Derek W. Bunn
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Derek W. Bunneconomics Degrees
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Energy Economics
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Derek W. Bunnengineering Degrees
Engineering
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Why Is Derek W. Bunn Influential?
(Suggest an Edit or Addition)Derek W. Bunn's Published Works
Number of citations in a given year to any of this author's works
Total number of citations to an author for the works they published in a given year. This highlights publication of the most important work(s) by the author
Published Works
- Forecasting loads and prices in competitive power markets (2000) (475)
- Agent-based simulation-an application to the new electricity trading arrangements of England and Wales (2001) (321)
- Forecasting with scenarios (1993) (255)
- Evaluating the power investment options with uncertainty in climate policy (2008) (247)
- Review of guidelines for the use of combined forecasts (2000) (247)
- Model-Based Comparisons of Pool and Bilateral Markets for Electricity (2000) (245)
- Investment risks under uncertain climate change policy (2007) (240)
- Forecasting electricity prices: The impact of fundamentals and time-varying coefficients (2008) (234)
- Modelling prices in competitive electricity markets (2004) (218)
- Experimental analysis of the efficiency of uniform-price versus discriminatory auctions in the England and Wales electricity market ☆ (2001) (202)
- A Bayesian Approach to the Linear Combination of Forecasts (1975) (192)
- Interaction of judgemental and statistical forecasting methods: issues & (1991) (192)
- Interaction of European Carbon Trading and Energy Prices (2007) (185)
- Sensitivity of reserve margin to factors influencing investment behaviour in the electricity market of England and Wales (1992) (173)
- Stochastic Dominance (1979) (172)
- Comparative Models for Electrical Load Forecasting. (1986) (162)
- Structural interactions of European carbon trading and energy prices (2009) (155)
- Evaluating Individual Market Power in Electricity Markets via Agent-Based Simulation (2003) (141)
- Multiple Perspectives for Decision-Making (1985) (140)
- Combining day-ahead forecasts for British electricity prices (2013) (130)
- Optimization of Electricity Retailer's Contract Portfolio Subject to Risk Preferences (2010) (120)
- Large neural networks for electricity load forecasting: Are they overfitted? (2005) (118)
- Integration and shock transmissions across European electricity forward markets (2010) (104)
- Deregulation in electricity: understanding strategic and regulatory risk (1999) (103)
- Statistical efficiency in the linear combination of forecasts (1985) (103)
- Forecasting with more than one model (1989) (101)
- Divestiture of Generation Assets in the Electricity Pool of England and Wales: A Computational Approach to Analyzing Market Power (2001) (101)
- Forecasting Electricity Prices (2003) (97)
- Intra-day and regime-switching dynamics in electricity price formation (2008) (97)
- Multiple Criteria Problem Solving (1979) (81)
- Forecasting Power Prices Using a Hybrid Fundamental-Econometric Model (2012) (77)
- Energy Markets Group A Model-Based Comparison of Pool and Bilateral Market Mechanisms for Electricity Trading (1999) (76)
- Analysis and Forecasting of Electricty Price Risks with Quantile Factor Models (2016) (71)
- Forecasting Political Risk (1978) (71)
- Policy interactions, risk and price formation in carbon markets (2009) (66)
- Evaluation of Flexibility Markets for Retailer–DSO–TSO Coordination (2019) (66)
- Complementary Modelling Approaches for Analysing Several Effects of Privatization on Electricity Investment (1993) (64)
- A Quantile Regression Approach to Generating Prediction Intervals (1999) (62)
- Inefficient arbitrage in inter-regional electricity transmission (2010) (62)
- Unilateral and collusive market power in the electricity pool of England and Wales (2005) (59)
- Modelling latent market power across gas and electricity markets (1997) (58)
- Determinants of the premium in forward contracts (2011) (58)
- Investment Propensities under Carbon Policy Uncertainty (2011) (58)
- Fundamental and Behavioural Drivers of Electricity Price Volatility (2010) (57)
- Comparison of seasonal estimation methods in multi-item short-term forecasting (1999) (57)
- Short-Term Forecasting: A Review of Procedures in the Electricity Supply Industry (1982) (56)
- Group Choice (1980) (56)
- Agent-based analysis of technological diversification and specialization in electricity markets (2007) (54)
- Modeling the UK electricity price distributions using quantile regression (2016) (53)
- The forward premium in electricity futures (2013) (53)
- Systems modelling for energy policy (1998) (53)
- A Vector Error Correction Model of the Interactions Among Gas, Electricity and Carbon Prices: An Application to the Cases of Germany and the United Kingdom (2008) (51)
- Investigating improvements in the accuracy of prediction intervals for combinations of forecasts: A simulation study (1999) (51)
- The progressive inefficiency of replacing renewable obligation certificates with contracts-for-differences in the UK electricity market (2015) (51)
- Financial time series modelling with discounted least squares backpropagation (1997) (49)
- The impact of renewable energy forecast errors on imbalance volumes and electricity spot prices (2019) (49)
- Bridging the Gap between Onshore and Offshore Innovations by the European Wind Power Supply Industry: A Survey-Based Analysis (2012) (46)
- A Stochastic Latent Moment Model for Electricity Price Formation (2017) (45)
- Incentives and Coordination in Vertically Related Energy Markets (2006) (43)
- Valuation anomalies for interconnector transmission rights (2013) (42)
- Development of a stochastic model for the economic dispatch of electric power (1986) (41)
- Analysis for optimal decisions (1982) (40)
- Decision and risk analysis (1987) (39)
- Assessment of the uncertainty in future UK electricity investment using an industry simulation model (1994) (38)
- Analysis of the Nonlinear Response of Electricity Prices to Fundamental and Strategic Factors (2010) (38)
- Investment incentives in the Korean electricity market (2007) (37)
- Coevolution of policy, market and technical price risks in the EU ETS (2011) (37)
- Medium-Term Probabilistic Forecasting of Electricity Prices: A Hybrid Approach (2017) (36)
- Expansion of the investor base for the energy transition (2019) (33)
- Using group seasonal indices in multi-item short-term forecasting (1993) (33)
- Computational modelling of price formation in the electricity pool of England and Wales (2009) (32)
- Modeling the Impact of Market Interventions on the Strategic Evolution of Electricity Markets (2008) (30)
- The Synthesis of Predictive Models in Marketing Research (1979) (29)
- Two Methodologies for the Linear Combination of Forecasts (1981) (29)
- Structural Analysis of Electricity Demand and Supply Interactions (2010) (28)
- Industry simulation: System modelling with an object oriented/DEVS technology (1995) (27)
- A stakeholder analysis of divergent supply-chain trends for the European onshore and offshore wind installations (2015) (27)
- Investment risk and return under renewable decarbonization of a power market (2013) (26)
- Two markets and a weak link (2007) (26)
- The synthesis of forecasting models in decision analysis (1978) (25)
- Combining forecast quantiles using quantile regression: Investigating the derived weights, estimator bias and imposing constraints (1998) (25)
- Evaluating the Effects of Privatizing Electricity (1994) (25)
- Non-traditional methods of forecasting (1996) (25)
- Supporting the externality of intermittency in policies for renewable energy (2016) (25)
- A Comparative Evaluation of the Outperformance and Minimum Variance Procedures for the Linear Synthesis of Forecasts (1977) (25)
- Optimal procurement of flexibility services within electricity distribution networks (2020) (24)
- Fundamental and Financial Influences on the Co-movement of Oil and Gas prices (2017) (24)
- Adjustment of forecasts with model consistent expectations (1996) (23)
- Modelling the Volatility of Spot Electricity Prices (2004) (22)
- A Trading-Based Evaluation of Density Forecasts in a Real-Time Electricity Market (2018) (22)
- Estimation of subjective probability distributions in forecasting and decision making (1979) (21)
- Diurnal Reversals of Electricity Forward Premia (2005) (21)
- Parametric Density Recalibration of a Fundamental Market Model to Forecast Electricity Prices (2016) (21)
- An integrative modelling approach for understanding competitive electricity markets (1998) (21)
- Dynamics in Forward and Spot Electricity Markets (2009) (20)
- Setting accuracy targets for short-term judgemental sales forecasting (2001) (19)
- The statistical implications of pre-test and stein rule estimators in econometrics: North-Holland, Amsterdam, 1978, xiv + 340 pages, Dfl. 120, 00 (1980) (19)
- Analysis of coal conversion to biomass as a transitional technology (2019) (18)
- Systems Simulation to Support Integrated Energy Analysis and Liberalised Planning (1996) (18)
- Comparative evaluation and policy analysis for recycling retired EV batteries with different collection modes (2021) (18)
- Managerial Decision Analysis (1989) (18)
- Vertical integration and market power: A model-based analysis of restructuring in the Korean electricity market (2010) (17)
- The persistence of specification problems in the distribution of combined forecast errors (1998) (17)
- Strategic price risk in wholesale power markets (1999) (17)
- OO/DEVS: A platform for industry simulation and strategic modelling (1995) (16)
- Decomposition in the assessment of judgmental probability forecasts (1995) (16)
- The Forecasting Accuracy of Electricity Price Formation Models (2010) (16)
- The Forecasting Performance of a Finite Mixture Regime-Switching Model for Daily Electricity Prices (2014) (16)
- Synthesis or selection of forecasting models (1982) (15)
- A comparison of several adaptive forecasting procedures (1980) (15)
- Diagnostic tracking and model specification in combined forecasts of U.K. inflation (1993) (15)
- Forecasting the Effects of Television Programming upon Electricity Loads (1983) (15)
- Estimation and Application of Fully Parametric Multifactor Quantile Regression with Dynamic Coefficients (2016) (14)
- Estimation of a Dirichlet prior distribution (1978) (13)
- MCDM: Past Decade and Future Trends (1986) (12)
- Crossholdings, concentration and information in capacity-constrained sealed bid-offer auctions (2008) (12)
- Policy analytic implications for a theory of prediction and decision (1977) (12)
- Design of Local Services Markets for Pricing DSO-TSO Procurement Coordination (2018) (12)
- Anchoring Bias in the Assessment of Subjective Probability (1975) (11)
- Weather and market specificities in the regional transmission of renewable energy price effects (2016) (11)
- Adaptive forecasting using the Kalman filter (1981) (11)
- Analyzing the price-effects of vertical and horizontal market power with agent based simulation (2008) (11)
- Development of a multifunctional sales response model with the diagnostic aid of artificial neural networks (2005) (10)
- Evaluation of the long-term effects on UK electricity prices following privatisation (1989) (10)
- Resource externalities and the persistence of heterogeneous pricing behavior in an energy commodity market (2015) (10)
- Decision analysis and strategic policy formulation (1977) (10)
- Statistical Arbitrage and Information Flow in an Electricity Balancing Market (2018) (10)
- Experimental study of a Bayesian method for daily electricity load forecasting (1980) (10)
- Dynamic Pricing of Peak Production (2015) (10)
- Understanding Latent Market Power in the Electricity Pool of England and Wales (2000) (10)
- Television peaks in electricity demand (1983) (10)
- Renewable Power and Electricity Prices: The Impact of Forward Markets (2021) (9)
- Structural Analysis of High Frequency Electricity Demand and Supply Interactions (2006) (9)
- Optimal over installation of wind generation facilities (2017) (9)
- Forecasting the Intra-Day Spread Densities of Electricity Prices (2020) (9)
- Composition of estimators for decision making (1979) (9)
- Forecasting electric loads with multiple predictors (1985) (8)
- Mathematical Methods in Management (1983) (8)
- Efficiency of the independence assumption in the combination of forecasts (1984) (8)
- Numerical Solution of Highly Non-Linear Problems (1980) (8)
- Renewable Energy Technologies and Electricity Forward Market Risks (2020) (7)
- Optimal Dispatch in a Balancing Market With Intermittent Renewable Generation (2020) (7)
- The Efficiency of Network Transmission Rightsas Derivatives on Energy Supply Chains (2010) (7)
- Risk induced resource dependency in capacity investments (2016) (7)
- Dynamic capacity planning using strategic slack valuation (2016) (7)
- Optionality and Policymaking in Re-Transforming the British Power Market (2014) (7)
- The impact of generator market power on the electricity hedge market (2020) (6)
- Short-Term Electricity Price Forecasting with Recurrent Regimes and Structural Breaks (2019) (6)
- Synthesis of Expert Judgment and Statistical Forecasting Models for Decision Support (1992) (6)
- Combinations of forecasts: A model-building perspective (1989) (6)
- Linear programming with uncertain parameters: An applications review (1982) (5)
- Recursive estimation of the observation and process noise covariances in online Kalman filtering (1981) (5)
- Agent-level determinants of price expectation formation in online double-sided auctions (2019) (5)
- Optimal Oversizing of Wind Generation Facilities (2015) (4)
- Agent-Based Simulation of Electric Power Pools: A Comparison with the Supply Function Equilibrium Approach (1998) (4)
- The suboptimality of composite forecasts derived from posterior probabilities (1979) (4)
- Experimental analysis of the e $ ciency of uniform-price versus discriminatory auctions in the England and Wales electricity market q (4)
- Constraint Theory: An Approach to Policy-Level Modelling (1983) (4)
- Screening methods in policy analysis (1978) (4)
- Real options valuation applied to transmission expansion planning (2015) (4)
- Review of Practical Guidelines for Combining Forecasts (2000) (4)
- Systematic Analysis of the Evolution of Electricity and Carbon Markets Under Deep Decarbonization (2016) (4)
- Analysis of the Fundamental Predictability of Prices in the British Balancing Market (2020) (3)
- A perspective on subjective probability for prediction and decision (1979) (3)
- Structural and Dynamic Properties of the Low British Electricity Wholesale Prices , 2001-2002 (2004) (3)
- Evaluation of market power using agent based simulation (2003) (3)
- A decision analysis approach for unique situation competitive bidding (1976) (3)
- A Simplification of the Matrix Beta Distribution for Combining Estimators (1978) (3)
- Strategic Forward Trading and Technology (2017) (3)
- Formal Methods in Policy Formulation (1978) (3)
- Measuring the Carbon Delta in Financial Performance (2015) (3)
- Systematic Analysis of the Evolution of Electricity and Carbon Markets Under Deep Decarbonisation (2014) (3)
- The Emergence of Smart and Flexible Distribution Systems (2020) (2)
- Price formation and market power in a low carbon electricity system (2011) (2)
- Distribution Locational Marginal Pricing (DLMP) for Unbalanced Three-Phase Networks (2022) (2)
- AN ERROR-CORRECTION, SIMULTANEOUS EQUATION MODEL TO ESTIMATE THE DEMAND AND THE SUPPLY CURVES IN ELECTRICITY MARKETS (2006) (2)
- Optimal Analysis for Facility Configuration and Energy Management on Electric Light Commercial Vehicle Charging (2022) (2)
- Optimal Transmission Investment With Regulated Incentives Based Upon Forward Considerations of Firm and Intermittent Resources With Batteries (2021) (2)
- Evaluation of the nuclear constraint in a privatised electricity supply industry (1989) (2)
- Forecasting the Energy Markets (2011) (2)
- An empirical Bayes procedure for the credit granting decision (1981) (2)
- Pricing electricity day-ahead cap futures with multifactor skew-t densities (2021) (2)
- A model-referenced procedure to support adversarial decision processes : Application to electricity planning (1992) (2)
- Dynamic Risk Management of Electricity Contracts with Contingent Portfolio Programming (2007) (2)
- Using cross‐impact analysis for probabilistic risk assessment (2021) (2)
- Forecasting Electricity Spot Prices: Assessing the Performance of Linear and Nonlinear Specifications (2010) (2)
- Review Of The Electricity Pool Of England And Wales From A Demand-Side Perspective (1996) (2)
- Multiple Criteria Decision Making (2022) (2)
- Estimating Dynamic Conditional Spread Densities to Optimise Daily Storage Trading of Electricity (2019) (2)
- An optimal real-time pricing strategy for aggregating distributed generation and battery storage systems in energy communities: A stochastic bilevel optimization approach (2023) (1)
- Strategic Opportunities Across the New U.K. Electricity and Gas Markets (1995) (1)
- Mitigation of the Inefficiency in Imbalance Settlement Designs Using Day-Ahead Prices (2022) (1)
- Enabling Automated Transparency for the Market Participation of ESCOs with Blockchain (2018) (1)
- Arrow impossibility theorems: Jerry S. KELLY Academic Press, New York, 1978, 194 pages, £ 11.40 (1980) (1)
- Observations on “Risk Transmission Across Supply Chains” (2021) (1)
- Bayesian point estimation on the Bernoulli parameter (1976) (1)
- A Decision Analysis Approach to Repetitive Competitive Bidding (1978) (1)
- On the calibration of continuous subjective probability distributions (1980) (1)
- Editors' introduction: Model-based policy analysis (1997) (1)
- The Field of Policy Analysis (1978) (1)
- A model-switching criterion for a class of stochastic linear programs (1981) (1)
- Market making and electricity price formation in Japan (2022) (1)
- Forecast Combination: Replies (1981) (1)
- Approaches to electric load forecasting (1987) (1)
- On the use of Bayesian composite predictors in decision analysis (1980) (1)
- Determinants of the premium in forward contracts (2012) (1)
- The Variation in Capacity Remunerations Requirements in European Electricity Markets (2021) (1)
- Forecasting prices and volatilities using a hybrid fundamental econometric model (2010) (1)
- Optimal Investment by Large Consumers in an Electricity Market with Generator Market Power (2021) (0)
- Modelling the UK Electricity Price Distributions using Quantile Regression (2015) (0)
- The Relation Between Oil and Gas Returns: a Factor Analysis (2011) (0)
- Bayesian Predictive Distributions for Imbalance Prices With Time-Varying Factor Impacts (2023) (0)
- Sustainability in a Market Design for Electricity (2021) (0)
- Modeling the strategic trading of electricity assets (2006) (0)
- Problems in the Application of Decision Analytic Methods to Policy Formulation (1978) (0)
- Design of a decomposed model for assessment of a utility measure on sulphur dioxide air pollution (1979) (0)
- Linear-Combination of Forecasts: A Reply (1981) (0)
- Outranking Probabilities and the Synthesis of Forecasts: Second Reply (1980) (0)
- Generation Capacity Expansion in Electricity Markets under Rivalry and Uncertainty (2012) (0)
- 1 STRUCTURAL ANALYSIS OF HIGH FREQUENCY ELECTRICITY DEMAND AND SUPPLY INTERACTIONS 1 (2006) (0)
- Optimal Daily Trading of Battery Operations Using Arbitrage Spreads (2021) (0)
- J. Sainsbury and the Haul of Contraband Butter Bidding (1977) (0)
- Operations research: An introduction to linear optimization and decision analysis: Charles M. HARVEY Elsevier/North-Holland, New York, 1979, ix + 452 pages, US $ 22.95 (1980) (0)
- Dynamic Investments in Flexibility Services for Electricity Distribution with Multi-Utility Synergies (2017) (0)
- Time-Series Analysis: Theory and Practice 3 (1984) (0)
- Institutional Intent and Strategic Evolution (2007) (0)
- Real options valuation applied to dynamic transmission expansion planning (2016) (0)
- Analysis of Market Re-structuring and Rational Energy Use in Columbia Using a Systems Simulation Platform (1996) (0)
- Higher moments in the fundamental specification of electricity forward prices (2022) (0)
- Book reviewProbabilistic models in engineering sciences colume 1: Random variables and stochastic processes: Harold J. Larson and Brune O. Shubert Wiley, Chichester, 1979, x + 544 pages, £ 12.75 (1980) (0)
- Vertical Integration with an Increasing Retail Supply Function. (2008) (0)
- Outranking Probabilities and the Synthesis of Forecasts: Reply (1980) (0)
- Measuring the Carbon Delta of Investment Performance (2015) (0)
- Planning in the E.S.B. (1979) (0)
- Bayesian estimation of electricity price risk with a multi-factor mixture of densities (2022) (0)
- Tail risk in power price modelling and forecasting with RES. (2014) (0)
- Bayesian analysis in econometrics and statistics: Arnold Zellner (Ed.) North-Holland, Amsterdam, 1980, xii + 474 pages, Dfl. 150.00 (1981) (0)
- Sustainable Power Purchase Contracts for Local Industries from Floating Solar & Pumped Hydro Integration (2021) (0)
- Systems simulation to assess DSM policies for energy sustainability (2014) (0)
- The British privatization experiment, 5 years later: the winners and the losers (1996) (0)
- Formal methods in policy formulation : the application of Bayesian decision analysis to the screening, structuring, optimisation and implementation of policies within complex organisations (1978) (0)
- A bayesian forecasting model for house account sales (1978) (0)
- Prior belief on the forecast variable (1975) (0)
- Evaluating the Effects of Crossholdings and Information on Wholesale Energy Prices (2003) (0)
- J. Sainsbury and the Haul of Contraband Butter: A Case Study in the Formulation of a Bidding Strategy (1975) (0)
- Analyzing the temporal effects of Ex ante mechanism designs in power markets (2009) (0)
- TSO-DSO Operational Coordination Using a Look-Ahead Multi-Interval Framework (2022) (0)
- The Application of Quality Initiatives for Improving Short-term Judgemental Sales Forecasting (2001) (0)
- MODELLING AND FORECASTING ELECTRICITY PRICE RISK WITH (2012) (0)
- Modelling dynamic interactions and adaptive behavior in Balancing Mechanism offers (2010) (0)
- A pricing mechanism to jointly mitigate market power and environmental externalities in electricity markets (2021) (0)
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What Schools Are Affiliated With Derek W. Bunn?
Derek W. Bunn is affiliated with the following schools:
