David Budescu
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Psychologist
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Psychology
David Budescu's Degrees
- PhD Psychology Stanford University
- Masters Psychology Stanford University
- Bachelors Psychology University of California, Berkeley
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Why Is David Budescu Influential?
(Suggest an Edit or Addition)According to Wikipedia, David Budescu is a psychologist and academic. He is the Anne Anastasi Professor of Psychometrics and Quantitative Psychology at Fordham University. Personal life Budescu graduated from the University of Haifa in Haifa, Israel and received his Ph.D. in quantitative psychology from the University of North Carolina in 1980. From 1982 to 1992 he taught at the University of Haifa and, in 1992, accepted an appointment at the University of Illinois. He is a fellow of the American Psychological Society and is a past director of the European Association of Decision Making. In 2016 he won the Exeter Prize for the best paper published in the fields of experimental economics, decision theory, and behavioural economics. In 1999 he edited "Games and Human Behavior: Essays in Honor of Amnon Rapoport."
David Budescu's Published Works
Number of citations in a given year to any of this author's works
Total number of citations to an author for the works they published in a given year. This highlights publication of the most important work(s) by the author
Published Works
- Dominance analysis: A new approach to the problem of relative importance of predictors in multiple regression. (1993) (886)
- The dominance analysis approach for comparing predictors in multiple regression. (2003) (698)
- Simultaneous Over- and Underconfidence: The Role of Error in Judgment Processes. (1994) (584)
- Measures of similarity among fuzzy concepts: A comparative analysis (1987) (523)
- Measuring the Vague Meanings of Probability Terms (1986) (465)
- Encoding subjective probabilities: A psychological and psychometric review (1983) (379)
- Improving Communication of Uncertainty in the Reports of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (2009) (356)
- Consistency in interpretation of probabilistic phrases (1985) (297)
- Decisions based on numerically and verbally expressed uncertainties. (1988) (255)
- Comparing the calibration and coherence of numerical and verbal probability judgments (1993) (240)
- Identifying Expertise to Extract the Wisdom of Crowds (2015) (228)
- Generation of random series in two-person strictly competitive games (1992) (208)
- Preferences and reasons for communicating probabilistic information in verbal or numerical terms (1993) (204)
- Processing Linguistic Probabilities: General Principles and Empirical Evidence (1995) (193)
- Effective communication of uncertainty in the IPCC reports (2012) (181)
- The interpretation of IPCC probabilistic statements around the world (2014) (170)
- Randomization in individual choice behavior. (1997) (169)
- A review of human linguistic probability processing: General principles and empirical evidence (1995) (162)
- How to measure diversity when you must. (2012) (160)
- Evaluating and Combining Subjective Probability Estimates (1997) (148)
- The effects of averaging subjective probability estimates between and within judges. (2000) (144)
- To Guess or Not to Guess: A Decision‐Theoretic View of Formula Scoring (1993) (137)
- Confidence in aggregation of expert opinions. (2000) (134)
- Resource dilemmas with environmental uncertainty and asymmetric players (1990) (131)
- Games and Human Behavior (1999) (120)
- The Effects of Imprecise Probabilities and Outcomes in Evaluating Investment Options (2005) (119)
- The elusive wishful thinking effect (1995) (110)
- Personal experience with climate change predicts intentions to act (2015) (109)
- You say "probable" and I say "likely": improving interpersonal communication with verbal probability phrases. (2004) (106)
- A Comparative Study of Measures of Partial Knowledge in Multiple-Choice Tests (1997) (105)
- Reflection of transitive and intransitive preferences: A test of prospect theory (1987) (105)
- When is a crowd wise? (2014) (104)
- On the Importance of Random Error in the Study of Probability Judgment. Part II: Applying the Stochastic Judgment Model to Detect Systematic Trends (1997) (99)
- Comparing Predictors in Multivariate Regression Models: An Extension of Dominance Analysis (2006) (98)
- Beyond Global Measures of Relative Importance: Some Insights from Dominance Analysis (2004) (96)
- Positional Order and Group Size Effects in Resource Dilemmas with Uncertain Resources (1995) (95)
- A Comparison of the Eigenvalue Method and The Geometric Mean Procedure for Ratio Scaling (1986) (94)
- The effects of asymmetry among advisors on the aggregation of their opinions (2003) (92)
- Collective induction without cooperation? Learning and knowledge transfer in cooperative groups and competitive auctions. (2007) (92)
- Patterns of preference for numerical and verbal probabilities. (1997) (92)
- Common Pool Resource Dilemmas under Uncertainty: Qualitative Tests of Equilibrium Solutions (1995) (91)
- Cooperation in Intergroup, N-Person, and Two-Person Games of Chicken (1997) (91)
- On the Importance of Random Error in the Study of Probability Judgment. Part I: New Theoretical Developments (1997) (88)
- The Relative Importance of Probabilities, Outcomes, and Vagueness in Hazard Risk Decisions (1996) (83)
- Teams Make You Smarter: How Exposure to Teams Improves Individual Decisions in Probability and Reasoning Tasks (2013) (80)
- Predicting the directionality of probability words from their membership functions (2003) (78)
- The relationship between the illusion of control and the desirability bias (1995) (77)
- A Markov model for generation of random binary sequences. (1987) (74)
- Averaging probability judgments: Monte Carlo analyses of asymptotic diagnostic value (2001) (74)
- The appeal of vague financial forecasts (2011) (73)
- A Comparison of Two Probability Encoding Methods: Fixed Probability vs. Fixed Variable Values (2008) (71)
- Dyadic decisions with numerical and verbal probabilities (1990) (69)
- Group Decisions Under Ambiguity: Convergence to Neutrality (2012) (66)
- Subjective estimation of precise and vague uncertainties. (1987) (65)
- Modeling certainty equivalents for imprecise gambles (2002) (64)
- Simultaneous vs. sequential requests in resource dilemmas with incomplete information (1992) (64)
- Aggregation of opinions based on correlated cues and advisors. (2007) (61)
- Sequential requests from randomly distributed shared resources (1993) (61)
- Coherence and Consistency of Investors' Probability Judgments (2007) (61)
- Forecast aggregation via recalibration (2014) (55)
- Effects of Protocol of Play and Social Orientation on Behavior in Sequential Resource Dilemmas (1997) (55)
- Scoring and keying multiple choice tests: A case study in irrationality (2005) (54)
- Why recognition is rational: Optimality results on single-variable decision rules (2010) (53)
- EFFICIENCY OF LINEAR EQUATING AS A FUNCTION OF THE LENGTH OF THE ANCHOR TEST (1985) (50)
- Teams Make You Smarter: Learning and Knowledge Transfer in Auctions and Markets by Teams and Individuals (2010) (49)
- Research Note - The Researcher as a Consumer of Scientific Publications: How Do Name-Ordering Conventions Affect Inferences About Contribution Credits? (2009) (48)
- Predicting World Cup results: Do goals seem more likely when they pay off? (2008) (48)
- Climate Change Versus Global Warming: Who Is Susceptible to the Framing of Climate Change? (2017) (48)
- Understanding and using linguistic uncertainties (1988) (48)
- The same but different: an empirical investigation of the reducibility principle (2001) (48)
- COP21 climate negotiators’ responses to climate model forecasts (2017) (47)
- Subjective randomization in one-and two-person games (1994) (46)
- Evidence that androgenic and estrogenic metabolites contribute to the effects of dehydroepiandrosterone on cognition in postmenopausal women (2004) (46)
- Why Are Experts Correlated? Decomposing Correlations Between Judges (2009) (46)
- Provision of Step-Level Public Goods with Uncertain Provision Threshold and Continuous Contribution (2001) (45)
- Improving the communication of uncertainty in climate science and intelligence analysis (2015) (43)
- Variance Stabilizing Transformations and the Power of the F Test (1981) (43)
- Timed magnitude comparisons of numerical and nonnumerical expressions of uncertainty (1989) (42)
- When do those who know more also know more about how much they know? The development of confidence and performance in categorical decision tasks (2005) (42)
- Never say "not": Impact of negative wording in probability phrases on imprecise probability judgments (2012) (42)
- Criticality of predictors in multiple regression. (2001) (41)
- Desirability and hindsight biases in predicting results of a multi-party election. (1995) (41)
- OPTIMAL NUMBER OF OPTIONS: AN INVESTIGATION OF THE ASSUMPTION OF PROPORTIONALITY (1985) (40)
- The Joint Influence of the Extent and Nature of Audit Evidence, Materiality Thresholds, and Misstatement Type on Achieved Audit Risk (2012) (39)
- Commentary on “The Effects of Financial Incentives in Experiments: A Review and Capital-Labor-Production Framework” (1999) (38)
- Repeated price competition between individuals and between teams (2008) (38)
- The Composition of Optimally Wise Crowds (2015) (38)
- Measures of Similarity between Fuzzy Concepts: A Comparative Analysis (1987) (37)
- Behavioral science tools to strengthen energy & environmental policy (2017) (37)
- Does past volatility affect investors' price forecasts and confidence judgements? (2007) (37)
- Decision making under internal uncertainty: the case of multiple-choice tests with different scoring rules. (2003) (36)
- Confidence in Aggregation of Opinions from Multiple Sources (2005) (36)
- Markets as a structural solution to knowledge-sharing dilemmas (2013) (34)
- Analyzing Test-Taking Behavior: Decision Theory Meets Psychometric Theory (2015) (33)
- The give-or-take-some dilemma: An empirical investigation of a hybrid social dilemma (2011) (33)
- On Rationality, Learning and Zero-Sum Betting - An Experimental Study of the No-Betting Conjecture (2001) (32)
- A Constrained Linear Estimator for Multiple Regression (2010) (31)
- Tests of lagged dominance in sequential dyadic interaction (1984) (31)
- Not all carbon dioxide emission scenarios are equally likely: a subjective expert assessment (2019) (30)
- The Effect of Payoff Feedback and Information Pooling on Reasoning Errors: Evidence from Experimental Markets (2005) (28)
- Random error reduction in analytic hierarchies: a comparison of holistic and decompositional decision strategies (2001) (27)
- Fixed position and property rights in sequential resource dilemmas under uncertainty (1996) (27)
- To Bayes or Not to Bayes? A Comparison of Two Classes of Models of Information Aggregation (2006) (26)
- A model of sequential effects in common pool resource dilemmas (2002) (26)
- A model-based approach for the analysis of the calibration of probability judgments (2011) (24)
- Aggregating multiple probability intervals to improve calibration (2015) (24)
- Applications of Multiple Regression in Psychological Research (2009) (21)
- Analysis of dichotomous variables in the presence of serial dependence. (1985) (21)
- An Empirical Study of the Integration of Linguistic Probabilities (1988) (21)
- Validating the Contribution-Weighted Model: Robustness and Cost-Benefit Analyses (2016) (19)
- Corrections For Spurious Influences On Correlations Between Mmpi Scales. (1981) (19)
- Eliciting Subjective Probabilities through Pair‐wise Comparisons (2017) (18)
- Attribute tradeoffs in low probability/high consequence risks: the joint effects of dimension preference and vagueness (1999) (18)
- Pair-wise comparisons of multiple models (2011) (17)
- Introduction to this Special Issue on Stochastic and Cognitive Models of Confidence (1997) (16)
- A Comparison of the Analytic Hierarchy Process and the Geometric Mean Procedure for Ratio Scaling (1987) (16)
- Aggregation of expert opinions (1999) (15)
- Decision Making under Strict Uncertainty: An Experimental Test of Competitive Criteria (1995) (15)
- An Extension of Dominance Analysis to Canonical Correlation Analysis (2009) (14)
- Scaling binary comparison matrices: A comment on narasimhan's proposal and other methods (1984) (14)
- The importance of theory: response to Brenner (2000) (2000) (14)
- The Power of the F Test in Normal Populations with Heterogeneous Variances (1982) (14)
- A Revised Modified Parallel Analysis for the Construction of Unidimensional Item Pools (1997) (14)
- The psychological and economical perspectives on human decisions in social and interactive contexts (1998) (13)
- [Quantifying Probabilistic Expressions]: Comment (1990) (13)
- Assessing Joint Distributions with Isoprobability Contours (2010) (13)
- A survey of human judgement and quantitative forecasting methods (2021) (13)
- Aided and unaided decisions with imprecise probabilities in the domain of losses (2014) (13)
- Climate uncertainty communication (2019) (13)
- Integration of Linguistic Probabilities (1990) (12)
- Improving Accuracy by Coherence Weighting of Direct and Ratio Probability Judgments (2019) (12)
- How (Over) Confident Are Financial Analysts? (2018) (12)
- Revisiting the Gain–Loss Separability Assumption in Prospect Theory (2013) (12)
- Exploring Ellsberg’s Paradox in Vague-Vague Cases (2005) (11)
- Some New Measures of Profile Dissimilarity (1980) (11)
- SAGE: A Hybrid Geopolitical Event Forecasting System (2019) (11)
- The Role of Type and Source of Uncertainty on the Processing of Climate Models Projections (2018) (11)
- Additivity and nonadditivity in judging MMPI profiles. (1981) (11)
- The Aggregative Contingent Estimation System: Selecting, Rewarding, and Training Experts in a Wisdom of Crowds Approach to Forecasting (2012) (10)
- Identifying expertise and using it to extract the Wisdom of the Crowds (2013) (9)
- The position effect: The role of a player’s serial position in a resource dilemma game (1984) (9)
- An IRT forecasting model: linking proper scoring rules to item response theory (2017) (9)
- Verbal and numerical consumer recommendations: switching between recommendation formats leads to preference inconsistencies. (2013) (9)
- The Sensitivity of Probability Assessments to Time Units and Performer Characteristics (2006) (8)
- Psychological Economics in the Late 1990s@@@Games and Human Behavior: Essays in Honor of Amnon Rapoport (2000) (8)
- A universal method for evaluating the quality of aggregators (2019) (8)
- Wishful Thinking in Predicting World Cup Results: Still Elusive (2008) (8)
- Inter-Personal Communication of Precise and Imprecise Subjective Probabilities (2003) (7)
- Numerically Bounded Linguistic Probability Schemes Are Unlikely to Communicate Uncertainty Effectively (2020) (7)
- Do Teachers Consider Advice? On the Acceptance of Computerized Expert Models (2020) (7)
- Selecting an Equating Method: Linear or Equipercentile? (1987) (7)
- A Note On Polynomial Regression. (1980) (7)
- Advice from Experience: Communicating Incomplete Information Incompletely (2015) (7)
- Does probability weighting matter in probability elicitation (2011) (7)
- It’s a game of give and take: Modeling behavior in a give-or-take-some social dilemma (2012) (7)
- A note on monotonic transformations in the context of functional measurement and analysis of variance (1979) (6)
- The Effect of the Raters' Marginal Distributions on Their Matched Agreement: A Rescaling Framework for Interpreting Kappa (2013) (6)
- Too Much Trust in Group Decisions: Uncovering Hidden Profiles by Groups and Markets (2020) (6)
- Valuation of Vague Prospects with Mixed Outcomes (2008) (5)
- The Estimation of Factor Indeterminacy (1983) (5)
- Forecasting forecaster accuracy: Contributions of past performance and individual differences (2021) (5)
- An item response approach to calibration of confidence judgments. (2020) (5)
- The Effect of Monetary Feedback and Information Spillovers on Cognitive Errors: Evidence from Competitive Markets (2004) (5)
- DIFFERENTIAL WEIGHTING OF MULTIPLE CHOICE ITEMS (1979) (5)
- Approximate confidence intervals for a robust scale parameter (1980) (5)
- Decisions With Compound Lotteries (2019) (4)
- Aided Decisions with Imprecise Probs 2 Aided and Unaided Decision Making With Imprecise Probabilities (1978) (4)
- From the Editors - Brainstorming, Multiplicative Utilities, Partial Information on Probabilities or Outcomes, and Regulatory Focus (2012) (3)
- From the Editors - Probability Scoring Rules, Ambiguity, Multiattribute Terrorist Utility, and Sensitivity Analysis (2011) (3)
- Contemporary approaches to social dilemma research (2004) (3)
- Group decision making under vagueness: (722992011-107) (2013) (3)
- On the Feasibility of Multiple Matching Tests— Variations on a Theme by Guiliksen (1988) (3)
- Psychological Challenges in Communicating about Climate Change and Its Uncertainites (2017) (3)
- Erratum to “Modeling certainty equivalents for imprecise gambles” [Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes 88 (2002) 748–768] (2002) (2)
- Does the perceived accuracy of urine drug testing impact clinical decision-making? (2020) (2)
- The subtle effects of incentives and competition on group performance (2016) (2)
- Erratum to “An Extension of Dominance Analysis to Canonical Correlation Analysis” (2009) (2)
- Abstract: An Option-Based Partial Credit IRT Model for Multiple-Choice Tests (2013) (2)
- Group Decision Making under Vagueness (2010) (2)
- Modeling Ellsberg's Paradox in Vague-Vague Cases (1999) (1)
- Achieving More With Less: Intuitive Correction in Selection (2020) (1)
- Toward a Universal Translator of Verbal Probabilities (2002) (1)
- Numerically-Bounded Linguistic Probability Schemes Are Unlikely to Communicate Uncertainty Effectively (2020) (1)
- The value of being precise (2021) (1)
- Changes of private car use in response to travel demand management (2004) (1)
- The Give-or-Take-Some Dilemma (2008) (1)
- Erratum to “The appeal of vague financial forecasts” [Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, 114 (2011) 179–189] (2011) (1)
- Abstract: Using Ratio Scaling to Assess Likelihood of Joint Events (2014) (1)
- A note on the standardized covariance (2017) (1)
- Expert Elicitations of 2100 Emission of CO2 (2017) (0)
- Hybrid forecasting of geopolitical events † (2023) (0)
- Role and characteristics game of volleyball news and trends in contemporary volleyball. (2010) (0)
- Translation Errors in the Aggregation of Consumer Recommendations (2009) (0)
- Beyond Ellsberg's paradox. Modeling the effets of vagueness in risky decisions (2001) (0)
- Using Selected Peers to Improve the Accuracy of Crowd Sourced Forecasts (2020) (0)
- To deliberate or not? The role of intuition and deliberation when controlling for irrelevant information in selection decisions (2022) (0)
- Book Review : Analyzing Decision Making: Metric Conjoint Analysis (1990) (0)
- From the Editors (2013) (0)
- DIFFERENTIAEIGHTING OF MULTIPLE-CHOICE ITEMS (2007) (0)
- Analyzing Test-Taking Behavior: Decision Theory Meets Psychometric Theory (2014) (0)
- Reviewers for 2010 (2010) (0)
- Local Sensitivity Drives Estimates of Conflicting and Imprecise Forecasts (2015) (0)
- Effects of Score Feedback on Test-Taker Behavior in Self-Adapted Testing (2015) (0)
- Forecast aggregation via recalibration (2013) (0)
- "Analysis of dichotomous variables in the presence of serial dependence": Correction to Budescu. (1985) (0)
- Abstract: A Comparison of Classification Techniques for Diagnosis in an Alzheimer's Study (2010) (0)
- Beyond Ellsberg's paradox (2001) (0)
- Integration of linguistic probabilitiest (2006) (0)
- A Model Selection Approach to Testing Dependent ICCs (2005) (0)
- Do teachers consider advice : an investigation of the acceptance of (Brunswik’ based) expert models within the educational field (2017) (0)
- Reasoning and Institutions : Do Markets Facilitate Logical Reasoning in the Wason Selection Task ? ∗ (2003) (0)
- Acknowledgment (2009) (0)
- Reviewers 2006 (2006) (0)
- The wisdom of many in few: Finding individuals who are as wise as the crowd. (2023) (0)
- Letter from the editor. (2021) (0)
- Communicating Uncertainty in the Reports of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (2015) (0)
- Call for papers – Special issue in memory of Amnon Rapoport: Experimental Economics (2023) (0)
- Recalibrating probabilistic forecasts to improve their accuracy (2022) (0)
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