J. Scott Armstrong | Academic Influence

J. Scott Armstrong's AcademicInfluence.com Rankings

J. Scott Armstrong

Business

#89

World Rank

#102

Historical Rank

#57

USA Rank

Marketing

#13

World Rank

#13

Historical Rank

#9

USA Rank

Accounting

#15

World Rank

#18

Historical Rank

#7

USA Rank

Management

#25

World Rank

#29

Historical Rank

#17

USA Rank

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J. Scott Armstrong's Degrees

Masters Management Columbia University
Bachelors Industrial Engineering Columbia University

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Why Is J. Scott Armstrong Influential?

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According to Wikipedia, John Scott Armstrong was an author, forecasting and marketing expert, and an Emeritus Professor of Marketing at the Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania. Armstrong's research and writing in forecasting promote the ideas that in order to maximize accuracy, forecasting methods should rely on evidence-based methods.

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J. Scott Armstrong's Published Works

Number of citations in a given year to any of this author's works

Total number of citations to an author for the works they published in a given year. This highlights publication of the most important work(s) by the author

Published Works

Estimating Nonresponse Bias in Mail Surveys (1977) (11106)
Estimating nonresponse bias in mail surveys. (1977) (5592)
Harvard Business Review: David M. Georgoff and Robert G. Murdick, manager's guide to forecasting, 64 (Jan-Feb.) (1986) 110-120 (1988) (1394)
Error Measures for Generalizing About Forecasting Methods: Empirical Comparisons (1992) (1259)
Principles of forecasting : a handbook for researchers and practitioners (2001) (741)
Principles of forecasting (2001) (642)
The value of formal planning for strategic decisions: Review of empirical research (1982) (578)
Long-Range Forecasting: From Crystal Ball to Computer (1981) (478)
Replications and Extensions in Marketing - Rarely Published But Quite Contrary (1994) (419)
Combining Forecasts (2001) (389)
Illusions in Regression Analysis (2011) (350)
Competitor Orientation: Effects of Objectives and Information on Managerial Decisions and Profitability (1996) (338)
Rule-Based Forecasting: Development and Validation of an Expert Systems Approach to Combining Time Series Extrapolations (1992) (305)
Replication research's disturbing trend (2007) (275)
Peer review for journals: Evidence on quality control, fairness, and innovation (1997) (245)
Long-Range Forecasting. (1979) (226)
Unintelligible Management Research and Academic Prestige (1980) (217)
Monetary Incentives in Mail Surveys (1975) (216)
Methods to Elicit Forecasts from Groups: Delphi and Prediction Markets Compared (2007) (212)
Findings from Evidence-Based Forecasting: Methods for Reducing Forecast Error (2006) (208)
Comparing face-to-face meetings, nominal groups, Delphi and prediction markets on an estimation task (2011) (200)
Sales Forecasts for Existing Consumer Products and Services: Do Purchase Intentions Contribute to Accuracy? (2000) (199)
Evaluating Forecasting Methods (2001) (185)
Combining forecasts: The end of the beginning or the beginning of the end? (1989) (176)
Social Irresponsibility in Management (1977) (175)
Research on Scientific Journals: Implications for Editors and Authors (2005) (172)
Significance Tests Harm Progress in Forecasting (2007) (169)
Beyond Accuracy: Comparison of Criteria Used to Select Forecasting Methods (1995) (165)
The Use of the Decomposition Principle in Making Judgments (1975) (162)
Combining Forecasts: An Application to Elections (2013) (161)
Barriers to scientific contributions: The author's formula (1982) (153)
Derivation of Theory by Means of Factor Analysis or Tom Swift and His Electric Factor Analysis Machine (2015) (151)
On the Interpretation of Factor Analysis (1968) (144)
On the Selection of Error Measures for Comparisons Among Forecasting Methods (2005) (142)
Evaluation of Extrapolative Forecasting Methods: Results of a Survey of Academicians and Practitioners (1982) (140)
Advocacy and Objectivity in Science (1979) (137)
The Value of Formal Planning for Strategic Decisions: A Reply (1986) (137)
Hypotheses in Marketing Science: Literature Review and Publication Audit (2005) (137)
Forecasting by Extrapolation: Conclusions from 25 Years of Research (1984) (135)
Structured Analogies for Forecasting (2007) (124)
Effects of Corporate Social Responsibility and Irresponsibility Policies (2012) (121)
Integration of Statistical Methods and Judgment for Time Series Forecasting: Principles from Empirical Research (2004) (119)
Competitor-Oriented Objectives: Myth of Market Share (2007) (110)
Effects of Portfolio Planning Methods on Decision Making: Experimental Results (1994) (109)
The Seer-Sucker Theory: The Value of Experts in Forecasting (2005) (108)
Don A. Dillman, Mail and Telephone Surveys, New York: John Wiley & Sons, 1978 (1981) (107)
Persuasive Advertising: Evidence-based Principles (2010) (107)
Automatic Identification of Time Series Features for Rule-Based Forecasting (2001) (97)
Relative Accuracy of Judgmental and Extrapolative Methods in Forecasting Annual Earnings (1983) (96)
Causal Forces: Structuring Knowledge for Time-Series Extrapolation (1993) (95)
Forecasting with Econometric Methods: Folklore Versus Fact (1978) (91)
Forecasting Methods for Marketing: Review of Empirical Research (1987) (89)
JUDGMENTAL BOOTSTRAPPING: INFERRING EXPERTS' RULES FOR FORECASTING (2001) (88)
The Ombudsman: Research on Forecasting: A Quarter-Century Review, 1960--1984 (1986) (86)
Golden Rule of Forecasting: Be Conservative (2015) (83)
Discovery and Communication of Important Marketing Findings: Evidence and Proposals (2005) (80)
Advocacy as a Scientific Strategy: The Mitroff Myth (1980) (77)
The Ombudsman: Verification of Citations: Fawlty Towers of Knowledge? (2008) (76)
Are null results becoming an endangered species in marketing? (1992) (75)
Research Needs in Forecasting (1988) (75)
Book Review of No Contest: The Case Against Competition by Alfie Kohn Boston: Houghton Mifflin, 1986 (2005) (72)
Standards and Practices for Forecasting (2001) (70)
Role Playing: A Method to Forecast Decisions (2001) (68)
How to avoid exploratory research (2005) (67)
Expert Opinions About Extrapolation and the Mystery of the Overlooked Discontinuities (1992) (66)
Principles involving marketing policies: An empirical assessment (1993) (65)
Brief vs. Comprehensive Descriptions in Measuring Intentions to Purchase (1971) (64)
Demand Forecasting: Evidence-Based Methods (2005) (63)
Intentional Changes: A Fresh Approach to Helping People Change (1983) (62)
Why We Don't Really Know What Statistical Significance Means: Implications for Educators (2006) (59)
Predicting Elections from Biographical Information About Candidates: A Test of the Index Method (2010) (58)
Extrapolation for Time-Series and Cross-Sectional Data (2009) (57)
Predicting Elections from the Most Important Issue: A Test of the Take-the-Best Heuristic (2011) (56)
Are Student Ratings of Instruction Useful? (2005) (56)
Rule-Based Forecasting: Using Judgment in Time-Series Extrapolation (2001) (56)
Research Report - Principles for Examining Predictive Validity: The Case of Information Systems Spending Forecasts (1994) (56)
Review of Daniel Kahnemann, Paul Slovic, and Amos Tversky (eds.), Judgment Under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1984) (56)
Publication Bias against Null Results (1997) (55)
How to Make Better Forecasts and Decisions: Avoid Face-to-Face Meetings (2007) (55)
Is Review by Peers as Fair as it Appears? (1982) (55)
Forecasting for Marketing (2005) (54)
Commentary on the Makridakis Time Series Competition (M-Competition) (2005) (53)
A Comparative Study of Methods for Long-Range Market Forecasting (1972) (51)
Decomposition by Causal Forces: A Procedure for Forecasting Complex Time Series (2005) (51)
An Application of Rule-Based Forecasting to a Situation Lacking Domain Knowledge (2000) (49)
The Ombudsman: Reaping Benefits from Management Research: Lessons from the Forecasting Principles Project (2003) (48)
Selecting Forecasting Methods (2009) (48)
Does the need for agreement among reviewers inhibit the publication controversial findings? (1991) (47)
Research with In-built replications: Comment and further suggestions for replication research (2013) (46)
An Application of Econometric Models to International Marketing (1970) (46)
Making Progress in Forecasting (2006) (45)
Expert Systems for Forecasting (2001) (43)
The Forecasting Canon: Nine Generalizations to Improve Forecast Accuracy (2005) (43)
Business School Prestige - Research Versus Teaching (2005) (42)
Role thinking: Standing in other people’s shoes to forecast decisions in conflicts (2009) (42)
Strategic Planning Improves Manufacturing Performance (1991) (41)
Predicting Job Performance: A Comparison of Expert Opinion and Research Findings (1989) (41)
Exploratory Analysis of Marketing Data: Trees vs. Regression (1970) (41)
Statistical Significance Tests are Unnecessary Even When Properly Done and Properly Interpreted: Reply to Commentaries (2007) (41)
The Ombudsman: Value of Expertise for Forecasting Decisions in Conflicts (2004) (40)
Evidence on the Effects of Mandatory Disclaimers in Advertising (2012) (40)
Replications of Forecasting Research (2009) (40)
Strategic Planning and Forecasting Fundamentals (2005) (40)
Management Folklore and Management Science - on Portfolio Planning, Escalation Bias, and Such (1996) (39)
Predicting elections from politicians’ faces (2010) (37)
Management science: D. Bunn and G. Wright, “Interaction of Judgmental and Statistical Forecasting Methods: Issues and Analysis”, 37 (1991) 501–518 (1992) (36)
Forecasting methods and principles: Evidence-based checklists (2018) (34)
Escalation bias: Does it extend to marketing? (1993) (31)
Validity of Climate Change Forecasting for Public Policy Decision Making (2009) (29)
Why We Don't Really Know What Statistical Significance Means: A Major Educational Failure (2006) (28)
Assessing Game Theory, Role Playing, and Unaided Judgment (2002) (28)
Using Quasi-Experimental Data To Develop Empirical Generalizations For Persuasive Advertising (2009) (28)
Judgmental Decomposition: When Does it Work? (1994) (28)
Evidence-based advertising (2011) (27)
Global Warming: Forecasts by Scientists Versus Scientific Forecasts (2007) (25)
Review of Barry J. Nalebuff and Adam N. Brandenburger, Co-opetition 1. Revolutionary Mindset that Redefines Competition and Co-operation 2. The Game Theory Strategy that's Changing the Game of Business (1997) (25)
Polar Bear Population Forecasts: A Public-Policy Forecasting Audit (2008) (25)
Evidence-based advertising An application to persuasion (2011) (24)
Replication Research in Marketing Revisited: A Note on a Disturbing Trend (2008) (24)
The Accuracy of Alternative Extrapolation Models: Analysis of a Forecasting Competition Through Open Peer Review (1983) (23)
Readability and prestige in scientific journals (1989) (23)
Accuracy of Combined Forecasts for the 2012 Presidential Election: The PollyVote (2014) (23)
Forecasting by Extrapolation: Conclusions from Twenty-five Years of Research (1984) (22)
Identification of Asymmetric Prediction Intervals Through Causal Forces (2001) (22)
Predictive Validity of Evidence-Based Persuasion Principles: An Application of the Index Method (2015) (22)
Potential Diffusion of Expert Systems in Forecasting (2001) (21)
Forecasting Elections from Voters' Perceptions of Candidates' Ability to Handle Issues (2012) (21)
Effectiveness of Monetary Incentives: Mail Surveys to Members of Multinational Professional Groups (1994) (21)
A Recap of the 2016 Election Forecasts (2017) (20)
Simple Versus Complex Forecasting: The Evidence (2015) (20)
Predicting Job Performance: The Moneyball Factor (2012) (19)
Evidence on the Value of Strategic Planning in Marketing: How Much Planning Should a Marketing Planner Plan? (2005) (19)
Verification of Citations: Fawlty Towers of Knowledge? (2007) (19)
Another Error Measure for Selection of the Best Forecasting Method : The Unbiased Absolute Percentage Error (2000) (18)
Publication of Research on Controversial Topics: The Early Acceptance Procedure (1996) (17)
Reaping Benefits from Management Research: Lessons from the Forecasting Principles Project, with Reply to Commentators (2005) (16)
Analyzing Quantitative Models (1974) (16)
Forecasting Principles (2011) (16)
International journal of public administration: Lance Eliot Brouthers, parties, ideology and elections: The politics of federal revenues and expenditures forecasting, 8 (1986) 289-314 (1988) (15)
Index Methods for Forecasting: An Application to the American Presidential Elections (2006) (15)
Long-Range Forecasting, 2nd. Ed (2010) (14)
Strategies for Implementing Change: An Experiential Approach (1982) (14)
Are Top Executives Paid Enough? An Evidence-Based Review (2013) (14)
How We Computed the Pollyvote (2005) (14)
Book Review: Snapshots from Hell (1995) (13)
Does an Academic Research Paper Contain Useful Knowledge? No (P<.05) (2008) (13)
Forecasting for Environmental Decision Making (1999) (12)
The Ombudsman: Are Top Executives Paid Enough? An Evidence-Based Review (2013) (12)
Review of Don A. Dillman's Mail and Telephone Surveys, New York: John Wiley & Sons, 1978 (2005) (12)
Portfolio Planning Methods: Faulty Approach or Faulty Research? A Rejoinder to 'Making Better Decisions' by Wensley (2005) (12)
Predicting Elections from Biographical Information about Candidates (2009) (11)
Demand Forecasting: Evidence-based Methods A chapter for the forthcoming book Strategic Marketing M.anagement: A Business Process Approach, edited by Luiz Moutinho and Geoff Southern. (2005) (11)
Judgment under uncertainty: heuristics and biases, Kahneman, Daniel, Slovic, Paul and Tversky, Amos (eds), New York and Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1982. Price: £25/45 (Hardback), £9.95/$15 (Paperback). Pages: 555 (1984) (11)
A Note on the Use of Markov Chains in Forecasting Store Choice (1969) (11)
Decomposition of time-series by level and change (2015) (11)
Forecasting Elections Using Expert Surveys: An Application to U.S. Presidential Elections (2008) (10)
Conditions Under Which Index Models are Useful: Reply to Bio-Index Commentaries (2008) (10)
Combining forecasts: An Application to Election Forecasts (2011) (9)
How Expert are the Experts? (1981) (9)
Management Science: What Does it Have to Do with Management or Science? (2005) (9)
Long-Range Forecasting for International Markets: The Use of Causal Models (1968) (9)
Golden Rule of Forecasting Rearticulated: Forecast Unto Others as You Would Have Them Forecast Unto You (2015) (8)
Assessing the 2016 U.S. Presidential Election Popular Vote Forecasts (2017) (8)
Long-Range Forecasting (2nd Edition) (1985) (8)
Learner Responsibility in Management Education, or Ventures into Forbidden Research (with Comments) (2005) (8)
Heuristics, biases and improvement strategies in judgmental time series: P. Goodwin and G. Wright, 1994, Omega, 22, 553–568 (1996) (8)
Sales Forecasting (2008) (8)
Cheating in Management Science (2005) (8)
The Natural Learning Project (2005) (7)
Forecasting Methods for Conflict Situations (2008) (7)
Generalization and Communication Issues in the Use of Error Measures: A Reply (1992) (7)
Constructing Television Communities: The FCC, Signals, and Cities, 1948–1957 (2007) (7)
Rule-Based Forecasting: Using domain knowledge in time series extrapolation (2001) (6)
Organizational behavior and human decision processes: Wagenaar, Willem A. and G.B. Keren, “The seat belt paradox: Effect off accepted roles on information seeking,”, 38 (1986), 1–6 (1988) (6)
Consumer Response to a Legitimated Brand Appeal (1968) (6)
Introduction to Paper and Commentaries on the Delphi Technique (2008) (6)
Book Review: Co-opetition (1997) (6)
Would Mandatory Attendance Be Effective for Economics Classes? (2004) (6)
Combined Forecasts of the 2008 Election: The Pollyvote (2009) (6)
Persuasion Principles Index: Ready for Pretesting Advertisements (2015) (6)
The Ombudsman: Cheating in Management Science (1983) (6)
On the Effectiveness of Marketing Planning (1989) (6)
How Should Firms Select Advertising Agencies (2011) (5)
Guidelines for Science: Evidence and Checklists (2017) (5)
The fertile field of meta-analysis: Cumulative progress in agricultural forecasting (1994) (5)
Factors Influencing Academic Research Productivity: A Survey of Management Scientists (2008) (5)
Review of Corporate Strategic Planning (1990) (5)
Forecasting practices in US corporations: Survey results : Nada Sanders and Karl B. Manrodt, 1994, interfaces, 24, 92-100 (1994) (5)
The Profitability of Winning (2008) (5)
Research on Forecasting for the Manmade Global Warming Alarm (2011) (5)
Combining forecasts: An application to U.S. Presidential Elections (2010) (5)
Communication of Research on Forecasting: The Journal (1988) (5)
Planning Special Events (2001) (5)
The Panalba Role Playing Case (2005) (5)
Brand Trial after a Credibility Change (2005) (5)
Uncertainty, the Precautionary Principle, and Climate Change (2008) (4)
The impact of empirical accuracy studies on time series analysis and forecasting: R. Fildes and S. Makridakis, 1995, International Statistical Review, 63, 289–308 (1997) (4)
Competition vs. Profitability (2008) (4)
Class of Mail Does Affect Response Rates to Mailed Questionnaires: Evidence from Meta-analysis (2005) (4)
Quality Control Versus Innovation in Research on Marketing (1995) (4)
Answers to Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ) in Forecasting (2008) (4)
Should We Redesign Forecasting Competitions? (2005) (4)
The Manager's Dilemma: Role Conflict in Marketing (2005) (4)
Toward computer-aided forecasting systems: gathering, coding, and validating the knowledge (2008) (4)
Accuracy gains from conservative forecasting: Tests using variations of 19 econometric models to predict 154 elections in 10 countries (2019) (4)
How Serious are Methodological Issues in Surveys? A Reexamination of the Clarence Thomas Polls (2005) (4)
The forecasting accuracy of market share models using predicted values of competitive marketing behavior (1991) (4)
Why the 1936 literary digest poll failed: Peverill Squire, Public Opinion Quarterly 52 (1988) 125–133 (1989) (3)
Effects of the global warming alarm: A forecasting project using the structured analogies method (2009) (3)
Role Conflict: Society's Dilemma with Excellence in Marketing (2008) (3)
Demand Forecasting II : Evidence-Based Methods and Checklists (2017) (3)
Forecasting Elections from Voters' Perceptions of Candidates' Positions on Issues and Policies (2008) (3)
Designing and Using Experiential Exercises (1977) (3)
Econometric Forecasting and the Science Court (1978) (3)
Commentary on 'Generalizing About Univariate Forecasting Methods: Further Empirical Evidence' (2008) (3)
The Forecasting Dictionary Updated : October 23 , 2000 (3)
Long-Range Forecasting for a Consumer Durable in an International Market (2011) (3)
Incentives for Developing and Communicating Principles: A Reply (2005) (3)
DIFFUSION OF FORECASTING PRINCIPLES : AN ASSESSMENT OF FORECASTING SOFTWARE PROGRAMS (2003) (3)
Damped Seasonality Factors: Introduction (2004) (2)
Journal of personality and social psychology: Osberg, Timothy M. and J. Sidney Shrauger, Self-prediction: Exploring the parameters of accuracy, 51 (1986), 1044-1057 (1988) (2)
Exploratory Analysis of Marketing Data: A Reply (1971) (2)
Eclectic Research and Construct Validation (2005) (2)
Forecasts of the 2012 US Presidential Election based on Candidates’ Perceived Competence in Handling the Most Important Issue* (2013) (2)
Evidence-Based Forecasting for Climate Change (2013) (2)
The PollyVote Forecast for the 2016 American Presidential Election (2016) (2)
Improving Current Sales Estimates with Econometric Models (1977) (2)
Improving Learning at Universities: Who is Responsible? (2005) (2)
Combined Forecasts of the 2012 Election: The PollyVote (2013) (2)
Review of Roy Batchelor: How useful are the forecasts of intergovernmental agencies? The IMF and OECD versus the consensus (2002) (2)
Conditions Under Which Index Models Are Useful (2010) (2)
Quantitative forecasting -- The state of the art: Econometric models : Robert Fildes, Journal of the Operational Research Society 36, 549-580 (1986) (2)
An analysis of the accuracy ot "trial heat" polls during the 1992 presidential election: Richard R. Lau, 1994, Public opinion quarterly, 58, 2-20 (1994) (2)
11-21-2011 Illusions in Regression Analysis (2014) (2)
Combining Forecasts for U.S. Presidential Elections: The Pollyvote (2009) (2)
Why Can't a Game Be More Like a Business? A Review of Co-Opetition by Brandenburger and Nalebuff (2005) (2)
Review of Anthony Pratkanis and Elliot Aronson, Age of Propaganda: The Everyday Use and Abuse of Persuasion (2003) (2)
Why Can’t a Game Be More Like a Business? (1997) (2)
Published in Psychological Bulletin, 70 (5), 1968, 361-364. On the Interpretation of Factor Analysis (1968) (2)
Editorial Policies for the Publication of Controversial Findings (1992) (2)
Improving Causal Models for Election Forecasting: Further Evidence on the Golden Rule of Forecasting (2014) (2)
Review of: Predicting Presidential Elections and Other Things (2003) (2)
The Global Warming Alarm: Forecasts from the Structured Analogies Method (2011) (2)
Book Review: Corporate Strategic Planning (1990) (1)
Forecasting of Software Development Work Effort: Introduction (2007) (1)
Validation of Role Playing as a Predictive Technique for Conflict Situations. (1983) (1)
Do Judgmental Researchers Use their Own Research? A Review of Judgment Under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (2008) (1)
Review of Stanley Milgram's Obedience to Authority (1975) (1)
On Calculating the Value of Improved Forecast Accuracy (1985) (1)
Forecasting by extrapolation: Conclusions from 25 years of research, Armstrong J. Scott, in: Interfaces, 14. (1984), 52 (1985) (1)
Group decision making. Face-to-face meetings, nominal groups, Delphi, and prediction markets compared (2008) (1)
A Commentary on Error Measures (2008) (1)
FOR FORECASTING : AN APPLICATION TO THE AMERICAN PRESIDENTIAL ELECTIONS by (2006) (1)
The Carnival in Kingstree: A Bakhtinian Analysis of the Charlie Walker Obscenity Case (2012) (1)
Guidelines for Science : Evidence-based Checklists (2018) (1)
Review of Co-opetition by Adam M. Brandenburger and Barry J. Nalebuff (1997) (1)
Moneyball: A Message for Managers (2012) (1)
DEMAND FORECASTING: EVIDENCE-BASED METHODS Forthcoming in the Oxford Handbook in Managerial Economics Christopher R. Thomas and William F. Shughart II (Eds.) Subject to further revisions (2011) (1)
Bafflegab Pays (2008) (1)
Benchmark forecasts for climate change (2008) (1)
Cheating in Management Science (with Comments by M. K. Starr and M. J. Mahoney) (1983) (1)
What is the Appropriate Public-Policy Response to Uncertainty? (2008) (1)
Author ' s personal copy Structured analogies for forecasting (2007) (1)
Book Review: No Contest: The Case against Competition (1988) (1)
Golden Rule of Forecasting : Be Conservative 6 February 2014 Working Paper Draft (2014) (1)
Review of: Philip E. Tetlock. 2005. Expert Political Judgment: How Good is it? How Can We Know? (2008) (1)
Factors affecting new product forecasting accuracy in new firms: William B. Gartner, and Robert J. Thomas, 1993, Journal of Productive Innovation Management, 10, 35–52 (1996) (1)
Municipal forecasting practice: 'Demand' and 'supply' side perspectives" : Howard A. Frank and Jane McCollough, International Journal of Public Administration, 15 (1992) 1669-1696 (1993) (1)
Review of Randall Rothenberg, Where the Suckers Moon: An Advertising Story (1996) (1)
Commentary on "Generalizing About Univariate Forecasting Methods" (1998) (1)
The Devil, the Media, and Free Speech: Response to John Durham Peters' Courting the Abyss (2009) (1)
Why Didn’t Experts Pick M4-Competition Winner? (2019) (1)
1-1-1999 Forecasting for Marketing (2014) (1)
Predicting Presidential Elections and Other Things (2003) (1)
Book Review: Where the Suckers Moon: An Advertising Story (1996) (1)
Brand trial after a change in promotion credibility (1970) (1)
A review of : Persuasive Advertising : Evidence-based Principles (2011) (1)
1-1-2001 Standards and Practices for Forecasting (2014) (1)
The PollyVote Popular Vote Forecast for the 2020 US Presidential Election (2020) (1)
The Ombudsman: Is the Evidence Sufficient to Take Action on Executive Pay? Reply to Commentators (2013) (1)
Book Review: The Psychology of Judgment and Decision Making (1994) (1)
The validity of employment interviews: A comprehensive review and meta-analysis: Michael A. McDaniel, D.L. Whetzel, F.L. Schmidt and S.D. Maurer, 994, Journal of Applied Psychology, 79, 599-615 (1996) (1)
Review of Ravi Batra, The Great Depression of 1990 (1988) (1)
DERIDASC Scientific Background (2004) (0)
Book Review: Obedience to Authority (1975) (0)
Journal of business forecasting: John Hanke and Pam Weigand, 1994, What are business schools doing to educate forecasters, Fall, 10–12. (1996) (0)
PRINCIPLES OF FORECASTING (Book) (2002) (0)
The Scientific Method (2022) (0)
"How useful are the forecasts of intergovernmental agencies? The IMF and OECD versus the consensus": Batchelor, Roy (2001), Applied Economics, 33, pp. 225-235. E-mail address: R.A.Batchelor@city.bc.uk (2002) (0)
Review of Scott Plous, The Psychology of Judgment and Decision Making (1994) (0)
Review of Paul Blumberg, the Predatory Society: Deception in the American Marketplace New York (2005) (0)
Book Review: Age of Propaganda: The Everyday Use and Abuse of Persuasion (2003) (0)
The Case for Minimum Teaching Standards (2005) (0)
The Scenario Approach: Gaining Acceptance of the Forecast (0)
“Forecasting output with the composite leading index: A real time analysis”: Francis X. Diebold, and Glenn D. Rudebusch, Journal of the American Statistical Association, 86 (1991), 603–610 (1993) (0)
The Importance of Objectivity and Falsification in Management Science (1983) (0)
Finding public opinion data: A guide to sources : Tom W. Smith and Frederick D. Weil, Public Opinion Quarterly, 54 (1990), 609-626 (1993) (0)
The Graffiti Problem (2004) (0)
Public opinion quarterly : Jacob Shamir, preelection polls in Israel: Structural constraints on accuracy, 50 (1986) 62-75 (1988) (0)
RADIO AND TELEVISION WEATHER FORECASTING (1963) (0)
Book Review: Intentional Changes: A Fresh Approach to Helping People Change, by Allen Tough, Chicago: Follette Publishing Co., 1982 (2005) (0)
1 Guidelines for Science : Evidence and Checklists (2017) (0)
Book Review:Mail and Telephone Surveys. Don A. Dillman (1981) (0)
The indexes of consumer sentiment and cofidence: Leading or misleading guides to future buyer behavior: William L. Huth, D.R. Eppright and P.M. Taube, 1994, Journal of business research, 29, 199–206 (1994) (0)
Book Review: Liability: The Legal Revolution and Its Consequences (1990) (0)
Book Review: Market Segmentation (1975) (0)
Validity of an honeesty test in predicting theft among convenience store employees: H. John Bernardin and D.K. Cooke, 1993 Academy of Management Journal, 36, 1097-1108 (1996) (0)
Point of View: Peer Review of Scientific Papers (1984) (0)
Seasonal Time Series Forecasting Models based on Artificial Neural Network (2020) (0)
Review of Mail and Telephone Surveys (2005) (0)
The Case of the Detrimental Drug: Implications for the Stakeholder Theory of Directorship (2005) (0)
Forecasting Literature To 1978: Annotations and Ratings (1978) (0)
Reflections on Forecasting in the 1980's (2008) (0)
The War in Iraq: Should We Have Expected Better Forecasts? (2005) (0)
Public opinion quarterly : Steven J. Rosenstone, John Mark Hansen, and Donald R. Kinder, measuring change in personal economic well-being, 50 (1986) 176–192☆ (1988) (0)
“Exploratory Analysis of Marketing Data”: A Reply (1971) (0)
Forecasting Standards Checklist (2001) (0)
(Reprinted with permission from International Journal of Forecasting, 4 (1988), 449-465) Research Needs In Forecasting * (2001) (0)
Publishing Standards for Research in Forecasting (Editorial) (2008) (0)
Marketing Papers Wharton School April 2007 Significance Tests Harm Progress in Forecasting (2016) (0)
Published in Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 67, 2001, 93-103. Potential Diffusion of Expert Systems in Forecasting (2001) (0)
Reply to Miser's Commentary on 'Democracy Does NotMake Good Science: On Reforming Review Procedures for Management Science Journals' (2008) (0)
Decomposition by Causal Forces: An Application to Forecasting Highway Deaths (2000) (0)
Book Review: The Predatory Society: Deception in the American Marketplace (1990) (0)
Author Research Strategies ? Short-Range Forecasting ? Complex Methods ? (2001) (0)
The Graffiti Solution (2005) (0)
Journal of economic literature: Clifford Winston, 1993, Economic deregulation: Days of reckoning for microeconomists, 31, 1263-1289 (1996) (0)
Market Share Superstition (Letter) (2008) (0)
Public opinion quarterly : James B. Lemert, picking the winners: Politician vs. voter predictions of two controversial ballot measures, 50 (1986) 208-221 (1988) (0)
Is the Evidence Sufficient to Take Action on Executive Pay? Reply to Commentators (2013) (0)
4-1-2007 Significance Tests Harm Progress in Forecasting (2014) (0)
Forecasting (2011) (0)
Predicting insurance agent turnover using a video-based judgement test : Anthony T. Dalessio, 1994, Journal of Business an Psychology, 9, 23-32 (1996) (0)
Book Review of Corporate Strategic Planning, by Noel Capon, John U. Farley, and James M. Hulbert, New York: Columbia University Press, 1988 (1990) (0)
A cautionary tale about multiple regression : Milton Friedman (the appendix to "Alternative approaches to analyzing economic data' Milton Friedman and Anna J. Schwartz), American Economic Review 81 (1991) 48-49 (1991) (0)
Review of Paul Bloomberg, The Predatory Society: Deception in the American Marketplace (1990) (0)
1-1-2001 Should We Redesign Forecasting Competitions ? (2014) (0)
Omega 21: G.L. Riddington, (1993), Time varying coefficient models and their forecasting performance, 573-583 (1994) (0)
Naive vs. sophisticated methods of forecasting public library circulations: Terrence Brooks, Library and Information Science Research 6 (1984) 215-217 (1986) (0)
Peer review of scientific papers. (1984) (0)
Do Econometric Models Provide More Accurate Forecasts When They are More Conservative? A Test of Political Economy Models for Forecasting Elections (2015) (0)
The PollyVote’s Year-Ahead Forecast of the 2012 U.S. Presidential Election (2012) (0)
Commentary by J. Scott Armstrong on Fildes et al.: Generalizing about univariate forecasting methods: further empirical evidence (2005) (0)
Wharton School 1-1-1983 Strategic Planning and Forecasting Fundamentals (2016) (0)
Review of: Batchelor, Roy (2001), (2008) (0)
Bias Against Null Results (2001) (0)
Making Progress in Forecasting Forthcoming in the International Journal of Forecasting (2006) (0)
REVIEWS OF BOOKS ON FO RECASTING Principles of Forecasting Web Site (1984) (0)
Learning Versus Teaching: Reply to Commentaries (1994) (0)
Who Should Be Nominated to Run in the 2012 Presidential Election? Long-Term Forecasts Based on Candidates' Biographies (2011) (0)
Book reviewExpert political judgment: How good is it? How can we know?, P.E. Tetlock, Princeton University Press (2006), Paperback, 352 pp., ISBN: 978-0-691-12871-9 (2007) (0)
The 2016 Pollyvote Popular Vote Forecast: A Preliminary Analysis (2016) (0)
The great depression of 1990: Ravi Batra, (Simon and Schuster, New York, 1985) pp. 235, $14.95 (1988) (0)
Editorial: Reflections on forecasting in the 1980's (1989) (0)
Types of evidence (2010) (0)
Wharton School 6-17-2001 Combining forecasts (2016) (0)
Public opinion quarterly : William Buchanan, election predictions: An empirical assessment, 50 (1986) 222-227 (1988) (0)
Review of Ray Fair, Predicting Presidential Elections and Other Things (2003) (0)
Wharton School 1-24-2017 Guidelines for Science : Evidence and Checklists (2017) (0)
The uses and abuses of consensus forecasts : Stephen K. McNees,Journal of forecasting, 11 (1992) 703-710 (1993) (0)
Wharton School 12-1-2010 Forecasting Principles (2016) (0)
Forecasting presidential elections: Steven J. Rosenstone, (Yale University Press, New Haven, CT, 1983) $20.00, pp. 211 (1986) (0)
1 Principles of Forecasting : A Handbook for Researchers and Practitioners (2002) (0)
CONFORMANCE TO SCIENCE: A NEW APPROACH TO PEER REVIEW (2016) (0)
Review of Steven J. Rosenstone, Forecasting Presidential Elections (Published by Yale University Press, New Haven, Ct, 1983) (2005) (0)
An Application of Econometric Models to (2016) (0)
Should We Put a Price on Free Speech? (2012) (0)
Accuracy of judgmental forecasts: A comparison : R. Nada Sanders, Omega, 20 (1992) 353-364 (1993) (0)
Book Reviewed: Where the Suckers Moon: An Advertising Story, by Randall Rothenberg, New York: Alfred a. Knopf, 1994, 477 Pages. How Should Firms Select Advertising Agencies? (2005) (0)
Comment on “Pity the Poor Author” (1984) (0)
2 Significance Tests Harm Progress in Forecasting (2005) (0)
Review of Mail and Telephone Surveys by Don A. Dillman (1981) (0)
A game theory, role playing, and unaided judgment (2002) (0)
Consumer Response to a Legitimated Brand Appeal: A Preliminary Report (2018) (0)
Review of Peter W. Huber, Liability: The Legal Revolution and Its Consequences (2005) (0)
Demand Forecasting using Evidence-based Principles (2009) (0)
Market Share Superstitions (Letter) (1996) (0)
Methods for Forecasting : An Application to American Presidential Elections (2014) (0)
Review of Market Segmentation b Johan Arndt (1975) (0)
P.E. Tetlock, Expert political judgment: How good is it? How can we know?, Princeton University Press (2006) ISBN 978-0-691-12871-9 Paperback, 352 pp (2007) (0)
Wharton School 4-7-2011 Evidence-based Advertising (2016) (0)
A Note on the Interpretation of Factor Analysis, Or; Factor Analysis: What Good Is It? (2011) (0)
Market Response to the Legitimation of a Brand Appeal (2015) (0)
Reply to the Commentaries on "Evidence-based Advertising" (2011) (0)
Call for Nominations: The Armstrong Brilliance in Research in Marketing Award 2018 (2016) (0)
Tom Swift and His Electric Regression Analysis Machine: 1973 (1975) (0)
Democracy Does Not Make Good Science: On Reforming Review Procedures for Management Science Journals (1998) (0)
Policies for the Publication of Controversial Findings (2001) (0)
11-1-1968 On the interpretation of factor analysis (2016) (0)
How to Be Less Persuaded or More Persuasive: Review of Age of Propaganda: The Everyday Use and Abuse of Persuasion (2005) (0)
A case study of expert judgment: Economists probabilities versus base-rate model forecasts: Phillip A. Braun and Ilan Yaniv, Journal of behavioral decision making, 5 (1992), 217-231 (1993) (0)
Source: Adapted from an AMA proceedings paper, updated November 2001. The Panalba Role Playing Case (2001) (0)
Wharton School 8-1-1991 Strategic Planning Improves Manufacturing Performance (2016) (0)
Marketing letters: Barry L., Bayus, (1992), Have diffusion rates been accelerating over time? 3 215-226 (1994) (0)
Review of Alfie Kohn, No Contest: The Case Against Competition (1988) (0)
Review of Noel Capon, John U. Farley and James M. Hulbert, Corporate Strategic Planning (1990) (0)
Review of Stanley Milgram, Obedience to Authority, New York: Harper & Row, Publishers, 1974 (2005) (0)
5 Executive Summaries Papers 8 Network Analysis in Marketing (2004) (0)
Scholars of Marketing Science Bridging Asia and the World (2018) (0)
Commentary on 'Publishing Opinions: A Note on the Usefulness of Commentaries' (1984) (0)
The Quieted Voice: The Rise and Demise of Localism in American Radio (2007) (0)
Controversial Findings are Important to Managers (1996) (0)
The obsession to forecast: Pre-election polls in the Israeli press: Gabriel Weimann, Public opinion Quarterly, 54 (1990) 396–408.☆ (1991) (0)
How Practitioners Can Use Evidence-Based Findings: Reply to Commentaries (2007) (0)
Tables for Statistical Significance with Multiple Comparisons (1985) (0)
4-7-2011 Evidence-based Advertising (2014) (0)
Public opinion quarterly: Tom W. Smith and Frederick D. Weil, "Finding public opinion data: A guide to sources" 54 (1990) 609-626 (1988) (0)
How Practitioners Can Use Evidence-based Forecasting: Reply to Commentaries (2006) (0)

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