Gerardo Chowell
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American mathematical epidemiologist
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Medical Mathematics
Gerardo Chowell's Degrees
- PhD Mathematical Biology University of Guelph
- Masters Mathematics University of Guelph
- Bachelors Mathematics University of Guelph
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Why Is Gerardo Chowell Influential?
(Suggest an Edit or Addition)According to Wikipedia, Gerardo Chowell is professor of mathematical epidemiology and chair of the Department of Population Health Sciences in the School of Public Health at Georgia State University. He grew up in Colima, Mexico, where he became interested in mathematics as a child. He graduated from the University of Colima in 2001 before beginning the summer program at Cornell University's Mathematical and Theoretical Biology Institute. He later decided to enroll in the Ph.D. program at Cornell, which he completed in 2005 under the supervision of Carlos Castillo-Chavez.
Gerardo Chowell's Published Works
Number of citations in a given year to any of this author's works
Total number of citations to an author for the works they published in a given year. This highlights publication of the most important work(s) by the author
Published Works
- Estimating the asymptomatic proportion of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) cases on board the Diamond Princess cruise ship, Yokohama, Japan, 2020 (2020) (2155)
- Severe respiratory disease concurrent with the circulation of H1N1 influenza. (2009) (704)
- Transmission potential and severity of COVID-19 in South Korea (2020) (612)
- Real-time forecasts of the COVID-19 epidemic in China from February 5th to February 24th, 2020 (2020) (575)
- The basic reproductive number of Ebola and the effects of public health measures: the cases of Congo and Uganda. (2004) (549)
- Physical distancing interventions and incidence of coronavirus disease 2019: natural experiment in 149 countries (2020) (433)
- Transmission characteristics of MERS and SARS in the healthcare setting: a comparative study (2015) (429)
- Adaptive human behavior in epidemiological models (2011) (377)
- Transmission dynamics and control of Ebola virus disease (EVD): a review (2014) (371)
- Comparative estimation of the reproduction number for pandemic influenza from daily case notification data (2007) (343)
- Mathematical models to characterize early epidemic growth: A review. (2016) (323)
- SARS outbreaks in Ontario, Hong Kong and Singapore: the role of diagnosis and isolation as a control mechanism (2003) (294)
- Transmission dynamics of the great influenza pandemic of 1918 in Geneva, Switzerland: Assessing the effects of hypothetical interventions. (2006) (294)
- Seasonal influenza in the United States, France, and Australia: transmission and prospects for control (2007) (286)
- Fitting dynamic models to epidemic outbreaks with quantified uncertainty: A primer for parameter uncertainty, identifiability, and forecasts (2017) (282)
- Transmission potential of the novel coronavirus (COVID-19) onboard the diamond Princess Cruises Ship, 2020 (2020) (263)
- Transmission potential of the new influenza A(H1N1) virus and its age-specificity in Japan. (2009) (260)
- A generalized-growth model to characterize the early ascending phase of infectious disease outbreaks (2015) (246)
- Model Parameters and Outbreak Control for SARS (2004) (231)
- Characterizing the Epidemiology of the 2009 Influenza A/H1N1 Pandemic in Mexico (2011) (227)
- Estimation of the reproduction number of dengue fever from spatial epidemic data. (2007) (221)
- A large-scale COVID-19 Twitter chatter dataset for open scientific research - an international collaboration (2020) (220)
- Prevention and Control of Zika as a Mosquito-Borne and Sexually Transmitted Disease: A Mathematical Modeling Analysis (2016) (219)
- The Effective Reproduction Number as a Prelude to Statistical Estimation of Time-Dependent Epidemic Trends (2009) (218)
- Short-term Forecasts of the COVID-19 Epidemic in Guangdong and Zhejiang, China: February 13–23, 2020 (2020) (195)
- Scaling laws for the movement of people between locations in a large city. (2003) (192)
- Pros and cons of estimating the reproduction number from early epidemic growth rate of influenza A (H1N1) 2009 (2010) (189)
- Big Data for Infectious Disease Surveillance and Modeling. (2016) (182)
- Mathematical and statistical estimation approaches in epidemiology (2009) (181)
- Transmission dynamics and control of Ebola virus disease outbreak in Nigeria, July to September 2014. (2014) (174)
- The RAPIDD ebola forecasting challenge: Synthesis and lessons learnt. (2017) (168)
- Global Mortality Impact of the 1957–1959 Influenza Pandemic (2016) (165)
- The 1918–1919 influenza pandemic in England and Wales: spatial patterns in transmissibility and mortality impact (2008) (162)
- Estimating Risk for Death from Coronavirus Disease, China, January–February 2020 (2020) (155)
- Using Phenomenological Models to Characterize Transmissibility and Forecast Patterns and Final Burden of Zika Epidemics (2016) (152)
- Early transmission dynamics of Ebola virus disease (EVD), West Africa, March to August 2014. (2014) (139)
- Using phenomenological models for forecasting the 2015 Ebola challenge. (2016) (134)
- A novel sub-epidemic modeling framework for short-term forecasting epidemic waves (2019) (127)
- Early epidemiological assessment of the transmission potential and virulence of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) in Wuhan City, China, January–February, 2020 (2020) (119)
- Assessing the role of basic control measures, antivirals and vaccine in curtailing pandemic influenza: scenarios for the US, UK and the Netherlands (2007) (118)
- Prior dengue virus infection and risk of Zika: A pediatric cohort in Nicaragua (2019) (117)
- Synthesizing data and models for the spread of MERS-CoV, 2013: Key role of index cases and hospital transmission (2014) (115)
- The Western Africa Ebola Virus Disease Epidemic Exhibits Both Global Exponential and Local Polynomial Growth Rates (2014) (113)
- Characterizing the reproduction number of epidemics with early subexponential growth dynamics (2016) (110)
- Mortality burden of the A/H1N1 pandemic in Mexico: a comparison of deaths and years of life lost to seasonal influenza. (2011) (110)
- Optimal control for pandemic influenza: the role of limited antiviral treatment and isolation. (2010) (107)
- Climate change and influenza: the likelihood of early and severe influenza seasons following warmer than average winters (2013) (107)
- Climate-based descriptive models of dengue fever: the 2002 epidemic in Colima, Mexico. (2006) (105)
- Skip the Trip: Air Travelers' Behavioral Responses to Pandemic Influenza (2013) (104)
- Epidemiological and transmissibility analysis of influenza A(H1N1)v in a southern hemisphere setting: Peru. (2009) (101)
- Estimation of the reproductive number of the Spanish flu epidemic in Geneva, Switzerland. (2006) (100)
- Merging Economics and Epidemiology to Improve the Prediction and Management of Infectious Disease (2014) (99)
- Changes in testing rates could mask the novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19) growth rate (2020) (98)
- Heat-Related Deaths in Hot Cities: Estimates of Human Tolerance to High Temperature Thresholds (2014) (97)
- The influence of geographic and climate factors on the timing of dengue epidemics in Perú, 1994-2008 (2011) (92)
- Assessing parameter identifiability in compartmental dynamic models using a computational approach: application to infectious disease transmission models (2019) (91)
- Mortality patterns associated with the 1918 influenza pandemic in Mexico: evidence for a spring herald wave and lack of preexisting immunity in older populations. (2010) (91)
- Title Pros and cons of estimating the reproduction number from earlyepidemic growth rate of influenza A ( H 1 N 1 ) 2009 (2010) (89)
- Does Glycosylation as a modifier of Original Antigenic Sin explain the case age distribution and unusual toxicity in pandemic novel H1N1 influenza? (2010) (88)
- A dynamic compartmental model for the Middle East respiratory syndrome outbreak in the Republic of Korea: A retrospective analysis on control interventions and superspreading events (2016) (84)
- The COVID-19 pandemic in the USA: what might we expect? (2020) (84)
- Is West Africa Approaching a Catastrophic Phase or is the 2014 Ebola Epidemic Slowing Down? Different Models Yield Different Answers for Liberia (2014) (81)
- Dynamic Prioritization of COVID-19 Vaccines When Social Distancing is Limited for Essential Workers (2020) (81)
- Spatial and temporal dynamics of dengue fever in Peru: 1994–2006 (2008) (80)
- Epidemiological and clinical characteristics of scorpionism in Colima, Mexico (2000-2001). (2006) (79)
- Null Models for Community Detection in Spatially-Embedded, Temporal Networks (2014) (79)
- Spatial distribution of acaricide profiles (Boophilus microplus strains susceptible or resistant to acaricides) in southeastern Mexico. (2007) (78)
- Adaptive Vaccination Strategies to Mitigate Pandemic Influenza: Mexico as a Case Study (2009) (76)
- Multiple Trigger Points for Quantifying Heat-Health Impacts: New Evidence from a Hot Climate (2015) (76)
- Modeling Optimal Age-Specific Vaccination Strategies Against Pandemic Influenza (2012) (74)
- COVID-19 case fatality risk by age and gender in a high testing setting in Latin America: Chile, March–August 2020 (2021) (71)
- The ideal reporting interval for an epidemic to objectively interpret the epidemiological time course (2010) (70)
- Transmission dynamics and underreporting of Kala-azar in the Indian state of Bihar. (2010) (70)
- Dynamic prioritization of COVID-19 vaccines when social distancing is limited for essential workers (2021) (68)
- Doubling Time of the COVID-19 Epidemic by Province, China (2020) (65)
- Early transmission dynamics of COVID-19 in a southern hemisphere setting: Lima-Peru: February 29th–March 30th, 2020. (2020) (63)
- Social inequality and the syndemic of chronic disease and COVID-19: county-level analysis in the USA (2021) (61)
- Urbanization prolongs hantavirus epidemics in cities (2018) (60)
- Real-time monitoring the transmission potential of COVID-19 in Singapore, March 2020 (2020) (58)
- Quantifying the transmission potential of pandemic influenza (2007) (58)
- A Population Based Study of Seasonality of Skin and Soft Tissue Infections: Implications for the Spread of CA-MRSA (2013) (58)
- Perspectives on model forecasts of the 2014–2015 Ebola epidemic in West Africa: lessons and the way forward (2017) (58)
- Real-time forecasting of epidemic trajectories using computational dynamic ensembles. (2019) (58)
- A review of the 1918 herald pandemic wave: importance for contemporary pandemic response strategies. (2018) (57)
- Predicting scorpion sting incidence in an endemic region using climatological variables (2005) (57)
- Scales of perception: public awareness of regional and neighborhood climates (2012) (57)
- The influence of climatic conditions on the transmission dynamics of the 2009 A/H1N1 influenza pandemic in Chile (2012) (57)
- Risk of death by age and gender from CoVID-19 in Peru, March-May, 2020 (2020) (56)
- Occupation and Environmental Heat-Associated Deaths in Maricopa County, Arizona: A Case-Control Study (2013) (55)
- Real-time monitoring the transmission potential of COVID-19 in Singapore, March 2020 (2020) (53)
- The spatial and temporal patterns of falciparum and vivax malaria in Perú: 1994–2006 (2009) (53)
- Estimating the Asymptomatic Proportion of 2019 Novel Coronavirus onboard the Princess Cruises Ship, 2020 (2020) (52)
- Transmission potential of influenza A/H7N9, February to May 2013, China (2013) (52)
- Rubella metapopulation dynamics and importance of spatial coupling to the risk of congenital rubella syndrome in Peru (2010) (52)
- Accounting for behavioral responses during a flu epidemic using home television viewing (2015) (50)
- Spatial and Temporal Characteristics of the 2009 A/H1N1 Influenza Pandemic in Peru (2011) (49)
- Qualitative analysis of the level of cross-protection between epidemic waves of the 1918-1919 influenza pandemic. (2009) (49)
- Pandemic influenza in a southern hemisphere setting: the experience in Peru from May to September, 2009. (2009) (48)
- Mathematical and Statistical Modeling for Emerging and Re-emerging Infectious Diseases (2016) (48)
- Asymptomatic Transmission and the Dynamics of Zika Infection (2017) (48)
- Influenza-Related Mortality Trends in Japanese and American Seniors: Evidence for the Indirect Mortality Benefits of Vaccinating Schoolchildren (2011) (47)
- Towards Real Time Epidemiology: Data Assimilation, Modeling and Anomaly Detection of Health Surveillance Data Streams (2007) (47)
- The reproduction number of seasonal influenza epidemics in Brazil, 1996–2006 (2010) (46)
- Epidemiological characterization of a fourth wave of pandemic A/H1N1 influenza in Mexico, winter 2011-2012: age shift and severity. (2012) (46)
- Estimating the risk of Middle East respiratory syndrome (MERS) death during the course of the outbreak in the Republic of Korea, 2015 (2015) (45)
- Optimal Dynamic Prioritization of Scarce COVID-19 Vaccines (2020) (45)
- Characterizing Ebola Transmission Patterns Based on Internet News Reports. (2016) (44)
- Ebola control: rapid diagnostic testing. (2015) (44)
- Death Patterns during the 1918 Influenza Pandemic in Chile (2014) (44)
- Forecasting Epidemics Through Nonparametric Estimation of Time-Dependent Transmission Rates Using the SEIR Model (2019) (44)
- Comparative analysis of phenomenological growth models applied to epidemic outbreaks. (2019) (44)
- Forecasting the 2001 Foot-and-Mouth Disease Epidemic in the UK (2017) (43)
- A review and agenda for integrated disease models including social and behavioural factors (2021) (43)
- The 1918-1920 influenza pandemic in Peru. (2011) (42)
- Assessing the risk of observing multiple generations of Middle East respiratory syndrome (MERS) cases given an imported case. (2015) (42)
- Estimating the Risk of COVID-19 Death during the Course of the Outbreak in Korea, February–May 2020 (2020) (42)
- Assessing reporting delays and the effective reproduction number: The Ebola epidemic in DRC, May 2018-January 2019. (2019) (42)
- The Basic Reproduction Number of Infectious Diseases: Computation and Estimation Using Compartmental Epidemic Models (2009) (42)
- Predicting the international spread of Middle East respiratory syndrome (MERS) (2016) (41)
- Spatial-temporal excess mortality patterns of the 1918–1919 influenza pandemic in Spain (2014) (41)
- Protecting residential care facilities from pandemic influenza (2008) (41)
- The role of vaccination in the control of sars. (2005) (41)
- Did Modeling Overestimate the Transmission Potential of Pandemic (H1N1-2009)? Sample Size Estimation for Post-Epidemic Seroepidemiological Studies (2011) (40)
- A dynamic modeling tool for estimating healthcare demand from the COVID19 epidemic and evaluating population-wide interventions (2020) (40)
- Characterizing the Transmission Dynamics and Control of Ebola Virus Disease (2015) (40)
- Doubling Time of the COVID-19 Epidemic by Chinese Province (2020) (40)
- Quantitative Methods for Investigating Infectious Disease Outbreaks (2019) (40)
- Transmission potential of COVID-19 in South Korea (2020) (39)
- Lessons from Nigeria: the role of roads in the geo-temporal progression of avian influenza (H5N1) virus (2009) (39)
- The role of spatial mixing in the spread of foot-and-mouth disease. (2006) (39)
- Modeling household and community transmission of Ebola virus disease: Epidemic growth, spatial dynamics and insights for epidemic control (2015) (38)
- Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 Transmission Potential, Iran, 2020 (2020) (38)
- Early epidemiological assessment of the transmission 1 potential and virulence of 2019 Novel Coronavirus in 2 Wuhan City: China, 2019–2020 (2020) (37)
- Is it growing exponentially fast? – Impact of assuming exponential growth for characterizing and forecasting epidemics with initial near-exponential growth dynamics (2016) (37)
- The 1918–19 Influenza Pandemic in Boyacá, Colombia (2012) (36)
- Social Media Use in Emergency Response to Natural Disasters: A Systematic Review With a Public Health Perspective (2020) (35)
- Epidemiological Characteristics and Underlying Risk Factors for Mortality during the Autumn 2009 Pandemic Wave in Mexico (2012) (35)
- Estimating the reproduction number from the initial phase of the Spanish flu pandemic waves in Geneva, Switzerland. (2007) (35)
- Influenza and Pneumonia Mortality in 66 Large Cities in the United States in Years Surrounding the 1918 Pandemic (2011) (35)
- Substantial Morbidity and Mortality Associated with Pandemic A/H1N1 Influenza in Mexico, Winter 2013-2014: Gradual Age Shift and Severity (2014) (35)
- Rurality and pandemic influenza: geographic heterogeneity in the risks of infection and death in Kanagawa, Japan (1918-1919). (2008) (34)
- On the role of cross-immunity and vaccines on the survival of less fit flu-strains. (2007) (34)
- Spatial infectious disease epidemiology: on the cusp (2018) (34)
- Transmission potential of modified measles during an outbreak, Japan, March‒May 2018 (2018) (34)
- Effect of a wet market on coronavirus disease (COVID-19) transmission dynamics in China, 2019–2020 (2020) (34)
- Estimating the subcritical transmissibility of the Zika outbreak in the State of Florida, USA, 2016 (2016) (34)
- Transmission dynamics and control of COVID-19 in Chile, March-October, 2020. (2021) (34)
- Mechanistic modelling of the large-scale Lassa fever epidemics in Nigeria from 2016 to 2019. (2020) (34)
- Modelling the transmission dynamics of acute haemorrhagic conjunctivitis: application to the 2003 outbreak in Mexico (2006) (33)
- Impact of antiviral treatment and hospital admission delay on risk of death associated with 2009 A/H1N1 pandemic influenza in Mexico (2012) (32)
- The age distribution of mortality due to influenza: pandemic and peri-pandemic (2012) (32)
- The basic reproduction number R0 and effectiveness of reactive interventions during dengue epidemics: the 2002 dengue outbreak in Easter Island, Chile. (2013) (32)
- Changes in the Viral Distribution Pattern after the Appearance of the Novel Influenza A H1N1 (pH1N1) Virus in Influenza-Like Illness Patients in Peru (2010) (31)
- Identifying determinants of heterogeneous transmission dynamics of the Middle East respiratory syndrome (MERS) outbreak in the Republic of Korea, 2015: a retrospective epidemiological analysis (2016) (31)
- Theoretical perspectives on the infectiousness of Ebola virus disease (2015) (30)
- Real-time characterization of risks of death associated with the Middle East respiratory syndrome (MERS) in the Republic of Korea, 2015 (2015) (29)
- Spatial variability in reproduction number and doubling time across two waves of the COVID-19 pandemic in South Korea, February to July 2020 (2020) (28)
- Modeling rapidly disseminating infectious disease during mass gatherings (2012) (28)
- Understanding Spatial Heterogeneity of COVID-19 Pandemic Using Shape Analysis of Growth Rate Curves (2020) (27)
- Characterizing all-cause excess mortality patterns during COVID-19 pandemic in Mexico (2021) (27)
- Spatial variability in reproduction number and doubling time across two waves of the COVID-19 pandemic in South Korea, February to July, 2020 (2020) (27)
- Excess mortality patterns during 1918-1921 influenza pandemic in the state of Arizona, USA. (2017) (27)
- Age-Specific Excess Mortality Patterns During the 1918–1920 Influenza Pandemic in Madrid, Spain (2018) (26)
- Transmission potential of COVID-19 in Iran (2020) (25)
- Model estimates of the burden of outpatient visits attributable to influenza in the United States (2016) (25)
- Recrudescent wave of pandemic A/H1N1 influenza in Mexico, winter 2011-2012: Age shift and severity (2012) (25)
- Epidemic doubling time of the 2019 novel coronavirus outbreak by province in mainland China (2020) (25)
- Global transmission network of SARS-CoV-2: from outbreak to pandemic (2020) (25)
- epiDMS: Data Management and Analytics for Decision-Making From Epidemic Spread Simulation Ensembles (2016) (24)
- Severe Fever with Thrombocytopenia Syndrome Virus in Humans, Domesticated Animals, Ticks, and Mosquitoes, Shaanxi Province, China. (2017) (24)
- Evaluating the potential impact of targeted vaccination strategies against severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus (SARS-CoV) and Middle East respiratory syndrome coronavirus (MERS-CoV) outbreaks in the healthcare setting (2019) (23)
- Impact of weekday social contact patterns on the modeling of influenza transmission, and determination of the influenza latent period. (2012) (23)
- Signatures of non-homogeneous mixing in disease outbreaks (2008) (22)
- Risk Factors for Mortality among 2009 A/H1N1 Influenza Hospitalizations in Maricopa County, Arizona, April 2009 to March 2010 (2012) (22)
- Differences in Transmission and Disease Severity Between 2 Successive Waves of Chikungunya (2018) (22)
- Exploring optimal control strategies in seasonally varying flu-like epidemics. (2017) (22)
- A Data-Driven Mathematical Model of CA-MRSA Transmission among Age Groups: Evaluating the Effect of Control Interventions (2013) (21)
- Natality Decline and Spatial Variation in Excess Death Rates During the 1918–1920 Influenza Pandemic in Arizona, United States (2018) (21)
- Estimating the risk of 2019 Novel Coronavirus death during the course of the outbreak in China, 2020 (2020) (20)
- Worst-Case Scenarios and Epidemics (2003) (19)
- Understanding the role of urban design in disease spreading (2019) (18)
- Household and community transmission of the Asian influenza A (H2N2) and influenza B viruses in 1957 and 1961. (2007) (18)
- The RAPIDD Ebola forecasting challenge: Model description and synthetic data generation. (2017) (18)
- Impact of School Cycles and Environmental Forcing on the Timing of Pandemic Influenza Activity in Mexican States, May-December 2009 (2015) (18)
- Elucidating Transmission Patterns From Internet Reports: Ebola and Middle East Respiratory Syndrome as Case Studies (2016) (18)
- Comparative assessment of parameter estimation methods in the presence of overdispersion: a simulation study. (2019) (17)
- A DETERMINISTIC METHODOLOGY FOR ESTIMATION OF PARAMETERS IN DYNAMIC MARKOV CHAIN MODELS (2011) (17)
- Age-specific excess mortality patterns and transmissibility during the 1889-1890 influenza pandemic in Madrid, Spain. (2017) (17)
- Mortality and transmissibility patterns of the 1957 influenza pandemic in Maricopa County, Arizona (2016) (16)
- Intense seasonal A/H1N1 influenza in Mexico, winter 2013-2014. (2015) (16)
- Pandemic influenza and socioeconomic disparities: Lessons from 1918 Chicago (2016) (16)
- A primer on stable parameter estimation and forecasting in epidemiology by a problem-oriented regularized least squares algorithm (2017) (16)
- Time-Specific Ecologic Niche Models Forecast the Risk of Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome in Dongting Lake District, China, 2005–2010 (2014) (16)
- The need for interdisciplinary studies of historic pandemics. (2011) (16)
- Mathematical assessment of Canada's pandemic influenza preparedness plan. (2008) (16)
- Early transmission dynamics of COVID-19 in a southern hemisphere setting: Lima-Peru: February 29th–March 30th, 2020 (2020) (15)
- Modelling the spatial-temporal progression of the 2009 A/H1N1 influenza pandemic in Chile. (2015) (15)
- Transmission dynamics and control of COVID-19 in Chile, March-October, 2020 (2020) (15)
- Assessing the impact of public health interventions on the transmission of pandemic H1N1 influenza a virus aboard a Peruvian navy ship (2014) (15)
- Multi-model forecasts of the ongoing Ebola epidemic in the Democratic Republic of Congo, March–October 2019 (2020) (14)
- Numerical solution of a spatio-temporal predator-prey model with infected prey. (2018) (14)
- Vaccination strategies to control Ebola epidemics in the context of variable household inaccessibility levels (2019) (13)
- Identification of case clusters and counties with high infective connectivity in the 2001 epidemic of foot-and-mouth disease in Uruguay. (2006) (13)
- Assessing the relationship between epidemic growth scaling and epidemic size: The 2014–16 Ebola epidemic in West Africa (2018) (13)
- Growth scaling for the early dynamics of HIV/AIDS epidemics in Brazil and the influence of socio-demographic factors. (2018) (13)
- Patch models of EVD transmission dynamics (2016) (13)
- Measuring the benefits of school closure interventions to mitigate influenza (2011) (13)
- Human-mediated foot-and-mouth disease epidemic dispersal: disease and vector clusters. (2006) (13)
- The first human infection with severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome virus in Shaanxi Province, China. (2015) (13)
- Pediatric electrocardiograph abnormalities following Centruroides limpidus tecomanus scorpion envenomation. (2005) (12)
- Case fatality risk by age from COVID-19 in a high testing setting in Latin America: Chile, March-May, 2020 (2020) (12)
- Rates of Influenza-like Illness and Winter School Breaks, Chile, 2004–2010 (2014) (12)
- NOTES2: Networks-of-Traces for Epidemic Spread Simulations (2015) (12)
- Whooping cough dynamics in Chile (1932–2010): disease temporal fluctuations across a north-south gradient (2015) (12)
- Real-time forecasts of the 2019-nCoV epidemic in China from February 5th to February 24th, 2020 (2020) (12)
- Observation and model error effects on parameter estimates in susceptible-infected-recovered epidemiological models (2006) (12)
- Assessing the potential impact of vector-borne disease transmission following heavy rainfall events: a mathematical framework (2019) (11)
- Fogarty International Center collaborative networks in infectious disease modeling: Lessons learnt in research and capacity building (2018) (11)
- Numerical solution of a spatio-temporal gender-structured model for hantavirus infection in rodents. (2017) (11)
- Controlling Ebola: key role of Ebola treatment centres (2015) (10)
- A Twitter Dataset of 150+ million tweets related to COVID-19 for open research (2020) (10)
- Spatial variability in the risk of death from COVID-19 in Italy. (2020) (10)
- Spatial and Temporal Dynamics of Rubella in Peru, 1997–2006: Geographic Patterns, Age at Infection and Estimation of Transmissibility (2009) (9)
- Assessing inference of the basic reproduction number in an SIR model incorporating a growth‐scaling parameter (2018) (9)
- Adaptive vaccination strategies to mitigate pandemic influenza (2009) (9)
- Investigating spatial variability in COVID-19 pandemic severity across 19 geographic areas, Spain, 2020 (2020) (9)
- Sustainable social distancing through facemask use and testing during the Covid-19 pandemic (2020) (9)
- Ensemble bootstrap methodology for forecasting dynamic growth processes using differential equations: application to epidemic outbreaks (2020) (8)
- Optimal control of influenza pandemics : The role of antiviral treatment and isolation (2009) (8)
- Geospatial Variability in Excess Death Rates during the COVID-19 Pandemic in Mexico: Examining Socio Demographic, Climate and Population Health Characteristics (2021) (8)
- Recrudescent wave of pandemic A/H1N1 influenza in Mexico, Winter 2011-2012: Age shift and severity. (2012) (8)
- Mathematical applications associated with the deliberate release of infectious agents (2005) (8)
- The dynamics of pulmonary tuberculosis in Colima, Mexico (1999–2002) (2005) (8)
- Mechanistic Modelling of Multiple Waves in an Influenza Epidemic or Pandemic. (2019) (8)
- Severe mortality impact of the 1957 influenza pandemic in Chile (2017) (8)
- The RAPIDD Ebola forecasting challenge special issue: Preface. (2017) (8)
- Spatial variability in the reproduction number of Ebola virus disease, Democratic Republic of the Congo, January–September 2019 (2019) (8)
- Critical response to post-outbreak vaccination against foot-and-mouth disease (2005) (8)
- Early sub-exponential epidemic growth: Simple models, nonlinear incidence rates, and additional mechanisms: Reply to comments on "Mathematical models to characterize early epidemic growth: A review". (2016) (8)
- Ring Vaccination as a Control Strategy for Foot-and-Mouth Disease (2009) (8)
- Getting to zero quickly in the 2019-nCov epidemic with vaccines or rapid testing (2020) (8)
- Transmission dynamics and forecasts of the COVID-19 pandemic in Mexico, March 20-November 11, 2020. (2021) (7)
- Urban structure and the risk of influenza A (H1N1) outbreaks in municipal districts (2014) (7)
- Clinical diagnostic delays and epidemiology of dengue fever during the 2002 outbreak in Colima, Mexico (2007) (7)
- A Twitter Dataset of 100+ million tweets related to COVID-19 (2020) (7)
- The reproduction number R(t) in structured and nonstructured populations. (2009) (7)
- Investigating the first stage of the COVID-19 pandemic in Ukraine using epidemiological and genomic data (2021) (7)
- Beyond the Initial Phase: Compartment Models for Disease Transmission (2019) (7)
- Infectious disease risks among refugees from North Korea. (2018) (7)
- Parameter identifiability and optimal control of an SARS-CoV-2 model early in the pandemic (2022) (6)
- Ebola vaccine trials: a race against the clock. (2015) (6)
- Time-varying reproduction numbers of COVID-19 in Georgia, USA, March 2-June 14, 2020 (2020) (6)
- Estimating the subcritical transmissibility of the Zika outbreak in the State of Florida, USA, 2016 (2016) (6)
- Measuring differences between phenomenological growth models applied to epidemiology (2021) (6)
- Transmission dynamics and forecasts of the COVID-19 pandemic in Mexico, March-December 2020 (2021) (6)
- Using Twitter to Track Unplanned School Closures: Georgia Public Schools, 2015-17 (2020) (6)
- Promoting Research and Minority Participation via Undergraduate Research in the Mathematical Sciences. MTBI/SUMS-Arizona State University (2006) (6)
- Modeling Study: Characterizing the Spatial Heterogeneity of the COVID-19 Pandemic through Shape Analysis of Epidemic Curves (2021) (6)
- Transmission Dynamics and Short-Term Forecasts of COVID-19: Nepal 2020/2021 (2021) (6)
- Spatially Refined Time-Varying Reproduction Numbers of COVID-19 by Health District in Georgia, USA, March–December 2020 (2021) (6)
- A practical method to target individuals for outbreak detection and control (2013) (6)
- Modeling Ring-Vaccination Strategies to Control Ebola Virus Disease Epidemics (2016) (6)
- Assessing Early Heterogeneity in Doubling Times of the COVID-19 Epidemic across Prefectures in Mainland China, January–February, 2020 (2021) (6)
- Therapeutic Efficacy of Artemisinin-Based Combination Therapies in Democratic Republic of the Congo and Investigation of Molecular Markers of Antimalarial Resistance. (2021) (5)
- Spatial variability in the risk of death from COVID-19 in Italy, 2020 (2020) (5)
- Spatial dynamics and the basic reproduction number of the 1991–1997 Cholera epidemic in Peru (2020) (5)
- Investigating the first stage of the COVID-19 pandemic in Ukraine using epidemiological and genomic data (2021) (5)
- A maximum curvature method for estimating epidemic onset of seasonal influenza in Japan (2019) (5)
- A perspective on the 2009 A/H1N1 influenza pandemic in Mexico. (2011) (5)
- Receiver operating characteristic-based assessment of a serological test used to detect Johne's disease in Israeli dairy herds. (2008) (5)
- Simulación del nivel de eliminación de sarampión y rubéola según la estratificación e interacción social (2010) (5)
- Special Issue on Mathematical Models, Challenges, and Lessons Learned from the 2009 A/H1N1 Influenza (2011) (4)
- Spatially refined time-varying reproduction numbers of SARS-CoV-2 in Arkansas and Kentucky and their relationship to population size and public health policy, March – November 2020 (2021) (4)
- The Nicaraguan Pediatric Influenza Cohort Study, 2011-2019: influenza incidence, seasonality, and transmission (2022) (4)
- Here's to Your Health (2008) (4)
- Mathematical and Statistical Analysis of Doubling Times to Investigate the Early Spread of Epidemics: Application to the COVID-19 Pandemic (2021) (4)
- Characterization of an outbreak of acute haemorrhagic conjunctivitis in Mexico, 2003 (2005) (4)
- Susceptibility to organophosphates pesticides and the development of infectious-contagious respiratory diseases. (2019) (4)
- ' s response to reviews Title : Impact of antiviral treatment and hospital admission delay on risk of death associated with 2009 A / H 1 N 1 pandemic influenza in Mexico (2012) (4)
- Simple multi-scale modeling of the transmission dynamics of the 1905 plague epidemic in Bombay. (2018) (4)
- Introduction to symposium: a century after the 1918 influenza pandemic. (2018) (4)
- Improving epidemic size prediction through stable reconstruction of disease parameters by reduced iteratively regularized Gauss–Newton algorithm (2017) (4)
- Temporary Fertility Decline after Large Rubella Outbreak, Japan (2020) (4)
- Australia: Transmission and Prospects for Control (2007) (4)
- SARS-CoV-2 Transmission in Alberta, British Columbia, and Ontario, Canada, December 25, 2019, to December 1, 2020 (2021) (4)
- Indigenous peoples and pandemics (2022) (3)
- Transmission Dynamics of COVID-19 in Ghana and the Impact of Public Health Interventions (2021) (3)
- An ensemble n-sub-epidemic modeling framework for short-term forecasting epidemic trajectories: Application to the COVID-19 pandemic in the USA (2022) (3)
- The Impact of Different Types of Violence on Ebola Virus Transmission During the 2018–2020 Outbreak in the Democratic Republic of the Congo (2020) (3)
- Sub-epidemic model forecasts for COVID-19 pandemic spread in the USA and European hotspots, February-May 2020 (2020) (3)
- On Stable Parameter Estimation and Forecasting in Epidemiology by the Levenberg–Marquardt Algorithm with Broyden’s Rank-one Updates for the Jacobian Operator (2019) (3)
- [Simulating measles and rubella elimination levels according to social stratification and interaction]. (2010) (3)
- Modeling the transmission of vancomycin-resistant enterococcus (VRE) in hospitals: A case study (2010) (3)
- Can the combination of TasP and PrEP eliminate HIV among MSM in British Columbia, Canada? (2021) (3)
- Late Surges in COVID-19 Cases and Varying Transmission Potential Partially Due to Public Health Policy Changes in 5 Western States, March 10, 2020, to January 10, 2021 (2021) (3)
- Time Reallocation and the Cost and Benefit of School Closures during an Epidemic (2021) (3)
- ' s response to reviews Title : Planning for the next influenza H 1 N 1 season : a modelling study (2010) (3)
- Understanding Spatial Heterogeneity of COVID-19 Pandemic Using Shape Analysis of Growth Rate Curves (Preprint) (2020) (3)
- Authors’ reply: Feedback from modelling to surveillance of Ebola virus disease (2014) (3)
- Authors’ reply: Feedback from modelling to surveillance of Ebola virus disease (2014) (3)
- Commentary: lessons learned from case fatality risk estimates of 2009 pandemic influenza. (2013) (3)
- The burden of influenza and respiratory syncytial viruses in Japan, 2006–2014: A region- and age-specific excess mortality study (2019) (3)
- Erratum To: Accounting for Behavioral Responses during a Flu Epidemic Using Home Television Viewing (2016) (2)
- The doubling time analysis for modified infectious disease Richards model with applications to COVID-19 pandemic. (2022) (2)
- Harnessing testing strategies and public health measures to avert COVID-19 outbreaks during ocean cruises (2021) (2)
- SARS-CoV-2 Transmission Potential and Policy Changes in South Carolina, February 2020 – January 2021 (2021) (2)
- An investigation of spatial-temporal patterns and predictions of the coronavirus 2019 pandemic in Colombia, 2020–2021 (2022) (2)
- A Twitter Dataset of 179+ million tweets related to COVID-19 for open research (2020) (2)
- A Review of Herald Pandemic Waves in 1918: Importance for Contemporary Pandemic Response Strategies (2018) (2)
- Investigating COVID-19 transmission and mortality differences between indigenous and non-indigenous populations in Mexico (2022) (2)
- Toward unbiased assessment of treatment and prevention: modeling household transmission of pandemic influenza (2012) (2)
- We could learn much more from 1918 pandemic-the (mis)fortune of research relying on original death certificates. (2018) (2)
- Time-varying Reproduction Numbers of COVID-19 in Georgia, USA, March 2, 2020 to November 20, 2020. (2021) (2)
- Geospatial Variability in Excess Death Rates during the COVID-19 Pandemic in Mexico: Examining Socio Demographic and Population Health Characteristics (2021) (2)
- An ensemble n-sub-epidemic modeling framework for short-term forecasting epidemic trajectories: Application to the COVID-19 pandemic in the USA (2022) (2)
- The Nicaraguan Pediatric Influenza Cohort Study, 2011-2019: influenza incidence, seasonality, and transmission. (2022) (2)
- Comparative epidemiology of five waves of COVID-19 in Mexico, March 2020–August 2022 (2022) (2)
- Transmissibility of 2019 Novel Coronavirus: zoonotic vs. human to human transmission, China, 2019-2020 (2020) (2)
- A discrete events delay differential system model for transmission of Vancomycin-resistant enterococcus (VRE) in hospitals (2010) (2)
- Modeling Optimal Age-Specific Vaccination Strategies Against Pandemic Influenza (2011) (2)
- Spatial-temporal transmission dynamics and control of infectious diseases: Ebola virus disease (EVD) as a case study (2018) (1)
- SARS-CoV-2 transmission potential and rural-urban disease burden disparities across Alabama, Louisiana, and Mississippi, March 2020 — May 2021 (2021) (1)
- The Control Reproduction Number and Case-underreporting of Visceral Leishmaniasis in Bihar, India (2009) (1)
- Pesticide application, educational treatment and infectious respiratory diseases: A mechanistic model with two impulsive controls (2020) (1)
- Regional variability in time-varying transmission potential of COVID-19 in South Korea (2020) (1)
- Modeling infections and deaths averted due to COVID-19 vaccination strategies in Ghana (2022) (1)
- A Large-Scale COVID-19 Twitter Chatter Dataset for Open Scientific Research—An International Collaboration (2021) (1)
- Assessing parameter identifiability in compartmental dynamic models using a computational approach: application to infectious disease transmission models (2019) (1)
- Spatial and temporal variability in the transmission potential of COVID-19 in South Korea including the second wave in the greater Seoul area, February to July 2020 (2020) (1)
- Mechanistic Models with Spatial Structures and Reactive Behavior Change (2019) (1)
- Shortening treatment of tuberculosis: lessons from fl uoroquinolone trials (2015) (1)
- PLOS Medicine 2015 Reviewer Thank You (2016) (1)
- Risk Factors for Mortality among 2009 A / H 1 N 1 Influenza Hospitalizations inMaricopa County , Arizona , April 2009 toMarch 2010 (2014) (1)
- Scaling Laws and Dynamics of Sexual Activity with Interracial and Multi-Ethnic Mixing (2003) (1)
- Stillbirth Risk during the 1918 Influenza Pandemic in Arizona, USA (2020) (1)
- Feedback from modelling to surveillance of Ebola virus disease. (2014) (1)
- Transmission of SARS-CoV-2 in Georgia, USA, 2020 (2020) (1)
- Systematic comparison of epidemic growth patterns using two different estimation approaches (2020) (1)
- Monitoring Different Social Media Platforms to Report Unplanned School Closures Due to Wildfires in California, October and December 2017 (2022) (1)
- From the Guest Editors: Special issue dedicated to Carlos Castillo-Chavez on his 60th birthday (2013) (1)
- Optimization of Epidemiologic Interventions: Evaluation of Spatial and Non-Spatial Methods That Identify Johne’s Disease-Infected Subpopulations Targeted for Intervention (2008) (1)
- From the guest editors. (2013) (1)
- The Spanish Influenza in Madrid:Neighborhood variation in excess mortality across three waves (2018) (1)
- Chapter 2 Worst-Case Scenarios and Epidem ics (2008) (1)
- Disease Dynamics on Small-World and Other Networks (2001) (1)
- Numerical study of discretization algorithms for stable estimation of disease parameters and epidemic forecasting. (2019) (1)
- An epidemic model for Acute Hemorrhagic Conjunctivitis : Application to a 2003 outbreak in Mexico (2005) (0)
- Manuscript Characterizing all-cause excess mortality patterns during COVID-19 pandemic 1 in Mexico 2 (2021) (0)
- Quantifying the fitness of antiviral-resistant influenza strains. (2017) (0)
- A Look at the Change in the Seasonality of Influenza between Three Distinct Regions of Uganda: Central, Northwest, and Western (2017) (0)
- Death Patt erns during the 1918 Influe nza Pandemic in Chile (2014) (0)
- Age-specific mortality and the role of living remotely: The 1918-20 influenza pandemic in Kautokeino and Karasjok, Norway (2023) (0)
- Preface to the Second Edition (2005) (0)
- Evaluating the potential impact of targeted vaccination strategies against severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus (SARS-CoV) and Middle East respiratory syndrome coronavirus (MERS-CoV) outbreaks in the healthcare setting (2019) (0)
- Mask-Ematics: Modeling the Effects of Masks in COVID-19 Transmission in High-Risk Environments (2021) (0)
- Estimation of Dog-bite rates and evaluation of Healthcare Seeking Behaviors following dog bite, Haiti (2018) (0)
- Community structure and temporal dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 epistatic network allows for early detection of emerging variants with altered phenotypes (2023) (0)
- Random Counts and Counting Processes (2019) (0)
- Numerical solution of some models for hantavirus infection in rodents with PDE involving non-local convection (2017) (0)
- Performance of phenomenological models for real-time forecasting the COVID-19 epidemic (2020) (0)
- Some Statistical Issues (2019) (0)
- Himmelfarb Health Sciences Library, Th e George Washington University Health Sciences Research Commons (2013) (0)
- Economic evaluations of interventions against influenza at workplaces: systematic review. (2021) (0)
- Characterizing Outbreak Trajectories and the Effective Reproduction Number (2019) (0)
- Advances in Ebola Virus (2016) (0)
- An inverse problem formulation methodology for stochastic models (2010) (0)
- Deterministic and Stochastic Reaction-Diffusion Models in a Ring (2000) (0)
- Asymptomatic Transmission and the Dynamics of Zika Infection (2017) (0)
- Sub-epidemic Model Forecasts During the First Wave of the COVID-19 Pandemic in the USA and European Hotspots (2022) (0)
- Real-time forecasting the trajectory of monkeypox outbreaks at the national and global levels, July–October 2022 (2022) (0)
- Mathematical Modeling and Analysis The Transmissibility of the Spanish Flu Pandemic in Geneva , Switzerland (0)
- Getting to zero in the DR Congo Ebola outbreak. (2020) (0)
- Impact of public health policy and mobility change on transmission potential of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 in Rhode Island, March 2020 - November 2021. (2023) (0)
- Review 2: "The infection fatality rate of COVID-19 inferred from seroprevalence data" (2020) (0)
- Shapes of Hazard Functions and Lifetime Distributions (2019) (0)
- More Complex Models and Control Measures (2019) (0)
- The Spanish Influenza in Madrid 1918-1920 (2018) (0)
- Mathematical models to elucidate the transmission dynamics and control of vector-borne disease (2016) (0)
- WITHDRAWN: Intense Seasonal A/H1N1 Influenza in Mexico, Winter 2013-2014. (2014) (0)
- Age-Stratified Model to Assess Health Outcomes of COVID-19 Vaccination Strategies, Ghana (2023) (0)
- 2017 Perspectives on model forecasts of the 2014 – 2015 Ebola epidemic in West Africa : lessons and the way forward (2017) (0)
- Deterministic and Stochastic Reaction-Diffusion ~Aodels in a Iling (2012) (0)
- Number R 0 and Effectiveness of Reactive Interventions during Dengue Epidemics : The 2002 Dengue Outbreak in Easter Island , Chile (2015) (0)
- Spatio-temporal and socio-demographic patterns of Chikungunya, Dengue, and Zikainfections in Mexico in 2016–2017 (2019) (0)
- The 1918-19 Spanish Influenza Virus in Madrid: Estimating Urban Pandemic Mortality and its Relation to Socioeconomic Disparities (2017) (0)
- Excess mortality in Ukraine during the course of COVID-19 pandemic in 2020–2021 (2023) (0)
- Roskilde University Perspectives on model forecasts of the 2014-2015 Ebola epidemic in West Africa lessons and the way forward (2017) (0)
- Early transmission dynamics of COVID-19 in Chile: From sub-exponential ascending growth dynamics to a stationary disease wave, March-April, 2020 (2020) (0)
- An investigation of spatial-temporal patterns and predictions of the COVID-19 pandemic in Colombia, 2020-2021 (2021) (0)
- Forecasting Epidemics Through Nonparametric Estimation of Time-Dependent Transmission Rates Using the SEIR Model (2017) (0)
- A MATLAB toolbox to fit and forecast growth trajectories using phenomenological growth models: Application to epidemic outbreaks (2023) (0)
- Behaviors of a Disease Outbreak During the Initial Phase and the Branching Process Approximation (2019) (0)
- Examining the Impact of Increasing Vaccine Coverage and Nonpharmaceutical Interventions against Coronavirus Disease 2019 In Ghana using Mathematical Modeling (2022) (0)
- SIRTEM: Spatially Informed Rapid Testing for Epidemic Modeling and Response to COVID-19 (2022) (0)
- On December 31, 2019, the regional office of the World Health Organization (WHO) was notified of a cluster of pneumonia cases of unknown origin associated with a market in Wuhan, China (2020) (0)
- Evaluating the Number of Sickbeds During Ebola Epidemics Using Optimal Control Theory (2016) (0)
- Learning from the past to prepare for the future: Modeling the impact of hypothetical interventions during the great influenza pandemic of 1918 (2008) (0)
- Spanish Influenza in Spain: Re-examining strength and timing differences across space (2018) (0)
- Using Simple Dynamic Analytic Framework To Characterize And Forecast Epidemics (2020) (0)
- 100th Anniversary of the 1918 Influenza Pandemic: Prevention and Control of Communicable Disease Then and Now (2018) (0)
- Data for: Assessing reporting delays and the effective reproduction number: The 2018 Ebola epidemic in DRC, May-November, 2018 (2019) (0)
- Structural identifiability analysis of epidemic models based on differential equations: A Primer (2022) (0)
- Estimating a mortality baseline from limited data: The Spanish Influenza in Madrid (2019) (0)
- A new A/H1N1 influenza virus strain. Preface. (2011) (0)
- Exploring Social Media Network Connections to Assist During Public Health Emergency Response: A Retrospective Case-Study of Hurricane Matthew and Twitter Users in Georgia, USA (2023) (0)
- ' s report Title : Age-prioritized use of antivirals during an influenza pandemic Version : 1 Date : 17 May 2009 (0)
- Pediatric burden and seasonality of human metapneumovirus over 5 years in Managua, Nicaragua (2022) (0)
- Introduction (2019) (0)
- CORNELL UNIV., DEPT. OF BIOMETRICS TECHNICAL REPORT BU-1588-M (2001) (0)
- Systematic Comparison of Parameter Estimation Approaches Using the Generalized-growth Model for Prediction of Epidemic Outbreaks (2019) (0)
- Thank you to The LANCET Regional Health - Americas’s clinical and statistical peer reviewers in 2021 (2022) (0)
- Chapter 2 Worst-Case Scenarios and (2015) (0)
- SARS-CoV-2 Transmission in Alberta, British Columbia, and Ontario, Canada, January 1-July 6, 2020 (2020) (0)
- From the big three to the big four (2015) (0)
- Theoretical perspectives on the infectiousness of Ebola virus disease (2015) (0)
- RAAS Inhibitors and Risk of Covid-19. (2020) (0)
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