Didier Sornette
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French scientist
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Didier Sornetteearth-sciences Degrees
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Geophysics
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Didier Sornetteeconomics Degrees
Economics
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Financial Economics
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Didier Sornette's Degrees
- PhD Geophysics Côte d'Azur University
- Doctorate Physics Côte d'Azur University
Why Is Didier Sornette Influential?
(Suggest an Edit or Addition)According to Wikipedia, Didier Sornette is a French researcher studying subjects including complex systems and risk management. He is Professor on the Chair of Entrepreneurial Risks at the Swiss Federal Institute of Technology Zurich and is also a professor of the Swiss Finance Institute, He was previously a Professor of Geophysics at UCLA, Los Angeles California and a Research Professor at the French National Centre for Scientific Research .
Didier Sornette's Published Works
Published Works
- Critical Phenomena in Natural Sciences (2000) (1394)
- Critical Phenomena in Natural Sciences: Chaos, Fractals, Selforganization and Disorder: Concepts and Tools (2000) (851)
- Economic Networks: The New Challenges (2009) (810)
- Robust dynamic classes revealed by measuring the response function of a social system (2008) (770)
- Stretched exponential distributions in nature and economy: “fat tails” with characteristic scales (1998) (715)
- Discrete scale invariance and complex dimensions (1997) (527)
- Discrete hierarchical organization of social group sizes (2004) (500)
- An observational test of the critical earthquake concept (1998) (491)
- Complex Critical Exponents from Renormalization Group Theory of Earthquakes: Implications for Earthquake Predictions (1995) (396)
- Stock Market Crashes, Precursors and Replicas (1995) (364)
- Predicting Financial Crashes Using Discrete Scale Invariance (1999) (323)
- Critical Market Crashes (2003) (305)
- Self-Organized Criticality and Earthquakes (1989) (297)
- Exponential Sampling Method for Light Scattering Polydispersity Analysis (1981) (285)
- Dragon-Kings, Black Swans and the Prediction of Crises (2009) (284)
- Predictability of catastrophic events: Material rupture, earthquakes, turbulence, financial crashes, and human birth (2001) (276)
- Subcritical and supercritical regimes in epidemic models of earthquake aftershocks (2001) (271)
- The US Stock Market Leads the Federal Funds Rate and Treasury Bond Yields (2011) (262)
- Extreme Financial Risks: From Dependence to Risk Management (2005) (253)
- Testing the Gaussian copula hypothesis for financial assets dependences (2001) (249)
- Physics and financial economics (1776–2014): puzzles, Ising and agent-based models (2014) (242)
- Convergent Multiplicative Processes Repelled from Zero: Power Laws and Truncated Power Laws (1996) (238)
- WHY STOCK MARKETS CRASH (2003) (231)
- Large financial crashes (1997) (230)
- Bubble Diagnosis and Prediction of the 2005-2007 and 2008-2009 Chinese Stock Market Bubbles (2009) (227)
- Significance of log-periodic precursors to financial crashes (2001) (216)
- Which magnetic storms produce relativistic electrons at geosynchronous orbit (2001) (212)
- ”Direct” causal cascade in the stock market (1998) (210)
- Multifractal scaling properties of a growing fault population (1995) (205)
- Quantifying Reflexivity in Financial Markets: Towards a Prediction of Flash Crashes (2012) (200)
- Statistical physics model for the spatiotemporal evolution of faults (1993) (199)
- Theory of Zipf's Law and Beyond (2009) (195)
- The 2006–2008 oil bubble: Evidence of speculation, and prediction (2009) (193)
- Dragon-kings: Mechanisms, statistical methods and empirical evidence (2012) (188)
- Rank‐ordering statistics of extreme events: Application to the distribution of large earthquakes (1995) (184)
- Multiplicative processes and power laws (1997) (183)
- The Dynamics of the Forward Interest Rate Curve with Stochastic String Shocks (1998) (179)
- Decision theory with prospect interference and entanglement (2011) (178)
- Finite-time singularity in the dynamics of the world population, economic and financial indices (2000) (175)
- Diffusion of epicenters of earthquake aftershocks, Omori's law, and generalized continuous-time random walk models. (2002) (174)
- Self-organized percolation model for stock market fluctuations (1999) (170)
- Large Stock Market Price Drawdowns are Outliers (2000) (170)
- Some consequences of a proposed fractal nature of continental faulting (1990) (167)
- Discrete scale invariance, complex fractal dimensions, and log‐periodic fluctuations in seismicity (1996) (166)
- Precursors, aftershocks, criticality and self-organized criticality (1996) (164)
- Is there a real-estate bubble in the US? (2005) (162)
- Mainshocks are aftershocks of conditional foreshocks: How do foreshock statistical properties emerge from aftershock laws (2002) (162)
- Multifractal analysis of financial markets: a review (2018) (161)
- The Black-Scholes option pricing problem in mathematical finance : generalization and extensions for a large class of stochastic processes (1994) (160)
- Endogenous Versus Exogenous Shocks in Complex Networks: An Empirical Test Using Book Sale Rankings (2003) (159)
- Why Stock Markets Crash: Critical Events in Complex Financial Systems (2017) (158)
- Testing the Pareto against the lognormal distributions with the uniformly most powerful unbiased test applied to the distribution of cities. (2011) (158)
- Extreme Deviations and Applications (1997) (156)
- Empirical distributions of stock returns: between the stretched exponential and the power law? (2003) (155)
- Hierarchical geometry of faulting (1996) (154)
- Comparing the performance of FA, DFA and DMA using different synthetic long-range correlated time series (2012) (154)
- Earthquake rupture as a critical point: consequences for telluric precursors (1990) (152)
- Foreshocks explained by cascades of triggered seismicity (2002) (150)
- Tricritical Behavior in Rupture Induced by Disorder (1996) (147)
- Stock market crashes are outliers (1997) (147)
- The Nasdaq crash of April 2000: Yet another example of log-periodicity in a speculative bubble ending in a crash (2000) (139)
- Self-organizing Ising model of financial markets (2005) (139)
- On Rational Bubbles and Fat Tails (1999) (137)
- Shocks, Crashes and Bubbles in Financial Markets (2010) (136)
- Båth's law derived from the Gutenberg‐Richter law and from aftershock properties (2003) (135)
- Data-adaptive wavelets and multi-scale singular-spectrum analysis (1998) (134)
- Economic Networks: What Do We Know and What Do We Need to Know? (2009) (134)
- Universal Log-Periodic Correction to Renormalization Group Scaling for Rupture Stress Prediction From Acoustic Emissions (1995) (134)
- Financial Anti-Bubbles Log-Periodicity in Gold and Nikkei Collapses (1999) (128)
- Scale Invariance and Beyond (1997) (128)
- Generalized logistic growth modeling of the COVID-19 outbreak in 29 provinces in China and in the rest of the world (2020) (127)
- Oscillatory finite-time singularities in finance, population and rupture (2001) (123)
- A hierarchical model of financial crashes (1998) (123)
- "Universal" distribution of interearthquake times explained. (2006) (122)
- Positive feedback, memory, and the predictability of earthquakes (2001) (121)
- Critical ruptures (2000) (121)
- Characterization of the Frequency of Extreme Earthquake Events by the Generalized Pareto Distribution (2000) (121)
- The paradox of the expected time until the next earthquake (1997) (120)
- 2000-2003 Real Estate Bubble in the UK But Not in the USA (2003) (118)
- Slider block friction model for landslides: Application to Vaiont and La Clapière landslides (2002) (117)
- Multifractal returns and hierarchical portfolio theory (2000) (115)
- Early Warning Signals of Financial Crises with Multi-Scale Quantile Regressions of Log-Periodic Power Law Singularities (2015) (115)
- Predictability of large future changes in major financial indices (2003) (114)
- Heavy-tailed distribution of cyber-risks (2008) (112)
- The $-game (2002) (110)
- The US 2000‐2002 market descent: How much longer and deeper? (2002) (110)
- Structuration of the lithosphere in plate tectonics as a self‐organized critical phenomenon (1990) (110)
- Generalized logistic growth modeling of the COVID-19 outbreak: comparing the dynamics in the 29 provinces in China and in the rest of the world (2020) (109)
- Epileptic seizures: Quakes of the brain? (2007) (107)
- A Stable and Robust Calibration Scheme of the Log-Periodic Power Law Model (2011) (107)
- Apparent criticality and calibration issues in the Hawkes self-excited point process model: application to high-frequency financial data (2013) (104)
- Importance of Positive Feedbacks and Over-Confidence in a Self-Fulfilling Ising Model of Financial Markets (2005) (104)
- Importance of direct and indirect triggered seismicity in the ETAS model of seismicity (2003) (103)
- A Nonlinear Super-Exponential Rational Model of Speculative Financial Bubbles (2001) (103)
- Apparent clustering and apparent background earthquakes biased by undetected seismicity (2005) (100)
- Quantum Decision Theory as Quantum Theory of Measurement (2008) (99)
- Empirical tests of Zipf's law mechanism in open source Linux distribution. (2008) (99)
- How to grow a bubble: A model of myopic adapting agents (2008) (95)
- Creep ruptures in heterogeneous materials. (2004) (94)
- Bubbles And Anti-Bubbles In Latin-American, Asian And Western Stock Markets: An Empirical Study (2001) (93)
- Algorithm for model validation: Theory and applications (2005) (93)
- Endogenous versus exogenous shocks in systems with memory (2002) (92)
- Testing self‐organized criticality by induced seismicity (1998) (92)
- The extreme risk of personal data breaches and the erosion of privacy (2015) (89)
- Theory of earthquake recurrence times (2006) (88)
- Discrete Scaling in Earthquake Precursory Phenomena: Evidence in the Kobe Earthquake, Japan (1996) (87)
- Elasticity and failure of a set of elements loaded in parallel (1989) (87)
- Predictability and suppression of extreme events in a chaotic system. (2013) (85)
- Constraints on the size of the smallest triggering earthquake from the epidemic-type aftershock sequence model, Bath's law, and observed aftershock sequences (2004) (85)
- Endogenous Versus Exogenous Crashes in Financial Markets (2002) (83)
- Of Disasters and Dragon Kings: A Statistical Analysis of Nuclear Power Incidents and Accidents (2015) (83)
- Mapping Self-Organized Criticality onto Criticality (1994) (83)
- Financial Bubbles: Mechanisms and Diagnostics (2014) (82)
- Financial Bubbles, Real Estate Bubbles, Derivative Bubbles, and the Financial and Economic Crisis (2009) (81)
- Endogenous versus Exogenous Origins of Crises (2004) (80)
- Reassessing the safety of nuclear power (2016) (80)
- Mathematical Structure of Quantum Decision Theory (2008) (80)
- Dynamics of book sales: endogenous versus exogenous shocks in complex networks. (2004) (80)
- Modeling the stock market prior to large crashes (1998) (80)
- Imitation and contrarian behaviour: hyperbolic bubbles, crashes and chaos (2001) (80)
- Social-Ecological Systems A General Framework for Analyzing Sustainability (2009) (79)
- Occurrence of finite-time singularities in epidemic models of rupture, earthquakes, and starquakes. (2001) (78)
- A case study of speculative financial bubbles in the South African stock market 2003-2006 (2007) (77)
- Earthquakes: from chemical alteration to mechanical rupture (1998) (77)
- Processing Information in Quantum Decision Theory (2008) (76)
- Towards landslide predictions: two case studies (2003) (73)
- Evidence of a worldwide stock market log-periodic anti-bubble since mid-2000 (2002) (73)
- Physics of risk and uncertainty in quantum decision making (2008) (72)
- Are aftershocks of large Californian earthquakes diffusing (2003) (72)
- Predictability in the Epidemic‐Type Aftershock Sequence model of interacting triggered seismicity (2002) (72)
- Magnitude uncertainties impact seismic rate estimates, forecasts, and predictability experiments (2007) (71)
- Andrade and critical time-to-failure laws in fiber-matrix composites: Experiments and model (2004) (71)
- Log-periodic oscillations for biased diffusion on random lattice (1997) (70)
- General theory of the modified Gutenberg-Richter law for large seismic moments (1999) (70)
- Magnitude‐dependent Omori law: Theory and empirical study (2005) (69)
- Antibubble and prediction of China's stock market and real-estate (2003) (69)
- Viral, Quality, and Junk Videos on YouTube: Separating Content from Noise in an Information-Rich Environment (2008) (68)
- Real-Time Prediction and Post-Mortem Analysis of the Shanghai 2015 Stock Market Bubble and Crash (2015) (67)
- Super-Exponential Bubbles in Lab Experiments: Evidence for Anchoring Over-Optimistic Expectations on Price (2012) (67)
- Scaling with respect to disorder in time-to-failure (1997) (67)
- Causal cascade in the stock market from the ``infrared'' to the ``ultraviolet'' (1997) (66)
- A Mechanism for Pockets of Predictability in Complex Adaptive Systems (2004) (66)
- Quantification of the High Level of Endogeneity and of Structural Regime Shifts in Commodity Markets (2013) (66)
- Fearless versus Fearful Speculative Financial Bubbles (2003) (65)
- SPONTANEOUS GENERATION OF DISCRETE SCALE INVARIANCE IN GROWTH MODELS (1997) (65)
- Statistical physics of fault patterns self-organized by repeated earthquakes (1994) (65)
- Complex Exponents and Log-Periodic Corrections in Frustrated Systems (1996) (64)
- Zipf's law and maximum sustainable growth (2010) (64)
- Linear stochastic dynamics with nonlinear fractal properties (1997) (64)
- Multifractal scaling of thermally activated rupture processes. (2004) (64)
- Artifactual log‐periodicity in finite size data: Relevance for earthquake aftershocks (1999) (63)
- Diagnosis and Prediction of Tipping Points in Financial Markets: Crashes and Rebounds (2010) (63)
- Fractal Plate Tectonics (2002) (63)
- Power-law Distributions of Offspring and Generation Numbers in Branching Models of Earthquake Triggering (2003) (63)
- Dissection of Bitcoin’s multiscale bubble history from January 2012 to February 2018 (2018) (63)
- Probability Distributions in Complex Systems (2007) (62)
- Crashes and High Frequency Trading (2011) (62)
- Renormalization group analysis of the 2000–2002 anti-bubble in the US S&P500 index: explanation of the hierarchy of five crashes and prediction (2003) (61)
- Analysis of the real estate market in Las Vegas: Bubble, seasonal patterns, and prediction of the CSW indices (2007) (61)
- Log-periodic route to fractal functions. (2001) (61)
- Gibrat’s Law for Cities: Uniformly Most Powerful Unbiased Test of the Pareto Against the Lognormal (2009) (61)
- The volatility-confined LPPL model: A consistent model of ‘explosive’ financial bubbles with mean-reverting residuals (2014) (60)
- Fault growth in brittle‐ductile experiments and the mechanics of continental collisions (1993) (60)
- Clarifications to questions and criticisms on the Johansen–Ledoit–Sornette financial bubble model (2011) (60)
- Beyond Shannon: Characterizing Internet Traffic with Generalized Entropy Metrics (2009) (60)
- Renormalization group theory of earthquakes (1996) (60)
- Renormalization of earthquake aftershocks (1999) (60)
- Fault growth model and the universal fault length distribution (1991) (59)
- Statistical methods of parameter estimation for deterministically chaotic time series. (2003) (58)
- φq-field theory for portfolio optimization: “fat tails” and nonlinear correlations (2000) (58)
- Dynamics and spatial distribution of global nighttime lights (2013) (58)
- New Approach to the Characterization of Mmax and of the Tail of the Distribution of Earthquake Magnitudes (2007) (58)
- Sweeping of an instability : an alternative to self-organized criticality to get powerlaws without parameter tuning (1994) (57)
- Download relaxation dynamics on the WWW following newspaper publication of URL (1999) (57)
- Non-parametric determination of real-time lag structure between two time series: The "optimal thermal causal path" method with applications to economic data (2006) (57)
- Mean-field solution of a block-spring model of earthquakes (1992) (56)
- Exploring self-similarity of complex cellular networks: The edge-covering method with simulated annealing and log-periodic sampling (2006) (55)
- Pharmaco‐resistant seizures: self‐triggering capacity, scale‐free properties and predictability? (2009) (55)
- Statistical asynchronous regression: Determining the relationship between two quantities that are not measured simultaneously (2000) (55)
- Properties of foreshocks and aftershocks of the nonconservative self-organized critical Olami-Feder-Christensen model. (2004) (55)
- Statistical Significance of Periodicity and Log-Periodicity with Heavy-Tailed Correlated Noise (2001) (54)
- Testing Clausewitz: Nationalism, Mass Mobilization, and the Severity of War (2011) (53)
- 1980–2008: The Illusion of the Perpetual Money Machine and What It Bodes for the Future (2014) (52)
- Cascading logistic regression onto gradient boosted decision trees for forecasting and trading stock indices (2019) (51)
- Quantitative earthquake-like statistical properties of the flow of soft materials below yield stress (2020) (50)
- Accurate network anomaly classification with generalized entropy metrics (2011) (50)
- Collective origin of the coexistence of apparent random matrix theory noise and of factors in large sample correlation matrices (2002) (50)
- Electro-magnetic earthquake bursts and critical rupture of peroxy bond networks in rocks (2006) (50)
- “Thermometers” of speculative frenzy (2000) (49)
- Self-similar factor approximants. (2002) (49)
- Financial Brownian Particle in the Layered Order Book Fluid and Fluctuation-Dissipation Relations (2014) (48)
- Are sequences of volcanic eruptions deterministically chaotic (1991) (48)
- Taming Large Events: Optimal Portfolio Theory for Strongly Fluctuating Assets (1998) (48)
- New evidence of earthquake precursory phenomena in the 17 January 1995 Kobe earthquake, Japan (1999) (48)
- The Physical Origin of the Coffin-Manson Law in Low-Cycle Fatigue (1992) (47)
- Characterization of the Tail of the Distribution of Earthquake Magnitudes by Combining the GEV and GPD Descriptions of Extreme Value Theory (2008) (46)
- Evidence of intermittent cascades from discrete hierarchical dissipation in turbulence (2001) (45)
- Punctuated Evolution Due to Delayed Carrying Capacity (2009) (45)
- High Quality Topic Extraction from Business News Explains Abnormal Financial Market Volatility (2012) (45)
- Dissection of Bitcoin's Multiscale Bubble History (2018) (44)
- Organisation of joints and faults from 1-cm to 100-km scales revealed by optimized anisotropic wavelet coefficient method and multifractal analysis (1995) (44)
- Fundamental factors versus herding in the 2000–2005 US stock market and prediction (2005) (43)
- Evidence of Discrete Scale Invariance in DLA and Time-to-Failure by Canonical Averaging (1998) (43)
- On the power of generalized extreme value (GEV) and generalized Pareto distribution (GPD) estimators for empirical distributions of stock returns (2006) (43)
- Fractal multi-level organisation of human groups in a virtual world (2014) (43)
- The Kalman—Lévy filter (2000) (42)
- Unbiased multifractal analysis: Application to fault patterns (1996) (42)
- Linking short-timescale deformation to long-timescale tectonics (1992) (42)
- Self-Organized Criticality in Plate Tectonics (1991) (42)
- Evaluation of the Quantitative Prediction of a Trend Reversal on the Japanese Stock Market in 1999 (2000) (42)
- Statistical Detection and Characterization of a Deviation from the Gutenberg-Richter Distribution above Magnitude 8 (2002) (41)
- Distribution of the largest aftershocks in branching models of triggered seismicity: theory of the universal Båth law. (2005) (41)
- Time-dependent lead-lag relationship between the onshore and offshore Renminbi exchange rates (2017) (41)
- Objective estimation of spatially variable parameters of epidemic type aftershock sequence model: Application to California (2017) (41)
- Critical phase transitions made self-organized : a dynamical system feedback mechanism for self-organized criticality (1992) (41)
- LPPLS Bubble Indicators over Two Centuries of the S&P 500 Index (2016) (41)
- Effect of social group dynamics on contagion. (2010) (41)
- Evidence of Fueling of the 2000 New Economy Bubble by Foreign Capital Inflow: Implications for the Future of the Us Economy and its Stock Market (2003) (41)
- Microtransition cascades to percolation. (2014) (41)
- Economic returns of research: the Pareto law and its implications (1998) (40)
- Limits of declustering methods for disentangling exogenous from endogenous events in time series with foreshocks, main shocks, and aftershocks. (2009) (40)
- NONPARAMETRIC ANALYSES OF LOG-PERIODIC PRECURSORS TO FINANCIAL CRASHES (2002) (40)
- The Lehman Brothers effect and bankruptcy cascades (2010) (40)
- Experimental discovery of scaling laws relating fractal dimensions and the length distribution exponent of fault systems (1992) (40)
- LARGE DEVIATIONS AND PORTFOLIO OPTIMIZATION (1998) (40)
- The random fuse network as a model of rupture in a disordered medium (1987) (39)
- Scheme of thinking quantum systems (2009) (39)
- Super-Exponential Growth Expectations and the Global Financial Crisis (2015) (39)
- Market Bubbles and Chrashes (2008) (39)
- PORTFOLIO THEORY FOR "FAT TAILS" (2000) (38)
- Quis Pendit Ipsa Pretia: Facebook Valuation and Diagnostic of a Bubble Based on Nonlinear Demographic Dynamics (2011) (38)
- Generalized q analysis of log-periodicity: applications to critical ruptures. (2002) (38)
- The concept of ‘critical earthquakes’ applied to mine rockbursts with time‐to‐failure analysis (2000) (38)
- Interpreting, analysing and modelling COVID-19 mortality data (2020) (38)
- Long-Range Correlations (2000) (38)
- Have Your Cake and Eat It, Too: Increasing Returns While Lowering Large Risks! (1999) (38)
- Summation of power series by self-similar factor approximants (2003) (38)
- Non-linear Langevin model of geomorphic erosion processes (1993) (37)
- Numerical modeling of a gravity-driven instability of a cold hanging glacier: reanalysis of the 1895 break-off of Altelsgletscher, Switzerland (2011) (37)
- Robust statistical tests of Dragon-Kings beyond power law distributions (2011) (37)
- Financial price dynamics and pedestrian counterflows: a comparison of statistical stylized facts. (2013) (37)
- Higher-Moment Portfolio Theory (2005) (37)
- Innovation as a social bubble: The example of the Human Genome Project (2011) (37)
- Are Bitcoin Bubbles Predictable? Combining a Generalized Metcalfe's Law and the LPPLS Model (2018) (36)
- Conditions for Quantum Interference in Cognitive Sciences (2013) (36)
- Non-parametric determination of real-time lag structure between two time series: the ‘optimal thermal causal path’ method (2004) (36)
- Stock Market Speculation: Spontaneous Symmetry Breaking of Economic Valuation (2000) (36)
- Man-made Catastrophes and Risk Information Concealment (2016) (36)
- Generic multifractality in exponentials of long memory processes. (2006) (36)
- New statistic for financial return distributions: power-law or exponential? (2004) (36)
- Fractals and Multifractals (2000) (35)
- Professor Zipf Goes to Wall Street (2009) (35)
- Detection of Crashes and Rebounds in Major Equity Markets (2011) (35)
- Power law distribution of seismic rates: theory and data analysis (2004) (35)
- Quantitative Predictions in Quantum Decision Theory (2016) (35)
- Exploring the limits of safety analysis in complex technological systems (2012) (34)
- Follow the Money: The Monetary Roots of Bubbles and Crashes (2011) (34)
- 00 71 v 2 1 9 O ct 1 99 8 Crashes as Critical Points (2000) (34)
- The Hawkes process with renewal immigration & its estimation with an EM algorithm (2016) (34)
- Quantum probability and quantum decision-making (2016) (34)
- Exuberant Innovations: The Apollo Program (2009) (34)
- Classification of cryptocurrency coins and tokens by the dynamics of their market capitalizations (2018) (34)
- Testing the stability of the 2000 US stock market “antibubble” (2003) (33)
- Self-excited multifractal dynamics (2010) (33)
- THEORY OF SELF-SIMILAR OSCILLATORY FINITE-TIME SINGULARITIES (2001) (33)
- Are Bitcoin bubbles predictable? Combining a generalized Metcalfe’s Law and the Log-Periodic Power Law Singularity model (2019) (33)
- Reverse Engineering Financial Markets with Majority and Minority Games Using Genetic Algorithms (2010) (33)
- Critical Crashes (1999) (33)
- Multi-Moments Method for Portfolio Management: Generalized Capital Asset Pricing Model in Homogeneous and Heterogeneous Markets (2002) (33)
- Modified profile likelihood inference and interval forecast of the burst of financial bubbles (2016) (33)
- Automatic reconstruction of fault networks from seismicity catalogs: Three-dimensional optimal anisotropic dynamic clustering (2007) (33)
- Fundamental framework for “technical analysis” of market prices (1999) (33)
- Causal slaving of the US treasury bond yield antibubble by the stock market antibubble of August 2000 (2003) (32)
- Non-Parametric Determination of Real-Time Lag Structure between Two Time Series: The 'Optimal Thermal Causal Path' Method (2004) (32)
- Diagnosis and prediction of rebounds in financial markets (2012) (32)
- Quantification of deviations from rationality with heavy tails in human dynamics. (2010) (32)
- Lead-lag cross-sectional structure and detection of correlated–anticorrelated regime shifts: Application to the volatilities of inflation and economic growth rates (2006) (32)
- Response Functions to Critical Shocks in Social Sciences (2004) (32)
- Crashes and High Frequency Trading: An evaluation of risks posed by high-speed algorithmic trading (2011) (31)
- How Much Is the Whole Really More than the Sum of Its Parts? 1 ⊞ 1 = 2.5: Superlinear Productivity in Collective Group Actions (2014) (31)
- Icequakes coupled with surface displacements for predicting glacier break-off (2010) (31)
- Transient chaos in room acoustics. (1993) (31)
- Segmentation of fault networks determined from spatial clustering of earthquakes (2010) (31)
- Fokker-Planck equation of distributions of financial returns and power laws (2000) (31)
- Can We Use Volatility to Diagnose Financial Bubbles? Lessons from 40 Historical Bubbles (2017) (31)
- Earthquake precursors in the light of peroxy defects theory: Critical review of systematic observations (2017) (31)
- Punctuated vortex coalescence and discrete scale invariance in two-dimensional turbulence (1999) (31)
- Log-periodic power law bubbles in Latin-American and Asian markets and correlated anti-bubbles in Western stock markets: An empirical study (1999) (30)
- Symmetric thermal optimal path and time-dependent lead-lag relationship: novel statistical tests and application to UK and US real-estate and monetary policies (2014) (30)
- Finite-Time Singularity Signature of Hyperinflation (2003) (30)
- Distribution of maximum earthquake magnitudes in future time intervals: application to the seismicity of Japan (1923–2007) (2009) (30)
- A Consistent Model of 'Explosive' Financial Bubbles with Mean-Reversing Residuals (2009) (30)
- Manipulating Decision Making of Typical Agents (2014) (30)
- The coffin-manson law as a consequence of the statistical nature of the LCF surface damage (1992) (30)
- Self-Organization in Complex Systems as Decision Making (2012) (30)
- Vere-Jones' self-similar branching model. (2005) (30)
- Intelligent finance—an emerging direction (2006) (29)
- Repulsive steric interaction between membranes of finite size (1984) (29)
- Clarifications to Questions and Criticisms on the Johansen-Ledoit-Sornette Bubble Model (2011) (29)
- Acoustic Fluidization for Earthquakes (2000) (29)
- The dynamical thermal fuse model (1992) (29)
- Andrade, Omori, and time-to-failure laws from thermal noise in material rupture. (2003) (28)
- Anomalous power law distribution of total lifetimes of branching processes: application to earthquake aftershock sequences. (2004) (28)
- From rational bubbles to crashes (2001) (28)
- Power law signature of media exposure in human response waiting time distributions. (2009) (28)
- Volatility Fingerprints of Large Shocks: Endogenous Versus Exogenous (2002) (28)
- Quantum probabilities of composite events in quantum measurements with multimode states (2013) (28)
- Stability of democracies: a complex systems perspective (2018) (28)
- Self-consistent theory of rupture by progressive diffuse damage. (2000) (27)
- Super-Exponential Endogenous Bubbles in an Equilibrium Model of Fundamentalist and Chartist Traders (2015) (27)
- Role of Information in Decision Making of Social Agents (2012) (27)
- Solution of the nonlinear theory and tests of earthquake recurrence times. (2007) (27)
- Nurturing breakthroughs: lessons from complexity theory (2007) (27)
- Systematic assessment of the static stress triggering hypothesis using interearthquake time statistics (2016) (27)
- The sharp peak-flat trough pattern and critical speculation (1998) (27)
- Undulation instability in stripe domain structures of « bubble » material (1987) (27)
- Statistical Physics Approaches to Seismicity (2008) (26)
- Barycentric fixed-mass method for multifractal analysis. (2013) (26)
- MECHANISM FOR POWERLAWS WITHOUT SELF-ORGANIZATION (2001) (26)
- Modeling Symbiosis by Interactions Through Species Carrying Capacities (2010) (26)
- The 2006-2008 Oil Bubble and Beyond (2008) (25)
- “String” formulation of the dynamics of the forward interest rate curve (1998) (25)
- An economic and financial exploratory (2012) (25)
- Quantum Probabilities as Behavioral Probabilities (2017) (25)
- The Financial Bubble Experiment: Advanced Diagnostics and Forecasts of Bubble Terminations Volume II-Master Document (2009) (25)
- Market Fluctuations: multiplicative and percolation models, size effects and predictions (1999) (25)
- Value-at-Risk-efficient portfolios for a class of super- and sub-exponentially decaying assets return distributions (2003) (25)
- Novel mechanism for discrete scale invariance in sandpile models (1999) (25)
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- Zipf's Law for Firms: Relevance of Birth and Death Processes (2008) (14)
- Forecasting the Rates of Future Aftershocks of All Generations Is Essential to Develop Better Earthquake Forecast Models (2019) (14)
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- The Fair Reward Problem: The Illusion of Success and How to Solve It (2019) (14)
- Anomalous Scaling of Offspring and Generation Numbers in Branching Processes (2003) (14)
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- Slider-Block Friction Model for Landslides : Implication for Prediction of Mountain Collapse (2002) (9)
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- The US 2000-2003 Market Descent: Clarifications (2003) (8)
- Identification and critical time forecasting of real estate bubbles in the USA (2017) (8)
- Cascading Logistic Regression Onto Gradient Boosted Decision Trees to Predict Stock Market Changes Using Technical Analysis (2018) (8)
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- Spatially variable model for extracting TIR anomalies before earthquakes: Application to Chinese Mainland (2021) (8)
- Magnitude of Earthquakes Controls the Size Distribution of Their Triggered Events (2019) (8)
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- Tricritical behaviour in lamellar phases (1987) (7)
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- ANALYSIS OF THE PHENOMENON OF SPECULATIVE TRADING IN ONE OF ITS BASIC MANIFESTATIONS: POSTAGE STAMP BUBBLES (1999) (7)
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- A Generalized 2D-Dynamical Mean-Field Ising Model with a Rich Set of Bifurcations (Inspired and Applied to Financial Crises) (2017) (7)
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- Dynamics of severe accidents in the oil & gas energy sector derived from the authoritative ENergy-related severe accident database (2022) (7)
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- Most Efficient Homogeneous Volatility Estimators (2009) (7)
- Micro-Foundation Using Percolation Theory of the Finite-Time Singular Behavior of the Crash Hazard Rate in a Class of Rational Expectation Bubbles (2016) (7)
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- Predicting financial market crashes using ghost singularities (2017) (6)
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- Investors' Misperception: A Hidden Source of High Markups in the Mutual Fund Industry (2009) (6)
- Evidence of A Bimodal US GDP Growth Rate Distribution: A Wavelet Approach (2017) (6)
- A Theory of Evolution, Fairness, and Altruistic Punishment (2011) (6)
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- Economy of scales in R&D with block-busters (2000) (6)
- Democratizing earthquake predictability research: introducing the RichterX platform (2021) (6)
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- Spectral Rigidity in the Large Modal Overlap Regime: Beyond the Ericson-Schroeder Hypothesis (1995) (6)
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- Analysis of log-periodic power law singularity patterns in time series related to credit risk (2015) (6)
- Global models for short-term earthquake forecasting and predictive skill assessment (2020) (6)
- Self-similar approximants of the permeability in heterogeneous porous media from moment equation expansions (2002) (6)
- Precursors and startling lessons: Statistical analysis of 1250 events with safety significance from the civil nuclear sector (2021) (6)
- Reflections on Limitations of Current PSA – Methodology (2013) (6)
- Anderson localization and wave absorption (1989) (6)
- Evidence for super-exponentially accelerating atmospheric carbon dioxide growth (2011) (6)
- Comparative analysis of layered structures in empirical investor networks and cellphone communication networks (2019) (6)
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- Utility Rate Equations of Group Population Dynamics in Biological and Social Systems (2012) (5)
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- Valuation of Zynga (2011) (5)
- The Endo-Exo Problem in High Frequency Financial Price Fluctuations and Rejecting Criticality (2018) (5)
- Numerical modeling of the behaviour of high pressure vessel under hypervelocity impact (2001) (5)
- Revisiting the Predictability of the Haicheng and Tangshan Earthquakes (2020) (5)
- A simple mechanism for financial bubbles: time-varying momentum horizon (2018) (5)
- Robust Reverse Engineering of Cross-SectionalReturns and Improved Portfolio AllocationPerformance Using the CAPM (2011) (5)
- Classification of position management strategies at the order-book level and their influences on future market-price formation (2019) (5)
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- Critical Risks of Different Economic Sectors (2019) (5)
- New Approach to Modeling Symbiosis in Biological and Social Systems (2014) (5)
- Endogenous Versus Exogenous Origins of Financial Rallies and Crashes in an Agent-Based Model with Bayesian Learning and Imitation (2008) (5)
- Dynamical Signatures of Collective Quality Grading in a Social Activity: Attendance to Motion Pictures (2014) (5)
- Anderson localization and quantum chaos in acoustics (1996) (5)
- Renormalization of the ETAS branching model of triggered seismicity from total to observable seismicity (2005) (5)
- Acoustic radiation from membranes at high frequencies: The quantum chaos regime (1997) (5)
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- Is There a Housing Bubble in China? (2018) (5)
- RECONSTRUCTING GENERALIZED EXPONENTIAL LAWS BY SELF-SIMILAR EXPONENTIAL APPROXIMANTS (2002) (5)
- Quantifying Herding During Speculative Financial Bubbles (2001) (5)
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- Conditions for abrupt failure in the democratic fiber bundle model (1997) (4)
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- Early Dynamics of a Major Scientific Project: Testing the Social Bubble Hypothesis (2013) (4)
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- Specific Features of Risk Management in the Industrial and Agricultural Sectors (2019) (4)
- Renormalization of Exponential-Decay Rates by Fluctuations of Barrier Encounters (1992) (4)
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- Cooperation by Evolutionary Feedback Selection in Public Good Experiments (2006) (4)
- Comparing Ask and Transaction Prices in the Swiss Housing Market (2016) (4)
- Towards Safer and More Sustainable Ways for Exploiting Nuclear Power (2020) (4)
- What science can do for democracy: a complexity science approach (2020) (4)
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- Multifractality of Inverse Statistics of Exit Distances in 3D Fully Developed Turbulence (2005) (4)
- Non-Boltzmann Fluctuations in Numerical Simulations of Nonequilibrium Lattice Threshold Systems (1997) (4)
- Prediction and prevention of disproportionally dominant agents in complex networks (2017) (4)
- Super-extreme event's influence on a Weierstrass-Mandelbrot Continuous-Time Random Walk (2010) (4)
- Universality class of balanced flows with bottlenecks: granular flows, pedestrian fluxes and financial price dynamics (2012) (4)
- Discrete hierarchy of sizes and performances in the exchange-traded fund universe (2016) (4)
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- A geometrical approach to wave dynamics in billiards (1996) (0)
- Wave Automaton for Wave Propagation in Random Media (2022) (0)
- M ar 2 00 2 Investigating Extreme Dependences : Concepts and Tools ∗ (0)
- Predicting the Future Performance of the Planned Seismic Network in Mainland China: II. Earthquake Early Warning (2022) (0)
- 2 3 O ct 2 00 2 Endogenous versus Exogenous Crashes in Financial Markets (2008) (0)
- Trust! Why it Has Been Lost and How to Regain It (2008) (0)
- Prediction of alpine glacier sliding instabilities: a new hope (2011) (0)
- List of Reviewers (2010) (0)
- Intercluster Correlation in Seismicity (2003) (0)
- Investigating Injection Pressure as a Predictor to Enhance Real-Time Forecasting of Fluid-Induced Seismicity: A Bayesian Model Comparison (2022) (0)
- q-fin . P M ] 10 O ct 2 00 8 LookAhead Benchmark Bias in Portfolio Performance Evaluation ∗ (2008) (0)
- Scaling and Multiscaling in Financial Time Series (2005) (0)
- Portfolio selection with exploration of new investment assets (2023) (0)
- Future Directions and Conclusions (2010) (0)
- Transfer matrix theory of the propagation of leaky waves in periodic or inhomogeneous media (1988) (0)
- Establishing the Conceptual Model to Connect Stress with Geoelectric Signals (2017) (0)
- Human population and atmospheric carbon dioxide growth dynamics: Diagnostics for the future (2014) (0)
- Composite tanks failure prediction using acoustic emission (1995) (0)
- A Global Strategy (2000) (0)
- Results: Correlation between the branching ratio n and normalized perceived quality grade. (2015) (0)
- Synchronized bursts of productivity and success in individual careers (2021) (0)
- Acoustic pressure peak created at the impact of a missile on a gas–liquid interface: ‘‘The problem of the splash of the diver’’ (1993) (0)
- An adaptive dynamical model of default contagion (2022) (0)
- Exact and robust asymptotic solutions to nonlinear Hawkes processes: power law exponents of intensity distributions and methods (2021) (0)
- A pr 2 00 0 Critical Ruptures (2008) (0)
- Statistics of Static Stress Earthquake Triggering (2014) (0)
- Analysis of log-periodic power law singularity patterns in time series related to credit risk (2015) (0)
- Seismicity-Based Pattern Recognition Approach of Fault Pattern Reconstruction and Statistics of Seismicity at the Fault Segment Scale (2010) (0)
- Major On-going Cases with Information Concealment Practice (2016) (0)
- Shocks, crises and crashes in nature and the economy (2006) (0)
- A General Framework for Analyzing Sustainability of Social-Ecological Systems (2009) (0)
- The End of the Growth Era ? (2007) (0)
- Acoustic waves in bubbly liquids: (1) Can strong localization of waves be attained by internal resonances? (2) Acoustic wave propagation in one‐dimensional stratified gas–liquid media: The different regimes (1993) (0)
- The Renormalization Group (2000) (0)
- and from ETH Zurich Foundation. (2009) (0)
- Financial Crashes are “Outliers” (2017) (0)
- Financing options for the renewal of the permit for the operation of Luftseilbahn Küssnacht - Seebodenalp (2013) (0)
- Randomness and Long-Range Laplacian Interactions (2000) (0)
- Setting the Landscape (2016) (0)
- F eb 2 00 4 Response Functions to Critical Shocks in Social Sciences : An Empirical and Numerical Study (2021) (0)
- Useful Notions of Probability Theory (2000) (0)
- M ay 2 00 1 The Kalman-Lévy filter (2008) (0)
- Reverse Engineering Financial Markets with Majority and Minority Games Using Genetic Algorithms (2012) (0)
- Look-AheadBenchmarkBias inPortfolioPerformance Evaluation (2009) (0)
- for Swing Trading and Momentum (2005) (0)
- Bubbles, Crises, and Crashes in Emergent Markets (2017) (0)
- G N ] 2 5 M ay 2 01 2 When games meet reality : is Zynga overvalued ? (2012) (0)
- Mechanisms for Log-Periodicity in Under-Sampled Data : Relevance for Earthquake Aftershocks (2008) (0)
- Social Blacklist Prediction using a Heterogeneous Information Network (2018) (0)
- J an 1 99 9 Critical Crashes (2008) (0)
- Novel insights into the dynamics of intractable human epilepsy (2008) (0)
- Understanding climate change at micro level: A case study of three villages in South India (2017) (0)
- Statistical outliers and dragon-kings as Bose-condensed droplets (2012) (0)
- Nonparametric Empirical Evidence for Krugman's Target Zone Model (2015) (0)
- D ec 2 00 1 Finite-time singularity in the dynamics of the world population , economic and financial indices . Running title : Finite-time singularity in world population growth (2008) (0)
- Log-Periodicity in Under-Sampled Data: Relevance for Earthquake Aftershock (1999) (0)
- Investors’ Optimism: A Hidden Source of High Markups in the Mutual Fund Industry (2009) (0)
- [hal-00194825, v1] Are Aftershocks of Large Californian Earthquakes Diffusing? (2008) (0)
- A Parsimonious Inverse Cox-Ingersoll-Ross Process for Financial Price Modeling (2023) (0)
- 2 2 O ct 2 00 0 Multifractal returns and Hierarchical Portfolio Theory ∗ (2008) (0)
- The Effect of Measurement Uncertainties on Earthquake Forecasts: Towards Data Assimilation in Seismicity Models (2006) (0)
- Radiative Friction , Critical Ruptures and Kalman-L evy Filter (2000) (0)
- Transitions, Bifurcations and Precursors (2000) (0)
- Global Earthquake Forecasting System (GEFS): The challenges ahead (2021) (0)
- Creep damage and failure of polymer based composites : Nondestructive evaluation with ultrasonic waves and Acoustic emissions and modelling (2009) (0)
- On the use of discrete-time quantum walks in decision theory (2022) (0)
- Corrigendum to “Power law scaling and “Dragon-Kings” in distributions of intraday financial drawdowns” [Chaos Solitons Fractals 74 (2015) 27–45] (2015) (0)
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