Baruch Fischhoff
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Psychology
Baruch Fischhoff's Degrees
- Bachelors Psychology City College of New York
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Why Is Baruch Fischhoff Influential?
(Suggest an Edit or Addition)According to Wikipedia, Baruch Fischhoff is an American academic who is the Howard Heinz University Professor in the Institute for Strategy and Technology and the Department of Engineering and Public Policy at Carnegie Mellon University. He is an elected member of the National Academy of Sciences and National Academy of Medicine. His research focuses on judgment and decision making, including risk perception and risk Analysis. He has numerous academic books and articles. Fischhoff completed his graduate education at the Hebrew University of Jerusalem under the supervision of Daniel Kahneman and Amos Tversky.
Baruch Fischhoff's Published Works
Published Works
- Journal of Experimental Psychology: Human Learning and Memory (1980) (2704)
- How safe is safe enough? A psychometric study of attitudes towards technological risks and benefits (1978) (2603)
- Calibration of probabilities: the state of the art to 1980 (1982) (1831)
- Reasons for confidence. (1980) (1468)
- Hindsight is not equal to foresight: The effect of outcome knowledge on judgment under uncertainty. (1975) (1408)
- Judged frequency of lethal events (1978) (1394)
- Knowing with Certainty: The Appropriateness of Extreme Confidence. (1977) (1379)
- Behavioral Decision Theory (1977) (1373)
- Effects of Fear and Anger on Perceived Risks of Terrorism (2003) (1255)
- Risk perception and communication unplugged: twenty years of process. (1995) (1129)
- Facts and Fears: Understanding Perceived Risk (2005) (944)
- Rating the Risks (1979) (908)
- Hindsight ≠ foresight: the effect of outcome knowledge on judgment under uncertainty* (2003) (786)
- Individual differences in adult decision-making competence. (2007) (777)
- I knew it would happen: Remembered probabilities of once—future things (1975) (756)
- Why Study Risk Perception (1982) (726)
- Calibration of Probabilities: The State of the Art (1977) (725)
- Risk perception and communication. (1993) (700)
- Judgment and decision making. (2012) (673)
- What Do People Know About Global Climate Change? 1. Mental Models (1994) (645)
- The role of social and decision sciences in communicating uncertain climate risks (2011) (579)
- Judgment under uncertainty: Facts versus fears: Understanding perceived risk (1982) (557)
- Value elicitation: Is there anything in there? (1991) (548)
- Hypothesis Evaluation from a Bayesian Perspective. (1983) (514)
- Risk Communication: A Mental Models Approach (2001) (478)
- Characterizing Perceived Risk (1985) (474)
- Adolescent (in)vulnerability. (1993) (449)
- Fault trees: Sensitivity of estimated failure probabilities to problem representation. (1978) (419)
- Decision-making Competence: External Validation through an Individual-differences Approach. (2005) (399)
- Preference for Insuring against Probable Small Losses: Insurance Implications (1977) (397)
- Perceived Informativeness of Facts. (1977) (385)
- Judgment under uncertainty: For those condemned to study the past: Heuristics and biases in hindsight (1982) (376)
- Characterizing Mental Models of Hazardous Processes: A Methodology and an Application to Radon (1992) (374)
- Training for calibration. (1980) (370)
- On the Psychology of Experimental Surprises. (1977) (369)
- Communicating Risks and Benefits: An Evidence Based User's Guide (2012) (366)
- Perceived risk: psychological factors and social implications (1981) (346)
- Accident probabilities and seat belt usage: A psychological perspective☆ (1978) (333)
- KNOWING WHAT YOU WANT: MEASURING LABILE VALUES (1988) (327)
- Cognitive Processes and Societal Risk Taking (1976) (320)
- Judgment under uncertainty: Debiasing (1982) (316)
- The sciences of science communication (2013) (316)
- Perceived consequences of risky behaviors: Adults and adolescents. (1993) (306)
- Assessing uncertainty in physical constants (1986) (299)
- Individuals with greater science literacy and education have more polarized beliefs on controversial science topics (2017) (298)
- Behavioral decision theory perspectives on risk and safety (1984) (297)
- Lay Foibles and Expert Fables in Judgments about Risk (1982) (271)
- The psychometric study of risk perception (1986) (254)
- Fault Trees: Sensitivity of Estimated Failure Probabilities to Problem Representation (2005) (251)
- Maximizers versus satisficers: Decision-making styles, competence, and outcomes (2007) (242)
- COMMUNICATING RISK TO THE PUBLIC (1992) (233)
- Preparing for smart grid technologies: A behavioral decision research approach to understanding consumer expectations about smart meters (2012) (233)
- Measuring values: A conceptual framework for interpreting transactions with special reference to contingent valuation of visibility (1988) (233)
- Teen expectations for significant life events. (2000) (225)
- Response Mode, Framing and Information-processing Effects in Risk Assessment (1988) (218)
- Subjective Confidence in Forecasts. (1982) (207)
- Modeling the Societal Impact of Fatal Accidents (1984) (207)
- What Risks Are People Concerned About (1991) (206)
- Communicating scientific uncertainty (2014) (206)
- Evolving judgments of terror risks: foresight, hindsight, and emotion. (2005) (205)
- Parents' vaccination comprehension and decisions. (2008) (204)
- Explaining adult age differences in decision‐making competence (2012) (195)
- Interactive video behavioral intervention to reduce adolescent females' STD risk: a randomized controlled trial. (2004) (194)
- Fifty–fifty = 50%? (1999) (191)
- When Do Base Rates Affect Predictions (1981) (191)
- What Number is “Fifty‐Fifty”?: Redistributing Excessive 50% Responses in Elicited Probabilities (2002) (186)
- Perceived driving safety and seatbelt usage. (1985) (184)
- AIDS risk perceptions and decision biases. (1993) (181)
- Subjective sensitivity analysis. (1979) (181)
- Strategies of information search in causal analysis (1982) (178)
- US women's attitudes to false positive mammography results and detection of ductal carcinoma in situ: cross sectional survey. (2000) (168)
- Judged Terror Risk and Proximity to the World Trade Center (2003) (166)
- What forecasts (seem to) mean (1994) (166)
- Social Stigma and Negative Consequences: Factors That Influence College Students' Decisions to Seek Testing for Sexually Transmitted Infections (2002) (166)
- Why (cancer) risk communication can be hard. (1999) (164)
- Using expert judgment to estimate marine ecosystem vulnerability in the California Current. (2009) (159)
- Diagnosticity and pseudodiagnosticity. (1983) (155)
- Scope (in)sensitivity in elicited valuations (1998) (153)
- Expectations of Inflation: The Role of Demographic Variables, Expectation Formation, and Financial Literacy (2010) (146)
- The Real World: What Good Is It? (1996) (146)
- A New Scale for Assessing Perceptions of Chance (2000) (146)
- Emotion Priming and Attributions for Terrorism: Americans' Reactions in a National Field Experiment (2006) (142)
- Evaluating risk communications: completing and correcting mental models of hazardous processes, Part II. (1994) (136)
- Misinterpretations of precipitation probability forecasts (1980) (131)
- Assessing Adolescent Decision-Making Competence. (2008) (130)
- A comparative analysis of risk perception in Hungary and the United States (1986) (128)
- Nonpersuasive communication about matters of greatest urgency: climate change. (2007) (127)
- The Hawthorne effect and energy awareness (2013) (125)
- Behavioral science research in the prevention of diabetes : status and opportunities. (2002) (123)
- Eliciting knowledge for analytical representation (1989) (122)
- Advertising energy saving programs: The potential environmental cost of emphasizing monetary savings. (2015) (122)
- A Deliberative Method for Ranking Risks (I): Overview and Test Bed Development (2001) (121)
- On the Psychology of Experimental Surprises (1977) (121)
- Evaluating Risk Communications: Completing and Correcting Mental Models of Hazardous Processes, Part II (1994) (115)
- Acceptable Input: Using Decision Analysis to Guide Public Policy Deliberations (2005) (113)
- Counting civilian casualties : an introduction to recording and estimating nonmilitary deaths in conflict (2013) (111)
- What Do We Know About Making Risk Comparisons (1990) (110)
- Powerline frequency electric and magnetic fields: a pilot study of risk perception. (1985) (110)
- Focusing Techniques: A Shortcut to Improving Probability Judgments? (1984) (110)
- Cost benefit analysis and the art of motorcycle maintenance (1977) (108)
- US women's attitudes to false positive mammography results and detection of ductal carcinoma in situ: cross sectional survey (2000) (107)
- Designing risk communications: completing and correcting mental models of hazardous processes, Part I. (1994) (103)
- Public perceptions of electric power transmission lines (1988) (100)
- Regulation of risk: A psychological perspective (1985) (100)
- A Deliberative Method for Ranking Risks (II): Evaluation of Validity and Agreement among Risk Managers (2001) (99)
- Setting Standards: A Systematic Approach to Managing Public Health and Safety Risks (1984) (98)
- Diagnosticity and the base-rate effect (1984) (97)
- Risk taking: A developmental perspective. (1992) (95)
- Traffic accident statistics and risk perceptions in Japan and the United States. (2000) (94)
- Adolescents' decisions about risks: A cognitive perspective. (1997) (93)
- Predicting Frames (1983) (92)
- The Science of Science Communication II (2014) (90)
- Predicting Emergency Evacuation and Sheltering Behavior: A Structured Analytical Approach (2006) (89)
- Quantifying Phishing Susceptibility for Detection and Behavior Decisions (2016) (89)
- Attribution Theory and Judgment under Uncertainty (1975) (85)
- What information belongs in a warning (1998) (85)
- Travel Risks in a Time of Terror: Judgments and Choices (2004) (84)
- Weighing the Risks: Risks: Benefits which Risks are Acceptable? (1979) (83)
- Evaluating the Effectiveness of Risk‐Reduction Strategies for Consumer Chemical Products (2001) (82)
- The realities of risk-cost-benefit analysis (2015) (82)
- An Integrated Risk Model of a Drinking‐Water – Borne Cryptosporidiosis Outbreak (2000) (80)
- Adolescent risk and vulnerability : concepts and measurement (2001) (76)
- Acceptable Risk: A Conceptual Proposal (1994) (76)
- Behavioral decision theory perspectives on protective behavior (1987) (75)
- The Use of Mental Models in Chemical Risk Protection: Developing a Generic Workplace Methodology (2003) (75)
- Communicate unto others (1998) (75)
- Evaluating the Science-Policy Interface for Climate Change Research (1999) (71)
- Giving advice. Decision theory perspectives on sexual assault. (1992) (71)
- Precautionary principles: general definitions and specific applications to genetically modified organisms (2002) (69)
- For Those Condemned to Study the Past: Reflections on Historical Judgment (1980) (67)
- The science of science communication (2013) (66)
- Development and Validation of the Scientific Reasoning Scale (2017) (66)
- Estimation of a Preference-Based Summary Score for the Patient-Reported Outcomes Measurement Information System: The PROMIS®-Preference (PROPr) Scoring System (2018) (65)
- Cognitive Processes in Stated Preference Methods (2005) (64)
- Informed Consent for Eliciting Environmental Values (2000) (64)
- AN EARLY HISTORY OF HINDSIGHT RESEARCH (2007) (63)
- Psychology and public policy: Tool or toolmaker? (1990) (63)
- Women's understanding of the mammography screening debate. (2000) (62)
- Evaluating the success of terror risk communications. (2003) (62)
- Aggregate, Disaggregate, and Hybrid Analyses of Ecological Risk Perceptions (2005) (60)
- “The Public” Vs. “The Experts”: Perceived Vs. Actual Disagreements About Risks of Nuclear Power (1983) (60)
- Evaluating science communication (2018) (60)
- Adolescent vulnerability: A framework for behavioral interventions (1998) (59)
- Investing in Frankenfirms: Predicting Socially Unacceptable Risks (2001) (58)
- Public Values in Risk Research (1996) (57)
- Subjective expected utility: A model of decision-making (1981) (57)
- Approaches to acceptable risk: a critical guide (1980) (56)
- Facts and Fears: Societal Perception of Risk (1981) (56)
- Analyzing disaster risks and plans: An avian flu example (2006) (56)
- The effect of question wording on consumers’ reported inflation expectations (2012) (55)
- Making Decisions in a COVID-19 World. (2020) (54)
- Construal Processes in Preference Assessment (1999) (53)
- Communicating foodborne disease risk. (1997) (53)
- Expert judgments of pandemic influenza risks (2006) (53)
- Setting a standard for electricity pilot studies (2013) (53)
- Public Understanding of Ebola Risks: Mastering an Unfamiliar Threat (2018) (53)
- Development and Testing of the MyHealthyPregnancy App: A Behavioral Decision Research-Based Tool for Assessing and Communicating Pregnancy Risk (2017) (52)
- Making sense of science for policy under conditions of complexity and uncertainty (2019) (52)
- Task familiarity and contextual cues predict hypothetical bias in a meta-analysis of stated preference studies (2012) (52)
- Adolescent alcohol decisions. (1991) (51)
- Informing the public about the risks from ionizing radiation. (1981) (50)
- Applying the science of communication to the communication of science (2011) (49)
- Women’s Views on Breast Cancer Risk and Screening Mammography (2001) (49)
- Efficacy of educational video game versus traditional educational apps at improving physician decision making in trauma triage: randomized controlled trial (2017) (49)
- Setting Risk Priorities: A Formal Model (2000) (49)
- Risk: A Very Short Introduction (2011) (49)
- Challenges in researching terrorism from the field (2017) (48)
- Adolescents' perceived risk of dying. (2010) (48)
- Adolescent risk and vulnerability: overview. (2002) (48)
- Informed consent does not mean rational consent. Cognitive limitations on decision-making. (1990) (48)
- Risk assessment: Evaluating error in subjective estimates (1981) (48)
- Communicating uncertainty: Fulfilling the duty to inform (2012) (47)
- Judged Lethality: How Much People Seem to Know Depends Upon How They Are Asked (1983) (46)
- How patients feel about prolonged mechanical ventilation 1 yr later* (2002) (46)
- An inquiry into the process of temporal orientation. (1976) (45)
- Publics' Opinions About Biotechnologies (2001) (44)
- A decision science approach for integrating social science in climate and energy solutions (2016) (44)
- Informing people about risk (1980) (44)
- Heat protection behaviors and positive affect about heat during the 2013 heat wave in the United Kingdom. (2015) (44)
- The PROMIS of QALYs (2015) (44)
- Embedding effects: stimulus representation and response mode. (1993) (44)
- Defining risk (1984) (43)
- Communicating about the risks of terrorism (or anything else). (2011) (43)
- Heuristics and Biases: Heuristics and Biases in Application (2002) (42)
- Nuclear Waste: Knowledge Waste? (2010) (42)
- Can adolescents predict significant life events? (2007) (40)
- Decision research strategies. (2005) (40)
- The Psychology of Contraceptive Surprises: Cumulative Risk and Contraceptive Effectiveness1 (1990) (40)
- What day is today? An inquiry into the process of time orientation (1974) (39)
- The effect of temporal setting on likelihood estimates (1976) (39)
- Negative decision outcomes are more common among people with lower decision-making competence: an item-level analysis of the Decision Outcome Inventory (DOI) (2015) (38)
- Learning from Experience: Coping with Hindsight Bias and Ambiguity (2001) (38)
- Treating the public with risk communications: a public health perspective. (1987) (38)
- Embedding effects: Stimulus representation and response mode (1993) (38)
- Validating a Vignette-Based Instrument to Study Physician Decision Making in Trauma Triage (2014) (37)
- Elicitation of preferences (2000) (36)
- Levels of environmental decisions (1985) (36)
- A Randomized Trial Testing US Food and Drug Administration "Breakthrough" Language. (2015) (35)
- Clinical Decision Analysis (1980) (35)
- Risk Knowledge and Risk Attitudes Regarding Nuclear Energy Sources in Space (1993) (35)
- Robustness of Decision-Making Competence: Evidence from two measures and an 11-year longitudinal study. (2018) (35)
- Adolescent Decision Making: Implications for Prevention Programs. Summary of a Workshop. (1999) (35)
- A method to evaluate the usability of interactive climate change impact decision aids (2014) (34)
- Effects of Description of Options on Parental Perinatal Decision-Making (2012) (33)
- What do Psychologists Want? Contingent Valuation as a Special Case of Asking Questions (1997) (33)
- The Risks of Using Nuclear Energy Sources in Space: Some Lay Activists’Perceptions (1992) (33)
- 8.8 Risk perception and communication (2009) (32)
- Selection of key health domains from PROMIS® for a generic preference-based scoring system (2017) (32)
- Judgment and Decision Making. (2020) (32)
- Need to Know: Analytical and Psychological Criteria (2000) (32)
- Decision making in online searching (1988) (32)
- Behavioral factors affecting exposure potential for household cleaning products. (1997) (31)
- Sources of non-compliance with clinical practice guidelines in trauma triage: a decision science study (2012) (31)
- Direct measures of availability and judgments of category frequency (1977) (31)
- The long-term risks in the short-term benefits: perceptions of potentially addictive activities. (2000) (31)
- Resilience vs. Adaptation: Framing and action (2015) (31)
- Decision making in complex systems (1986) (30)
- Assessing the Validity of Using Serious Game Technology to Analyze Physician Decision Making (2014) (30)
- Climate Change and Cryptosporidiosis: A Qualitative Analysis (2001) (30)
- Cross-sectional validation of the PROMIS-Preference scoring system (2018) (30)
- Rape Prevention (1987) (30)
- “Acceptable risk”: The case of nuclear power (1983) (30)
- Injury prevention and risk communication: a mental models approach (2011) (30)
- Setting Policies for Consumer Communications a Behavioral Decision Research Approach (2004) (29)
- Rationing Decisions and Individual Responsibility for Illness: Are all Lives Equal? (2003) (29)
- Understanding long-term environmental risks (1990) (29)
- Mental Models of Women With Breast Implants: Local Complications (2001) (29)
- A multi-channel stakeholder consultation process for transmission deregulation (2003) (29)
- Perception and Acceptability of Risk from Energy Systems (1981) (28)
- Managing technological hazard : research needs and opportunities (1977) (28)
- Informed consent in societal risk—Benefit decisions (1979) (28)
- The impact of over-the-counter availability of "Plan B" on teens' contraceptive decision making. (2008) (27)
- Helping the Public Make Health Risk Decisions (1989) (27)
- Judgmental aspects of forecasting: Needs and possible trends (1988) (27)
- Scientific management of science? (2000) (26)
- Managing patients with inexplicable health problems (2003) (26)
- Improved Learning in U.S. History and Decision Competence with Decision-Focused Curriculum (2012) (26)
- Rating the Risks: The Structure of Expert and Lay Perceptions (2019) (26)
- 5 Assessing and Communicating the Risks of Terrorism (2002) (26)
- Accentuate the Relevant (1997) (25)
- Handling hazards: can hazard management be improved. [Potential and strategies for improvement] (1978) (25)
- Risk Communication Planning for the Aftermath of a Plague Bioattack (2008) (25)
- A Little Learning...: Confidence in Multicue Judgment Tasks390664 (1978) (25)
- Trauma triage in the emergency departments of nontrauma centers: An analysis of individual physician caseload on triage patterns (2013) (25)
- The Effects of Gender and Instructions on Calibration. (1981) (24)
- Video Intervention to Increase Perceived Self-Efficacy for Condom Use in a Randomized Controlled Trial of Female Adolescents. (2017) (24)
- Hindsight not equal to foresight: the effect of outcome knowledge on judgment under uncertainty. 1975. (2003) (24)
- The Science of Science Communication III (2019) (23)
- Research Needs for Human Factors (1983) (23)
- Decision-Making Framework (2019) (23)
- Subjective Expected Utility: A Model of Decision-Making1) (1983) (23)
- Risk Analysis and Human Behavior (2012) (23)
- Decision-Making Competence (2002) (23)
- Organizational decision making: The possibility of distributed decision making (1996) (23)
- Counseling parents at risk of delivery of an extremely premature infant: Differing strategies (2017) (23)
- Psychological Dimensions of Climatic Change (1983) (23)
- Decision analysis. Clinical art or Clinical Science (1977) (22)
- Promoting Protection Against a Threat That Evokes Positive Affect: The Case of Heat Waves in the United Kingdom (2016) (22)
- Automobile risk perceptions and insurance-purchasing decisions in Japan and the United States (2000) (22)
- Judged Effectiveness of Common Rape Prevention and Self-Defense Strategies (1989) (22)
- Serious games may improve physician heuristics in trauma triage (2018) (21)
- The science and practice of risk ranking (2013) (21)
- Decision-Making Competence: More Than Intelligence? (2020) (21)
- Military risk‐taking: C3I and the cognitive functions of boldness in war (1988) (20)
- The effect of question format on measured HIV/AIDS knowledge: detention center teens, high school students, and adults. (2000) (20)
- Environmental risk perception from visual cues: the psychophysics of tornado risk perception (2015) (20)
- Strategic Policy Preferences: A Behavioral Decision Theory Perspective (1983) (20)
- Contrasting perceptions of the risks of using nuclear energy sources in space (1993) (20)
- The Experienced Utility of Expected Utility Approaches (1980) (20)
- Time to take action on climate communication. (2010) (19)
- The impacts of political cues and practical information on climate change decisions (2015) (19)
- Specific STI knowledge may be acquired too late. (2006) (18)
- Development and Evaluation of an HIV/AIDS Knowledge Measure for Adolescents Focusing on Misconceptions (2007) (18)
- The Effect of Question Wording on Reported Expectations and Perceptions of Inflation (2010) (17)
- Testing a videogame intervention to recalibrate physician heuristics in trauma triage: study protocol for a randomized controlled trial (2016) (17)
- Elicited preferences for components of ocean health in the California Current (2013) (17)
- Setting Priorities in Behavioral Interventions: An Application to Reducing Phishing Risk (2018) (17)
- Public views of using nuclear energy sources in space missions (1993) (17)
- Calibrating databases (1986) (16)
- Adolescent Risk and Vulnerability (2001) (16)
- Hindsight: Thinking Backward (1974) (16)
- Making behavioral science integral to climate science and action (2020) (16)
- The Informal Use of Formal Models (1984) (16)
- Counting casualties: A framework for respectful, useful records (2007) (16)
- Perceptions of PCE use by dry cleaners and dry cleaning customers (2001) (16)
- Correction to: Better beware: comparing metacognition for phishing and legitimate emails (2019) (15)
- Replication: Challenges in Using Data Logs to Validate Phishing Detection Ability Metrics (2016) (15)
- Transaction analysis: A framework and an application to insurance decisions (1993) (14)
- Evolving judgments of terror risks: foresight, hindsight, and emotion: a reanalysis. (2012) (14)
- Creating Categories for Databases (1987) (14)
- Views on Breast Cancer Risk Patient-centered Decision Making Women ’ s Views on Breast Cancer Risk and Screening Mammography : A Qualitative Interview Study (2001) (14)
- Modeling methylene chloride exposure-reduction options for home paint-stripper users (2000) (14)
- Evaluation of options for presenting health-states from PROMIS® item banks for valuation exercises (2018) (14)
- Can Female Adolescents Tell Whether They Will Test Positive for Chlamydia Infection? (2010) (13)
- RAPE PREVENTION AND SELF- DEFENSE: AT WHAT PRICE? (1991) (13)
- The Training of Decision Makers. (1978) (13)
- Catastrophic Risk and Securities Design (2000) (13)
- Risk Perception, Risk Communication, Risk Taking (2002) (13)
- ‘Moral machine’ experiment is no basis for policymaking (2019) (12)
- Risk Communication: Risk Communication (2001) (12)
- Communicating About Xenotransplantation: Models and Scenarios (2009) (12)
- Effect of Risk and Protective Decision Aids on Flood Preparation in Vulnerable Communities (2018) (12)
- Value Awareness: A New Goal for End-of-life Decision Making (2019) (12)
- Behavioral Decision Research Intervention Reduces Risky Sexual Behavior. (2015) (12)
- Plans and Prospects for Coastal Flooding in Four Communities Affected by Sandy (2017) (12)
- Does “putting on your thinking cap” reduce myside bias in evaluation of scientific evidence? (2019) (12)
- Power and People (2006) (12)
- Eliciting probabilistic expectations: Collaborations between psychologists and economists (2017) (12)
- What do patients want? Help in making effective choices. (1999) (11)
- Behaviorally Realistic Risk Management (2014) (11)
- Comparing the predictive ability of a commercial artificial intelligence early warning system with physician judgement for clinical deterioration in hospitalised general internal medicine patients: a prospective observational study (2019) (11)
- Search success and expectations with a computer interface (1987) (11)
- Behavioral Aspects of Cost-Benefit Analysis (1979) (11)
- The Use of Public Risk Ranking in Regulatory Development (2010) (11)
- Human Behavior in Industrial Ecology Modeling (1999) (11)
- Do We Want a Better Theory of Deterrence (1987) (11)
- Emotion and judgments of scientific research (2020) (10)
- The Construction of Preference: Constructing Preferences From Labile Values (2006) (10)
- Methods for Analyzing and Comparing Technological Hazards (1986) (10)
- Incorporating seismic concerns in site selection for enhanced geothermal power generation (2013) (10)
- INDIVIDUALS’ DECISIONS AFFECTING RADIATION EXPOSURE AFTER A NUCLEAR EXPLOSION (2007) (10)
- Decision-Making Competence and Risk Behavior (2003) (10)
- Communicating health risks of global climate change (2001) (10)
- Ranking Risks (2019) (10)
- Speaking of Psychology: Coronavirus Anxiety (2020) (9)
- Perceived risk and quantitative safety goals for nuclear power (1980) (9)
- An Approach to Reconciling Competing Ethical Principles in Aggregating Heterogeneous Health Preferences (2017) (9)
- Chapter 12. Questions of Competence The Duty to Inform and the Limits to Choice (2013) (9)
- Consumers’ collision insurance decisions: a mental models approach to theory evaluation (2010) (9)
- Foundational Cybersecurity Research: Improving Science, Engineering, and Institutions (2017) (9)
- How People Think about Cancer: A Mental Models Approach (2008) (9)
- A cautionary note on global recalibration (2013) (9)
- Assessing How Consumers Interpret and Act on Results From At-Home COVID-19 Self-test Kits: A Randomized Clinical Trial. (2022) (9)
- How Well do Probability Experts Assess Probabilities (1980) (8)
- Breaking Ground for Psychological Science: The U.S. Food and Drug Administration (2017) (8)
- Optimism bias in understanding neonatal prognoses (2020) (8)
- Inferential aspects and judgment under uncertainty. (1992) (8)
- The World of Adolescence (1999) (8)
- Hypothesis Testing from a Bayesian Perspective. (1982) (8)
- An integrated impact assessment of the effects of climate change on the Pacific Northwest salmon fishery (1998) (8)
- Hindsight 40 years on: An interview with Baruch Fischhoff (2017) (8)
- Editors' Introduction: Elicitation of Preferences (1999) (8)
- Conceptual Framework for Regulatory Benefits Assessment (1986) (8)
- Four answers to four questions (about risk communication) (2014) (8)
- Communicating uncertain experimental evidence. (2014) (7)
- Heuristics and Biases: Assessing Uncertainty in Physical Constants (2002) (7)
- Risk perceptions and health behaviors as COVID-19 emerged in the United States: Results from a probability-based nationally representative sample. (2021) (7)
- COST‐BENEFIT ANALYSIS: AN UNCERTAIN GUIDE TO PUBLIC POLICY * (1981) (7)
- What should we expect after the next attack? (2011) (7)
- Good decision making requires good communication. (2012) (7)
- Comments on “The Mental Model” Meets “The Planning Process”1 (1993) (7)
- Social Science and the Politics of the Arms Race (1983) (7)
- Will They Hate Us? Anticipating Unacceptable Risks (2001) (7)
- A Hero in Every Aisle Seat (2005) (6)
- Hot Air : . The Psychology of C 02-Induced Climatic Change (2004) (6)
- Policy makers must act on incomplete evidence in responding to COVID-19. (2020) (6)
- Good Decision Making Requires Good Communication (2012) (6)
- Images of Nuclear War: An Introduction (1983) (6)
- Report from Poland: Science and Politics in the Midst of Environmental Disaster (1991) (6)
- A Decision Science–Informed Approach to Sexual Risk and Nonconsent (2012) (6)
- The Certainty Illusion (1976) (6)
- Individual behavior in organizational crises (1989) (6)
- Diagnosing food-borne illness: A behavioral analysis of barriers to testing (2011) (6)
- Changes of Heart: The Switch-Value Method for Assessing Value Uncertainty (2010) (5)
- Defining the representativeness heuristic in trauma triage: A retrospective observational cohort study (2019) (5)
- Community—Past, Present, and Future (2003) (5)
- Risk Communication: INTRODUCTION (2001) (5)
- Risk aversion, social values, and nuclear safety goals (1982) (5)
- Robyn Mason Dawes (1936–2010). (2012) (5)
- Afterword: Development of and in Behavioral Decision Research. (2005) (5)
- Bereaved Parents: Insights for the Antenatal Consultation (2021) (5)
- Temporal Setting and Judgment under Uncertainty (1975) (5)
- INTUITIVE USE OF FORMAL MODELS. A COMMENT ON MORRI- SON'S "QUANTITATIVE MODELS IN HISTORY"* (1978) (5)
- Adolescent vulnerability: measurement and priority setting. (2002) (5)
- Physicians' cognitive approach to prognostication after cardiac arrest. (2022) (5)
- Environmental Cognition, Perceptions, and Attitudes (2001) (4)
- Inferring Sexually Transmitted Infection Risk From Attractiveness in Online Dating Among Adolescents and Young Adults: Exploratory Study (2020) (4)
- Promoting protection against a threat that evokes positive affect: The case of heatwaves in the UK (2016) (4)
- Perceived Risks of Radionuclides: Understanding Public Understanding (1988) (4)
- Evaluating voluntary risks of injury. (1987) (4)
- A strategy to improve expert technology forecasts (2021) (4)
- Adolescent Decision Making (1999) (4)
- Association of Practitioner Interfacility Triage Performance With Outcomes for Severely Injured Patients With Fee-for-Service Medicare Insurance. (2019) (4)
- Decision-making theory and HIV disease. (1997) (4)
- Improving Intuitive Judgments BY Subjective Sensitivity Analysis (1978) (3)
- Judgment-based risk ranking for food safety. (2005) (3)
- Nuclear Waste: Progress with Public Engagement—Response (2010) (3)
- Risk Communication: MENTAL MODELS INTERVIEWS (2001) (3)
- The Psychology of Risk Characterization (1994) (3)
- A Modern Dilemma: How Experts Grapple with Ambiguous Genetic Test Results (2020) (3)
- Moving toward More Accurate Casualty Counts (2013) (3)
- Targeting risks [Comment on the theory of risk homeostasis: Implications for safety and health] (1983) (3)
- Cambridge Handbook of Psychology, Health and Medicine: Risk perception and health behaviour (2007) (3)
- The Changing Face of Pittsburgh: A Historical Perspective (2003) (3)
- Using incentives to recruit physicians into behavioral trials: lessons learned from four studies (2017) (3)
- Sticky decisions: peanut butter in a time of Salmonella. (2010) (3)
- Visualizing your vulnerabilities. (2006) (3)
- Perceptions of Risk and Vulnerability (2001) (3)
- Twenty questions about design behavior for sustainability, report of the International Expert Panel on behavioral science for design (2019) (3)
- Vulnerability, Risk, and Protection (2001) (3)
- Does Preexisting Practice Modify How Video Games Recalibrate Physician Heuristics in Trauma Triage? (2019) (3)
- Twenty Questions About Design Behavior for Sustainability (2019) (3)
- How patients deal with an ambiguous medical test: Decision-making after genetic testing. (2020) (3)
- Judging Unlikely Conjunctions (1985) (3)
- Risk Communication: A MENTAL MODELS APPROACH TO HIV/AIDS (2001) (3)
- Differential Media Evaluation and Satisfaction With Election Results (1976) (3)
- Exclusion Criteria as Measurements I: Identifying Invalid Responses (2019) (3)
- Understanding Public Responses to Domestic Threats (2007) (3)
- Ensuring Environmental Health in Postindustrial Cities: Workshop Summary (2003) (3)
- Comments and response on the USPSTF recommendation on screening for breast cancer. (2010) (2)
- Discounting in Multicausal Attribution: The Principle of Minimal Causation (1977) (2)
- The Art of Cost-Benefit Analysis (1977) (2)
- Diagnosing clinical diagnosis. (1979) (2)
- An Integrative Approach for Label Evaluation and Design (2000) (2)
- Modeling decision making for system design (1989) (2)
- Ensuring Environmental Health in Postindustrial Cities (2003) (2)
- The Perceived Informativeness of Factual Information (1976) (2)
- Better beware: comparing metacognition for phishing and legitimate emails (2019) (2)
- Risk Communication: CREATING AN EXPERT MODEL OF THE RISK (2001) (2)
- Getting straight talk right. (2006) (2)
- Portfolio Choice and Perceived Diversification (2000) (2)
- When Are Preferences Consistent? The Effects of Task Familiarity and Contextual Cues on Revealed and Stated Preferences (2010) (2)
- Sticky Decisions: Peanut Butter in a Time of Salmonella (2010) (2)
- Conditions for Sustainability Science (2016) (2)
- Mutually Assured Support: A Security Doctrine for Terrorist Nuclear Weapon Threats (2008) (2)
- What Makes a Good Explanation (1977) (2)
- Public Health Decision Making and Risk Perception (2011) (1)
- Nuclear Power: Time for Détente (1984) (1)
- Prejudices about Bias (1985) (1)
- Adolescent Vulnerability and Psychological Interventions (2001) (1)
- How stable are preferences among emerging electricity generation technologies (2019) (1)
- Who [Did] What Where, When, Why, and How: My Gist of Fuzzy Trace Theory (2021) (1)
- Modeling the Payoffs of Interventions to Reduce Adolescent Vulnerability (2001) (1)
- 5. Risk perception (2011) (1)
- U.S. Environmental Protection Agency Science Advisory Board Participants in the February 17-18, 2005 Science and Research Budget Advisory (2005) (1)
- The inconvenient public (1995) (1)
- PUBLIC KNOWLEDGE ABOUT INDOOR RADON: THE EFFECTS OF RISK COMMUNICATION (1992) (1)
- We Need the Right Words to Weather the Storm (2005) (1)
- On The Psychology of Experimental Surprises: Outcome Knowledge and the Journal Review Process. (1976) (1)
- Enhancing Participation in the U.S. Global Change Research Program (2016) (1)
- Distinguished Scientific Awards for an Early Career Contribution to Psychology: 1980 (1981) (1)
- Predictors of public attitudes toward controversial science 1979–1990 (2020) (1)
- Antenatal consultation and deliberation: adapting to parental preferences. (2023) (1)
- Exclusion Criteria as Measurements II: Effects on Utility Functions (2019) (1)
- Predicting STEM Employability for Disadvantaged Young People (2018) (1)
- Outcomes after a Digital Behavior Change Intervention to Improve Trauma Triage: An Analysis of Medicare Claims. (2021) (1)
- Risk heatmaps as visual displays: Opening movie studios after the COVID-19 shutdown. (2022) (1)
- Facts and fears: understanding perceived risk (1979) (2005) (1)
- Ethical and Social Issues in Military Research and Development (2014) (1)
- Comment diagnosing stigma (1998) (1)
- Understanding the Role of Heuristics in Physician Non-Compliance with Trauma Triage Guidelines (2014) (1)
- Psychology and public policy (1998) (1)
- Duped by Bots: Why Some are Better than Others at Detecting Fake Social Media Personas. (2022) (1)
- The Effect of Knowledge on the Calibration of Probability Assessments (1976) (1)
- Perceived Frequency of Recurrent Events (1977) (1)
- Author ' s personal copy Assessing adolescent decision-making competence (2007) (0)
- Testing the feasibility, acceptability, and preliminary effect of a novel deliberate practice intervention to reduce diagnostic error in trauma triage: a study protocol for a randomized pilot trial (2022) (0)
- Well-Calibrated Claims About Difficult Questions (2007) (0)
- Rapid Expert Consultation on Self-Tests for Infectious Diseases (2022) (0)
- Proposed Analysis Code (2016) (0)
- Programs for Adolescents (1999) (0)
- Adolescent health brief Can Adolescents Predict Significant Life Events (2007) (0)
- Goals of Care in Chronic Critical Illness: A Mental Model of Physician Decision Making (2023) (0)
- Judging the Health Risks of Energy Systems (2021) (0)
- Poorly Thought-Out Values: Problems of Measurement (2019) (0)
- Bias for the Masses. (1993) (0)
- Calibration of scientific reasoning ability (2022) (0)
- Using incentives to recruit physicians into behavioral trials: lessons learned from four studies (2017) (0)
- A Social Perspective on Psychology (1992) (0)
- An Essay in Honor of Howard Kunreuther (2009) (0)
- (Reprinted with permission from International Journal of Forecasting, 4 (1988), 449-465) Research Needs In Forecasting * (2001) (0)
- Proposed Analysis Summary (2016) (0)
- Measuring Labile Values: Problems in the Elicitation of Poorly-Formulated Preferences (1979) (0)
- Expert mental models for predicting outcomes after cardiac arrest (2020) (0)
- Book reviews (1976) (0)
- Ionizing Radiation (2020) (0)
- Robustness of Decision-Making Competence (2017) (0)
- The Psychology and the Economics of Economic Behavior (1991) (0)
- Digital medicines for adherence support: A conceptual framework and qualitative study of adherence among chronically ill patients (2021) (0)
- 76 THE EFFECTS OF ODORS AND LABELING ON EXPOSURE TO HOUSEHOLD CONSUMER PRODUCTS (1995) (0)
- Intentions for Future Heat Protection Behaviors Measure (2015) (0)
- Food evaluations and eating decisions: are judgments contagious? (2016) (0)
- Risk Communication: Preface (2001) (0)
- Scientific Reasoning Scale (2018) (0)
- Inferring Sexually Transmitted Infection Risk From Attractiveness in Online Dating Among Adolescents and Young Adults: Exploratory Study (Preprint) (2019) (0)
- Issues for Youth Programs (1999) (0)
- Chapter 3. Risk-Based Thinking (2019) (0)
- 4. Making risk decisions (2011) (0)
- Conflicts of Interest: Commentary: Conflicts of Interest in Policy Analysis: Compliant Pawns in Their Game? (2005) (0)
- The microbiomes of gut‐level decisions (2020) (0)
- The Possible and the Profitable Some Remarks on the Symposium'S Impact on Decision Research (1983) (0)
- 6. Risk communication (2011) (0)
- Positive Affect about Heat Measure (2015) (0)
- Risk Communication: Brochure on fields from electric power (2001) (0)
- 3. Analysing risk (2011) (0)
- Representativeness of Severe Injury Increases Likelihood of Appropriate Transfer to Trauma Centers (2018) (0)
- Risk Communication: CONFIRMATORY QUESTIONNAIRES (2001) (0)
- Book Review: Reporting and risk, Eleanor Singer and Phyllis M. Endreny, New York: Russell Sage Foundation, 1993, 244 pp., ISBN 0-87154-801-1. (1997) (0)
- OUR MENTAL MODELS APPROACH (2001) (0)
- Media Exposure, Risk Perceptions, and Fear: Americans’ Behavioral Responses to the Ebola Public Health Crisis (2022) (0)
- Keynote: Ensuring Environmental Health in Pennsylvania (2003) (0)
- EffectsofDescriptionofOptionsonParentalPerinatal Decision-Making (2016) (0)
- Subject: Grand Strategy: The Elimination of Nuclear Weapons. Data, Analysis, Maximum Velocity (2009) (0)
- Consumers’ Collision Insurance Decisions: A Mental Models Approach to Theory Testing and Refinement (2009) (0)
- 7. Risk, culture, and society (2011) (0)
- Improving Health in the Built Environment: A Daunting but Doable Challenge (2003) (0)
- Decision Outcomes Inventory (2014) (0)
- A Procedure for Eliciting Women’s Preferences for Breast Cancer Screening Frequency (2022) (0)
- Risk Communication: DEVELOPMENT AND EVALUATION OF COMMUNICATIONS (2001) (0)
- Scienti ¢ c management of science ? (2000) (0)
- problemspatients with inexplicable health (2005) (0)
- Technological innovation: Risky lessons: Conditions for organizational learning (1997) (0)
- Special Issue for Pittsburgh: Our Rivers (2003) (0)
- 1. Risk decisions (2011) (0)
- A Cost-Effectiveness Analysis of Osteoporosis Screening Strategies for Postmenopausal Women (2008) (0)
- 2. Defining risk (2011) (0)
- Risk Communication: Risk communication materials on HIV/AIDS (2001) (0)
- Proposed Analysis Appendix (2016) (0)
- COVID-19 Behavior Measure (2021) (0)
- Tversky, Amos (1937–96) (2001) (0)
- The Evolution of Command and Control Systems (1986) (0)
- Reports of Heat Protection Behaviors During the 2013 Heatwave (2015) (0)
- Sample transcripts of mental model interviews (2001) (0)
- The value of adherence information during clinical pharmaceutical trials (2022) (0)
- Counting casualties: A framework for respectful, useful (2007) (0)
- Emotion, Scientific Reasoning, and Judgments of Scientific Evidence (2018) (0)
- Perspectives on Judgment and Decision Making as a Skill (2011) (0)
- A secure procedure for early career scientists to report apparent misconduct (2021) (0)
- Defining Risk Defining Risk (0)
- ‘Moral machine’ experiment is no basis for policymaking (2019) (0)
- Risk Communication: SOME CONCLUDING THOUGHTS (2001) (0)
- Risk Communication: Brochure on global warming and climate change (2001) (0)
- Replication/Validation Data and Code (2016) (0)
- Mistaken and Redirected Retribution in U.S. Public Support for War Against Iraq (2014) (0)
- Diagrams for strategic risk management (2015) (0)
- Designing Effective Natural Hazards Preparedness Communications: Factors that Influence Perceptions and Action (2012) (0)
- Psychological Aspects of Risk Perception (2019) (0)
- Deck it out : artists do dinosaur makeovers (0)
- Cue-How safe is safe enough? (1983) (0)
- Systems, Built Environment— Past, Present, Future (2003) (0)
- A secure procedure for early career scientists to report apparent misconduct (2021) (0)
- A symposium on the validity of studies on heuristics and biases (1983) (0)
- Challenges in researching terrorism from the field Research must focus on youth (2017) (0)
- Risk Communication: CASE STUDIES: APPLICATIONS TO ENVIRONMENTAL RISKS (2001) (0)
- Predjudices About Bias (Report No. 85-3) (1985) (0)
- Implementing a New Common Rule Requirement for Informed Consent: A Randomized Trial on Adult Asthma Patients (2019) (0)
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