Jonathan Tawn
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Mathematics
Jonathan Tawn's Degrees
- PhD Statistics University of Manchester
- Masters Statistics University of Manchester
- Bachelors Mathematics University of Manchester
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Why Is Jonathan Tawn Influential?
(Suggest an Edit or Addition)According to Wikipedia, Jonathan Tawn is Professor of Statistics at Lancaster University. He is one of the leading researchers in Extreme value theory, looking into both methods and applications in areas such as oceanography, hydrology, and climatology.
Jonathan Tawn's Published Works
Number of citations in a given year to any of this author's works
Total number of citations to an author for the works they published in a given year. This highlights publication of the most important work(s) by the author
Published Works
- Model‐based geostatistics (2007) (2373)
- Dependence Measures for Extreme Value Analyses (1999) (798)
- Statistics for near independence in multivariate extreme values (1996) (773)
- Bivariate extreme value theory: Models and estimation (1988) (576)
- Extreme Value Dependence in Financial Markets: Diagnostics, Models, and Financial Implications (2004) (574)
- A conditional approach for multivariate extreme values (with discussion) (2004) (525)
- Modelling Extreme Multivariate Events (1991) (512)
- Modelling Dependence within Joint Tail Regions (1997) (440)
- Statistical Methods for Multivariate Extremes: An Application to Structural Design (1994) (320)
- A Bayesian Analysis of Extreme Rainfall Data (1996) (314)
- A dependence measure for multivariate and spatial extreme values: Properties and inference (2003) (312)
- Model-based geostatistics. Discussion. Authors' reply (1998) (277)
- Modelling multivariate extreme value distributions (1990) (253)
- A conditional approach for multivariate extreme values (2004) (245)
- Model-based geostatistics (with discussion). (1998) (225)
- Markov chain models for threshold exceedances (1997) (215)
- Flood frequency estimation by continuous simulation for a gauged upland catchment (with uncertainty) (1999) (210)
- The joint probability of waves and water levels in coastal engineering design (2002) (205)
- Dependence modelling for spatial extremes (2012) (179)
- A sequential smoothing algorithm with linear computational cost. (2010) (170)
- An extreme-value theory model for dependent observations (1988) (170)
- Modelling extremes of the areal rainfall process. (1996) (167)
- Modelling non‐stationary extremes with application to surface level ozone (2009) (165)
- Diagnostics for dependence within time series extremes (2003) (149)
- Estimating probabilities of extreme sea-levels (1992) (118)
- Efficient inference for spatial extreme value processes associated to log-Gaussian random functions (2014) (116)
- Concomitant tail behaviour for extremes (1998) (112)
- A Comparison of Methods for Estimating the Extremal Index (2000) (104)
- Estimation of the conditional distribution of a multivariate variable given that one of its components is large: Additional constraints for the Heffernan and Tawn model (2013) (101)
- A new method to assess the risk of local and widespread flooding on rivers and coasts (2010) (98)
- Spatial dependence in extreme river flows and precipitation for Great Britain. (2009) (96)
- Modelling Extreme-Value Dependence in International Stock Markets (2002) (92)
- A UK best-practice approach for extreme sea-level analysis along complex topographic coastlines (2009) (87)
- Informal likelihood measures in model assessment: Theoretic development and investigation (2008) (85)
- Estimating the probability of widespread flood events (2013) (84)
- Bayesian modelling of extreme surges on the UK east coast (2005) (82)
- Spatial risk assessment for extreme river flows (2009) (79)
- Statistics of coastal flood prevention (1990) (78)
- The multivariate Gaussian tail model: an application to oceanographic data (2000) (78)
- An evaluation of three stochastic rainfall models. (2000) (72)
- Bayesian Inference for Extremes: Accounting for the Three Extremal Types (2004) (72)
- Detection of structural inadequacy in process‐based hydrological models: A particle‐filtering approach (2008) (70)
- Flood frequency estimation by continuous simulation (with likelihood based uncertainty estimation) (2000) (69)
- Extremal analysis of processes sampled at different frequencies (2000) (69)
- Comparison of approaches for estimating the probability of coastal flooding (2002) (69)
- Modelling across extremal dependence classes (2014) (68)
- Models for the extremes of Markov chains (1998) (67)
- Extended generalised Pareto models for tail estimation (2011) (66)
- Hedging the Black Swan: Conditional Heteroskedasticity and Tail Dependence in S&P500 and Vix (2009) (65)
- Exploiting occurrence times in likelihood inference for componentwise maxima (2005) (64)
- Statistics of Multivariate Extremes (1990) (63)
- Statistics for Exceptional Athletics Records (1995) (62)
- Inequalities for the Extremal Coefficients of Multivariate Extreme Value Distributions (2002) (59)
- Coastal flood boundary conditions for UK mainland and islands. Project SC060064/TR2: Design sea levels (2011) (59)
- Modelling the distribution of the cluster maxima of exceedances of subasymptotic thresholds (2012) (55)
- Extreme value analysis of decadal variations in storm surge elevations (2007) (54)
- Modelling extreme rainfalls using a modified random pulse Bartlett–Lewis stochastic rainfall model (with uncertainty) (2000) (54)
- Likelihood‐based procedures for threshold diagnostics and uncertainty in extreme value modelling (2012) (53)
- Higher-dimensional spatial extremes via single-site conditioning (2019) (50)
- New Estimators for the Extremal Index and Other Cluster Characteristics (2003) (50)
- Statistics for Extreme Sea Currents (1997) (45)
- Asymptotically (in)dependent multivariate maxima of moving maxima processes (2007) (45)
- A seasonal-Markov model for extremely low temperatures. (1994) (44)
- The Effect of Non‐Stationarity on Extreme Sea‐Level Estimation (1999) (44)
- Modelling heatwaves in central France: a case‐study in extremal dependence (2016) (42)
- Modelling spatial extreme events with environmental applications (2018) (40)
- Statistical models for overdispersion in the frequency of peaks over threshold data for a flow series (2010) (38)
- Trend estimation in extremes of synthetic North Sea surges (2007) (37)
- Ordered multivariate extremes (1998) (37)
- New Extreme-Value Dependence Measures and Finance Applications (2001) (36)
- Extremal analysis of short series with outliers: sea‐levels and athletics records (1999) (34)
- Spatial modelling of extreme sea‐levels (1998) (32)
- A statistical analysis of eruptive activity on Mount Etna, Sicily (2009) (30)
- Determining the dependence structure of multivariate extremes (2018) (28)
- Trends in UK extreme sea-levels: a spatial approach (1992) (26)
- Diagnostics for Pairwise Extremal Dependence in Spatial Processes (2002) (21)
- On spatial conditional extremes for ocean storm severity (2019) (20)
- Effects of Mis-Specification in Bivariate Extreme Value Problems (2001) (20)
- The joint probability of waves and water levels in coastal defence design. (2002) (19)
- Discharge‐dependent pollutant dispersion in rivers: Estimation of aggregated dead zone parameters with surrogate data (2006) (19)
- Seasonal effects of extreme surges (2005) (18)
- Extreme events of Markov chains (2015) (18)
- Uncertainties in return values from extreme value analysis of peaks over threshold using the generalised Pareto distribution (2021) (18)
- The extremal index for GARCH(1, 1) processes (2012) (17)
- Determining the Best Track Performances of All Time Using a Conceptual Population Model for Athletics Records (2013) (17)
- Assessing extremal dependence of North Sea storm severity (2016) (17)
- Modelling the effect of the El Niño-Southern Oscillation on extreme spatial temperature events over Australia (2016) (16)
- kth-order Markov extremal models for assessing heatwave risks (2017) (16)
- Extreme Value Analysis of a Large Designed Experiment: A Case Study in Bulk Carrier Safety (2001) (16)
- Conditioned limit laws for inverted max-stable processes (2014) (15)
- Modelling extremes of spatial aggregates of precipitation using conditional methods (2021) (14)
- Regular Variation and Extremal Dependence of GARCH Residuals with Application to Market Risk Measures (2008) (14)
- Basin-wide spatial conditional extremes for severe ocean storms (2020) (14)
- A semi-parametric model for multivariate extreme values (1995) (13)
- Self-consistent estimation of conditional multivariate extreme value distributions (2014) (12)
- Bayesian uncertainty management in temporal dependence of extremes (2015) (12)
- Extreme value modelling of water-related insurance claims (2018) (12)
- A conditional approach to modelling multivariate extreme values (with discussion). (2004) (11)
- A generalised Student's t-distribution (2013) (11)
- Portfolio risk assessment using multivariate extreme value methods (2014) (10)
- Modelling the extremes of bivariate mixture distributions with application to oceanographic data (2021) (9)
- Extreme values in the dock (2004) (8)
- Model‐based inference of conditional extreme value distributions with hydrological applications (2018) (8)
- Flood frequency estimation by continuous simulation (with uncertainty). (2002) (8)
- Nonparametric estimation of the spectral measure, and associated dependence measures, for multivariate extreme values using a limiting conditional representation (2014) (8)
- Discussion of “Statistical Modeling of Spatial Extremes” by A. C. Davison, S. A. Padoan and M. Ribatet (2012) (8)
- Bivariate Extreme Analysis of Olympic Swimming Data (2012) (8)
- Statistical downscaling for future extreme wave heights in the North Sea (2017) (8)
- Modification of Pickands' Dependence Function for Ordered Bivariate Extreme Distribution (2011) (7)
- Inference for extreme values under threshold‐based stopping rules (2019) (7)
- Applications of Multivariate Extremes (1994) (7)
- Threshold models for river flow extremes (2012) (7)
- A multivariate model for the broad scale spatial assessment of flood risk (2010) (7)
- A Poisson process reparameterisation for Bayesian inference for extremes (2016) (7)
- A comparison of marginal and joint extremes predictedfrom synthesised wave and water level data (2004) (6)
- Ranking, and other properties, of elite swimmers using extreme value theory (2019) (6)
- Modelling the spatial extent and severity of extreme European windstorms (2019) (6)
- Dependence properties of multivariate max-stable distributions (2012) (6)
- Why extreme floods are more common than you might think (2018) (6)
- Accounting for Seasonality in Extreme Sea Level Estimation (2021) (5)
- Extreme value theory with oceanographic applications (1988) (5)
- A step towards efficient inference for trends in UK extreme temperatures through distributional linkage between observations and climate model data (2018) (5)
- Modelling the Clustering of Extreme Events for Short-Term Risk Assessment (2019) (5)
- Bayesian Spatial Clustering of Extremal Behavior for Hydrological Variables (2019) (5)
- An extreme value analysis for the investigation into the sinking of the M. V. Derbyshire (2003) (5)
- CALCULATING EXTREME SEA LEVEL PROBABILITIES AROUND COMPLEX COASTLINES: A BEST PRACTICE APPROACH (2009) (5)
- Volatility model selection for extremes of financial time series (2013) (4)
- Characterising the changing behaviour of heatwaves with climate change (2017) (4)
- The extremal dependence of storm severity, wind speed and surface level pressure in the northern north sea (2013) (4)
- Improving statistical models for flood risk assessment (2016) (4)
- Stochastic ordering under conditional modelling of extreme values: drug‐induced liver injury (2012) (4)
- Inference for an extreme value model accounting for inter-site dependence (2017) (4)
- Hidden tail chains and recurrence equations for dependence parameters associated with extremes of higher-order Markov chains (2019) (4)
- Discussion on the paper by Heffernan and Tawn (2004) (3)
- Inference for extreme earthquake magnitudes accounting for a time-varying measurement process (2021) (3)
- Modelling record times in sport with extreme value methods (2016) (3)
- A geometric investigation into the tail dependence of vine copulas (2020) (3)
- Penultimate Analysis of the Conditional Multivariate Extremes Tail Model (2019) (3)
- Properties of extremal dependence models built on bivariate max-linearity (2017) (2)
- Extreme value modelling of reactor risk. (2006) (2)
- Estimating the limiting shape of bivariate scaled sample clouds for self-consistent inference of extremal dependence properties (2022) (2)
- A stochastic model for the lifecycle and track of extreme extratropical cyclones in the North Atlantic (2019) (2)
- Graphical structures in extreme multivariate events (2013) (2)
- Sub‐asymptotic motivation for new conditional multivariate extreme models (2021) (2)
- On the tail behaviour of aggregated random variables (2021) (2)
- Joint estimation of extreme spatially aggregated precipitation at different scales through mixture modelling (2021) (2)
- Concomitants of extremes. (1998) (2)
- Development of large scale inland flood scenarios for disaster response planning based on spatial/temporal conditional probability analysis (2016) (2)
- Extreme events of higher-order Markov chains: hidden tail chains and extremal Yule-Walker equations (2019) (1)
- Limit theory and robust evaluation methods for the extremal properties of GARCH(p, q) processes (2022) (1)
- Effects of extreme surges. (2005) (1)
- The extremal index for GARCH(1, 1) processes (2012) (1)
- Simulation of Bedload Transport of Marine Gravel (1991) (1)
- Contribution to discussion of the paper by Cheng and Traylor. (1995) (1)
- Spatial estimation of extremal trends in North Sea surge elevations. (2004) (0)
- Temporal evolution of the extreme excursions of multivariate $k$th order Markov processes with application to oceanographic data (2023) (0)
- Inference for extreme spatial temperature events in a changing climate with application to Ireland (2021) (0)
- An integrated statistical and hydraulic modelling approach for collective flood risk assessment (2010) (0)
- Modelling drought in Southern Africa with extreme value theory (2013) (0)
- Induced earthquakes and the ETAS model (2019) (0)
- Reply on AC5 (2021) (0)
- Modelling the Clustering of Extreme Events for Short-Term Risk Assessment (2019) (0)
- Assessing the effect of clustered and biased multi‐stage sampling (2009) (0)
- Evaluation of extremal properties of GARCH(p,q) processes (2019) (0)
- Standardisation overcomes counter-examples of conditional extremes (2022) (0)
- Edinburgh Research Explorer Extreme events of Markov chains (2018) (0)
- Ordered multivariate extremes Series B Statistical methodology (1998) (0)
- Comment on nhess-2021-184 (2021) (0)
- Spatial dependence of flooding (2006) (0)
- Bayesian uncertainty management in temporal dependence of extremes (2016) (0)
- Discussion of "Statistical Modeling of (2012) (0)
- Aggregation of Spatial Extremes (2020) (0)
- Spatial joint probability for flood and coastal risk management and strategic assessments:Method report - SC140002/R1 (2017) (0)
- Extreme Risks of Financial Investments (2015) (0)
- Physically-Based Statistical Models of Extremes arising from Extratropical Cyclones (2014) (0)
- Modelling intransitivity in pairwise comparisons with application to baseball data (2021) (0)
- New representations for the conditional approach to multivariate extremes (2014) (0)
- kth-order Markov extremal models for assessing heatwave risks (2016) (0)
- Joint Estimation of Extreme Precipitation at Different Spatial Scales through Mixture Modelling (2021) (0)
- Multiscale probabilistic risk assessment (2008) (0)
- Response to letter to the editor on Robinson and Tawn. (1997) (0)
- Supplementary Material to Modelling across extremal dependence classes (2015) (0)
- Nonparametric estimation of the spectral measure, and associated dependence measures, for multivariate extreme values using a limiting conditional representation (2013) (0)
- EXTREME VALUE MODELLING OF WATER-RELATED (2018) (0)
- Portfolio risk assessment using multivariate extreme value methods (2014) (0)
- Markov extremal models for assessing heatwave risks (2016) (0)
- Modelling the tail behaviour of precipitation aggregates using conditional spatial extremes. (2021) (0)
- Extremal characteristics of conditional models (2022) (0)
- Managing Portfolio Risk Using Multivariate Extreme Value Methods (2013) (0)
- Accounting for Climate Change in Extreme Sea Level Estimation (2022) (0)
- A Poisson process reparameterisation for Bayesian inference for extremes (2016) (0)
- The extremal index for GARCH(p,q) processes with symmetric innovations (2013) (0)
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