Jonathan Rougier
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Mathematics
Jonathan Rougier's Degrees
- PhD Statistics University of Oxford
Why Is Jonathan Rougier Influential?
(Suggest an Edit or Addition)According to Wikipedia, Jonathan C. Rougier is professor of statistical science at the University of Bristol. Rougier is a specialist in the assessment of the risk from natural hazards. He was an undergraduate at University College, Durham. He completed a doctorate at Durham University in 1996, the thesis being titled Price change and volume in a speculative market.
Jonathan Rougier's Published Works
Number of citations in a given year to any of this author's works
Total number of citations to an author for the works they published in a given year. This highlights publication of the most important work(s) by the author
Published Works
- Sensitivity analysis of environmental models: A systematic review with practical workflow (2014) (882)
- Bayesian calibration of process-based forest models: bridging the gap between models and data. (2005) (358)
- Bayesian Forecasting for Complex Systems Using Computer Simulators (2001) (264)
- Probabilistic Inference for Future Climate Using an Ensemble of Climate Model Evaluations (2007) (234)
- Efficient Emulators for Multivariate Deterministic Functions (2008) (200)
- Analyzing the Climate Sensitivity of the HadSM3 Climate Model Using Ensembles from Different but Related Experiments (2009) (184)
- Reified Bayesian modelling and inference for physical systems (2009) (163)
- Quantifying future climate change (2012) (134)
- Probabilistic Formulations for Transferring Inferences from Mathematical Models to Physical Systems (2005) (134)
- Bayes Linear Calibrated Prediction for Complex Systems (2006) (101)
- The retirement behaviour of the self-employed in Britain (2007) (97)
- Calibrated prediction of Pine Island Glacier retreat during the 21st and 22nd centuries with a coupled flowline model (2012) (94)
- Perspectives on Digital Elevation Model (DEM) Simulation for Flood Modeling in the Absence of a High-Accuracy Open Access Global DEM (2018) (88)
- Precalibrating an intermediate complexity climate model (2011) (78)
- Statistical problems in the probabilistic prediction of climate change (2012) (67)
- Risk and Uncertainty Assessment for Natural Hazards (2013) (62)
- Second-Order Exchangeability Analysis for Multimodel Ensembles (2013) (55)
- Inference in ensemble experiments (2007) (54)
- Expert Knowledge and Multivariate Emulation: The Thermosphere–Ionosphere Electrodynamics General Circulation Model (TIE-GCM) (2009) (44)
- The global magnitude–frequency relationship for large explosive volcanic eruptions (2018) (43)
- Ensemble Averaging and Mean Squared Error (2016) (42)
- Probabilistic leak detection in pipelines using the mass imbalance approach (2005) (39)
- Model and data limitations:The sources and implications of epistemic uncertainty (2013) (38)
- Implications of Simulating Global Digital Elevation Models for Flood Inundation Studies (2018) (36)
- Epistemic uncertainties and natural hazard risk assessment Part 1: A review of the issues (2015) (36)
- On the use of simple dynamical systems for climate predictions (2009) (35)
- Multivariate spatio-temporal modelling for assessing Antarctica's present-day contribution to sea-level rise (2015) (35)
- Exploration of parametric uncertainty in a surface mass balance model applied to the Greenland ice sheet (2012) (32)
- Uncertainty analysis of a model of wind-blown volcanic plumes (2015) (30)
- On the use of Bayesian decision theory for issuing natural hazard warnings (2016) (27)
- Resolving the Antarctic contribution to sea-level rise: a hierarchical modelling framework† (2013) (27)
- Global recording rates for large eruptions (2016) (27)
- A new global GPS data set for testing and improving modelled GIA uplift rates (2018) (25)
- Bayesian calibration of the Thermosphere-Ionosphere Electrodynamics General Circulation Model (TIE-GCM) (2009) (24)
- A Graphical Diagnostic for Identifying Influential Model Choices in Bayesian Hierarchical Models (2010) (22)
- Measuring Social Mobility As Unpredictability (2001) (20)
- ‘Intractable and unsolved’: some thoughts on statistical data assimilation with uncertain static parameters (2013) (20)
- Climate Simulators and Climate Projections (2014) (18)
- Can We Resolve the Basin‐Scale Sea Level Trend Budget From GRACE Ocean Mass? (2020) (18)
- Regional and global under-recording of large explosive eruptions in the last 1000 years (2018) (17)
- Discussion of 'Inferring Climate System Properties Using a Computer Model', by Sanso et al. (2008) (16)
- A representation theorem for stochastic processes with separable covariance functions, and its implications for emulation (2017) (16)
- An examination of the continuous wavelet transform for volcano-seismic spectral analysis (2020) (16)
- A Bayesian analysis of fluid flow in pipe‐lines (2001) (15)
- 1 Risk assessment and uncertainty in natural hazards (2013) (14)
- Formal Bayes Methods for Model Calibration with Uncertainty (2008) (14)
- Risk and Uncertainty Assessment for Natural Hazards: Risk assessment and uncertainty in natural hazards (2013) (14)
- Risk and Uncertainty Assessment for Natural Hazards: Quantifying hazard losses (2013) (13)
- Simultaneous solution for mass trends on the West Antarctic Ice Sheet (2014) (13)
- Trading Volume and Contract Rollover in Futures Contracts (2005) (12)
- Probabilistic Inference for Future Climate Using an Ensemble of Simulator Evaluations (2005) (11)
- An optimal price index for stock index futures contracts (1996) (11)
- Uncertainty in Climate Science and Climate Policy (2014) (10)
- Predicting snow velocity in large chute flows under different environmental conditions (2010) (9)
- Climate change (2010) (9)
- Emulating the Thermosphere-Ionosphere Electrodynamics General Circulation Model (TIE-GCM) (2007) (8)
- Server advantage in tennis matches (2004) (8)
- Multi-scale process modelling and distributed computation for spatial data (2019) (8)
- A data-driven approach for assessing ice-sheet mass balance in space and time (2015) (8)
- Lightweight Emulators for Multivariate Deterministic Functions (2007) (7)
- Expert Knowledge and Multivariate Emulation (2009) (7)
- p-Values, Bayes Factors, and Sufficiency (2019) (7)
- Bayesian spatio-temporal inference of trace gas emissions using an integrated nested Laplacian approximation and Gaussian Markov random fields (2020) (7)
- Emulating the sensitivity of the HadSM 3 climate model using ensembles from different but related experiments (2006) (6)
- A simple necessary condition for negativity in the almost ideal demand system with the Stone price index (1997) (6)
- Assessing Model Discrepancy Using a Multi-Model Ensemble (2008) (6)
- SAPPUR: NERC Scoping Study on Uncertainty and Risk in Natural Hazards (2009) (6)
- Bayesian model–data synthesis with an application to global glacio‐isostatic adjustment (2018) (6)
- VOLCORE, a global database of visible tephra layers sampled by ocean drilling (2020) (6)
- Visualization for Large‐scale Gaussian Updates (2016) (5)
- Risk and Uncertainty Assessment for Natural Hazards: Contributors (2013) (5)
- Workshop on Representing Model Uncertainty and Error in Numerical Weather and Climate Prediction Models (2011) (5)
- The Exact Form of the “Ockham Factor” in Model Selection (2019) (5)
- A sparse linear algebra algorithm for fast computation of prediction variances with Gaussian Markov random fields (2017) (5)
- Mass evolution of the Antarctic Peninsula over the last 2 decades from a joint Bayesian inversion (2022) (4)
- Arising re : “ Quantification of modelling uncertainties in a large ensemble of climate change simulations ” (2004) (4)
- How to weigh a donkey in the Kenyan countryside (2014) (4)
- Decision theory‐based detection of atmospheric natural hazards from satellite imagery using the example of volcanic ash (2018) (4)
- Confidence in risk assessments (2019) (3)
- Editorial New Features in Version 1.3.0 New Features in Version 1.2.3 New Features in Version 1.2.2 Changes on Cran Genesom Clustering Genes Using Self-organizing Rmysql Database Interface and Mysql Driver For (2)
- Discussion of: A statistical analysis of multiple temperature proxies: Are reconstructions of surface temperatures over the last 1000 years reliable? (2011) (2)
- Social science perspectives on natural hazards risk and uncertainty (2012) (2)
- Decadal Timescale Correlations Between Global Earthquake Activity and Volcanic Eruption Rates (2021) (2)
- Evaluating nonlinear maximum likelihood optimal estimation uncertainty in cloud and aerosol remote sensing (2020) (2)
- Mass evolution of the Antarctic Peninsula over the last two decades from a joint Bayesian inversion (2021) (2)
- Simultaneous solution (2015) (2)
- Emulators for Multivariate Deterministic Functions (2007) (2)
- Multi-variate factorisation of numerical simulations (2020) (2)
- Comment on “Ensemble Averaging and the Curse of Dimensionality” (2018) (2)
- Estimating tephra fall volume from point-referenced thickness measurements (2022) (1)
- Risk and Uncertainty in Natural Hazards (2012) (1)
- The scope of the Kalman filter for spatio‐temporal applications in environmental science (2022) (1)
- Real business cycles, investment finance and multiple equilibria (1999) (1)
- Estimating event‐rates from unreliable historical records (2021) (1)
- Nomograms for visualising relationships between three variables (2010) (1)
- A Bayesian prediction of the next glacial inception (2009) (1)
- Low-noise projections of complex simulator output: A useful tool when checking for code errors (2011) (1)
- Rapidly Bounding the Exceedance Probabilities of High Aggregate Losses (2015) (1)
- Parametric uncertainty in complex environmental models: a cheap emulation approach for models with high-dimensional output (2017) (1)
- Reified Bayesian modelling: Issues and opportunities (response to the discussion) (2009) (1)
- Applications of the Local critique plot (2010) (1)
- The impact of margin-traders on the distribution of daily stock returns: the London Stock Exchange (1993) (1)
- VOLCORE, a global database of visible tephra layers sampled by ocean drilling (2020) (1)
- Antarctic ice sheet mass loss, glacio-isostatic adjustment and surface processes from ENVISAT, ICESat, CryoSat-2, GRACE and GPS. (2014) (0)
- A best-of-both-worlds, multi-era estimate of climate sensitivity (2013) (0)
- The “reliable history” of geohazards (2022) (0)
- Resolving Trends in Antarctic Ice Sheet Mass Loss and Glacio-isostatic Adjustment Through Spatio-temporal Source-separation (2013) (0)
- Spatio-temporal decomposition of geophysical signals in North America (2020) (0)
- Bayesian spatiotemporal inference of trace gas emissions using an integrated nested Laplacian approximation and Gaussian Markov random fields (2019) (0)
- Accounting for Parameter Uncertainty in Complex Atmospheric Models, With an Application to Greenhouse Gas Emissions Evaluation (2016) (0)
- Analysing semi-variograms for floodplains to generate candidates of the true DEM for flood inundation studies (2018) (0)
- Spatio-temporal modelling for global sea level change (2017) (0)
- Monte Carlo methods for Bayesian palaeoclimate reconstruction (2011) (0)
- Computation and Visualisation for large-scale Gaussian updates (2014) (0)
- First results from an integrated approach for estimating GIA, land ice, hydrology and ocean mass trends within a complete coupled Earth system framework (2017) (0)
- Antarctic Peninsula mass trends from 2003 - 2016 using a Bayesian hierarchical model approach (2020) (0)
- Calibration of TIE-GCM (2009) (0)
- A decision theoretic approach for issuing natural hazard warnings (2015) (0)
- Simulating candidate DEMs for flood inundation studies (2018) (0)
- Overcoming challenges in spatio-temporal modelling of large-scale (global) data (2021) (0)
- Strategy for palaeoclimate time-series analysis using constraints from climate simulators (2010) (0)
- Of Donkeys and Nomograms (2014) (0)
- Antarctic Glacial Isostatic Adjustment from an inversion of satellite and in-situ observations (2014) (0)
- GlobalMass: a Bayesian modelling approach for closing the sea-level budget (2018) (0)
- Spatio-temporal modelling of Antarctic mass balance from multi-satellite observations (2014) (0)
- Supplementary material to "Mass evolution of the Antarctic Peninsula over the last two decades from a joint Bayesian inversion" (2021) (0)
- Evaluation of 14 global GIA forward models using a novel GPS dataset and GRACE (2017) (0)
- Quantifying and using spatial errors in the SRTM 30m DEM (2016) (0)
- Uncertainty of flow in porous media (2005) (0)
- Greenland Monthly Mass Trends Determined Using a Bayesian Hierarchical Modelling Approach (2018) (0)
- The effects of topographic uncertainty on lahar flow dynamics: modelling uncertain topographic data and strategies to improve quantitative lahar hazard assessments (2019) (0)
- Using GRACE ocean mass to close the sea level budget at varying spatial scales (2019) (0)
- Risk and Uncertainty Assessment for Natural Hazards: Preface (2013) (0)
- Model diagnostics and model choice (2015) (0)
- Modern Statistical Practice 4.1 Some Preliminary Spadework (2015) (0)
- Statistical Inference , Lecture notes (2012) (0)
- Inferring model structural error from a Multi-Model Ensemble (2008) (0)
- Setting up your simulator (2015) (0)
- Statistical Approach: First Thoughts (2006) (0)
- Large-eruption rates of stratovolcanoes (2015) (0)
- Emulator-Based Simulator Calibration for High-Dimensional Data (2009) (0)
- Supplementary material to "Multi-variate factorisation of numerical simulations" (2020) (0)
- The Open University ’ s repository of research publications and other research outputs Precalibrating an intermediate complexity climate model (2012) (0)
- Comments on ‘Bayesian calibration of mathematical models’ by M. C. Kennedy and A. O’Hagan. (2001) (0)
- Price change and trading volume in a speculative market (1996) (0)
- Deposited in DRO : 12 August 2016 Version of attached le : Accepted Version Peer-review status of attached (2016) (0)
- Comment on article by Sans(cid:19)o et al. (0)
- Assessing uncertainty in SRTM elevations for global flood modelling (2017) (0)
- Quantifying Uncertainty in the response of the Greenland Ice Sheet to future climate (2010) (0)
- Antarctic glacio isostatic adjustment from an inversion of satellite and in-situ observations. (2015) (0)
- Exchangeability, the 'Histogram Theorem', and population inference (2015) (0)
- An integrated approach for estimating global isostatic adjustment, land ice, hydrology and ocean mass trends within a complete coupled Earth system framework (2016) (0)
- Using palaeodata in probabilistic predictions of future climate (2009) (0)
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