Joeri Rogelj
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Economics Mathematics
Joeri Rogelj's Degrees
- PhD Environmental Sciences ETH Zurich
- Masters Environmental Sciences ETH Zurich
- Bachelors Environmental Sciences ETH Zurich
Why Is Joeri Rogelj Influential?
(Suggest an Edit or Addition)According to Wikipedia, Joeri Rogelj is a Belgian climate scientist working on solutions to climate change. He explores how societies can transform towards sustainable futures. He is a Reader in Climate Science and Policy at the Centre for Environmental Policy and Director of Research at the Grantham Institute – Climate Change and Environment, both at Imperial College London. He is also affiliated with the International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis. He is an author of several climate reports by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change and the United Nations Environment Programme , and a member of the European Scientific Advisory Board for Climate Change.
Joeri Rogelj's Published Works
Number of citations in a given year to any of this author's works
Total number of citations to an author for the works they published in a given year. This highlights publication of the most important work(s) by the author
Published Works
- The Shared Socioeconomic Pathways and their energy, land use, and greenhouse gas emissions implications: An overview (2017) (2366)
- Climate Change 2013. The Physical Science Basis. Working Group I Contribution to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change - Abstract for decision-makers (2013) (2231)
- Paris Agreement climate proposals need a boost to keep warming well below 2 °C (2016) (2216)
- Biophysical and economic limits to negative CO2 emissions (2016) (967)
- Biophysical and economic limits to negative CO2 emissions (2016) (967)
- Mitigation pathways compatible with 1.5°C in the context of sustainable development (2018) (826)
- A roadmap for rapid decarbonization (2017) (780)
- Energy system transformations for limiting end-of-century warming to below 1.5 °C (2015) (777)
- Global warming under old and new scenarios using IPCC climate sensitivity range estimates (2012) (760)
- Scenarios towards limiting global mean temperature increase below 1.5 °C (2018) (688)
- Negative emissions—Part 2: Costs, potentials and side effects (2018) (687)
- Persistent growth of CO2 emissions and implications for reaching climate targets (2014) (639)
- Persistent growth of CO2 emissions and implications for reaching climate targets (2014) (639)
- Chapter 3: Impacts of 1.5ºC global warming on natural and human systems (2018) (628)
- A low energy demand scenario for meeting the 1.5 °C target and sustainable development goals without negative emission technologies (2018) (623)
- Differential climate impacts for policy-relevant limits to global warming: the case of 1.5 °C and 2 °C (2015) (528)
- The marker quantification of the Shared Socioeconomic Pathway 2: A middle-of-the-road scenario for the 21st century (2017) (516)
- Science and policy characteristics of the Paris Agreement temperature goal (2016) (485)
- Emission budgets and pathways consistent with limiting warming to 1.5 °C (2017) (435)
- Negative emissions—Part 1: Research landscape and synthesis (2018) (435)
- Current and future global climate impacts resulting from COVID-19 (2020) (382)
- Residual fossil CO2 emissions in 1.5–2 °C pathways (2018) (329)
- Probabilistic cost estimates for climate change mitigation (2013) (294)
- Differences between carbon budget estimates unravelled (2016) (278)
- Differences between carbon budget estimates unravelled (2016) (278)
- Can Paris pledges avert severe climate change? (2015) (276)
- Copenhagen Accord pledges are paltry (2010) (270)
- Connecting the sustainable development goals by their energy inter-linkages (2018) (263)
- A scientific critique of the two-degree climate change target (2016) (247)
- Emission pathways consistent with a 2[thinsp][deg]C global temperature limit (2011) (238)
- Equitable mitigation to achieve the Paris Agreement goals (2017) (231)
- A new scenario logic for the Paris Agreement long-term temperature goal (2019) (223)
- Zero emission targets as long-term global goals for climate protection (2015) (212)
- Estimating and tracking the remaining carbon budget for stringent climate targets (2019) (208)
- Emission pathways consistent with a 2 ◦ C global temperature limit (2011) (208)
- IPCC Fifth Assessment Synthesis Report-Climate Change 2014 Synthesis Report (2014) (204)
- 2020 emissions levels required to limit warming to below 2 °C (2013) (200)
- Characterizing half‐a‐degree difference: a review of methods for identifying regional climate responses to global warming targets (2017) (182)
- IPCC, 2013: Summary for Policymakers (2013) (164)
- Stranded on a low-carbon planet: Implications of climate policy for the phase-out of coal-based power plants (2015) (162)
- Turn down the heat : climate extremes, regional impacts, and the case for resilience - full report (2013) (159)
- Global exposure and vulnerability to multi-sector development and climate change hotspots (2018) (150)
- Net-zero emissions targets are vague: three ways to fix (2021) (137)
- Disentangling the effects of CO2 and short-lived climate forcer mitigation (2014) (131)
- A new scenario resource for integrated 1.5 °C research (2018) (130)
- Committed sea-level rise under the Paris Agreement and the legacy of delayed mitigation action (2017) (119)
- Current fossil fuel infrastructure does not yet commit us to 1.5 °C warming (2019) (116)
- Simulating the Earth system response to negative emissions (2016) (113)
- Emissions: world has four times the work or one-third of the time (2020) (112)
- The legacy of our CO2 emissions: a clash of scientific facts, politics and ethics (2015) (110)
- The many possible climates from the Paris Agreement’s aim of 1.5 °C warming (2018) (102)
- Pathways limiting warming to 1.5°C: a tale of turning around in no time? (2018) (91)
- The Antarctic Peninsula Under a 1.5°C Global Warming Scenario (2019) (88)
- Understanding the origin of Paris Agreement emission uncertainties (2017) (88)
- National post-2020 greenhouse gas targets and diversity-aware leadership (2015) (88)
- Policy trade-offs between climate mitigation and clean cook-stove access in South Asia (2016) (87)
- COVID-19 recovery funds dwarf clean energy investment needs (2020) (83)
- Mapping the climate change challenge (2016) (80)
- Impact of short-lived non-CO2 mitigation on carbon budgets for stabilizing global warming (2015) (80)
- Intergenerational inequities in exposure to climate extremes. (2021) (78)
- The world's biggest gamble (2016) (76)
- Implications of possible interpretations of ‘greenhouse gas balance’ in the Paris Agreement (2018) (75)
- Crop productivity changes in 1.5 °C and 2 °C worlds under climate sensitivity uncertainty (2018) (74)
- The UN's 'Sustainable Energy for All' initiative is compatible with a warming limit of 2 °C (2013) (72)
- The UN's 'Sustainable Energy for All' initiative is compatible with a warming limit of 2 °C (2013) (72)
- Carbon prices across countries (2018) (69)
- Is there warming in the pipeline? A multi-model analysis of the Zero Emissions Commitment from CO2 (2020) (69)
- Chapter 2: Mitigation pathways compatible with 1.5°C in the context of sustainable development (2018) (66)
- Analysis of the Copenhagen Accord pledges and its global climatic impacts—a snapshot of dissonant ambitions (2010) (66)
- Implications of potentially lower climate sensitivity on climate projections and policy (2014) (66)
- Halfway to Copenhagen, no way to 2 °C (2009) (65)
- Wave of net zero emission targets opens window to meeting the Paris Agreement (2021) (63)
- Summary for urban policymakers : What the IPCC Special Report on global warming of 1.5°C means for cities (2018) (63)
- Cost and attainability of meeting stringent climate targets without overshoot (2021) (62)
- Getting It Right Matters: Temperature Goal Interpretations in Geoscience Research (2017) (61)
- Carbon budgets and energy transition pathways (2016) (61)
- Negative emissions and international climate goals—learning from and about mitigation scenarios (2019) (57)
- Air-pollution emission ranges consistent with the representative concentration pathways (2014) (56)
- The cumulative carbon budget and its implications (2016) (52)
- Climate extremes, land–climate feedbacks and land-use forcing at 1.5°C (2018) (52)
- Reduced Complexity Model Intercomparison Project Phase 1: introduction and evaluation of global-mean temperature response (2020) (51)
- Energy modellers should explore extremes more systematically in scenarios (2020) (51)
- Energy system changes in 1.5 °C, well below 2 °C and 2 °C scenarios (2019) (49)
- Pandemic, War, and Global Energy Transitions (2022) (47)
- Geosciences after Paris (2016) (47)
- The effectiveness of net negative carbon dioxide emissions in reversing anthropogenic climate change (2016) (47)
- An integrated approach to quantifying uncertainties in the remaining carbon budget (2021) (47)
- Linking sea level rise and socioeconomic indicators under the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (2017) (46)
- The Zero Emissions Commitment Model Intercomparison Project (ZECMIP) contribution to C4MIP: quantifying committed climate changes following zero carbon emissions (2019) (43)
- Bridging the Emissions Gap: A UNEP Synthesis Report (2011) (41)
- A multi-model analysis of long-term emissions and warming implications of current mitigation efforts (2021) (41)
- Opportunities and challenges in using remaining carbon budgets to guide climate policy (2020) (39)
- Inclusive climate change mitigation and food security policy under 1.5 °C climate goal (2018) (38)
- Critical adjustment of land mitigation pathways for assessing countries’ climate progress (2021) (38)
- Can updated climate pledges limit warming well below 2°C? (2021) (38)
- Mitigation choices impact carbon budget size compatible with low temperature goals (2015) (36)
- Beyond the Numbers: Understanding the Transformation Induced by INDCs (2015) (36)
- Climate mitigation scenarios with persistent COVID-19-related energy demand changes (2021) (35)
- Early retirement of power plants in climate mitigation scenarios (2019) (34)
- Changes to Carbon Isotopes in Atmospheric CO2 Over the Industrial Era and Into the Future (2020) (32)
- Discrepancies in historical emissions point to a wider 2020 gap between 2 °C benchmarks and aggregated national mitigation pledges (2011) (32)
- The Climate Response to Emissions Reductions Due to COVID‐19: Initial Results From CovidMIP (2021) (30)
- Mitigation scenarios must cater to new users (2018) (28)
- National GHG emissions reduction pledges and 2°C: comparison of studies (2012) (27)
- Decision support for international climate policy - The PRIMAP emission module (2011) (27)
- Path Independence of Carbon Budgets When Meeting a Stringent Global Mean Temperature Target After an Overshoot (2019) (27)
- Global mean temperature indicators linked to warming levels avoiding climate risks (2018) (26)
- Recommended temperature metrics for carbon budget estimates, model evaluation and climate policy (2019) (24)
- Corrigendum: Energy system transformations for limiting end-of-century warming to below 1.5 °C (2016) (24)
- Key technological enablers for ambitious climate goals: insights from the IPCC special report on global warming of 1.5 °C (2019) (23)
- Reduced Complexity Model Intercomparison Project Phase 2: Synthesizing Earth System Knowledge for Probabilistic Climate Projections (2020) (23)
- Inconsistencies when applying novel metrics for emissions accounting to the Paris agreement (2019) (23)
- Reply to Comment on ‘Unintentional unfairness when applying new greenhouse gas emissions metrics at country level’ (2019) (22)
- Publisher Correction: Current and future global climate impacts resulting from COVID-19 (2020) (22)
- The Emissions Gap Report: Are the Copenhagen Accord pledges sufficient to limit global warming to 2 deg. C or 1.5 deg. C? A preliminary assessment (2010) (22)
- Energy system transformations for limiting (2016) (20)
- Sea-level commitment as a gauge for climate policy (2018) (20)
- Carbon price variations in 2°C scenarios explored (2017) (19)
- Summary for policymakers (2013) (19)
- Silicone v1.0.0: an open-source Python package for inferring missing emissions data for climate change research (2020) (18)
- Unintentional unfairness when applying new greenhouse gas emissions metrics at country level (2019) (18)
- The cost of mitigation revisited (2021) (16)
- A new generation of emissions scenarios should cover blind spots in the carbon budget space (2019) (16)
- Modifying emissions scenario projections to account for the effects of COVID-19: protocol for CovidMIP (2021) (16)
- Ten new insights in climate science 2021: a horizon scan (2021) (15)
- Indicate separate contributions of long-lived and short-lived greenhouse gases in emission targets (2022) (15)
- Where is the EU headed given its current climate policy? A stakeholder-driven model inter-comparison. (2021) (15)
- An emission pathway classification reflecting the Paris Agreement climate objectives (2022) (13)
- Modelling the multi-scaled nature of pest outbreaks (2019) (13)
- Near-term transition and longer-term physical climate risks of greenhouse gas emissions pathways (2021) (13)
- Impact of methane and black carbon mitigation on forcing and temperature: a multi-model scenario analysis (2020) (12)
- Economic damages from on-going climate change imply deeper near-term emission cuts (2020) (12)
- Reply to ‘Interpretations of the Paris climate target’ (2018) (10)
- The IPCC Sixth Assessment Report WGIII climate assessment of mitigation pathways: from emissions to global temperatures (2022) (9)
- Di ff erential climate impacts for policy-relevant limits to global warming : the case of 1 . 5 ◦ C and 2 ◦ (2015) (8)
- Uncertainty in carbon budget estimates due to internal climate variability (2020) (8)
- Correction: Corrigendum: Equitable mitigation to achieve the Paris Agreement goals (2017) (7)
- Closing the 2020 emissions gap: issues, options and strategies (2012) (7)
- ZERO IN ON the remaining carbon budget and decadal warming rates. The CONSTRAIN Project Annual Report 2019 (2019) (7)
- Radiative effects of reduced aerosol emissions during the COVID-19 pandemic and the future recovery (2020) (7)
- Corrigendum: Mitigation choices impact carbon budget size compatible with low temperature goals (2015 Environ. Res. Lett. 10 075003) (2016) (6)
- A low energy demand scenario for meeting the 1.5 °C target and sustainable development goals without negative emission technologies (2018) (6)
- Long-term economic benefits of stabilizing warming without overshoot – the ENGAGE model intercomparison (2021) (6)
- Modeling deep decarbonization: Robust energy policy and climate action (2020) (6)
- The Emissions Gap and its Implications - The Emissions Gap Report 2017 Chapter 3 (2017) (6)
- MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM Documentation - 2020 release (2020) (6)
- Modifying emission scenario projections to account for the effects of COVID-19: protocol for Covid-MIP (2020) (5)
- Regional Low-Emission Pathways from Global Models (2016) (5)
- Chapter Climate Change 2014 Synthesis Report Summary for Policymakers (2014) (5)
- Emissions estimations should embed a precautionary principle (2021) (5)
- Author Correction: Emission budgets and pathways consistent with limiting warming to 1.5 °C (2018) (4)
- Bridging the Gap – Enhancing mitigation ambition and action at G20 level and globally (2019) (4)
- Questions of bias in climate models (2014) (4)
- NGFS Climate Scenarios Database (2020) (4)
- Earth science: A holistic approach to climate targets (2013) (4)
- Turn down the heat : climate extremes, regional impacts, and the case for resilience - executive summary (2013) (3)
- Equitable mitigation to achieve the Paris Agreement goals (vol 7, pg 38, 2017) (2017) (3)
- Reduced Complexity Model Intercomparison Project (Phase 1) (2020) (3)
- Changes in IPCC Scenario Assessment Emulators Between SR1.5 and AR6 Unraveled (2022) (3)
- Emissions: world has four times the work or one-third of the time (2020) (3)
- Which emission pathways are consistent with a 2° C or 1.5° C temperature limit? (2010) (2)
- The emissions gap and its implications (2013) (2)
- Future emissions pathways consistent with limiting warming to 1.5°C (2016) (2)
- Corrigendum: Probabilistic cost estimates for climate change mitigation (2014) (2)
- COP26 was a success for climate science, we need to build from this (2022) (2)
- The role of energy in mitigating grain storage losses in India and the impact for nutrition (2020) (2)
- Notebooks for IAM scenario analysis for the IPCC Special Report on 1.5°C of Global Warming (2018) (2)
- Author Correction: Estimating and tracking the remaining carbon budget for stringent climate targets (2020) (2)
- Emissions changes in 2020 due to Covid19 (2020) (2)
- COVID-19 impacts on energy demand can help reduce long-term mitigation challenge (2021) (2)
- Committed sea-level rise under the Paris Agreement and the legacy of delayed mitigation action (2018) (1)
- Wave of net zero greenhouse gas emission targets opens window on meeting the Paris Agreement (2021) (1)
- Agent-Based Modelling of Future Dairy and Plant-Based Milk Consumption for UK Climate Targets (2022) (1)
- A new framework for understanding and quantifying uncertainties in the remaining carbon budget (2020) (1)
- Estimated climate impact of replacing agriculture as the primary food production system (2021) (1)
- Energy modellers should explore extremes more systematically in scenarios (2020) (1)
- PRIMAP – Potsdam Real-Time Integrated Model for the probabilistic assessment of emission paths (2009) (1)
- Uncertainties of low greenhouse gas emission scenarios (2013) (1)
- Highlights and Key Messages from the International Conference on Negative CO2 Emissions (2019) (1)
- Co-benefits and trade offs of INDCs. (2015) (1)
- Corporate Greenhouse Gas Emissions’ Data and the Urgent Need for a Science-Led Just Transition: Introduction to a Thematic Symposium (2023) (1)
- Systematic scenario process to support analysis of long-term emissions scenarios and transformation pathways for the IPCC WG3 6th Assessment Report (2020) (1)
- Corrigendum: global mean temperature indicators linked to warming levels avoiding climate risks (2018 Environ. Res. Lett.13 064015) (2020) (1)
- Weekly NOx aviation emissions changes due to COVID-19: modified SSP2-4.5 to account for sector activity level (2020) (1)
- RISK SHIFTS UNDER CHANGING CLIMATE SENSITIVITY ESTIMATES - Briefing Note to the Global Challenges Foundation - (2013) (1)
- Comparing Mechanisms of Food Choice in an Agent-Based Model of Milk Consumption and Substitution in the UK (2021) (1)
- Daily aerosol emissions changes in 2020 due to Covid19: modified SSP2-4.5 to account for sector activity level (2020) (1)
- Modifying emissions data and projections to incorporate the effects of lockdown in climate modelling (2021) (1)
- Report on Second Consultative Science Platform. Bouncing Forward Sustainably: Pathways to a post-COVID World. Sustainable Energy (2020) (1)
- Climate assessment of emissions scenarios for use in WG3 of the IPCC’s Sixth Assessment Report (2020) (0)
- The kids aren't alright (2020) (0)
- Science and policy applicability of the transient climate response to cumulative emissions of carbon (2014) (0)
- Accepted authors manuscript Age-dependent extreme event exposure Supplementary Materials for Age-dependent extreme event exposure (2021) (0)
- The benefits of 1.5°C and targeted poverty reduction in hotspots of climate extremes (2018) (0)
- Estimated climate impact of the end of agriculture as the primary food production system (2021) (0)
- (2018). The many possible climates from the Paris Agreement's aim of 1.5 °c warming. Nature , 558 (7708), 41-49. (2018) (0)
- Climate response uncertainty and crop productivity changes at 1.5°C and 2°C (2018) (0)
- Climate science as foundation for global climate negotiations (2023) (0)
- Challenges for the geosciences after the Paris agreement (2016) (0)
- Multi-sector climate impacts assessment for water, energy and land (2017) (0)
- Understanding the carbon dioxide removal range in 1.5 °C compatible and high overshoot pathways (2023) (0)
- CO2 emissions changes due to COVID-19: modified SSP2-4.5 to account for sector activity level (2020) (0)
- Greenhouse gas metrics for net zero targets in science and policy (2021) (0)
- Opportunities and challenges in using remaining carbon budgets to guide 1 climate policy 2 (2021) (0)
- Appendix Chapter 3 - The Emissions Gap Report 2018 [Online Appendices A.1: Methodology National and Global Studies; and A.2: The Impact of Uncertainties] (2018) (0)
- Mitigation-pledges, impacts and effects on LDCs (2012) (0)
- The emissions gap - An update (2012) (0)
- Chapter 3: The Emissions Gap (2018) (0)
- Co-Benefits and Trade Offs of INDCs (chapter 3) (2015) (0)
- Monthly CO2 emissions projections from 2015-2025: modified SSP2-4.5 to account for COVID-19 impacts on sector activity (2020) (0)
- Scenarios Limiting Global Mean Temperature Increase Below 1.5°C and Their Implications for Sustainable Development (2018) (0)
- Net zero targets in science and policy (2023) (0)
- Is there warming in the pipeline?: A multi-model analysis of the zero emission commitment from CO<$\mathsemicolon$sub>$\mathsemicolon$2<$\mathsemicolon$/sub>$\mathsemicolon$ (2020) (0)
- Integrating uncertainties for climate change mitigation (2013) (0)
- Hydroclimatic risks and uncertainty in the global power sector (2017) (0)
- Exposure and Vulnerability to Energy, Water, and Land Hotspots under Different Climate Futures (2017) (0)
- The Paris Agreement's imprint on 2300 sea level rise (2017) (0)
- Climate constraints on the carbon intensity of economic growth (2015) (0)
- ’ s repository of research publications and other research outputs The Antarctic Peninsula Under a 1 . 5 C Global Warming Scenario Journal Item (2019) (0)
- Scenarios for effectively implementing the Paris Agreement long-term temperature goal. (2018) (0)
- S UPPLEMENTARY I NFORMATION A PPENDIX D ISENTANGLING THE EFFECTS OF CO 2 AND SHORT - LIVED CLIMATE FORCER MITIGATION (2014) (0)
- Impacts of COVID-19 induced energy demand changes on emissions and mitigation challenges (2021) (0)
- Towards high-quality net-zero targets (2021) (0)
- The many possible climates from the Paris Agreement’s aim of 1.5 °C warming (2018) (0)
- The Pathway toward a Net-Zero-Emissions Future (2019) (0)
- Twenty-first century temperature projections associated with pledges (2010) (0)
- Why carbon prices should and will be different across countries (2018) (0)
- Global climate and development hotspots assessment: Asia under pressure (2018) (0)
- After Durban: Risk of delay in raising ambition lowers chances for 2°C, while heading for 3.5°C (2015) (0)
- Author Correction: Estimating and tracking the remaining carbon budget for stringent climate targets (2020) (0)
- Current fossil fuel infrastructure does not yet commit us to 1.5 °C warming (2019) (0)
- The impact of policy and model uncertainties on emissions projections of the Paris Agreement pledges (2023) (0)
- Proposal for a very low emissions scenario for CMIP6 ScenarioMIP (2017) (0)
- Overshooting warming targets – temperature reversibility and implications for impacts, adaptation needs and near-term mitigation (2021) (0)
- Characterising how uncertainties from scenario, policy and climate variability affect projections and climate impact studies over the next 20 to 30 years (2022) (0)
- Future exposure and vulnerability to multi-sector hotspots (2017) (0)
- Synergies and Trade-offs between Climate Mitigation and Universal Access to Clean Cooking Goals (2015) (0)
- 2030 trends and ambition (2016) (0)
- Feasible 2020 emission windows for staying below 2°C ensuring consistency despite uncertainty (2012) (0)
- The importance of pre-2020 action (2015) (0)
- Publisher Correction: The cost of mitigation revisited (2021) (0)
- Cross-Chapter Box 7. Land-Based Carbon Dioxide Removal in Relation to 1.5°C of Global Warming (2018) (0)
- Only halving emissions by 2030 can minimize risks of crossing cryosphere thresholds (2022) (0)
- framework to estimate and track remaining carbon budgets for stringent climate targets (2019) (0)
- Agreement ’ s aim of 1 . 5 ° C warming may result in many possible climates 1 2 (2018) (0)
- The emissions gap in 2025 and 2030 (2015) (0)
- Policy considerations for using cumulative carbon emissions as a guide (2014) (0)
- Appendix 1: Methodology (2019) (0)
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Joeri Rogelj is affiliated with the following schools:
