantitative Precipitation Forecasts: Some Experimental Results (1985) (13)
- Improving forecasting performance by combining forecasts: The example of road-surface temperature forecasts (2007) (13)
- Quality/Value Relationship for Imperfect Information in the Umbrella Problem (1987) (13)
- Subjective Probabilistic Tornado Forecasts: Some Experimental Results (1982) (12)
- A Note on the Attributes of Probabilistic Predictions and the Probability Score (1965) (12)
- On Expected-Utility Measures in Cost-Loss Ratio Decision Situations (1969) (11)
- Optimal Decision Making and the Value of Information in a Time-Dependent Version of the Cost-Loss Ratio Situation (1990) (11)
- On the economic value of weather forecasts in wildfire suppression mobilization decisions (1988) (11)
- Probability and Statistics in Meteorology: a Review of Some Recent Developments (1972) (9)
- Probability Forecasting in Sweden: Some Results of Experimental and Operational Programs at the Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute (1986) (9)
- Trends in the Quality of National Weather Service Forecasts (1986) (9)
- On the Generalizability of Experimental Results (1974) (9)
- Statistical Analysis of Interrelationships between Objective and Subjective Temperature Forecasts (1988) (9)
- Comparison of Objective and Subjective Precipitation Probability Forecasts: The Sufficiency Relation (1990) (8)
- Information Aggregation in Probabilistic Prediction (1973) (8)
- Scalar and Vector Partitions of the Ranked Probability Score1 (1972) (8)
- Point and Area Precipitation Probability Forecasts: Some Experimental Results (1976) (8)
- Statistical analysis of climatological data to characterize erosion potential : 2. precipitation in eastern Oregon/Washington (1984) (7)
- Potential Economic and Social Value of Short-Range Forecasts of Boulder Windstorms (1978) (7)
- Interpretation of Some Terms and Phrases in Public Weather Forecasts (1983) (7)
- The Impact of Waste Heat Release on Simulated Global Climate (1976) (6)
- A Geometrical Framework for the Ranked Probability Score (1975) (6)
- The expected value of frequency calibration (1990) (6)
- Public interpretation and understanding of forecast terminology: some results of a newspaper survey in Seattle, Washington (1985) (6)
- Comparative Evaluation of Categorical and Probabilistic Forecasts: Two Alternatives to the Traditional Approach (1986) (5)
- On the relationship between the quality and value of weather and climate forecasting systems (1992) (5)
- Evaluation of Prototypical Climate Forecasts: The Sufficiency Relation (1992) (4)
- Experimental point and area precipitation probability forecasts for a forecast area with significant local effects (1977) (4)
- Subjective Probability Forecasting in the Real World: Some Experimental Results (1973) (4)
- Statistical analysis of climatological data to characterize erosion potential : 4. freezing events in eastern Oregon/Washington (1984) (4)
- Second-Order Probabilities and Strictly Proper Scoring Rules (1971) (3)
- Subjective Probability Forecasting: Some Real World Experiments (1975) (3)
- Potential value of climate forecasts to the natural gas industry in the United States. Final report, December 1984-December 1986 (1987) (2)
- Statistical analysis of climatological data to characterize erosion potential : 1. precipitation events in western Oregon (1984) (2)
- Ordinal relationships between measures of the “accuracy” and “value” of probability forecasts: preliminary results (1972) (2)
- Weather forecasting and weather forecasts : models, systems, and users : notes from a colloquium Summer 1976 (1976) (2)
- On the Nature of the Nonexistence of Ordinal Relationships between Measures of the Accuracy and Value of Probability Forecasts : An Example. (1977) (2)
- On the relationship between the quality and value of forecasts in the generalized cost-loss ratio situation (1987) (2)
- On the Evaluation of Point Precipitation Probability Forecasts in Terms of Areal Coverage (1978) (2)
- Expressing the Uncertainty in Weather Forecasts (1975) (1)
- Comments on “On Summary Measures of Skill in Rare Event Forecasting Based on Contingency Tables” (1991) (1)
- Statistical analysis of climatological data to characterize erosion potential: 5. joint precipitation and freezing events in Western Oregon (1984) (1)
- Economic Value of Weather And Climate Forecasts: Preface (1997) (1)
- Allan H. Murphy and Harald Daan, Imparcts of feedback and experience on the quality of subjective probability forecasts: 'Comparison of results from the first and second years of the Zierikzee experiment', Monthly Weather Review 112 (1984), p. 413 (1985) (0)
- Engineering Meteorology: Meteorology and Heating Load Requirements (1960) (0)
- Statistical analysis of climatological data to characterize erosion potential: 6. joint precipitation and freezing cvents in eastern Oregon/Washington (1984) (0)
- Comments on ‘The quality and accuracy of a sample of public and commercial weather forecasts in the UK’ (2007) (0)
- subjective probability forecasting experiments in some preliminary results' (2018) (0)
- Evaluation of “consensus” forecasts of road surface temperatures (2007) (0)
- Corrections: Expressing the Uncertainty in Weather Forecasts (1976) (0)
- Comments on “Verification and Further Development of an Operational Model for Forecasting the Probability of Frozen Precipitation” (1976) (0)
- Second International Meeting on statistical climatology, 26-30 September 1983, Lisbon, Portugal (1984) (0)
- Evaluation of Probability Forecasts in Meteorology. (1974) (0)
- Comments on ‘quality/value relationships for imperfect weather forecasts’ by Katz and Murphy (1992) (0)
- ~rollil bility lorecasts: a survey ol National Weather Service (2007) (0)
- focus on forecasting 1 Forecast Terminology: Composition and Interpretation of Public Weather Forecasts 2 3 (2018) (0)
- A PLAN FOR THE TEST AND EVALUATION OF TERMINAL FORECASTING TECHNIQUES (PTET) 2-24 HOUR FORECAST LENGTHS, (1961) (0)
- ON THE GENERALIZABILITY OF EXPERIMENTAL (1974) (0)
This paper list is powered by the following services:
What Schools Are Affiliated With Allan Hunt Murphy?
Allan Hunt Murphy is affiliated with the following schools:
