Barbara Mellers
#36,001
Most Influential Person Now
American psychologist
Barbara Mellers's AcademicInfluence.com Rankings
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Psychology
Barbara Mellers's Degrees
- PhD Psychology University of California, Berkeley
Why Is Barbara Mellers Influential?
(Suggest an Edit or Addition)According to Wikipedia, Barbara Ann Mellers is I. George Heyman University Professor in the psychology department at the University of Pennsylvania. Her research focuses on decision processes. Education Mellers earned her undergraduate degree in psychology from the University of California, Berkeley in 1974. She went on to do graduate work in psychology at the University of Illinois at Urbana–Champaign, earning an M.A. in 1978 and a Ph.D. in 1981.
Barbara Mellers's Published Works
Number of citations in a given year to any of this author's works
Total number of citations to an author for the works they published in a given year. This highlights publication of the most important work(s) by the author
Published Works
- Emotion-based choice (1999) (814)
- Decision Affect Theory: Emotional Reactions to the Outcomes of Risky Options (1997) (696)
- Choice and the relative pleasure of consequences. (2000) (539)
- Anticipated Emotions as Guides to Choice (2001) (435)
- Extending the Bounds of Rationality: Evidence and Theories of Preferential Choice (2006) (339)
- Do Frequency Representations Eliminate Conjunction Effects? An Exercise in Adversarial Collaboration (2001) (326)
- The Effects of Pictorial Realism, Delay of Visual Feedback, and Observer Interactivity on the Subjective Sense of Presence (1996) (290)
- Racial prejudice and attitudes toward affirmative action (1997) (265)
- Strong claims and weak evidence: reassessing the predictive validity of the IAT. (2009) (231)
- Judgments of Social Justice: Compromises Between Equality and Efficiency (1993) (206)
- Psychological Strategies for Winning a Geopolitical Forecasting Tournament (2014) (205)
- The role of actively open-minded thinking in information acquisition, accuracy, and calibration (2013) (192)
- The Agony of Victory and Thrill of Defeat (2004) (191)
- Bayesian inference: Combining base rates with opinions of sources who vary in credibility. (1983) (166)
- Loci of contextual effects in judgment. (1982) (151)
- Identifying and Cultivating Superforecasters as a Method of Improving Probabilistic Predictions (2015) (150)
- Emotions and cooperation in economic games. (2005) (139)
- American attitudes toward nudges (2016) (139)
- Utility Measurement: Configural-Weight Theory and the Judge's Point of View (1992) (138)
- The psychology of intelligence analysis: drivers of prediction accuracy in world politics. (2015) (135)
- Psychological perspectives on justice: Conclusion (1993) (118)
- Equity judgment: A revision of Aristotelian views. (1982) (111)
- Preferences, prices, and ratings in risky decision making. (1992) (110)
- A change-of-process theory for contextual effects and preference reversals in risky decision making (1992) (109)
- Combining multiple probability predictions using a simple logit model (2014) (105)
- Pleasurable Surprises: A Cross-Cultural Study of Consumer Responses to Unexpected Incentives (2010) (102)
- The affective costs of overconfidence (2004) (102)
- Similarity and Choice. (1994) (99)
- Trade-offs depend on attribute range. (1994) (96)
- Two Reasons to Make Aggregated Probability Forecasts More Extreme (2014) (89)
- Evidence against “absolute” scaling (1983) (88)
- Judgments of proportions. (1990) (86)
- The Good Judgment Project: A Large Scale Test of Different Methods of Combining Expert Predictions (2012) (86)
- Distilling the Wisdom of Crowds: Prediction Markets vs. Prediction Polls (2017) (82)
- Mixed Emotional Reactions to Disappointing Wins and Relieving Losses (2009) (79)
- Golden Rule of Forecasting : Be Conservative (2015) (75)
- Improving Intelligence Analysis With Decision Science (2015) (74)
- Intelligent management of intelligence agencies: beyond accountability ping-pong. (2011) (74)
- Distributional theories of impression formation (1992) (72)
- Contextual effects in social judgment (1983) (66)
- Forecasting Tournaments (2014) (66)
- Judgment and decision making. (1998) (65)
- Bayesian Inference : Combining Base Rates With Opinions of Sources Who Vary in Credibility (2005) (62)
- Weight of evidence supports one operation for "ratios" and "differences" of heaviness. (1984) (61)
- Decision science and technology. Reflections on the contributions of Ward Edwards (1999) (60)
- Measurement and the mental map (1978) (60)
- Reply to Zwislocki’s views on “absolute” scaling (1983) (60)
- Similarity and Choice (2004) (59)
- Violations of dominance in pricing judgments (1992) (58)
- The Great Rationality Debate (2002) (57)
- Representations of Risk Judgments (1994) (57)
- Stimulus Recognition May Mediate Exposure Effects (1979) (56)
- Developing expert political judgment: The impact of training and practice on judgmental accuracy in geopolitical forecasting tournaments (2016) (56)
- Expectations and Emotions of Olympic Athletes (2005) (55)
- How to Improve Bayesian Reasoning: Comment on Gigerenzer and Hoffrage (1995) (1999) (55)
- Is choice the correct primitive? On using certainty equivalents and reference levels to predict choices among gambles (1993) (54)
- The Role of Task and Context in Preference Measurement (1996) (51)
- What might have been? The role of the ventromedial prefrontal cortex and lateral orbitofrontal cortex in counterfactual emotions and choice (2014) (48)
- Choice in Computer-Mediated Environments (1997) (48)
- Sacred versus Pseudo-sacred Values: How People Cope with Taboo Trade-Offs (2017) (47)
- Do Juries Meet Our Expectations? (2002) (45)
- Configurality in multiple-cue probability learning. (1980) (45)
- Megastudies improve the impact of applied behavioural science (2021) (44)
- Predicting behavior in economic games by looking through the eyes of the players. (2010) (44)
- Bringing probability judgments into policy debates via forecasting tournaments (2017) (44)
- Decision Neuroscience (2018) (40)
- The Value of Precision in Probability Assessment: Evidence from a Large-Scale Geopolitical Forecasting Tournament (2018) (33)
- Confidence Calibration in a Multiyear Geopolitical Forecasting Competition (2017) (33)
- Perceptions of Fair Pricing (2008) (32)
- Multiattribute judgment : Attribute spacing influences single attributes (1998) (31)
- One-Mediator Model of Exposure Effects Is Still Viable (1979) (30)
- I Was Pleased a Moment Ago: How Pleasure Varies with Background and Foreground Reference Points (2004) (29)
- Probability aggregation in time-series: Dynamic hierarchical modeling of sparse expert beliefs (2014) (27)
- Surprise: a belief or an emotion? (2013) (26)
- How generalizable is good judgment? A multi-task, multi-benchmark study (2017) (23)
- The Power of Social Influence on Estimation Accuracy (2015) (22)
- Distilling the Wisdom of Crowds: Prediction Markets versus Prediction Polls (2017) (21)
- Effects of emotions and social processes on bounded rationality (2001) (21)
- How beliefs influence the relative magnitude of pleasure and pain (2009) (20)
- ' Fair " Allocations of Salaries and Taxes (2004) (20)
- Accountability Systems and Group Norms: Balancing the Risks of Mindless Conformity and Reckless Deviation (2017) (20)
- Accountability and adaptive performance under uncertainty: A long-term view (2017) (20)
- Mediated Models for the Analysis of Confounded Variables and Self-Selected Samples (1989) (19)
- Validating the Contribution-Weighted Model: Robustness and Cost-Benefit Analyses (2016) (19)
- "Fair" allocations of salaries and taxes. (1986) (19)
- Are preference reversals reduced when made explicit (1995) (19)
- Bias, Information, Noise: The BIN Model of Forecasting (2020) (19)
- Psychological perspectives on justice: Trade-offs in fairness and preference judgments (1993) (17)
- Small Steps to Accuracy: Incremental Belief Updaters Are Better Forecasters (2020) (17)
- Are markets more accurate than polls? The surprising informational value of “just asking” (2019) (17)
- THE PARADOXES OF ALLAIS , STOCHASTIC DOMINANCE , AND DECISION WEIGHTS (2017) (16)
- A neglected dimension of good forecasting judgment: The questions we choose also matter (2017) (14)
- From discipline-centered rivalries to solution-centered science: Producing better probability estimates for policy makers. (2019) (14)
- Do Risk Attitudes Reflect in the Eye of the Beholder? (2019) (14)
- Item response models of probability judgments: Application to a geopolitical forecasting tournament. (2015) (14)
- Balancing Fairness and Efficiency: The Impact of Identity-Blind and Identity-Conscious Accountability on Applicant Screening (2015) (13)
- Feeling more than thinking. (1981) (12)
- What Makes Foreign Policy Teams Tick: Explaining Variation in Group Performance at Geopolitical Forecasting (2019) (12)
- Decision Science and Technology (1999) (12)
- Attribute Range and Response Range: Limits of Compatibility in Multiattribute Judgment (1995) (12)
- Affective responses to uncertain real-world outcomes: Sentiment change on Twitter (2019) (11)
- Test of a distributional theory of intuitive numerical prediction (1986) (10)
- Robust forecast aggregation: Fourier L2E regression (2018) (10)
- Anticipated regret in shared decision-making: a randomized experimental study (2016) (10)
- Forecasting tournaments, epistemic humility and attitude depolarization (2019) (10)
- Utility Invariance Despite Labile Preferences (1995) (9)
- Multiple Goals as Reference Points: One Failure Makes Everything Else Feel Worse (2019) (9)
- Self-Serving Beliefs and the Pleasure of Outcomes (2004) (9)
- An IRT forecasting model: linking proper scoring rules to item response theory (2017) (9)
- Judging political judgment (2014) (8)
- Dominance violations in judged prices of two‐ and three‐outcome gambles (1995) (8)
- What have we learned from our mistakes (2007) (8)
- Test of a subtractive theory of "fair" allocations. (1989) (8)
- Transparency Should Trump Trust: Rejoinder to McConnell and Leibold (2009) and Ziegert and Hanges (2009) (2009) (7)
- Wise teamwork: Collective confidence calibration predicts the effectiveness of group discussion (2021) (7)
- Assessing Objective Recommendation Quality through Political Forecasting (2017) (7)
- Feelings and Emotions: Pleasure, Utility, and Choice (2004) (6)
- Decision making: Descriptive, normative and prescriptive interactions (1990) (6)
- The Marketcast Method for Aggregating Prediction Market Forecasts (2013) (5)
- Reconciling Loss Aversion and Gain Seeking in Judged Emotions (2021) (5)
- Decision Research: Behavioral (2001) (5)
- Trade-upgrade framing effects: Trades are losses, but upgrades are improvements (2016) (5)
- Forecasting the Accuracy of Forecasters from Properties of Forecasting Rationales (2021) (5)
- How perceptions of autonomy relate to beliefs about inequality and fairness. (2021) (5)
- A reconsideration of two-person inequity judgments: A reply to Anderson. (1985) (4)
- Fair selection decisions. (1988) (4)
- Cross Cultural Differences in Delight (2008) (4)
- Manipulating Hedonic Strategies of Choice (1999) (3)
- Actively Open-Minded Thinking Scale--Short Form (2015) (3)
- False dichotomy alert: Improving subjective-probability estimates vs. raising awareness of systemic risk (2022) (3)
- What do forecasting rationales reveal about thinking patterns of top geopolitical forecasters? (2021) (3)
- The Power of Social In fl uence on Estimation Accuracy (2014) (2)
- Selling Out: Producer Motives in Markets For Art (2014) (2)
- Chapter 12. Improving the Accuracy of Geopolitical Risk Assessments (2019) (2)
- Decomposing the effects of crowd-wisdom aggregators: The bias–information–noise (BIN) model (2022) (2)
- Bad luck or bad intentions: When do third parties reveal offenders' intentions to victims? (2019) (2)
- Reciprocal Scoring: A Method for Forecasting Unanswerable Questions (2021) (2)
- Multiple Goals As Reference Points (2017) (2)
- Crowd Prediction Systems: Markets, Polls, and Elite Forecasters (2022) (2)
- Utility and Subjective Probability: Empirical Studies (2001) (2)
- Rational choice in an uncertain world: Robyn M. Dawes San Diego: Harcourt Brace Jovanovich, 1988. Pp. xi + 346, $10.00 (paper) (1990) (1)
- A Behaviorally Informed Survey-Powered Market Agent (2014) (1)
- Shifting Reference Points A Fleeting Pleasures (2005) (1)
- Psychological Perspectives on Justice: Theory and Applications. Edited by (1995) (1)
- Decomposing the Effects of Crowd-Wisdom Aggregators: The Bias-Information-Noise (BIN) Model (2021) (1)
- A Fiskeian approach to understanding consumer response to price discrimination: (514412014-030) (2007) (0)
- Preference order and the decision makers point-of-view (1987) (0)
- Conflicting Goals Influence Physicians’ Expressed Beliefs to Patients and Colleagues (2021) (0)
- Author ' s personal copy CHAPTER Surprise : A belief or an emotion ? 1 (2013) (0)
- Predicting the future with humans and AI (2022) (0)
- Psychological strategies for winning a geopolitical forecasting tournament (2014) (0)
- BMI: ANNOUNCEMENT (SQAB 2003) (2003) (0)
- Income and emotional well-being: A conflict resolved (2023) (0)
- Information technology has changed perceptions of price fairness: (683162011-068) (2006) (0)
- Emotions and Cooperation in Economic Theory (2005) (0)
- False Dichotomy Alert: Cultivating Talent at Probability Estimation vs. Raising Awareness of Systemic Risk (2022) (0)
- A contingent process model for task effects in risky decision-making (1989) (0)
- Risk as Feeling 1 Risk as Feelings (2000) (0)
- Perceptions of Autonomy, Inequality, and Fairness (2020) (0)
- Erratum to "Do frequency representations eliminate conjunction effects? An exercise in adversarial collaboration" [Psychological Science, 12(4), 2001, 269-275] (2001) (0)
- Psychological perspectives on justice: Introductory Remarks (1993) (0)
- Book Review: Local justice in America, Jon Elster (ed.), New York: Russell Sage Foundation, 1995, 328 pp., ISBN 0-87154-233-1. (1997) (0)
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