Peter Turchin
#2,213
Most Influential Person Now
Russian-American complexity scientist
Peter Turchin's AcademicInfluence.com Rankings
Peter Turchinbiology Degrees
Biology
#1594
World Rank
#2628
Historical Rank
#776
USA Rank
Mathematical Biology
#5
World Rank
#7
Historical Rank
#2
USA Rank
Evolutionary Biology
#185
World Rank
#206
Historical Rank
#64
USA Rank
Ecology
#184
World Rank
#209
Historical Rank
#84
USA Rank
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Biology
Peter Turchin's Degrees
- PhD Mathematical Biology University of Connecticut
Why Is Peter Turchin Influential?
(Suggest an Edit or Addition)According to Wikipedia, Peter Valentinovich Turchin is a Russian-American complexity scientist, specializing in an area of study he and his colleagues developed called cliodynamics—mathematical modeling and statistical analysis of the dynamics of historical societies. He is currently Editor-in-Chief at Cliodynamics: The Journal of Quantitative History and Cultural Evolution. , he is a director of the Evolution Institute.
Peter Turchin's Published Works
Number of citations in a given year to any of this author's works
Total number of citations to an author for the works they published in a given year. This highlights publication of the most important work(s) by the author
Published Works
- Quantitative analysis of movement : measuring and modeling population redistribution in animals and plants (1998) (1342)
- Complex Dynamics in Ecological Time Series (1992) (551)
- Chaos in Ecology: Is Mother Nature a Strange Attractor?* (1993) (509)
- Quantitative Analysis Of Movement (1998) (503)
- Population oscillations of boreal rodents: regulation by mustelid predators leads to chaos (1993) (460)
- SMALL‐RODENT DYNAMICS AND PREDATION (2001) (451)
- Chaos in a Noisy World: New Methods and Evidence from Time-Series Analysis (1995) (448)
- Rarity of density dependence or population regulation with lags? (1990) (440)
- Complex Population Dynamics: A Theoretical/Empirical Synthesis (2013) (373)
- Population Regulation" Old Arguments and a New Synthesis (1995) (372)
- Scale and heterogeneity in habitat selection by elk in Yellowstone National Park (2003) (370)
- WHY DO POPULATIONS CYCLE? A SYNTHESIS OF STATISTICAL AND MECHANISTIC MODELING APPROACHES (1999) (368)
- Translating Foraging Movements in Heterogeneous Environments into the Spatial Distribution of Foragers (1991) (359)
- Complex Population Dynamics (2003) (327)
- Population regulation : a synthetic view (1999) (314)
- MASTING BY EIGHTEEN NEW ZEALAND PLANT SPECIES: THE ROLE OF TEMPERATURE AS A SYNCHRONIZING CUE (2002) (293)
- An Empirically Based Model for Latitudinal Gradient in Vole Population Dynamics (1997) (271)
- [Does population ecology have general laws?]. (2001) (249)
- Aggregation in Aphis Varians: An Effective Strategy for Reducing Predation Risk (1989) (247)
- War, space, and the evolution of Old World complex societies (2013) (245)
- Quantifying Dispersal of Southern Pine Beetles with Mark-Recapture Experiments and a Diffusion Model. (1993) (209)
- Habitat structure and population persistence in an experimental community (2001) (207)
- Are lemmings prey or predators? (2000) (207)
- Complex societies precede moralizing gods throughout world history (2019) (193)
- Identifying the density-dependent structure underlying ecological time series (2001) (191)
- Fractal Analyses of Animal Movement: A Critique (1996) (186)
- AVAILABILITY OF FOOD AND THE POPULATION DYNAMICS OF ARVICOLINE RODENTS (2001) (173)
- Historical Dynamics: Why States Rise and Fall (2003) (153)
- War and Peace and War: The Life Cycles of Imperial Nations (2005) (151)
- Why Do Populations of Southern Pine Beetles (Coleoptera: Scolytidae) Fluctuate? (1991) (148)
- A theory for formation of large empires* (2009) (142)
- DYNAMICAL EFFECTS OF PLANT QUALITY AND PARASITISM ON POPULATION CYCLES OF LARCH BUDMOTH (2003) (141)
- Living on the edge of chaos: population dynamics of fennoscandian voles (2000) (141)
- Quantitative historical analysis uncovers a single dimension of complexity that structures global variation in human social organization (2017) (141)
- Population Consequences of Aggregative Movement (1989) (131)
- The attraction of the known: the importance of spatial familiarity in habitat selection in wapiti Cervus elaphus (2009) (127)
- Chaos and stability in rodent population dynamics: evidence from non-linear time-series analysis (1993) (120)
- Seshat: The Global History Databank (2015) (120)
- Quantifying insect movement in the field (1991) (113)
- Evolution of complex hierarchical societies (2009) (112)
- Contrasting alternative hypotheses about rodent cycles by translating them into parameterized models (2001) (94)
- Warfare and the Evolution of Social Complexity: A Multilevel-Selection Approach (2010) (91)
- Measuring the effective sampling area of a pheromone trap for monitoring population density of southern pine beetle (Coleoptera: Scolytidae) (1996) (89)
- The pattern and range of movement of a checkered beetle predator relative to its bark beetle prey (2000) (87)
- Cultural evolution of religion (2013) (85)
- Dynamical Feedbacks between Population Growth and Sociopolitical Instability in Agrarian States (2005) (81)
- Arise 'cliodynamics' (2008) (77)
- Modelling the effect of host patch size on Mexican bean beetle emigration (1986) (77)
- Influence of host-plant density and male harassment on the distribution of female Euphydryas anicia (Nymphalidae) (1989) (77)
- Evolution of cooperative strategies from first principles (2006) (76)
- Long‐Term Population Cycles in Human Societies (2009) (72)
- POPULATION CYCLES IN THE PINE LOOPER MOTH: DYNAMICAL TESTS OF MECHANISTIC HYPOTHESES (2005) (71)
- Population Dynamics and Internal Warfare: A Reconsideration * (2006) (68)
- When can noise induce chaos and why does it matter: a critique (2005) (66)
- Southern Pine Beetle Infestation Development: Interaction Between Pine and Hardwood Basal Areas (1993) (66)
- Spatial Synchrony Among and Within World-Systems: Insights From Theoretical Ecology (2003) (60)
- Complex Population Dynamics: A Theoretical/Empirical Synthesis (MPB-35) (2013) (59)
- East-West Orientation of Historical Empires and Modern States (2006) (56)
- Effects of density and season on the population rate of change in the meadow vole (1997) (56)
- Dynamics of political instability in the United States, 1780–2010 (2012) (52)
- Scramble competition in the southern pine beetle, Dendroctonus frontalis (1998) (52)
- DETECTION OF DELAYED DENSITY DEPENDENCE: COMMENT (1997) (51)
- Animal Groups in Three Dimensions: Individual decisions, traffic rules, and emergent pattern in schooling fish (1997) (49)
- Historical Dynamics: Why States Rise and Fall: Why States Rise and Fall (2004) (48)
- Political instability may be a contributor in the coming decade. (2010) (45)
- Explaining the rise of moralizing religions: a test of competing hypotheses using the Seshat Databank (2019) (42)
- Grand challenges for the study of cultural evolution (2017) (40)
- Population Cycles of the Autumnal Moth in Fennoscandia (2002) (39)
- Cycling in the Complexity of Early Societies (2010) (36)
- A Historical Database of Sociocultural Evolution (2012) (36)
- The Puzzle of Human Ultrasociality (2013) (36)
- Agricultural productivity in past societies: Toward an empirically informed model for testing cultural evolutionary hypotheses (2015) (36)
- Detecting cycles and delayed density dependence: a comment on Hunter & Price (1998 ) (2000) (33)
- Ecology: Evolution in population dynamics (2003) (32)
- Analyzing genetic connections between languages by matching consonant classes (2010) (32)
- PERIODIC DYNAMICS IN DAPHNIA POPULATIONS: BIOLOGICAL INTERACTIONS AND EXTERNAL FORCING (2000) (30)
- An Incidental-Effect Hypothesis Explaining Aggregation of Males in a Population of Euphydryas anicia (1988) (30)
- Area-wide efficacy of a localized forest pest management practice (1999) (29)
- INFERRING COLONIZATION PROCESSES FROM POPULATION DYNAMICS IN SPATIALLY STRUCTURED PREDATOR–PREY SYSTEMS (2000) (26)
- A Macroscope for Global History: Seshat Global History Databank, a methodological overview (2016) (26)
- Historical Dynamics (2018) (26)
- Chaos in microtine populations (1995) (25)
- Coin hoards speak of population declines in Ancient Rome (2009) (23)
- Modeling Social Pressures Toward Political Instability (2013) (21)
- Evidence for Predator-Prey Cycles in a Bark Beetle (2002) (19)
- The role of aggregation in the response of Mexican bean beetles to host-plant density (1987) (19)
- A Systematic Assessment of “Axial Age” Proposals Using Global Comparative Historical Evidence (2018) (19)
- 4 The Puzzle of Human Ultrasociality How Did Large-Scale Complex Societies Evolve ? (2013) (18)
- Group Report: Millennial Perspectives on the Dynamic Interaction of Climate, People, and Resources (2007) (18)
- Reconstructing endogenous dynamics of a laboratory Drosophila population (1991) (18)
- Nonlinear time-series modeling of vole population fluctuations (1996) (17)
- Response to commentaries 'The Role of Ritual in the Evolution of Social Complexity: Five predictions and a drum roll' (2015) (17)
- Cultural evolution of the structure of human groups (2013) (17)
- Linking “Micro” to “Macro” Models of State Breakdown to Improve Methods for Political Forecasting (2017) (16)
- Evolution of institutions and organizations (2016) (15)
- Fitting Dynamic Regression Models to Seshat Data (2018) (15)
- Bullia digitalis (Gastropoda) actively pursues moving prey by swash‐riding (1992) (14)
- Effects of thinning on development of southern pine beetle infestations in old growth stands (1999) (14)
- The Effect of Host-plant Density on the Numbers of Mexican Bean Beetles, Epilachna varivestis (1988) (14)
- The logistic equation revisited: Final instalment. (1993) (14)
- Modelling Time-Series Data (2000) (14)
- Beyond simple diffusion: models of not-so-simple movement of animals and cells (1989) (14)
- 8 Modeling periodic waves of integration in the Afro-Eurasian world-system (2007) (14)
- Duration of agriculture and distance from the steppe predict the evolution of large-scale human societies in Afro-Eurasia (2020) (13)
- AN EXPERIMENTAL TEST OF FRAGMENTATION AND LOSS OF HABITAT WITH ORYZAEPHILUS SURINAMENSIS (2003) (13)
- Dacura: A new solution to data harvesting and knowledge extraction for the historical sciences (2018) (12)
- Evaluation of traps used to monitor southern pine beetle aerial populations and sex ratios (2000) (12)
- Ages of Discord (2016) (11)
- Toward Cliodynamics – an Analytical, Predictive Science of History - eScholarship (2011) (11)
- Rise of the war machines: Charting the evolution of military technologies from the Neolithic to the Industrial Revolution (2020) (10)
- A History of Possible Futures: Multipath Forecasting of Social Breakdown, Recovery, and Resilience (2018) (10)
- Analyzing Covid-19 Data using SIRD Models (2020) (10)
- Retraction Note: Complex societies precede moralizing gods throughout world history (2021) (10)
- Scientific Prediction in Historical Sociology : Ibn Khaldun meets (2011) (9)
- Big Gods did not drive the rise of big societies throughout world history (2021) (9)
- Animal Groups in Three Dimensions: Quantitative analysis of animal movements in congregations (1997) (9)
- A Primer on Statistical Analysis of Dynamical Systems in Historical Social Sciences (with a Particular Emphasis on Secular Cycles) (2005) (9)
- Mapping the Spread of Mounted Warfare (2017) (9)
- An Introduction to Seshat (2019) (8)
- An integrative approach to estimating productivity in past societies using Seshat: Global History Databank (2019) (8)
- The 2010 structural-demographic forecast for the 2010–2020 decade: A retrospective assessment (2020) (8)
- Religion and empire in the Axial Age (2012) (7)
- Strange Parallels: Patterns in Eurasian Social Evolution (2011) (7)
- Reply to Beheim et al.: Reanalyses confirm robustness of original analyses (2019) (7)
- Tempo and Mode in Cultural Macroevolution (2021) (6)
- An introduction to Seshat: Global History Databank (2019) (6)
- Building the Seshat Ontology for a Global History Databank (2016) (6)
- The Equinox2020 Seshat Data Release (2020) (5)
- TRANSLATING FORAGING MOVEMENTS IN HETEROGENEOUS (1991) (5)
- Testing the Big Gods hypothesis with global historical data: a review and “retake” (2022) (5)
- Animal Groups in Three Dimensions: Movements of animals in congregations: An Eulerian analysis of bark beetle swarming (1997) (4)
- Crop Productivity Estimates for Past Societies in the World Sample-30 of Seshat: Global History Databank (2019) (4)
- New Era in the Study of Global History Is Born but It Needs to Be Nurtured (2019) (4)
- What Economics Models Really Say. A Review of Economics Rules: The Rights and Wrongs of the Dismal Science by Dani Rodrik (Norton, 2015) (2017) (4)
- Upward Sweeps in The Historical Evolution of World-Systems (2006) (4)
- Cultural group selection is plausible, but the predictions of its hypotheses should be tested with real-world data (2016) (4)
- Disentangling the evolutionary drivers of social complexity: A comprehensive test of hypotheses (2022) (4)
- Reply to Tosh et al.: Quantitative analyses of cultural evolution require engagement with historical and archaeological research (2018) (3)
- Launching the Journal (2010) (3)
- Lessons from Brexit (2016) (3)
- East-West Orientation of Historical Empires (2004) (3)
- A Theory for the Formation of Large Agrarian Empires (2008) (3)
- Failed States and Nation-Building: A Cultural Evolutionary Perspective (2012) (3)
- Disentangling the Evolutionary Drivers of Social Complexity in Human History: a Comprehensive Test of Hypotheses (2021) (3)
- Cultural Evolution and Cliodynamics (2014) (2)
- A mechanistic approach to understanding and predicting southern pine beetle dynamics (1993) (2)
- Seshat: Global History Databank Publishes First Set of Historical Data (2017) (2)
- Building nations after conflict (2008) (2)
- RETRACTED ARTICLE: Complex societies precede moralizing gods throughout world history (2019) (2)
- Reply to Thomas: Diffusion of military technologies is a plausible explanation for the evolution of social complexity, 1500 BCE–AD 1500 (2014) (2)
- Cultivating human culture (2015) (2)
- The SESHAT Databank Project: the 2014 Report (2014) (2)
- History of agriculture and intensity of warfare shaped the evolution of large-scale human societies in Afro-Eurasia (2019) (2)
- East-West Orientation of Historical (2006) (1)
- Inherent Collapse? (2020) (1)
- P . Turchin * SOCIAL TIPPING POINTS AND TREND REVERSALS : A HISTORICAL APPROACH (2012) (1)
- Multipath Forecasting: the Aftermath of the 2020 American Crisis (2021) (1)
- UC Irvine Structure and Dynamics Title Comment on : Dynamical Feedbacks between Population Growth and Sociopolitical Instability in Agrarian States by (2005) (1)
- COMPLEX DYNAMICS IN ECOLOGICAL TIME SERIES 1 (2007) (1)
- Analyzing Movement: An Indispensable New Reference@@@Quantitative Analysis of Movement: Measuring and Modeling Population Redistribution in Animals and Plants (1999) (1)
- A new era in the study of global history is born but it needs to be nurtured (2019) (1)
- Big Gods and big science: further reflections on theory, data, and analysis (2022) (1)
- Exponential growth − the first law of population dynamics (2000) (0)
- The Next Financial Crisis (2019) (0)
- Chapter 2. Medieval England: The Plantagenet Cycle (1150–1485) (2009) (0)
- Chapter Nine. Case Studies (2004) (0)
- Chapter Seven. The Demographic-Structural Theory (2004) (0)
- Combining historical and archaeological data with crop models to estimate agricultural productivity in past societies (2020) (0)
- Towards Computational Social Sustainability (2017) (0)
- Chapter 7. Rome: The Principate Cycle (30 BCE–285 CE) (2009) (0)
- BOOK REVIEW ESSAY: STRANGE PARALLELS: PATTERNS IN EURASIAN SOCIAL EVOLUTION (2015) (0)
- Reflections on Axiality Evolutionary Legacy or Historical Consciousness? (2019) (0)
- Part II. Data (2013) (0)
- Introduction 1.1 at the Sources (2002) (0)
- Chapter 4. Medieval France: The Capetian Cycle (1150–1450) (2009) (0)
- The Great Escape: A Review Essay on Escape from Rome: The Failure of Empire and the Road to Prosperity by Walter Scheidel (Princeton University Press, 2019) (2021) (0)
- Chapter 9. Russia: The Romanov Cycle (1620–1922) (2009) (0)
- II. CYCLICAL PROCESSES IN PRE-INDUSTRIAL SOCIETIES 4 Cycling in the Complexity of Early Societies (2014) (0)
- The Special Issue on Failed States and Nation-Building (2012) (0)
- Henrich, Joseph. 2015. The Secret of Our Success: How Culture Is Driving Human Evolution, Domesticating Our Species, and Making Us Smarter. (2017) (0)
- Chapter 6. Rome: The Republican Cycle (350–30 BCE) (2009) (0)
- Introducing a special issue on the role of moralizing gods in the evolution of socio-political complexity (2023) (0)
- Chapter 1. Introduction: The Theoretical Background (2009) (0)
- SECULAR CYCLES : LONG-TERM OSCILLATIONS IN ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL STRUCTURES OF AGRARIAN SOCIETIES (2004) (0)
- Response to Oscillations in Population Sizes – From Ecology to History (2005) (0)
- THEORY An ecological illustration of dynamical interactions characterized by lags (2003) (0)
- Complex Dynamics in Ecological Time Series Author ( s ) : (2007) (0)
- Editors’ Note: New Publication Policies at Cliodynamics (2021) (0)
- Cultural Evolution in (2010) (0)
- Part III. Case Studies (2013) (0)
- Introducing a New Section—Databases - eScholarship (2012) (0)
- Index to Volume 149 (1997) (0)
- Retraction Note: Complex societies precede moralizing gods throughout world history (2021) (0)
- Introducing a New Section—Databases (2012) (0)
- Chapter 10. General Conclusions (2009) (0)
- Comment on: Dynamical Feedbacks between Population Growth and Sociopolitical Instability in Agrarian States by Peter Turchin (2005) (0)
- Translating Knowledge about Past Societies into Seshat Data (2018) (0)
- Units and Currencies (2009) (0)
- The West and the Rest The Science of the Great Divergence (2013) (0)
- Chapter 3. Early Modern England: The Tudor-Stuart Cycle (1485–1730) (2009) (0)
- Introducing the Social Evolution Forum (2011) (0)
- Editor's Column: An Issue Devoted to Dialogue (2013) (0)
- Chapter 5. Early Modern France: The Valois Cycle (1450–1660) (2009) (0)
- An Issue Devoted to Dialogue (2013) (0)
- Part I. Theory (2013) (0)
- Chapter 8. Russia: The Muscovy Cycle (1460–1620) (2009) (0)
- A FOOT IN THE RIVER: WHY OUR LIVES CHANGE-AND THE LIMITS OF EVOLUTION By Felipe Fernandez-Armesto (2017) (0)
- of Theoretical and Mathematical History UC Riverside (2013) (0)
- 12 Evolution of Institutions and Organizations (2016) (0)
- Response to Lempert: Holism versus Systems Analysis (2018) (0)
- Why Did Europe Conquer the World? By Philip T. Hoffman. (Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press, 2015. Pp. 288. $29.95.) (2017) (0)
- An Issue Devoted to Dialogue - eScholarship (2013) (0)
- Did food and fuel help shape our value systems (2015) (0)
- Flattening the Curve: Learning the lessons of world history to mitigate societal crises (2022) (0)
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What Schools Are Affiliated With Peter Turchin?
Peter Turchin is affiliated with the following schools:
