Mercedes Pascual
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Mercedes Pascual's Degrees
- Bachelors Biology University of Barcelona
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(Suggest an Edit or Addition)According to Wikipedia, Mercedes Pascual is an Uruguayan theoretical ecologist, and a Professor in the Department of Ecology and Evolution at the University of Chicago, where she leads the Laboratory for Modeling and Theory in Ecology and Epidemiology . She was previously the Rosemary Grant Collegiate Professor at the University of Michigan and a Howard Hughes Medical Institute Investigator.
Mercedes Pascual's Published Works
Published Works
- Anticipating Critical Transitions (2012) (1517)
- Seasonality and the dynamics of infectious diseases. (2006) (1292)
- Parasites in food webs: the ultimate missing links (2008) (760)
- Ecological networks : Linking structure to dynamics in food webs (2006) (540)
- Ecology for a Crowded Planet (2004) (523)
- Epochal Evolution Shapes the Phylodynamics of Interpandemic Influenza A (H3N2) in Humans (2006) (447)
- Malaria resurgence in the East African highlands: temperature trends revisited. (2006) (441)
- Inapparent infections and cholera dynamics (2008) (437)
- Refractory periods and climate forcing in cholera dynamics (2005) (396)
- Understanding nonlinear dynamics (1996) (375)
- The multilayer nature of ecological networks (2015) (362)
- ENSO and cholera: A nonstationary link related to climate change? (2002) (311)
- Cholera and climate: revisiting the quantitative evidence. (2002) (294)
- The rising tide of ocean diseases: unsolved problems and research priorities (2004) (284)
- Altitudinal Changes in Malaria Incidence in Highlands of Ethiopia and Colombia (2014) (266)
- Stochastic amplification in epidemics (2007) (238)
- Cholera dynamics and El Niño-Southern Oscillation. (2000) (227)
- Criticality and disturbance in spatial ecological systems. (2005) (224)
- Diffusion-induced chaos in a spatial predator–prey system (1993) (214)
- Climate Cycles and Forecasts of Cutaneous Leishmaniasis, a Nonstationary Vector-Borne Disease (2006) (211)
- Network structure, predator–prey modules, and stability in large food webs (2008) (198)
- Googling Food Webs: Can an Eigenvector Measure Species' Importance for Coextinctions? (2009) (197)
- Epidemic malaria and warmer temperatures in recent decades in an East African highland (2010) (188)
- Global Migration Dynamics Underlie Evolution and Persistence of Human Influenza A (H3N2) (2010) (174)
- Shifting patterns: malaria dynamics and rainfall variability in an African highland (2008) (172)
- Ecological Science and Sustainability for the 21st Century (2005) (172)
- Disentangling Extrinsic from Intrinsic Factors in Disease Dynamics: A Nonlinear Time Series Approach with an Application to Cholera (2004) (170)
- Quantifying asymptomatic infection and transmission of COVID-19 in New York City using observed cases, serology, and testing capacity (2020) (156)
- Forcing Versus Feedback: Epidemic Malaria and Monsoon Rains in Northwest India (2010) (139)
- Skeletons, noise and population growth: the end of an old debate? (2004) (138)
- FROM INDIVIDUALS TO POPULATION DENSITIES: SEARCHING FOR THE INTERMEDIATE SCALE OF NONTRIVIAL DETERMINISM (1999) (132)
- Pathogen adaptation to seasonal forcing and climate change (2005) (132)
- A General Model for Food Web Structure (2008) (132)
- Social Exclusion Modifies Climate and Deforestation Impacts on a Vector-Borne Disease (2008) (131)
- Food web models: a plea for groups. (2009) (120)
- Seasonal Patterns of Infectious Diseases (2005) (112)
- Cluster size distributions: signatures of self-organization in spatial ecologies. (2002) (108)
- Robust scaling in ecosystems and the meltdown of patch size distributions before extinction. (2011) (99)
- Do rising temperatures matter? (2009) (94)
- Canalization of the evolutionary trajectory of the human influenza virus (2011) (93)
- Climate change and infectious diseases: Can we meet the needs for better prediction? (2013) (92)
- Highly localized sensitivity to climate forcing drives endemic cholera in a megacity (2012) (89)
- Functional links and robustness in food webs (2009) (85)
- Impacts of Climate Change on Public Health in India: Future Research Directions (2011) (82)
- Predicting endemic cholera: the role of climate variability and disease dynamics (2008) (81)
- Seasonal and interannual cycles of endemic cholera in Bengal 1891–1940 in relation to climate and geography (2001) (80)
- Cholera Seasonality in Madras (1901–1940): Dual Role for Rainfall in Endemic and Epidemic Regions (2007) (77)
- Sources and sinks: revisiting the criteria for identifying reservoirs for American cutaneous leishmaniasis. (2007) (77)
- Intermittency in the plankton: a multifractal analysis of zooplankton biomass variability (1995) (74)
- Building epidemiological models from R0: an implicit treatment of transmission in networks (2007) (74)
- Comparing Models for Early Warning Systems of Neglected Tropical Diseases (2007) (73)
- The Potential Elimination of Plasmodium vivax Malaria by Relapse Treatment: Insights from a Transmission Model and Surveillance Data from NW India (2013) (71)
- Spatial Guilds in the Serengeti Food Web Revealed by a Bayesian Group Model (2010) (70)
- Strength and tempo of selection revealed in viral gene genealogies (2011) (70)
- Malaria in Northwest India: Data Analysis via Partially Observed Stochastic Differential Equation Models Driven by Lévy Noise (2011) (69)
- On representing network heterogeneities in the incidence rate of simple epidemic models (2006) (69)
- OSCILLATORY DYNAMICS AND SPATIAL SCALE: THE ROLE OF NOISE AND UNRESOLVED PATTERN (2001) (65)
- Spatial clustering in the spatio-temporal dynamics of endemic cholera (2010) (60)
- The Roles of Competition and Mutation in Shaping Antigenic and Genetic Diversity in Influenza (2013) (58)
- FROM THE CELL CYCLE TO POPULATION CYCLES IN PHYTOPLANKTON-NUTRIENT INTERACTIONS (1997) (55)
- Evolution-informed forecasting of seasonal influenza A (H3N2) (2017) (50)
- Computational Ecology: From the Complex to the Simple and Back (2005) (50)
- Climate forcing and desert malaria: the effect of irrigation (2011) (50)
- Serotype cycles in cholera dynamics (2006) (49)
- Phenotypic Plasticity Opposes Species Invasions by Altering Fitness Surface (2006) (48)
- Modeling the impact of Trichodesmium and nitrogen fixation in the Atlantic Ocean (2004) (48)
- Simple temporal models for ecological systems with complex spatial patterns (2002) (48)
- Hyperinfectivity in Cholera: A New Mechanism for an Old Epidemiological Model? (2006) (46)
- LINKING ECOLOGICAL PATTERNS TO ENVIRONMENTAL FORCING VIA NONLINEAR TIME SERIES MODELS (2000) (46)
- Ecological Networks over the Edge: Hypergraph Trait-Mediated Indirect Interaction (TMII) Structure. (2016) (45)
- Development, environmental degradation, and disease spread in the Brazilian Amazon (2019) (43)
- Underestimating malaria risk under variable temperatures (2009) (43)
- Differential and enhanced response to climate forcing in diarrheal disease due to rotavirus across a megacity of the developing world (2016) (42)
- A stochastic model for ecological systems with strong nonlinear response to environmental drivers: application to two water-borne diseases (2008) (42)
- Transmission Intensity and Drug Resistance in Malaria Population Dynamics: Implications for Climate Change (2010) (40)
- Population structuring of multi-copy, antigen-encoding genes in Plasmodium falciparum (2012) (39)
- From Small to Large Ecological Networks in a Dynamic World (2005) (38)
- Mosquito-borne transmission in urban landscapes: the missing link between vector abundance and human density (2018) (38)
- The rise and fall of malaria under land-use change in frontier regions (2017) (37)
- Evidence of strain structure in Plasmodium falciparum var gene repertoires in children from Gabon, West Africa (2017) (37)
- Malaria transmission pattern resilience to climatic variability is mediated by insecticide-treated nets (2008) (37)
- Cholera and Shigellosis: Different Epidemiology but Similar Responses to Climate Variability (2014) (35)
- Mechanisms of Patch Formation (1993) (33)
- Population Density, Climate Variables and Poverty Synergistically Structure Spatial Risk in Urban Malaria in India (2016) (33)
- Competitive coexistence through intermediate polyphagy (2006) (32)
- Forecasting Bifurcations from Large Perturbation Recoveries in Feedback Ecosystems (2015) (32)
- Understanding the dynamics of rapidly evolving pathogens through modeling the tempo of antigenic change: influenza as a case study. (2009) (32)
- General ecological models for human subsistence, health and poverty (2017) (32)
- The dynamics of a size-classified benthic population with reproductive subsidy (1991) (31)
- Broad scaling region in a spatial ecological system (2003) (31)
- Competitive coexistence in a dynamic landscape. (2004) (30)
- Climatic signatures in the different COVID-19 pandemic waves across both hemispheres (2021) (30)
- Long-lasting transition toward sustainable elimination of desert malaria under irrigation development (2013) (30)
- Malaria epidemics and the influence of the tropical South Atlantic on the Indian monsoon (2013) (28)
- Competition for hosts modulates vast antigenic diversity to generate persistent strain structure in Plasmodium falciparum (2018) (28)
- Networks of genetic similarity reveal non-neutral processes shape strain structure in Plasmodium falciparum (2017) (28)
- Emerging arboviruses in the urbanized Amazon rainforest (2020) (28)
- Pathogens and Parasites in a Changing Climate (2003) (27)
- Seasonal Variation in the Epidemiology of Asymptomatic Plasmodium falciparum Infections across Two Catchment Areas in Bongo District, Ghana. (2017) (26)
- Temperature and population density determine reservoir regions of seasonal persistence in highland malaria (2015) (26)
- The inverse niche model for food webs with parasites (2010) (25)
- Simple models for complex systems: exploiting the relationship between local and global densities (2011) (24)
- SYNTHESES Seasonality and the dynamics of infectious diseases (2006) (24)
- Predictability of epidemic malaria under non-stationary conditions with process-based models combining epidemiological updates and climate variability (2015) (23)
- Comment on "A Keystone Mutualism Drives Pattern in a Power Function" (2006) (23)
- Environmental Heterogeneity and Biological Pattern in a Chaotic Predator–prey System (1997) (23)
- The assembly, collapse and restoration of food webs (2009) (22)
- Spatial scaling in a benthic population model with density-dependent disturbance. (1999) (21)
- Homology blocks of Plasmodium falciparum var genes and clinically distinct forms of severe malaria in a local population (2013) (21)
- Consequences of host heterogeneity, epitope immunodominance, and immune breadth for strain competition. (2011) (20)
- Detecting nonlinear dynamics in spatio-temporal systems, examples from ecological models (1996) (20)
- El Niño‐based malaria epidemic warning for Oromia, Ethiopia, from August 2016 to July 2017 (2016) (19)
- Epidemic cholera spreads like wildfire (2014) (19)
- Cholera forecast for Dhaka, Bangladesh, with the 2015-2016 El Niño: Lessons learned (2016) (18)
- Understanding Shifts in Wildfire Regimes as Emergent Threshold Phenomena (2011) (18)
- Understanding the role of parasites in food webs using the group model. (2018) (17)
- Global malaria maps and climate change: a focus on East African highlands. (2011) (17)
- Random, top-down, or bottom-up coexistence of parasites: malaria population dynamics in multi-parasitic settings. (2009) (16)
- Climate forcing and infectious disease transmission in urban landscapes: integrating demographic and socioeconomic heterogeneity (2016) (16)
- Periodic response to periodic forcing of the Droop equations for phytoplankton growth (1994) (14)
- Ecology. Ecology for a crowded planet. (2004) (14)
- Quasicycles revisited: apparent sensitivity to initial conditions. (2003) (14)
- Seasonality in cholera dynamics: A rainfall-driven model explains the wide range of patterns in endemic areas (2016) (14)
- Malaria control under unstable dynamics: reactive vs. climate-based strategies. (2014) (14)
- Malaria trends in Ethiopian highlands track the 2000 ‘slowdown’ in global warming (2021) (13)
- Critical transitions in malaria transmission models are consistently generated by superinfection (2018) (12)
- Synergistic and antagonistic interactions between bednets and vaccines in the control of malaria (2015) (11)
- Climate-driven endemic cholera is modulated by human mobility in a megacity. (2017) (11)
- Dynamics of the ‘echo’ effect in a phytoplankton system with nitrogen fixation (2005) (11)
- Challenges for the Future: Integrating Ecological Structure and Dynamics (2005) (11)
- The network structure and eco-evolutionary dynamics of CRISPR-induced immune diversification (2019) (11)
- Seasonality in the migration and establishment of H3N2 Influenza lineages with epidemic growth and decline (2014) (10)
- Let's Train More Theoretical Ecologists - Here Is Why. (2019) (9)
- COVID‐Clarity demands unification of health and environmental policy (2021) (8)
- Ecological factors driving the long-term evolution of influenza's host range (2010) (8)
- Signatures of competition and strain structure within the major blood‐stage antigen of Plasmodium falciparum in a local community in Ghana (2018) (8)
- Climate and Population Immunity in Malaria Dynamics: Harnessing Information from Endemicity Gradients. (2015) (7)
- Age-specific patterns of DBLα var diversity can explain why residents of high malaria transmission areas remain susceptible to Plasmodium falciparum blood stage infection throughout life (2022) (7)
- Understanding nonlinear dynamics: Daniel Kaplan and Leon Glass, Springer-Verlag, New York, 1995. $44.95 (cloth), $29.95 (paper), 420 pp (1996) (7)
- Fine-scale heterogeneity in population density predicts wave dynamics in dengue epidemics (2021) (6)
- Nonparametric Bayesian grouping methods for spatial time-series data (2013) (6)
- Frequency-Dependent Competition Between Strains Imparts Persistence to Perturbations in a Model of Plasmodium falciparum Malaria Transmission (2021) (5)
- Global warming and malaria in tropical highlands - an estimation of Ethiopia's 'unmitigated' annual malaria burden in the 21st century. (2014) (5)
- Incidence Prediction for the 2017-2018 Influenza Season in the United States with an Evolution-informed Model (2018) (5)
- The neglected role of relative humidity in the interannual variability of urban malaria in Indian cities (2022) (4)
- Indoor residual spraying with a non-pyrethroid insecticide reduces the reservoir of Plasmodium falciparum in a high-transmission area in northern Ghana (2022) (4)
- Predicting re-emergence times of dengue epidemics at low reproductive numbers: DENV1 in Rio de Janeiro, 1986–1990 (2020) (4)
- Correction: Climate Cycles and Forecasts of Cutaneous Leishmaniasis, a Nonstationary Vector-Borne Disease (2007) (4)
- An antigenic diversification threshold for falciparum malaria transmission at high endemicity (2020) (4)
- Tube Well Use as Protection Against Rotavirus Infection During the Monsoons in an Urban Setting (2019) (3)
- The impact of indoor residual spraying on Plasmodium falciparum microsatellite variation in an area of high seasonal malaria transmission in Ghana, West Africa (2021) (3)
- Composite temporal strategies in pathogen evolution: balancing invasion and persistence (2014) (2)
- Two Sides of the Same Coin: High Non-Neutral Diversity and High-Dimensional Trait Space in Pathogen Populations and Ecological Communities (2020) (2)
- Quantifying climatic and socio-economic influences on urban malaria in Surat, India: a modelling study (2019) (2)
- Identifying functional groups among the diverse, recombining antigenic var genes of the malaria parasite Plasmodium falciparum from a local community in Ghana (2018) (2)
- Role of competition in the strain structure of rotavirus under invasion and reassortment (2017) (2)
- Neutral vs. non-neutral genetic footprints of Plasmodium falciparum multiclonal infections (2022) (2)
- two water-borne diseases nonlinear response to environmental drivers : application to A stochastic model for ecological systems with strong (2008) (1)
- Homology blocks of Plasmodium falciparum var genes and clinically distinct forms of severe malaria in a local population (2013) (1)
- Two Sides of the Same Coin: (2020) (1)
- Networks of genetic similarity reveal non-neutral processes shape strain structure in Plasmodium falciparum (2018) (1)
- Frequency-dependent competition between strains imparts resilience to perturbations in a model of Plasmodium falciparum malaria transmission (2020) (1)
- Local climate and social inequality drive spatio-temporal variation in malaria risk across a complex urban landscape (2019) (1)
- Canalization of the evolutionary trajectory of the human influenza virus (2012) (1)
- What happens when forests fall? (2021) (1)
- PLOS Computational Biology 2017 Reviewer and Editorial Board Thank You (2018) (1)
- CpG-ODN formulated with a nanostructure as adjuvant for anticrotalic serum production. Studies in mice. (2022) (0)
- Colombia Altitudinal Changes in Malaria Incidence in Highlands of Ethiopia and (2014) (0)
- Author Correction: Fine-scale heterogeneity in population density predicts wave dynamics in dengue epidemics (2022) (0)
- General ecological models for human subsistence, health and poverty (2017) (0)
- Book reviews (1996) (0)
- Strain variation and anomalous climate synergistically influence cholera pandemics (2021) (0)
- The Structure of Parasites in Food Webs (2006) (0)
- Tubewell use protects against rotavirus infection during the monsoons in an urban setting (2019) (0)
- Data from: Temperature and population density determine reservoir regions of spatial persistence in highland malaria (2015) (0)
- Composite temporal strategies in pathogen evolution: balancing invasion and persistence (2014) (0)
- Introducción de rizobios mediante inoculación de leguminosas en suelos de Castilla-La Mancha sometidos a diferentes prácticas agrícolas (2006) (0)
- Self-organized patchiness in malaria (2013) (0)
- EPIDEMIOLOGY OF CHRONIC ASYMPTOMATIC PLASMODIUM FALCIPARUM INFECTIONS AMONG ALL AGES IN AN AREA WITH SEASONAL MALARIA TRANSMISSION IN BONGO DISTRICT, GHANA (2017) (0)
- Author Correction: Fine-scale heterogeneity in population density predicts wave dynamics in dengue epidemics (2022) (0)
- JFMA cases and the covariates tested and used in our model (2015) (0)
- Title Random , top-down , or bottom-up coexistence of parasites : malariapopulation dynamics in multi-parasitic settings (2017) (0)
- Ecological Scaling in Space and Time (2020) (0)
- Drug resistance and climate change : Independent drivers of malaria dynamics ? Supplementary Information (2010) (0)
- VAR CODE: A NEW MOLECULAR EPIDEMIOLOGY TOOL FOR MONITORING PLASMODIUM FALCIPARUM IN A HIGH TRANSMISSION AREA OF GHANA, WEST AFRICA (2017) (0)
- Conservation of single amino-acid polymorphisms in Plasmodium falciparum erythrocyte membrane protein 1 and association with severe pathophysiology (2017) (0)
- Corrigendum: Frequency-dependent competition between strains imparts persistence to perturbations in a model of Plasmodium falciparum malaria transmission (2022) (0)
- Modeling Trichodesmium And Nitrogen Fixation In The Atlantic : JGOFS Meets Biocomplexity by Raleigh (2001) (0)
- Influenza evolution navigates stability valleys (2013) (0)
- Evidence of Critical Transitions and Coexistence of Alternative States in Nature: The Case of Malaria Transmission (2019) (0)
- Brogan & Partners Impacts of Climate Change on Public Health in India : Future Research Directions (2011) (0)
- Comparison of molecular surveillance methods to assess changes in the population genetics of Plasmodium falciparum in high transmission (2023) (0)
- Enriched pathogen diversity under host-type heterogeneity and immune-mediated competition (2017) (0)
- Influenza incidence prediction for the United States: an update for the 2018-2019 season (2018) (0)
- PERSPECTIVE Parasites in food webs: the ultimate missing links OnlineOpen: This article is available free online at www.blackwell-synergy.com (2008) (0)
- Predictability of epidemic malaria under non-stationary conditions with process-based models combining epidemiological updates and climate variability (2015) (0)
- Influenza evolution navigates stability valleys By reconstructing how an influenza protein collected in 1968 might have evolved into one collected in 2007, researchers have obtained new insights into the interactions between genetic mutations. (2013) (0)
- Seasonality in the migration and establishment of H3N2 Influenza lineages with epidemic growth and decline (2014) (0)
- COVID19 is a seasonal climate-driven disease across both hemispheres (2020) (0)
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What Schools Are Affiliated With Mercedes Pascual?
Mercedes Pascual is affiliated with the following schools: