Neil Ferguson
#12,655
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British epidemiologist
Neil Ferguson 's AcademicInfluence.com Rankings
Neil Ferguson medical Degrees
Medical
#184
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#278
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Epidemiology
#85
World Rank
#93
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Neil Ferguson 's Degrees
- PhD Theoretical Physics University of Oxford
Why Is Neil Ferguson Influential?
(Suggest an Edit or Addition)According to Wikipedia, Neil Morris Ferguson is a British epidemiologist and professor of mathematical biology, who specialises in the patterns of spread of infectious disease in humans and animals. He is the director of the Jameel Institute, and of the MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, and head of the Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology in the School of Public Health and Vice-Dean for Academic Development in the Faculty of Medicine, all at Imperial College London.
Neil Ferguson 's Published Works
Number of citations in a given year to any of this author's works
Total number of citations to an author for the works they published in a given year. This highlights publication of the most important work(s) by the author
Published Works
- Estimates of the severity of coronavirus disease 2019: a model-based analysis (2020) (3139)
- Estimating the effects of non-pharmaceutical interventions on COVID-19 in Europe (2020) (2375)
- Report 9: Impact of non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) to reduce COVID19 mortality and healthcare demand (2020) (2335)
- Strategies for mitigating an influenza pandemic (2006) (2087)
- Pandemic Potential of a Strain of Influenza A (H1N1): Early Findings (2009) (1932)
- Strategies for containing an emerging influenza pandemic in Southeast Asia (2005) (1868)
- Transmission Dynamics of the Etiological Agent of SARS in Hong Kong: Impact of Public Health Interventions (2003) (1173)
- A New Framework and Software to Estimate Time-Varying Reproduction Numbers During Epidemics (2013) (1110)
- Ebola virus disease in West Africa--the first 9 months of the epidemic and forward projections. (2014) (1078)
- Time lines of infection and disease in human influenza: a review of volunteer challenge studies. (2008) (1064)
- Factors that make an infectious disease outbreak controllable. (2004) (1059)
- Covid-19 Vaccine Effectiveness against the Omicron (B.1.1.529) Variant (2022) (995)
- Epidemiological determinants of spread of causal agent of severe acute respiratory syndrome in Hong Kong (2003) (984)
- Genomics and epidemiology of the P.1 SARS-CoV-2 lineage in Manaus, Brazil (2021) (942)
- Suppression of a SARS-CoV-2 outbreak in the Italian municipality of Vo’ (2020) (830)
- Suppression of a SARS-CoV-2 outbreak in the Italian municipality of Vo’ (2020) (830)
- Assessing transmissibility of SARS-CoV-2 lineage B.1.1.7 in England (2021) (806)
- The Foot-and-Mouth Epidemic in Great Britain: Pattern of Spread and Impact of Interventions (2001) (694)
- Ecological and immunological determinants of influenza evolution (2003) (684)
- Estimating the impact of school closure on influenza transmission from Sentinel data (2008) (651)
- Modeling targeted layered containment of an influenza pandemic in the United States (2008) (647)
- The effect of public health measures on the 1918 influenza pandemic in U.S. cities (2007) (641)
- The impact of COVID-19 and strategies for mitigation and suppression in low- and middle-income countries (2020) (592)
- Transmission of SARS-CoV-2 Lineage B.1.1.7 in England: Insights from linking epidemiological and genetic data (2021) (557)
- Reducing Plasmodium falciparum Malaria Transmission in Africa: A Model-Based Evaluation of Intervention Strategies (2010) (531)
- Comparative analysis of the risks of hospitalisation and death associated with SARS-CoV-2 omicron (B.1.1.529) and delta (B.1.617.2) variants in England: a cohort study (2022) (515)
- Comparative analysis of the risks of hospitalisation and death associated with SARS-CoV-2 omicron (B.1.1.529) and delta (B.1.617.2) variants in England: a cohort study (2022) (515)
- Household transmission of 2009 pandemic influenza A (H1N1) virus in the United States. (2009) (507)
- Report 13: Estimating the number of infections and the impact of non-pharmaceutical interventions on COVID-19 in 11 European countries (2020) (504)
- Closure of schools during an influenza pandemic (2009) (502)
- Potential impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on HIV, tuberculosis, and malaria in low-income and middle-income countries: a modelling study (2020) (483)
- Evolution and epidemic spread of SARS-CoV-2 in Brazil (2020) (459)
- Community transmission and viral load kinetics of the SARS-CoV-2 delta (B.1.617.2) variant in vaccinated and unvaccinated individuals in the UK: a prospective, longitudinal, cohort study (2021) (444)
- Epidemiology, transmission dynamics and control of SARS: the 2002-2003 epidemic. (2004) (437)
- Transmission intensity and impact of control policies on the foot and mouth epidemic in Great Britain (2001) (435)
- Report 12: The global impact of COVID-19 and strategies for mitigation and suppression (2020) (434)
- Planning for smallpox outbreaks (2003) (387)
- Comparative community burden and severity of seasonal and pandemic influenza: results of the Flu Watch cohort study (2014) (356)
- Transmission dynamics and epidemiology of BSE in British cattle (1996) (344)
- The Epidemiology of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome in the 2003 Hong Kong Epidemic: An Analysis of All 1755 Patients (2004) (343)
- Middle East respiratory syndrome coronavirus: quantification of the extent of the epidemic, surveillance biases, and transmissibility (2013) (341)
- Face Mask Use and Control of Respiratory Virus Transmission in Households (2009) (341)
- Role of social networks in shaping disease transmission during a community outbreak of 2009 H1N1 pandemic influenza (2011) (339)
- Suppression of COVID-19 outbreak in the municipality of Vo, Italy (2020) (336)
- State of Knowledge and Data Gaps of Middle East Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus (MERS-CoV) in Humans (2013) (326)
- Reduction in mobility and COVID-19 transmission (2021) (324)
- Assessing the global threat from Zika virus (2016) (312)
- Transmission dynamics and epidemiology of BSE in British cattle (1997) (299)
- The effect of antibody-dependent enhancement on the transmission dynamics and persistence of multiple-strain pathogens. (1999) (292)
- Chaos, persistence, and evolution of strain structure in antigenically diverse infectious agents. (1998) (292)
- Capturing human behaviour (2007) (287)
- Report 3: Transmissibility of 2019-nCoV (2020) (282)
- Countering the Zika epidemic in Latin America (2016) (253)
- Assessing the severity of the novel influenza A/H1N1 pandemic (2009) (251)
- A cluster randomized clinical trial comparing fit‐tested and non‐fit‐tested N95 respirators to medical masks to prevent respiratory virus infection in health care workers (2011) (243)
- Yellow Fever in Africa: Estimating the Burden of Disease and Impact of Mass Vaccination from Outbreak and Serological Data (2014) (239)
- Scale-Free Networks and Sexually Transmitted Diseases: A Description of Observed Patterns of Sexual Contacts in Britain and Zimbabwe (2004) (224)
- Estimates of the severity of COVID-19 disease (2020) (214)
- Age groups that sustain resurging COVID-19 epidemics in the United States (2020) (213)
- Modeling the impact on virus transmission of Wolbachia-mediated blocking of dengue virus infection of Aedes aegypti (2015) (213)
- Will travel restrictions control the international spread of pandemic influenza? (2006) (213)
- Transmission dynamics and epidemiology of dengue: insights from age-stratified sero-prevalence surveys. (1999) (208)
- Bayesian Reconstruction of Disease Outbreaks by Combining Epidemiologic and Genomic Data (2014) (202)
- Modelling the impact of vector control interventions on Anopheles gambiae population dynamics (2011) (200)
- Benefits and risks of the Sanofi-Pasteur dengue vaccine: Modeling optimal deployment (2016) (199)
- Managing and reducing uncertainty in an emerging influenza pandemic. (2009) (199)
- Report 2: Estimating the potential total number of novel Coronavirus cases in Wuhan City, China (2020) (199)
- Predicted vCJD mortality in Great Britain (2000) (194)
- Estimates of the changing age-burden of Plasmodium falciparum malaria disease in sub-Saharan Africa (2014) (188)
- Potential Biases in Estimating Absolute and Relative Case-Fatality Risks during Outbreaks (2015) (183)
- Modelling the Impact of Antiretroviral Use in Resource-Poor Settings (2006) (181)
- Use of serological surveys to generate key insights into the changing global landscape of infectious disease (2016) (180)
- Public Health Risk from the Avian H5N1 Influenza Epidemic (2004) (178)
- The Long-Term Safety, Public Health Impact, and Cost-Effectiveness of Routine Vaccination with a Recombinant, Live-Attenuated Dengue Vaccine (Dengvaxia): A Model Comparison Study (2016) (175)
- Spatial heterogeneity and the persistence of infectious diseases. (2004) (163)
- Real-time Estimates in Early Detection of SARS (2006) (156)
- After Ebola in West Africa--Unpredictable Risks, Preventable Epidemics. (2016) (152)
- State-level tracking of COVID-19 in the United States (2020) (152)
- Likelihood-based estimation of continuous-time epidemic models from time-series data: application to measles transmission in London (2008) (143)
- The epidemiology of BSE in cattle herds in Great Britain. II. Model construction and analysis of transmission dynamics. (1997) (142)
- Transmission scenarios for Middle East Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus (MERS-CoV) and how to tell them apart. (2013) (140)
- Malaria morbidity and mortality in Ebola-affected countries caused by decreased health-care capacity, and the potential effect of mitigation strategies: a modelling analysis (2015) (139)
- Smallpox transmission and control: Spatial dynamics in Great Britain (2006) (136)
- Estimating the number of infections and the impact of non-pharmaceutical interventions on COVID-19 in European countries: technical description update (2020) (136)
- Comparison of molecular testing strategies for COVID-19 control: a mathematical modelling study (2020) (133)
- CME ACTIVITY: Face Mask Use and Control of Respiratory Virus Transmission in Households (2009) (132)
- A review of epidemiological parameters from Ebola outbreaks to inform early public health decision-making (2015) (128)
- A population-dynamic model for evaluating the potential spread of drug-resistant influenza virus infections during community-based use of antivirals. (2003) (126)
- Determinants of the Spatiotemporal Dynamics of the 2009 H1N1 Pandemic in Europe: Implications for Real-Time Modelling (2011) (125)
- The Ecological Dynamics of Fecal Contamination and Salmonella Typhi and Salmonella Paratyphi A in Municipal Kathmandu Drinking Water (2016) (121)
- Safety, tolerability and viral kinetics during SARS-CoV-2 human challenge in young adults (2022) (120)
- Transmission Parameters of the 2001 Foot and Mouth Epidemic in Great Britain (2007) (119)
- Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) Setting-specific Transmission Rates: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis (2021) (118)
- Response to COVID-19 in South Korea and implications for lifting stringent interventions (2020) (115)
- Implications of BSE infection screening data for the scale of the British BSE epidemic and current European infection levels (2002) (113)
- Report 34: COVID-19 infection fatality ratio: estimates from seroprevalence (2020) (112)
- When are pathogen genome sequences informative of transmission events? (2018) (111)
- Estimating the human health risk from possible BSE infection of the British sheep flock (2002) (111)
- The Early Transmission Dynamics of H1N1pdm Influenza in the United Kingdom (2010) (108)
- Adapting hospital capacity to meet changing demands during the COVID-19 pandemic (2020) (107)
- Epidemiological and genetic analysis of severe acute respiratory syndrome (2004) (106)
- Epidemiological determinants of the pattern and magnitude of the vCJD epidemic in Great Britain (1998) (105)
- Frequent Travelers and Rate of Spread of Epidemics (2007) (104)
- The epidemiological impact of antiretroviral use predicted by mathematical models: a review (2005) (103)
- The role of rapid diagnostics in managing Ebola epidemics (2015) (103)
- Report 50: Hospitalisation risk for Omicron cases in England (2021) (101)
- Estimating the most efficient allocation of interventions to achieve reductions in Plasmodium falciparum malaria burden and transmission in Africa: a modelling study. (2016) (101)
- Mapping global variation in dengue transmission intensity (2020) (100)
- Adoption and impact of non-pharmaceutical interventions for COVID-19 (2020) (100)
- Spatial dynamics of the 1918 influenza pandemic in England, Wales and the United States (2010) (99)
- Deliberations of the Strategic Advisory Group of Experts on Immunization on the use of CYD-TDV dengue vaccine. (2019) (97)
- Heterogeneities in the case fatality ratio in the West African Ebola outbreak 2013–2016 (2017) (97)
- Unraveling the drivers of MERS-CoV transmission (2016) (96)
- Evaluating the Adequacy of Gravity Models as a Description of Human Mobility for Epidemic Modelling (2012) (95)
- Changing composition of SARS-CoV-2 lineages and rise of Delta variant in England (2021) (93)
- A Change in Vaccine Efficacy and Duration of Protection Explains Recent Rises in Pertussis Incidence in the United States (2015) (93)
- Evidence of initial success for China exiting COVID-19 social distancing policy after achieving containment. (2020) (92)
- Estimating the health impact of vaccination against ten pathogens in 98 low-income and middle-income countries from 2000 to 2030: a modelling study (2021) (92)
- More Realistic Models of Sexually Transmitted Disease Transmission Dynamics: Sexual Partnership Networks, Pair Models, and Moment Closure (2000) (91)
- Report 4: Severity of 2019-novel coronavirus (nCoV) (2020) (89)
- Studies Needed to Address Public Health Challenges of the 2009 H1N1 Influenza Pandemic: Insights from Modeling (2010) (88)
- Updated projections of future vCJD deaths in the UK (2003) (87)
- Within-host viral dynamics of dengue serotype 1 infection (2014) (86)
- Contrasting benefits of different artemisinin combination therapies as first-line malaria treatments using model-based cost-effectiveness analysis (2014) (86)
- Assessing the epidemiological effect of wolbachia for dengue control. (2015) (82)
- Have deaths from COVID-19 in Europe plateaued due to herd immunity? (2020) (82)
- Influenza transmission in households during the 1918 pandemic. (2011) (81)
- Influenza Infection Rates, Measurement Errors and the Interpretation of Paired Serology (2012) (80)
- SARS-CoV Antibody Prevalence in All Hong Kong Patient Contacts (2004) (79)
- Using Wolbachia for Dengue Control: Insights from Modelling. (2017) (79)
- Control of a highly pathogenic H5N1 avian influenza outbreak in the GB poultry flock (2007) (79)
- Density dependence and overdispersion in the transmission of helminth parasites (2005) (79)
- Outbreak of Ebola virus disease in the Democratic Republic of the Congo, April–May, 2018: an epidemiological study (2018) (79)
- Seroprevalence of IgG antibodies to SARS-coronavirus in asymptomatic or subclinical population groups (2005) (79)
- Improving influenza vaccine virus selection: report of a WHO informal consultation held at WHO headquarters, Geneva, Switzerland, 14–16 June 2010 (2013) (76)
- Exposure Patterns Driving Ebola Transmission in West Africa: A Retrospective Observational Study (2016) (75)
- Challenges and opportunities in controlling mosquito-borne infections (2018) (74)
- Estimating Dengue Transmission Intensity from Sero-Prevalence Surveys in Multiple Countries (2015) (74)
- The epidemiology of BSE in cattle herds in Great Britain. I. Epidemiological processes, demography of cattle and approaches to control by culling. (1997) (73)
- Epidemic and intervention modelling--a scientific rationale for policy decisions? Lessons from the 2009 influenza pandemic. (2012) (72)
- Epidemiological inference for partially observed epidemics: the example of the 2001 foot and mouth epidemic in Great Britain. (2009) (71)
- Essential epidemiological mechanisms underpinning the transmission dynamics of seasonal influenza (2011) (71)
- Key data for outbreak evaluation: building on the Ebola experience (2017) (70)
- Increased transmissibility explains the third wave of infection by the 2009 H1N1 pandemic virus in England (2013) (69)
- A simple approach to measure transmissibility and forecast incidence (2017) (68)
- Potential role of human challenge studies for investigation of influenza transmission. (2011) (67)
- Clinical Characteristics and Predictors of Outcomes of Hospitalized Patients With Coronavirus Disease 2019 in a Multiethnic London National Health Service Trust: A Retrospective Cohort Study (2020) (67)
- Ebola virus disease among children in West Africa. (2015) (66)
- Transmission Characteristics of the 2009 H1N1 Influenza Pandemic: Comparison of 8 Southern Hemisphere Countries (2011) (66)
- Reduction of the HIV-1-infected T-cell reservoir by immune activation treatment is dose-dependent and restricted by the potency of antiretroviral drugs (2000) (65)
- Non-pharmaceutical interventions, vaccination, and the SARS-CoV-2 delta variant in England: a mathematical modelling study (2021) (65)
- Factors determining the pattern of the variant Creutzfeldt-Jakob disease (vCJD) epidemic in the UK (2003) (65)
- Analysis of dam–calf pairs of BSE cases: confirmation of a maternal risk enhancement (1997) (64)
- Improving the realism of deterministic multi-strain models: implications for modelling influenza A (2008) (64)
- Anonymised and aggregated crowd level mobility data from mobile phones suggests that initial compliance with COVID-19 social distancing interventions was high and geographically consistent across the UK (2020) (60)
- Serial intervals and the temporal distribution of secondary infections within households of 2009 pandemic influenza A (H1N1): implications for influenza control recommendations. (2011) (60)
- Under-reporting of deaths limits our understanding of true burden of covid-19 (2021) (60)
- Antigen-driven CD4+ T cell and HIV-1 dynamics: residual viral replication under highly active antiretroviral therapy. (1999) (59)
- Report 1: Estimating the Potential Total Number of Novel Coronavirus Cases in Wuhan City, China (2020) (59)
- Mass vaccination to control chickenpox: the influence of zoster. (1996) (59)
- Key epidemiological drivers and impact of interventions in the 2020 SARS-CoV-2 epidemic in England (2021) (58)
- Use of a human influenza challenge model to assess person-to-person transmission: proof-of-concept study. (2011) (58)
- Improving influenza vaccine virus selectionReport of a WHO informal consultation held at WHO headquarters, Geneva, Switzerland, 14–16 June 2010 (2011) (56)
- Antigenic Diversity, Transmission Mechanisms, and the Evolution of Pathogens (2009) (56)
- Translation of Polarity Cues into Asymmetric Spindle Positioning in Caenorhabditis elegans Embryos (55)
- Assessment of the risk posed by bovine spongiform encephalopathy in cattle in Great Britain and the impact of potential changes to current control measures (2003) (55)
- The seasonal influence of climate and environment on yellow fever transmission across Africa (2018) (54)
- Estimation of the number of people incubating variant CJD (1998) (54)
- A new approach to characterising infectious disease transmission dynamics from sentinel surveillance: application to the Italian 2009-2010 A/H1N1 influenza pandemic. (2012) (54)
- Transmission Dynamics, Border Entry Screening, and School Holidays during the 2009 Influenza A (H1N1) Pandemic, China (2012) (54)
- Children’s role in the COVID-19 pandemic: a systematic review of early surveillance data on susceptibility, severity, and transmissibility (2020) (54)
- Threshold parameters for a model of epidemic spread among households and workplaces (2009) (53)
- Infectious disease: Tough choices to reduce Ebola transmission (2014) (53)
- Estimating Air Temperature and Its Influence on Malaria Transmission across Africa (2013) (52)
- Repurposing isoxazoline veterinary drugs for control of vector-borne human diseases (2018) (52)
- outbreaker2: a modular platform for outbreak reconstruction (2018) (51)
- Vaccination and the population structure of antigenically diverse pathogens that exchange genetic material (1997) (51)
- The impact of cross-immunity, mutation and stochastic extinction on pathogen diversity (2004) (50)
- Dynamical complexity in age-structured models of the transmission of the measles virus: epidemiological implications at high levels of vaccine uptake. (1996) (50)
- Bayesian inference of transmission chains using timing of symptoms, pathogen genomes and contact data (2019) (49)
- Estimation of the basic reproduction number of BSE: the intensity of transmission in British cattle (1999) (47)
- Inferring pandemic growth rates from sequence data (2012) (47)
- Statistical Aspects of BSE and vCJD: Models for Epidemics (1999) (47)
- Space and contact networks: capturing the locality of disease transmission (2006) (47)
- Ebola Virus Disease among Male and Female Persons in West Africa. (2016) (47)
- Model-Based Comprehensive Analysis of School Closure Policies for Mitigating Influenza Epidemics and Pandemics (2016) (46)
- Assessment of the prevalence of vCJD through testing tonsils and appendices for abnormal prion protein (2000) (44)
- Identification of MERS-CoV in dromedary camels (2013) (44)
- Estimating Potential Incidence of MERS-CoV Associated with Hajj Pilgrims to Saudi Arabia, 2014 (2014) (43)
- Evidence of initial success for China exiting COVID-19 social distancing policy after achieving containment (2020) (43)
- The role of antigenic stimulation and cytotoxic T cell activity in regulating the long–term immunopathogenesis of HIV: mechanisms and clinical implications (2001) (43)
- Using Routine Surveillance Data to Estimate the Epidemic Potential of Emerging Zoonoses: Application to the Emergence of US Swine Origin Influenza A H3N2v Virus (2013) (43)
- Within-country age-based prioritisation, global allocation, and public health impact of a vaccine against SARS-CoV-2: A mathematical modelling analysis (2021) (43)
- The Influence of Different Forms of Cross-Protective Immunity on the Population Dynamics of Antigenically Diverse Pathogens (2002) (42)
- Report 16: Role of testing in COVID-19 control (2020) (42)
- Transmission dynamics of the 2009 influenza A (H1N1) pandemic in India: the impact of holiday-related school closure. (2013) (42)
- Within-farm transmission dynamics of foot and mouth disease as revealed by the 2001 epidemic in Great Britain. (2012) (42)
- Report 23: State-level tracking of COVID-19 in the United States (2020) (41)
- Report 33: Modelling the allocation and impact of a COVID-19 vaccine (2020) (41)
- OutbreakTools: A new platform for disease outbreak analysis using the R software (2014) (41)
- Analysis of the Bovine Spongiform Encephalopathy Maternal Cohort Study: Evidence for Direct Maternal Transmission (1997) (41)
- Comment on “Seroevidence for H5N1 Influenza Infections in Humans: Meta-Analysis” (2012) (40)
- Safety, tolerability and viral kinetics during SARS-CoV-2 human challenge (2022) (40)
- Estimating malaria transmission intensity from Plasmodium falciparum serological data using antibody density models (2016) (39)
- Modelling Virus and Antibody Dynamics during Dengue Virus Infection Suggests a Role for Antibody in Virus Clearance (2016) (39)
- Estimating the Severity and Subclinical Burden of Middle East Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus Infection in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia (2016) (39)
- Key traveller groups of relevance to spatial malaria transmission: a survey of movement patterns in four sub-Saharan African countries (2016) (39)
- Determinants of Influenza Transmission in South East Asia: Insights from a Household Cohort Study in Vietnam (2014) (38)
- Early Insights from Statistical and Mathematical Modeling of Key Epidemiologic Parameters of COVID-19 (2020) (38)
- The relationship between real-time and discrete-generation models of epidemic spread. (2008) (38)
- Mathematical models of human mobility of relevance to malaria transmission in Africa (2018) (38)
- Modelling the immunological response to a tetravalent dengue vaccine from multiple phase-2 trials in Latin America and South East Asia (2015) (38)
- International risk of yellow fever spread from the ongoing outbreak in Brazil, December 2016 to May 2017 (2017) (37)
- SARS-CoV-2 antibody dynamics and transmission from community-wide serological testing in the Italian municipality of Vo’ (2021) (37)
- The global burden of yellow fever (2020) (37)
- A systematic review of MERS-CoV seroprevalence and RNA prevalence in dromedary camels: Implications for animal vaccination (2019) (36)
- Methods to infer transmission risk factors in complex outbreak data (2011) (36)
- The Early Transmission Dynamics of H1N1pdm Influenza in the United Kingdom. (2009) (36)
- A genetic interpretation of heightened risk of BSE in offspring of affected dams (1997) (35)
- Systematic selection between age and household structure for models aimed at emerging epidemic predictions (2020) (34)
- The transmission dynamics of BSE and vCJD. (2002) (34)
- Viral dynamics and anti-viral pharmacodynamics: rethinking in vitro measures of drug potency. (2001) (34)
- Surrogate Markers for Disease Progression in Treated HIV Infection (2001) (34)
- Epidemic growth rate and household reproduction number in communities of households, schools and workplaces (2011) (33)
- Incorporating demographic stochasticity into multi-strain epidemic models: application to influenza A (2009) (33)
- Report 8: Symptom progression of COVID-19 (2020) (33)
- Report 26: Reduction in mobility and COVID-19 transmission (2020) (33)
- Report 19: The Potential Impact of the COVID-19 Epidemic on HIV, TB and Malaria in Low- and Middle-Income Countries (2020) (32)
- The transmission dynamics of the aetiological agent of scrapie in a sheep flock. (2000) (32)
- Quantification of intrinsic residual viral replication in treated HIV-infected patients (2001) (32)
- Travel Patterns in China (2011) (31)
- The maintenance of sex in parasites (2003) (31)
- Leveraging community mortality indicators to infer COVID-19 mortality and transmission dynamics in Damascus, Syria (2021) (31)
- Quantifying the transmissibility of human influenza and its seasonal variation in temperate regions (2010) (30)
- Estimating Dengue Transmission Intensity from Case-Notification Data from Multiple Countries (2016) (29)
- Cross-serotype interactions and disease outcome prediction of dengue infections in Vietnam (2019) (29)
- Extending backcalculation to analyse BSE data (2003) (29)
- Report 5: Phylogenetic analysis of SARS-CoV-2 (2020) (29)
- Short-term forecasts to inform the response to the COVID-19 epidemic in the UK (2020) (28)
- International risk of yellow fever spread from the ongoing outbreak in Brazil (2017) (28)
- West African Ebola epidemic after one year--slowing but not yet under control. (2015) (28)
- Estimating the Location and Spatial Extent of a Covert Anthrax Release (2009) (27)
- Comparative Analysis of the Risks of Hospitalisation and Death Associated with SARS-CoV-2 Omicron (B.1.1.529) and Delta (B.1.617.2) Variants in England (2022) (27)
- Persistence patterns of scrapie in a sheep flock (2001) (26)
- Report 41: The 2020 SARS-CoV-2 epidemic in England: key epidemiological drivers and impact of interventions (2020) (26)
- Adherence to antiretroviral therapy and its impact on clinical outcome in HIV-infected patients (2005) (25)
- BSE in Northern Ireland: epidemiological patterns past, present and future (1998) (25)
- Report 6: Relative sensitivity of international surveillance (2020) (25)
- Robust parameter estimation techniques for stochastic within-host macroparasite models. (2003) (25)
- Characterizing the symmetric equilibrium of multi-strain host-pathogen systems in the presence of cross immunity (2005) (25)
- Predicting the Effect of Varicella Vaccine on Subsequent Cases of Zoster and Varicella (1996) (25)
- The 2020 SARS-CoV-2 epidemic in England: key epidemiological drivers and impact of interventions (2021) (23)
- A sub-national analysis of the rate of transmission of COVID-19 in Italy (2020) (23)
- Comparing the responses of the UK, Sweden and Denmark to COVID-19 using counterfactual modelling (2021) (22)
- Dynamics of seminal plasma HIV-1 decline after antiretroviral treatment. (2001) (22)
- The value of vaccine booster doses to mitigate the global impact of the Omicron SARS-CoV-2 variant (2022) (22)
- Predicting evolutionary change in the influenza A virus (2002) (22)
- Slower decline of plasma HIV-1 RNA following highly suppressive antiretroviral therapy in primary compared with chronic infection (2000) (21)
- Rapid detection of pandemic influenza in the presence of seasonal influenza (2010) (21)
- A COVID‐19 model for local authorities of the United Kingdom (2020) (21)
- A Meta-Analysis of Serological Response Associated with Yellow Fever Vaccination (2016) (21)
- Viral Replication Under Combination Antiretroviral Therapy: A Comparison of Four Different Regimens (2002) (21)
- A Many-Body Field Theory Approach to Stochastic Models in Population Biology (2009) (21)
- Genetic evidence for the association between COVID-19 epidemic severity and timing of non-pharmaceutical interventions (2021) (20)
- Lives saved with vaccination for 10 pathogens across 112 countries in a pre-COVID-19 world (2021) (20)
- Report 17: Clinical characteristics and predictors of outcomes of hospitalised patients with COVID-19 in a London NHS Trust: a retrospective cohort study (2020) (20)
- Feed-borne transmission and case clustering of BSE (2000) (20)
- Recent trends in the BSE epidemic (1997) (20)
- Short-term projections for variant Creutzfeldt-Jakob disease onsets (2003) (19)
- Analytic approximation of spatial epidemic models of foot and mouth disease. (2008) (19)
- Cluster-Randomized Test-Negative Design Trials: A Novel and Efficient Method to Assess the Efficacy of Community-Level Dengue Interventions (2018) (19)
- STRATEGIES TOWARDS PLASMODIUM FALCIPARUM MALARIA ELIMINATION IN AFRICA USING CURRENTLY AVAILABLE TOOLS (2010) (19)
- Assessment of Mortality and Hospital Admissions Associated with Confirmed Infection with SARS-CoV-2 Variant of Concern VOC-202012/01 (B.1.1.7) a Matched Cohort and Time-to-Event Analysis (2021) (18)
- Feature Selection Methods for Identifying Genetic Determinants of Host Species in RNA Viruses (2013) (18)
- 6. Measles: Persistence and Synchronicity in Disease Dynamics (1998) (18)
- Approximate disease dynamics in household-structured populations (2007) (18)
- Worldwide transmission and seasonal variation of pandemic influenza A(H1N1)2009 virus activity during the 2009–2010 pandemic (2013) (18)
- Report 22: Equity in Response to the COVID-19 Pandemic: An Assessment of the Direct and Indirect Impacts on Disadvantaged and Vulnerable Populations in Low- and Lower Middle-Income Countries (2020) (18)
- The effect of climate change on yellow fever disease burden in Africa (2020) (18)
- Subnational analysis of the COVID-19 epidemic in Brazil (2020) (18)
- Estimating the health impact of vaccination against 10 pathogens in 98 low and middle income countries from 2000 to 2030 (2019) (17)
- Interactions of multiple strain pathogen diseases in the presence of coinfection, cross immunity, and arbitrary strain diversity. (2008) (17)
- Preliminary results of models to predict areas in the Americas with increased likelihood of Zika virus transmission in 2017 (2017) (16)
- Semi-Mechanistic Bayesian Modeling of COVID-19 with Renewal Processes. (2020) (16)
- Epidemiological analysis of data for scrapie in Great Britain (2005) (16)
- Onset and window of SARS-CoV-2 infectiousness and temporal correlation with symptom onset: a prospective, longitudinal, community cohort study (2022) (16)
- A systematic review of reported reassortant viral lineages of influenza A (2015) (15)
- Differential efficacy of dengue vaccine by immune status (2015) (15)
- Refined efficacy estimates of the Sanofi Pasteur dengue vaccine CYD-TDV using machine learning (2018) (15)
- Poverty, death, and a future influenza pandemic (2006) (15)
- Control of scrapie in the UK sheep population (2008) (15)
- Modelling intensive care unit capacity under different epidemiological scenarios of the COVID-19 pandemic in three Western European countries (2021) (15)
- Interpreting estimates of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) vaccine efficacy and effectiveness to inform simulation studies of vaccine impact: a systematic review (2021) (15)
- Dynamics of a scrapie outbreak in a flock of Romanov sheep – estimation of transmission parameters (2003) (14)
- Vaccine equity in low and middle income countries: a systematic review and meta-analysis (2022) (14)
- Community Transmission and Viral Load Kinetics of SARS-CoV-2 Delta (B.1.617.2)Variant in Vaccinated and Unvaccinated Individuals (2021) (14)
- Estimating the COVID-19 infection fatality ratio accounting for seroreversion using statistical modelling (2022) (13)
- Studies needed to address public health challenges of the 2009 H1N1 influenza pandemic: insights from modeling. (2009) (13)
- Report 31: Estimating the burden of COVID-19 in Damascus, Syria: an analysis of novel data sources to infer mortality under-ascertainment (2020) (13)
- Studies needed to address public health challenges of the 2009 H1N1 influenza pandemic: insights from modeling. (2009) (13)
- Re-assessment of mitigation strategies for deliberate releases of anthrax using a real-time outbreak characterization tool. (2010) (12)
- Eliminating yellow fever epidemics in Africa: Vaccine demand forecast and impact modelling (2018) (12)
- A trade-off between dry season survival longevity and wet season high net reproduction can explain the persistence of Anopheles mosquitoes (2018) (12)
- A mathematical model of the transmission of middle East respiratory syndrome coronavirus in dromedary camels (Camelus dromedarius) (2019) (12)
- Optimizing the Precision of Case Fatality Ratio Estimates Under the Surveillance Pyramid Approach (2014) (12)
- Parameters for the Mathematical Modelling of Clostridium difficile Acquisition and Transmission: A Systematic Review (2013) (12)
- erratum: Transmission intensity and impact of control policies on the foot and mouth epidemic in Great Britain (2001) (11)
- Spatiotemporal variability in dengue transmission intensity in Jakarta, Indonesia (2018) (11)
- Report 20: A sub-national analysis of the rate of transmission of Covid-19 in Italy (2020) (11)
- Predicting the size of the epidemic of the new variant of Creutzfeldt‐Jakob disease (1999) (11)
- Targeting vaccinations for the licensed dengue vaccine: Considerations for serosurvey design (2017) (11)
- Multiple contributory factors to the age distribution of disease cases: a modeling study in the context of influenza A(H3N2v). (2013) (10)
- How can the public health impact of vaccination be estimated? (2021) (10)
- Report 29: The Impact of the COVID-19 Epidemic on All-Cause Attendances to Emergency Departments in Two Large London Hospitals: An Observational Study (2020) (10)
- Database of epidemic trends and control measures during the first wave of COVID-19 in mainland China (2020) (10)
- POLICI: A web application for visualising and extracting yellow fever vaccination coverage in Africa. (2019) (10)
- Antigen-driven T-cell turnover. (2002) (9)
- Antigen-driven CD 4 1 T cell and HIV-1 dynamics : Residual viral replication under highly active antiretroviral therapy (1999) (9)
- Reproducible parallel inference and simulation of stochastic state space models using odin, dust, and mcstate. (2020) (9)
- SARS-CoV-2 infection prevalence on repatriation flights from Wuhan City, China (2020) (9)
- Seasonality of agricultural exposure as an important predictor of seasonal yellow fever spillover in Brazil (2021) (9)
- Modelling the impact of the tier system on SARS-CoV-2 transmission in the UK between the first and second national lockdowns (2021) (9)
- Influenza: Making Privileged Data Public Response (2009) (8)
- Correction: Travel Patterns in China (2011) (8)
- Antigenic diversity and the selective value of sex in parasites (2001) (8)
- Non-pharmaceutical interventions, vaccination and the Delta variant: epidemiological insights from modelling England's COVID-19 roadmap out of lockdown (2021) (7)
- Hospitalisation and mortality risk of SARS-COV-2 variant omicron sub-lineage BA.2 compared to BA.1 in England (2022) (7)
- Fine-scale modelling finds that breeding site fragmentation can reduce mosquito population persistence (2019) (7)
- Reply to: The effect of interventions on COVID-19 (2020) (7)
- Report 15: Strengthening hospital capacity for the COVID-19 pandemic (2020) (7)
- How season and serotype determine dengue transmissibility (2014) (7)
- Estimating the number of undetected COVID-19 cases among travellers from mainland China. (2020) (7)
- Unveiling the burden of pertussis. (2004) (7)
- Inferring the reproduction number using the renewal equation in heterogeneous epidemics (2022) (6)
- Comparative modelling of dengue vaccine public health impact: Report to the World Health Organisation (2016) (6)
- The impact of a COVID-19 lockdown on work productivity under good and poor compliance (2021) (6)
- Optimal national prioritization policies for hospital care during the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic (2021) (6)
- Mathematical prediction in infection (2005) (6)
- Seasonal and inter-annual drivers of yellow fever transmission in South America (2021) (6)
- Comparative modelling of dengue vaccine public health impact ( CMDVI ) 17 / 03 / 2016 Authors (2016) (6)
- Using cluster analysis to reconstruct dengue exposure patterns from cross-sectional serological studies in Singapore (2020) (6)
- Report 28: Excess non-COVID-19 deaths in England and Wales between 29th February and 5th June 2020 (2020) (6)
- The influence of different forms of cross-protective immunity on pathogen strain structure (2001) (6)
- Author Correction: Suppression of a SARS-CoV-2 outbreak in the Italian municipality of Vo’ (2021) (5)
- Influenza evolution and immune selection (2004) (5)
- Report 38: SARS-CoV-2 setting-specific transmission rates: a systematic review and meta-analysis (2020) (5)
- Transmission dynamics and mechanisms of endemicity of scrapie in the UK sheep population (2008) (5)
- Report 7: Estimating infection prevalence in Wuhan City from repatriation flights (2020) (5)
- Optimizing social and economic activity while containing SARS-CoV-2 transmission using DAEDALUS (2022) (4)
- Assessment of mortality and hospital admissions associated with confirmed infection with SARS-CoV-2 Alpha variant: a matched cohort and time-to-event analysis, England, October to December 2020 (2022) (4)
- Global predictions of short- to medium-term COVID-19 transmission trends : a retrospective assessment (2021) (4)
- Report 25: Response to COVID-19 in South Korea and implications for lifting stringent interventions (2020) (4)
- The Impact of the COVID-19 Epidemic on Patterns of Attendance at Emergency Departments in Two Large London Hospitals: An Observational Study (2020) (4)
- The Impact of Antigenic Variation on Pathogen Population Structure, Fitness and Dynamics (2003) (4)
- Studies needed to address public health challenges of the 2009 H1N1 influenza pandemic: insights from modeling (2009) (4)
- The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on patterns of attendance at emergency departments in two large London hospitals: an observational study (2021) (4)
- The J-IDEA Pandemic Planner (2021) (3)
- Efficacy profile of the CYD-TDV dengue vaccine revealed by Bayesian survival analysis of individual-level phase III data (2021) (3)
- COVID-19 in Japan, January–March 2020: insights from the first three months of the epidemic (2022) (3)
- Publisher Correction: Children’s role in the COVID-19 pandemic: a systematic review of early surveillance data on susceptibility, severity, and transmissibility (2021) (3)
- Seroprevalence of IgG antibody to SARS coronavirus (SARS-CoV) in a population-based sample of close contacts of all 1,755 cases in Hong Kong (2004) (3)
- Mathematical models of human mobility of relevance to malaria transmission in Africa (2018) (3)
- Strategies for containing an emerging influenza pandemic in SE Asia. Supplementary Information (2005) (3)
- Broadening symptom criteria improves early case identification in SARS-CoV-2 contacts (2021) (3)
- Mathematical prediction in infection (2009) (3)
- Deriving fine-scale models of human mobility from aggregated origin-destination flow data (2021) (3)
- Adoption and impact of non-pharmaceutical interventions for COVID-19 [version 1;peer review: awaiting peer review] (2020) (3)
- COVID-19 and the difficulty of inferring epidemiological parameters from clinical data – Authors' reply (2020) (3)
- Quantifying the transmissibility of human influenza and its seasonal variation in temperate regions. (2009) (2)
- Group did give timely foot-and-mouth analysis (2001) (2)
- Correction: Vaccine equity in low and middle income countries: a systematic review and meta-analysis (2022) (2)
- Communicating uncertainty in epidemic models (2021) (2)
- Author Correction: SARS-CoV-2 antibody dynamics and transmission from community-wide serological testing in the Italian municipality of Vo’ (2021) (2)
- How would a decision to leave the European Union affect medical research and health in the United Kingdom? (2016) (2)
- Measuring Vaccine Efficacy Against Infection and Disease in Clinical Trials: Sources and Magnitude of Bias in Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) Vaccine Efficacy Estimates (2021) (2)
- Adoption and impact of non-pharmaceutical interventions for COVID-19 [version 1; peer review: 1 approved, 3 approved with reservations] (2020) (2)
- Host or pathogen-related factors in COVID-19 severity? – Authors' reply (2020) (2)
- Role of molecular testing in COVID-19 control: a mathematical modelling study (2020) (2)
- Report 30: The COVID-19 epidemic trends and control measures in mainland China (2020) (2)
- Report 27 Adapting hospital capacity to meet changing demands during the COVID-19 pandemic (2020) (1)
- COVID-19 in Japan: insights from the first three months of the epidemic (2022) (1)
- Quantifying the impact of delaying the second COVID-19 vaccine dose in England: a mathematical modelling study (2022) (1)
- Estimating infection prevalence in Wuhan City, China from repatriation flight data (2020) (1)
- Impact of proactive and reactive vaccination strategies for health-care workers against MERS-CoV: a mathematical modelling study (2023) (1)
- COVID-19 epidemic severity is associated with timing of non-pharmaceutical interventions (2020) (1)
- Report 36: Modelling ICU capacity under different epidemiological scenarios of the COVID-19 pandemic in three western European countries (2020) (1)
- Fine-scale modelling finds that breeding site fragmentation can reduce mosquito population persistence (2019) (1)
- Transmission Dynamics and Control of the Viral Aetiological Agent of SARS (2008) (1)
- Estimating long-term vaccine effectiveness against SARS-CoV-2 variants: a model-based approach (2023) (1)
- Data pipelines in a public health emergency: The human in the machine (2023) (1)
- outbreak evaluation : building on the Ebola experience (2019) (1)
- Estimating transmission intensity from P.falciparum serological data using antibody density models (2012) (1)
- Report 24: Mobility data from mobile phones suggests that initial compliance with COVID-19 social distancing interventions was high and geographically consistent across the UK (2020) (1)
- Linking the incidence and age patterns of clinical malaria to parasite prevalence using a mathematical model (2012) (1)
- Risk factors and vectors for SARS-CoV-2 household transmission: a prospective, longitudinal cohort study (2023) (1)
- Potential impact of novel diagnostics and treatments on the burden of antibiotic resistant in Escherichia coli (2016) (1)
- Reproducible parallel inference and simulation of stochastic state space models using odin, dust, and mcstate (2021) (1)
- Quantifying the effect of delaying the second COVID-19 vaccine dose in England: a mathematical modelling study (2023) (1)
- Transmission dynamics and control of the viral aetiological agent of severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) (2005) (1)
- Report 32: Targeting interventions to age groups that sustain COVID-19 transmission in the United States (2020) (1)
- Title : Understanding the invasion dynamics of Zika in Latin America : implications for policy (2016) (1)
- Estimating the number of undetected COVID-19 cases among travellers from mainland China. (2021) (1)
- Viral Emissions into the Air and Environment after SARS-CoV-2 Human Challenge: A Phase 1, Open Label, First-in-Human Study (2022) (1)
- Report 35: How can we keep schools and universities open? Differentiating closures by economic sector to optimize social and economic activity while containing SARS-CoV-2 transmission (2020) (1)
- Estimating the number of undetected COVID-19 cases among travellers from mainland China (2021) (1)
- COVID-19 impact on routine immunisations for vaccine-preventable diseases: Projecting the effect of different routes to recovery (2022) (1)
- Long Term Vaccination Strategies to Mitigate the Global Impact of SARS-CoV-2 Transmission: A Modelling Study (2022) (1)
- Misclassification bias in estimating clinical severity of SARS-CoV-2 variants – Authors' reply (2022) (1)
- The societal value of SARS-CoV-2 booster vaccination in Indonesia (2023) (0)
- outbreaker2: a modular platform for outbreak reconstruction (2018) (0)
- Key traveller groups of relevance to spatial malaria transmission: a survey of movement patterns in four sub-Saharan African countries (2016) (0)
- Country-specific per-infection probability of detection across both model variants. (2020) (0)
- Fine-scale estimation of key life-history parameters of malaria vectors: implications for next-generation vector control technologies (2021) (0)
- The costs of keeping schools open during the COVID-19 pandemic (2021) (0)
- Epidemiological analysis of SARS: a novel infectious disease (2006) (0)
- Pre-existing immunity in human challenge studies of influenza transmission – Authors' reply (2012) (0)
- Pre-existing immunity in human challenge studies of influenza transmission Reply (2012) (0)
- Using next generation matrices to estimate the proportion of infections that are not detected in an outbreak (2022) (0)
- Epidemiological drivers of transmissibility and severity of SARS-CoV-2 in England (2023) (0)
- ithin-farm transmission dynamics of foot and mouth disease as revealed by the 001 epidemic in Great Britain rina (2012) (0)
- Suppression of a SARS-CoV-2 outbreak in the Italian municipality of Vo’ (2020) (0)
- Quantifying the transmissibility of human influenza and its seasonal variation in temperate regions. (2009) (0)
- Transmissibility of SARS-CoV-2 among fully vaccinated individuals – Authors' reply (2021) (0)
- Nested case-control study on the risk factors of respiratory infection among healthcare workers (2011) (0)
- Challenges and opportunities in controlling mosquito-borne infections (2018) (0)
- Suppression of a SARS-CoV-2 outbreak in the Italian municipality of Vo’ (2020) (0)
- Refining the characterization of the Sanofi Pasteur dengue vaccine’s efficacy profile using machine learning (2018) (0)
- Systematic selection between age and household structure for models aimed at emerging epidemic predictions (2020) (0)
- Ju Spatial dynamics of the 1918 influenza pandemic in England , Wales and the United States (2010) (0)
- A systematic review of MERS-CoV (Middle East Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus) seroprevalence and viral RNA prevalence in dromedary camels: implications for animal vaccination (2019) (0)
- Authors' reply to the discussion of ‘A COVID‐19 Model for Local Authorities of the United Kingdom’ by Mishra et al. in Session 2 of the Royal Statistical Society's Special Topic Meeting on COVID‐19 transmission: 11 June 2021 (2022) (0)
- Living (and Dying) in a Deterministic World (2001) (0)
- Report 40: Optimal scheduling rules for elective care to minimize years of life lost during the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic: an application to England (2020) (0)
- Additional file 6: of A systematic review of reported reassortant viral lineages of influenza A (2016) (0)
- Application of mathematical models in support of public health control of infectious disease (2004) (0)
- Using cluster analysis to reconstruct dengue exposure patterns from cross-sectional serological studies in Singapore (2020) (0)
- Emerging Themes in Epidemiology (2018) (0)
- Refined efficacy estimates of the Sanofi Pasteur dengue vaccine CYD-TDV using machine learning (2018) (0)
- S83 The role of mathematical modelling in pandemic preparedness (2007) (0)
- Additional file 7: of A systematic review of reported reassortant viral lineages of influenza A (2016) (0)
- Data from: A transmission-virulence evolutionary trade-off explains attenuation of HIV-1 in Uganda (2016) (0)
- Fine-scale estimation of key life-history parameters of malaria vectors: implications for next-generation vector control technologies (2021) (0)
- Predictability of the antigenic evolution of human influenza A H3 viruses (2019) (0)
- Using next generation matrices to estimate the proportion of cases that are not detected in an outbreak (2021) (0)
- Quantifying the transmissibility of human influenza and its seasonal variation in temperate regions. (2009) (0)
- Author response: The global burden of yellow fever (2021) (0)
- Estimating transmission intensity from P.falciparum serological data using antibody density models (2012) (0)
- The interaction of transmission intensity, mortality, and the economy: a retrospective analysis of the COVID-19 pandemic (2022) (0)
- Exploring the subnational inequality and heterogeneity of the impact of routine measles immunisation in Africa. (2022) (0)
- A trade-off between dry season survival longevity and wet season high net reproduction can explain the persistence of Anopheles mosquitoes (2018) (0)
- Author Correction: Suppression of a SARS-CoV-2 outbreak in the Italian municipality of Vo’ (2021) (0)
- Estimating malaria transmission intensity from Plasmodium falciparum serological data using antibody density models (2016) (0)
- Variability in the estimates of transmission intensity across model variants. (2020) (0)
- Design of Vaccine Efficacy Trials for Priority Emerging and Epidemic Diseases (2019) (0)
- Estimating the effects of non-pharmaceutical interventions on COVID-19 in Europe (2020) (0)
- Vaccines can save children with non-preventable diseases – Authors' reply (2021) (0)
- Author response: Efficacy profile of the CYD-TDV dengue vaccine revealed by Bayesian survival analysis of individual-level phase III data (2021) (0)
- Cross-serotype interactions and disease outcome prediction of dengue infections in Vietnam (2019) (0)
- Transmission parameters and real-time estimation methods (2007) (0)
- ZIKA Assessing the global threat from Zika virus (2016) (0)
- Prophylactic and reactive vaccination strategies for healthcare workers against MERS-CoV (2022) (0)
- Linking the incidence and age patterns of clinical malaria to parasite prevalence using a mathematical model (2012) (0)
- Effectiveness assessment of non-pharmaceutical interventions: lessons learned from the COVID-19 pandemic (2023) (0)
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