David Stephenson

Q: What Schools Are Affiliated With David Stephenson

David Stephenson is affiliated with the following schools: University of Exeter, Imperial College London, University of Oxford, University of Edinburgh, University of Reading, Kwame Nkrumah University of Science and Technology, Colorado State University

David Stephenson 's AcademicInfluence.com Rankings

David Stephenson

Earth Sciences

#1198

World Rank

#1796

Historical Rank

Atmospheric Sciences

#133

World Rank

#137

Historical Rank

Environmental Science

#236

World Rank

#238

Historical Rank

earth-sciences Degrees

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Earth Sciences

David Stephenson 's Degrees

PhD Climatology University of Oxford
Bachelors Environmental Science University of Oxford

Why Is David Stephenson Influential?

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According to Wikipedia, David B. Stephenson is a British academic and Professor of Statistical Climatology at the University of Exeter known for his use of statistical modelling in atmospheric and climate science. He is founder and director of the Exeter Climate Systems research centre and also the Head of Statistical Science at the University of Exeter.

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David Stephenson 's Published Works

Number of citations in a given year to any of this author's works

Total number of citations to an author for the works they published in a given year. This highlights publication of the most important work(s) by the author

Published Works

Global observed changes in daily climate extremes of temperature and precipitation (2006) (3626)
Forecast verification : a practitioner's guide in atmospheric science (2011) (1535)
Future extreme events in European climate: an exploration of regional climate model projections (2007) (1335)
Sensitivity analysis of environmental models: A systematic review with practical workflow (2014) (882)
Empirical orthogonal functions and related techniques in atmospheric science: A review (2007) (879)
Evidence of trends in daily climate extremes over southern and west Africa (2006) (699)
Arctic Oscillation or North Atlantic Oscillation (2001) (619)
North Atlantic Oscillation – Concepts And Studies (2001) (606)
Stratospheric Memory and Skill of Extended-Range Weather Forecasts (2003) (479)
Is the North Atlantic Oscillation a random walk (2000) (306)
Use of the “Odds Ratio” for Diagnosing Forecast Skill (2000) (304)
Extreme climatic events and their evolution under changing climatic conditions (2004) (300)
A Multimodel Assessment of Future Projections of North Atlantic and European Extratropical Cyclones in the CMIP5 Climate Models (2013) (287)
A verification framework for interannual-to-decadal predictions experiments (2012) (286)
Forecast verification: current status and future directions (2008) (278)
Asymmetric forcing from stratospheric aerosols impacts Sahelian rainfall (2013) (274)
Observed Trends and Teleconnections of the Siberian High: A Recently Declining Center of Action (2005) (274)
The “normality” of El Niño (1999) (241)
Autoregressive Forecasting of Some Functional Climatic Variations (2000) (240)
Empirical Orthogonal Functions: The Medium is the Message (2009) (225)
Serial Clustering of Extratropical Cyclones (2006) (221)
Reply to “Comments on ‘A Simple, Coherent Framework for Partitioning Uncertainty in Climate Predictions’” (2011) (216)
On the frequency of heavy rainfall for the Midwest of the United States (2011) (208)
A new intensity‐scale approach for the verification of spatial precipitation forecasts (2004) (204)
Adaptation of crops to climate change through genotypic responses to mean and extreme temperatures (2007) (195)
Calibration Strategies: A Source of Additional Uncertainty in Climate Change Projections (2012) (180)
North Atlantic Oscillation response to transient greenhouse gas forcing and the impact on European winter climate: a CMIP2 multi-model assessment (2006) (171)
Granger Causality of Coupled Climate Processes: Ocean Feedback on the North Atlantic Oscillation (2006) (155)
Spatio-temporal modelling of climate-sensitive disease risk: Towards an early warning system for dengue in Brazil (2011) (151)
Extremal Dependence Indices: Improved Verification Measures for Deterministic Forecasts of Rare Binary Events (2011) (148)
On the existence of multiple climate regimes (2004) (147)
How to judge the quality and value of weather forecast products (2001) (145)
A Changing Climate for Prediction (2007) (143)
Does increasing the spatial resolution of a regional climate model improve the simulated daily precipitation? (2013) (139)
Quantifying future climate change (2012) (134)
Serial clustering of intense European storms (2009) (131)
The extreme dependency score: a non‐vanishing measure for forecasts of rare events (2008) (126)
The development of an early warning system for climate‐sensitive disease risk with a focus on dengue epidemics in Southeast Brazil (2013) (123)
Forecast assimilation: a unified framework for the combination of multi-model weather and climate predictions (2005) (121)
Climate Extremes and Society: Definition, diagnosis, and origin of extreme weather and climate events (2008) (119)
Dengue outlook for the World Cup in Brazil: an early warning model framework driven by real-time seasonal climate forecasts. (2014) (116)
Extreme Daily Rainfall Events and Their Impact on Ensemble Forecasts of the Indian Monsoon (1999) (113)
Importance of vegetation feedbacks in doubled‐CO2 climate experiments (2000) (110)
The Variability of Seasonality (2005) (110)
The XWS open access catalogue of extreme European windstorms from 1979 to 2012 (2014) (108)
Forecast calibration and combination: A simple Bayesian approach for ENSO (2004) (107)
Simple nonparametric techniques for exploring changing probability distributions of weather (2005) (105)
Equitability Revisited: Why the ''Equitable Threat Score'' Is Not Equitable (2010) (95)
Impact of CO2 doubling on the Asian summer monsoon: robust versus model-dependent responses (2000) (92)
Empirical evidence for a nonlinear effect of galactic cosmic rays on clouds (2006) (92)
The skill of multi-model seasonal forecasts of the wintertime North Atlantic Oscillation (2003) (89)
Methods for Exploring Spatial and Temporal Variability of Extreme Events in Climate Data (2008) (87)
Statistical methods for interpreting Monte Carlo ensemble forecasts (2000) (86)
On the Robustness of Emergent Constraints Used in Multimodel Climate Change Projections of Arctic Warming (2012) (84)
How potentially predictable is northern European winter climate a season ahead? (2012) (83)
GCM Response of Northern Winter Stationary Waves and Storm Tracks to Increasing Amounts of Carbon Dioxide (1993) (83)
Two Extra Components in the Brier Score Decomposition (2008) (82)
Higher precision estimates of regional polar warming by ensemble regression of climate model projections (2012) (80)
Toward an Integrated Seasonal Forecasting System for South America (2006) (79)
Temporal clustering of tropical cyclones and its ecosystem impacts (2011) (75)
In search of simple structures in climate: simplifying EOFs (2006) (74)
Can knowledge of the state of the stratosphere be used to improve statistical forecasts of the troposphere? (2003) (74)
Impact of Labrador sea‐ice extent on the North Atlantic oscillation (2004) (72)
Relationships between airborne fungal spore concentration of Cladosporium and the summer climate at two sites in Britain (2004) (67)
Statistical problems in the probabilistic prediction of climate change (2012) (67)
A Bayesian framework for verification and recalibration of ensemble forecasts: How uncertain is NAO predictability? (2015) (67)
Spatial Weighting and Iterative Projection Methods for EOFs (2009) (65)
On the temporal clustering of US floods and its relationship to climate teleconnection patterns (2013) (65)
Evaluating probabilistic dengue risk forecasts from a prototype early warning system for Brazil (2016) (64)
Simple Uncertainty Frameworks for Selecting Weighting Schemes and Interpreting Multimodel Ensemble Climate Change Experiments (2013) (63)
How useful are teleconnection patterns for explaining variability in extratropical storminess (2007) (60)
Probability-based methods for quantifying nonlinearity in the ENSO (2003) (59)
Simulation of the Asian summer monsoon and its dependence on model horizontal resolution (1998) (55)
Projected Changes in Extreme Weather and Climate Events in Europe (2005) (54)
A review of Northern Hemisphere winter-time teleconnection patterns (2002) (52)
Decision Analysis for Management of Natural Hazards (2016) (50)
The importance of sea ice area biases in 21st century multimodel projections of Antarctic temperature and precipitation (2015) (50)
The North Atlantic Oscillation in coupled climate models: a CMIP1 evaluation (2003) (47)
Epistemic uncertainties and natural hazard risk assessment – Part 1: A review of different natural hazard areas (2016) (47)
The history of scientific research on the North Atlantic Oscillation (2013) (46)
Summer climate mediates UK wheat quality response to winter North Atlantic Oscillation (2005) (43)
Storm track signature in total ozone during northern hemisphere winter (1998) (42)
Summer rainfall and wheat grain quality: Relationships with the North Atlantic Oscillation (2003) (40)
Large-Scale Electric and Magnetic Fields Generated by the Oceans (1992) (38)
Epistemic uncertainties and natural hazard risk assessment Part 1: A review of the issues (2015) (36)
North Atlantic wintertime intraseasonal variability and its sensitivity to GCM horizontal resolution (1998) (35)
Detecting Improvements in Forecast Correlation Skill: Statistical Testing and Power Analysis (2017) (35)
Three recommendations for evaluating climate predictions (2013) (35)
How Do We Know Whether Seasonal Climate Forecasts are Any Good (2008) (34)
Probability-based methods for quantifying nonlinearity in the ENSO (2003) (32)
A Weibull Approach for Improving Climate Model Projections of Tropical Cyclone Wind-Speed Distributions (2014) (31)
Mediated and direct effects of the North Atlantic Ocean on winter temperatures in northwest Europe (2003) (31)
FORECASTERS' FORUM Comments on "Discussion of Verification Concepts in Forecast Verification: A Practitioner's Guide in Atmospheric Science" (2005) (30)
The northern hemisphere tropospheric response to changes in the gravity-wave drag scheme in a perpetual January GCM (1994) (30)
Climate change. A changing climate for prediction. (2007) (29)
A Bayesian approach for multi‐model downscaling: Seasonal forecasting of regional rainfall and river flows in South America (2006) (28)
Best Practices for Postprocessing Ensemble Climate Forecasts. Part I: Selecting Appropriate Recalibration Methods (2016) (27)
On the use of Bayesian decision theory for issuing natural hazard warnings (2016) (27)
Correlation of spatial climate/weather maps and the advantages of using the Mahalanobis metric in predictions (1997) (26)
On the visualization, verification and recalibration of ternary probabilistic forecasts (2011) (25)
The seasonal forecast of electricity demand: a hierarchical Bayesian model with climatological weather generator (2006) (24)
Proper Scores for Probability Forecasts Can Never Be Equitable (2008) (24)
Compound precipitation and wind extremes over Europe and their relationship to extratropical cyclones (2021) (23)
Serial clustering of extratropical cyclones in a multi‐model ensemble of historical and future simulations (2015) (23)
Calibration of Probabilistic Forecasts of Binary Events (2009) (22)
Drivers of the 2013/14 winter floods in the UK (2015) (22)
Fairplay in the verification of operational quantitative precipitation forecasts (2004) (22)
Sources of Uncertainty in Future Projections of the Carbon Cycle (2016) (21)
Spatio-temporal modelling of extreme storms (2014) (21)
Convection‐Permitting Models Offer Promise of More Certain Extreme Rainfall Projections (2020) (21)
Estimates of past and future ozone trends from multimodel simulations using a flexible smoothing spline methodology (2010) (20)
The impact of changing the horizontal diffusion scheme on the northern winter climatology of a general circulation model (1995) (20)
Climate Extremes and Society: The impact of weather and climate extremes on coral growth (2008) (19)
How much does simplification of probability forecasts reduce forecast quality? (2008) (19)
Robustness of serial clustering of extratropical cyclones to the choice of tracking method (2016) (18)
A geostatistical extreme-value framework for fast simulation of natural hazard events (2016) (17)
New perspectives on the collective risk of extratropical cyclones (2016) (17)
Time series modeling of paleoclimate data (2016) (17)
GCM simulation of the Southern Oscillation from 1979–88 (1995) (17)
The ensemble‐adjusted Ignorance Score for forecasts issued as normal distributions (2019) (16)
Simulating multimodal seasonality in extreme daily precipitation occurrence (2016) (16)
Participating CMIP 2 Modelling Groups North Atlantic Oscillation response to transient greenhouse gas forcing and the impact on European winter climate : a CMIP 2 multi-model assessment (2006) (16)
Optimal Estimation of Stochastic Energy Balance Model Parameters (2020) (16)
Simulation of the Asian summer monsoon in five European general circulation models (2000) (16)
The 21st century decline in damaging European windstorms (2016) (15)
What spatial scales are believable for climate model projections of sea surface temperature? (2014) (15)
Diagnosis of Variability and Trends in a Global Precipitation Dataset Using a Physically Motivated Statistical Model (2006) (14)
Low-frequency variability of total ozone mapping spectrometer and general circulation model total ozone stationary waves associated with the El Niño/Southern Oscillation for the period 1979–1988 (1995) (13)
Clustering of cyclones in the ARPEGE general circulation model (2008) (13)
Deterministic Forecasts of Extreme Events and Warnings (2012) (13)
Skill of coupled model seasonal forecasts: A Bayesian assessment of ECMWF ENSO forecasts (2004) (13)
Soil moisture mediates association between the winter North Atlantic Oscillation and summer growth in the Park Grass Experiment (2006) (12)
How to create an operational multi-model of seasonal forecasts? (2020) (12)
A Probabilistic Paradigm for the Parametric Insurance of Natural Hazards (2018) (12)
Late Holocene sea-level changes in eastern Québec and potential drivers (2019) (11)
The skill of empirical and combined/calibrated coupled multi-model South American seasonal predictions during ENSO (2006) (10)
A multivariate intercomparison between three oceanic GCMs using observed current and thermocline depth anomalies in the tropical Pacific during 1985–1992 (2000) (10)
Atlantic Atmosphere–Ocean Interaction: A Stochastic Climate Model–Based Diagnosis (2005) (10)
A pilot study for the collaborative development of new ways of visualising seasonal climate forecasts (2009) (9)
Searching for a fingerprint of global warming in the Asian summer monsoon (2021) (9)
How useful are teleconnection patterns for explaining variability in extratropical storminess? (2007) (9)
An Introduction to Probability Forecasting (2008) (9)
On Constraining Projections of Future Climate Using Observations and Simulations From Multiple Climate Models (2017) (8)
Corrigendum: Arctic oscillation or North Atlantic oscillation? (2002) (8)
Epistemic uncertainties and natural hazard risk assessment – Part 2 : Di ff erent natural hazard areas (2016) (7)
Combination and Calibration Methods for Probabilistic Forecasts of Binary Events (2008) (7)
Estimation of trends in extreme melt‐season duration at Svalbard (2012) (7)
Comment on ``Color Schemes for Improved Data Graphics,'' by A. Light and P. J. Bartlein (2005) (7)
Antipyretic Medication for a Feverish Planet (2020) (7)
Quantifying the rarity of extreme multi-decadal trends: how unusual was the late twentieth century trend in the North Atlantic Oscillation? (2021) (6)
Statistical concepts in environmental science (6)
Assessing and reporting the quality of commercial weather forecasts (2008) (6)
On the predictability of extremes: Does the butterfly effect ever decrease? (2016) (5)
Inherent Bounds on Forecast Accuracy due to Observation Uncertainty Caused by Temporal Sampling (2015) (5)
Extraterrestrial cultures within the solar system (1979) (5)
Interpretation of probabilistic forecasts of epidemics. (2015) (5)
Quantification of extremal dependence in spatial natural hazard footprints: independence of windstorm gust speeds and its impact on aggregate losses (2018) (5)
The seasonal forecast of electricity demand: a hierarchical Bayesian model with climatological weather generator: Research Articles (2006) (4)
A new energy-balance approach to linear filtering for estimating effective radiative forcing from temperature time series (2020) (4)
How well can a seasonal forecast system represent three hourly compound wind and precipitation extremes over Europe? (2021) (4)
A comparison of global tropospheric teleconnections using observed satellite and general circulation model total ozone column data for 1979–91 (1998) (4)
Dengue epidemic early warning system for Brazil (2015) (4)
From Atmospheric Dynamics to Insurance Losses: An Interdisciplinary Workshop on European Storms (2019) (4)
Forecast Recalibration and Multimodel Combination (2019) (4)
Comments on “H. L. Wagner’s Unbiased Hit Rate and the Assessment of Categorical Forecasting Accuracy” (2014) (3)
Epilogue: New Directions in Forecast Verification (2012) (3)
Seasonal and interannual ENSO variability in a hybrid coupled model of the tropical Pacific (1997) (3)
New Tools for Comparing Beliefs about the Timing of Recurrent Events with Climate Time Series Datasets (2016) (3)
A Global Climate Model based event set for tropical cyclone risk assessment in the West Pacific (2010) (3)
Evaluating ensemble forecasts by the Ignorance score -- Correcting the finite-ensemble bias (2014) (3)
Verification of Space Weather Forecasts using Terrestrial Weather Approaches (2015) (2)
A basic reference state suitable for anomaly-coupled ocean-atmosphere climate models (1999) (2)
Towards a More Dynamical Paradigm for Natural Catastrophe Risk Modeling (2018) (2)
The seasonal forecast of electricity demand : a simple Bayesian model with climatological weather generator (2)
Potential predictability of soil moisture deficit in britain from the north atlantic oscillation (2003) (2)
WP5-recommended common diagnostics for PRUDENCE: time-slice comparisons of temperature, wind speed and precipitation (2)
461 Towards an integrated seasonal forecasting system for South America (2005) (2)
On the interpretation, verification and calibration of ternary probabilistic forecasts (2011) (2)
Model evaluation of compound precipitation and wind extremes over Europe (2021) (1)
State space models for non‐stationary intermittently coupled systems: an application to the North Atlantic oscillation (2017) (1)
The impact of winter nao on summer rainfall in nw europe (2003) (1)
Interannual variability simulated in the Tropical Pacific (1997) (1)
State space models for non-stationary intermittently coupled systems (2017) (1)
An adaptive Markov Chain approach for probabilistic forecasting of categorical events (2020) (1)
Utilizing climate research to inform the insurance industry: Can we use dynamically simulated storms for risk assessment? (2010) (1)
Properties of latitudinally directed cyclone tracks in NCEP data and in the ARPEGE general circulation model (2007) (0)
Will extremes become the norm? And if so, why? (2003) (0)
EVALUATION OF A DENGUE DECISION SUPPORT TOOL (2015) (0)
Inference for spatial processes using imperfect data from measurements and numerical simulations (2016) (0)
Interactive comment on “ On the relevance of extremal dependence for spatial statistical modelling of natural hazards ” by (2018) (0)
A novel visualisation tool for climate services: a case study of temperature extremes and human mortality in Europe (2013) (0)
Functional auto-regressive forecasting of ENSO climatic variations (2007) (0)
On the relevance of extremal dependence for spatial statistical modelling of natural hazards (2018) (0)
Spatial dependence and correlation of rainfall in the Danube catchment and its role in flood risk assessment. (2009) (0)
A probabilistic strategy for parametric catastrophe insurance (2017) (0)
NOTES AND CORRESPONDENCE Calibration of Probabilistic Forecasts of Binary Events (2009) (0)
Stratospheric memory: Effects on the troposphere (2003) (0)
The XWS Catalogue - A new database of European windstorms (2013) (0)
STRATOSPHERIC STATISTICAL FORECASTS OF THE TROPOSPHERE 3207 TABLE 1 . D ATASETS Name Description Levels Time range Source AO Daily amplitude of Arctic Oscillation 17 1958 – 2000 (2004) (0)
Exploring large-scale atmospheric influences on high river flow clustering in the UK (2010) (0)
State-space modeling of intra-seasonal persistence in daily climate indices: a data-driven approach for seasonal forecasting (2018) (0)
Serial clustering of extratropical cyclones and relationship with NAO and jet intensity based on the IMILAST cyclone database (2017) (0)
Could detection and attribution of climate change trends be spurious regression? (2022) (0)
Verification of Weather Warnings Did the boy cry wolf or was it just a sheep (2009) (0)
Author response: Evaluating probabilistic dengue risk forecasts from a prototype early warning system for Brazil (2015) (0)
Towards Reliable Probabilistic Time-Series Projections of Global Mean Surface Temperature (2021) (0)
The CONVEX project - Using Observational Evidence and Process Understanding to Improve Predictions of Extreme Rainfall Change (2013) (0)
Projected changes in extreme weather events in Europe (2005) (0)
Towards reliable projections of global mean surface temperature (2021) (0)
UKCP: Understanding uncertainty in future changes in precipitation extremes at convection-permitting scale (2020) (0)
Predicting the Risks and Occurrence of Extratropical Cyclones (2016) (0)
A new stochastic event catalogue for hail in Europe (2013) (0)
Correcting the finite-ensemble bias of the Ignorance score (2014) (0)
Improved skill of ENSO coupled model probability forecasts by Bayesian combination with empirical forecasts. (2003) (0)
'The plunger hypothesis' - predicting the tropospheric impact of extreme stratospheric events (2016) (0)
Time Series Modelling of Paleoclimate Data (2015) (0)
A New Way to Measure Stratosphere-Troposphere Coupling in Observations and IPCC Models (2015) (0)
Cointegration Methods for Detection and Attribution of Climate Change (2016) (0)
Role of the spatial correlation of extreme rainfall events in the flood risk assessment (2010) (0)
A decision theoretic approach for issuing natural hazard warnings (2015) (0)
Modelling the Interactions in Paleoclimate Data (2015) (0)

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What Schools Are Affiliated With David Stephenson ?

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Why Is David Stephenson Influential?

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Published Works

Other Resources About David Stephenson

What Schools Are Affiliated With David Stephenson ?

David Stephenson 's AcademicInfluence.com Rankings