Philip Dawid

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Philip Dawid is affiliated with the following schools: University College London, City, University of London, University of Cambridge

Philip Dawid's AcademicInfluence.com Rankings

Philip Dawid

Mathematics

#2353

World Rank

#3657

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Statistics

#113

World Rank

#148

Historical Rank

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Mathematics

Why Is Philip Dawid Influential?

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According to Wikipedia, Alexander Philip Dawid is Emeritus Professor of Statistics of the University of Cambridge, and a Fellow of Darwin College, Cambridge. He is a leading proponent of Bayesian statistics. Education Dawid was educated at the City of London School, Trinity Hall, Cambridge and Darwin College, Cambridge.

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Philip Dawid's Published Works

Number of citations in a given year to any of this author's works

Total number of citations to an author for the works they published in a given year. This highlights publication of the most important work(s) by the author

Published Works

Probabilistic Networks and Expert Systems (1999) (1980)
Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Observer Error‐Rates Using the EM Algorithm (1979) (1581)
Conditional Independence in Statistical Theory (1979) (1451)
Bayesian analysis in expert systems (1993) (800)
Independence properties of directed markov fields (1990) (597)
The Well-Calibrated Bayesian (1982) (556)
Hyper Markov Laws in the Statistical Analysis of Decomposable Graphical Models (1993) (556)
Game theory, maximum entropy, minimum discrepancy and robust Bayesian decision theory (2004) (484)
Some matrix-variate distribution theory: Notational considerations and a Bayesian application (1981) (454)
Causal Inference without Counterfactuals (2000) (451)
Regression and Classification Using Gaussian Process Priors (2009) (357)
Applications of a general propagation algorithm for probabilistic expert systems (1992) (295)
Probabilistic Networks and Expert Systems - Exact Computational Methods for Bayesian Networks (1999) (277)
Influence Diagrams for Causal Modelling and Inference (2002) (264)
Marginalization Paradoxes in Bayesian and Structural Inference (1973) (253)
Generative or Discriminative? Getting the Best of Both Worlds (2007) (215)
Encyclopedia of Statistical Sciences 2. (1984) (194)
Gaussian Processes to Speed up Hybrid Monte Carlo for Expensive Bayesian Integrals (2003) (190)
Bayesian Statistics 5. (1998) (188)
Simulation-Based Optimal Design (1999) (173)
Bayesian Model Averaging and Model Search Strategies (2007) (164)
Properties of diagnostic data distributions. (1976) (158)
Conditional Independence for Statistical Operations (1980) (158)
The geometry of proper scoring rules (2007) (155)
Prequential probability: principles and properties (1999) (148)
Direct and Indirect Effects of Sequential Treatments (2006) (146)
Coherent dispersion criteria for optimal experimental design (1999) (146)
Calibration-Based Empirical Probability (1985) (144)
Beware of the DAG! (2008) (143)
Independence properties of directed Markov fields. Networks, 20, 491-505 (1990) (140)
The Functional-Model Basis of Fiducial Inference (1982) (134)
Probabilistic Expert Systems for Forensic Inference from Genetic Markers (2002) (130)
Proper local scoring rules (2011) (129)
Discussion on the paper by Spiegelhalter, Best, Carlin and van der Linde (2002) (124)
Posterior expectations for large observations (1973) (124)
Non-Centered Parameterisations for Hierarchical Models and Data Augmentation (2003) (115)
Probabilistic sensitivity analysis in health economics (2015) (115)
Probabilistic expert systems for DNA mixture profiling. (2003) (112)
Causal inference without counterfactuals (with Discussion) (2000) (101)
Density Modeling and Clustering Using Dirichlet Diffusion Trees (2003) (100)
Causality : statistical perspectives and applications (2012) (98)
Key questions for modelling COVID-19 exit strategies (2020) (98)
Identifying the consequences of dynamic treatment strategies: A decision-theoretic overview (2010) (98)
Spherical Matrix Distributions and a Multivariate Model (1977) (92)
Uncertainty analysis and other inference tools for complex computer codes (1998) (92)
On Testing the Validity of Sequential Probability Forecasts (1993) (90)
Separoids: A Mathematical Framework for Conditional Independence and Irrelevance (2001) (86)
Probability, Causality and the Empirical World: A Bayes-de Finetti-Popper-Borel Synthesis (2004) (85)
Object-oriented Bayesian networks for complex forensic DNA profiling problems. (2007) (84)
On individual risk (2014) (83)
The Variational Bayesian EM Algorithm for Incomplete Data : with Application to Scoring Graphical Model Structures (2003) (80)
Markov chain Monte Carlo-based approaches for inference in computationally intensive inverse problems (2003) (80)
The Markov Modulated Poisson Process and Markov Poisson Cascade with Applications to Web Traffic Modeling (2002) (76)
Coherent Analysis of Forensic Identification Evidence (1996) (75)
Object-Oriented Graphical Representations of Complex Patterns of Evidence (2007) (75)
Non-fatherhood or mutation? A probabilistic approach to parental exclusion in paternity testing. (2001) (74)
Prequential data analysis (1992) (69)
USING A GRAPHICAL METHOD TO ASSIST THE EVALUATION OF COMPLICATED PATTERNS OF EVIDENCE (1997) (68)
Causal inference using influence diagrams: The problem of partial compliance (with Discussion) (2003) (67)
Likelihood and Bayesian Inference from Selectively Reported Data (1977) (64)
Inferences from multinomial data: Learning about a bag of marbles - Discussion (1996) (63)
Fisherian Inference in Likelihood and Prequential Frames of Reference (1991) (62)
Selection paradoxes of Bayesian inference (1994) (61)
Sequential Model Criticism in Probabilistic Expert Systems (1993) (60)
PROPER LOCAL SCORING RULES ON DISCRETE SAMPLE SPACES (2011) (59)
Minimum Scoring Rule Inference (2014) (59)
The difficulty about conjunction (1987) (58)
Un-Bayesian implications of improper Bayes inference in routine statistical problems (1972) (58)
Bayes's theorem and weighing evidence by juries (2002) (56)
Statistical Causality from a Decision-Theoretic Perspective (2014) (56)
Particle Learning for Sequential Bayesian Computation (2010) (55)
Bayesian and Frequentist Approaches to Parametric Predictive Inference (1999) (54)
Bayesian Statistics 8 (2007) (52)
Compatible prior distributions (2000) (51)
Bayesian Model Selection Based on Proper Scoring Rules (2014) (51)
Some Misleading Arguments Involving Conditional Independence (1979) (50)
On the limiting normality of posterior distributions (1970) (49)
A Commentary on Statistical Assessment of Violence Recidivism Risk (2015) (48)
FUNDAMENTALS OF STATISTICAL CAUSALITY (2007) (46)
Invariant Prior Distributions (2006) (45)
From Statistical Evidence to Evidence of Causality (2013) (42)
The Geometry of Decision Theory (2006) (42)
Posterior Model Probabilities (2011) (41)
Comment on Stockmarr's "Likelihood ratios for evaluating DNA evidence when the suspect is found through a database search". (2001) (39)
Counterfactuals, Hypotheticals and Potential Responses: A Philosophical Examination of Statistical Causality (2006) (38)
Extended Conditional Independence and Applications in Causal Inference (2015) (37)
Fitting Science Into Legal Contexts (2014) (37)
Bayesian Statistics 9 (2011) (36)
The Trouble with Bayes Factors (1999) (36)
Symmetry models and hypotheses for structured data layouts (1988) (36)
Integrated Objective Bayesian Estimation and Hypothesis Testing (2011) (36)
Further Comments on Some Comments on a Paper by Bradley Efron (1977) (35)
Statistical inference and Monte Carlo algorithms (1996) (34)
On the Concepts of Sufficiency and Ancillarity in the Presence of Nuisance Parameters (1975) (34)
Extendibility of spherical matrix distributions (1978) (32)
Simulated Sintering : Markov Chain Monte Carlo With Spaces of Varying Dimensions (1998) (32)
Comment: The Impossibility of Inductive Inference (1985) (32)
A comparison of sequential learning methods for incomplete data (1995) (31)
Fast retraction of evidence in a probabilistic expert system (1992) (31)
Evidence, Inference and Enquiry (2012) (30)
Estimating mutation rates from paternity casework. (2008) (30)
Defining and Identifying the Effect of Treatment on the Treated (2011) (29)
Commentary: Counterfactuals: help or hindrance? (2002) (28)
The Decision‐Theoretic Approach to Causal Inference (2012) (27)
A Comment on the PCAST Report: Skip the 'Match'/'Non-Match' Stage (2016) (27)
Hybrid Propagation in Junction Trees (1994) (27)
A Bayesian look at nuisance parameters (1980) (26)
Bayesian Inference for Derivative Prices (2003) (26)
Corrigenda: Influence Diagrams for Causal Modelling and Inference (2002) (26)
Parameter inference for stochastic kinetic models of bacterial gene regulation : a Bayesian approach to systems biology (2010) (25)
On efficient probability forecasting systems (1999) (24)
Simulation Methods for Model Criticism and Robustness Analysis (1998) (24)
Conditional products: An alternative approach to conditional independence (1999) (24)
Self-Calibrating Priors Do Not Exist: Comment (1985) (24)
COMMENTARY ON: DAWID AP AND EVETT IW. USING A GRAPHICAL METHOD TO ASSIST THE EVALUATION OF COMPLICATED PATTERNS OF EVIDENCE. AUTHORS' REPLY (1998) (24)
A statistical treatment of biases affecting the estimation of mutation rates. (2004) (23)
Forensic identification with imperfect evidence (1998) (23)
Statistics on trial (2005) (22)
Invariant distributions and analysis of variance models (1977) (22)
A bayesian analysis of Hume's argument concerning miracles (1989) (22)
On efficient point prediction systems (1998) (22)
Insuring against loss of evidence in game-theoretic probability (2010) (21)
Prequential test of model fit (1992) (21)
Computerized Aids for Probabilistic Assessment of Drug Safety I: A Spreadsheet Program* (1991) (21)
Probability, Symmetry and Frequency (1985) (20)
Bayesian Wavelet Analysis with a Model Complexity Prior (1998) (19)
Decision-theoretic foundations for statistical causality (2020) (19)
Identifying the consequences of dynamic treatment strategies (2005) (19)
Estimation of spatial processes using local scoring rules (2013) (19)
Exact sampling for Bayesian inference : towards general purpose algorithms (1998) (18)
Game theory, maximum generalized entropy, minimum discrepancy, robust Bayes and Pythagoras (2002) (18)
External Bayesian analysis for computer simulators (2010) (17)
Simplicity, complexity and modelling (2011) (17)
On the Dangers of Modelling Through Continuous Distributions : A Bayesian Perspective (16)
Sufficient covariates and linear propensity analysis (2010) (16)
The Well-Calibrated Bayesian: Rejoinder (1982) (16)
Expectation consistency of inverse probability distributions (1972) (15)
Expectation Consistency and Generalized Bayes Inference (1973) (15)
Structural Markov graph laws for Bayesian model uncertainty (2014) (15)
Who needs counterfactuals (1999) (14)
Causal Inference Without Counterfactuals: Rejoinder (2000) (14)
Which likelihood ratio? (Comment on ‘Why the effect of prior odds should accompany the likelihood ratio when reporting DNA evidence’, by Ronald Meester and Marjan Sjerps) (2004) (14)
[Bayesian Analysis in Expert Systems]: Rejoinder (1993) (13)
Bayesian Models for Massive Multimedia Databases: a New Frontier (2002) (13)
Invariance and independence in multivariate distribution theory (1985) (12)
Fiducial Prediction and Semi-Bayesian Inference (1993) (12)
Invariance and factorial models. Discussion (2000) (12)
Representing and solving complex DNA identification cases using Bayesian networks (2006) (12)
Decomposition and Bayesian analysis of invariant normal linear models (1985) (11)
Probability and Proof. On-line Appendix to Analysis of Evidence (second Edition), by T.J. Anderson, D.A. Shum and W.L. Twining. (2005) (11)
Conjugate Bayes discrimination with infinitely many variables (1992) (11)
Computerized Aids for Probabilistic Assessment of Drug Safety II: An Expert System* (1991) (11)
A Bayesian expert system for the analysis of an adverse drug reaction (1991) (11)
Identifying Optimal Sequential Decisions (2008) (10)
A note on Bayesian model selection for discrete data using proper scoring rules (2017) (10)
De Finetti's Subjectivism, Objective Probability,and the Empirical Validation of Probability Assessments (2009) (10)
Forensic likelihood ratio: Statistical problems and pitfalls. (2017) (10)
Exchangeability and its ramifications (2013) (10)
Inference about disputed paternity from an incomplete pedigree using a probabilistic expert system (1999) (10)
Hierarchical models for DNA profiling using heterogeneous databases (1999) (9)
"Imagine a Can Opener"--The Magic of Principal Stratum Analysis (2012) (9)
A Formal Treatment of Sequential Ignorability (2013) (9)
Challenges in estimation, uncertainty quantification and elicitation for pandemic modelling (2022) (9)
Local Scoring Rules: A Versatile Tool for Inference (2013) (9)
Deep determinism and the assessment of mechanistic interaction (2010) (8)
Some variations on variation independence (2001) (8)
Bounding the Probability of Causation in Mediation Analysis (2014) (8)
Inference, Statistical-I (2006) (8)
The Logic of Counterfactuals in Causal Inference (2000) (8)
Direct Bayes for Interest Parameters (2002) (8)
Bayesian Nonparametric Modelling for Spatial Data Using Dirichlet Processes (2006) (7)
The probability of causation (2017) (7)
Probabilistic expert systems and graphical modelling: a case study in drug safety (1991) (7)
Nested Expectation Propagation for Gaussian Process Classification with a Multinomial Probit Likelihood (2012) (7)
Bayesian Variable Selection for Random Intercept Modeling of Gaussian and non-Gaussian Data (2010) (7)
A Note on Forecasting Car Ownership (1978) (7)
Assessing dynamic treatment strategies (2012) (7)
Probability and Statistics in the Law (2005) (7)
Modelling issues in forensic inference (1997) (6)
Discussion of "On the Birnbaum Argument for the Strong Likelihood Principle" (2014) (6)
Probability and Evidence (2008) (6)
Fiducial inference then and now (2020) (6)
Remarks on: "Paternity analysis in special fatherless cases without direct testing of alleged father" [Forensic Science International 146S (2004) S159-S161]. (2006) (6)
Bayesian networks for the analysis of drug safety (1993) (6)
Epidemiology , risk and causation Conceptual and methodological issues in public health science (2011) (6)
Statistical Model Selection (2011) (5)
Basu on Ancillarity (2011) (5)
Inference networks : Bayes and Wigmore (2011) (5)
Simplicity, Complexity and Modelling: Christie/Simplicity, Complexity and Modelling (2011) (5)
The impossibility of inductive inference: comment (1985) (5)
Counterfactuals: help or hindrance? (2002) (5)
On the Nature and Discovery of Structure: Comment (1984) (5)
Bayesian methods with applications to science, policy and official statistics, ISBA 2000 (2000) (5)
Estimation of mutation rates from paternity cases using a Bayesian network (2004) (5)
Nonconjugate Bayesian regression on many variables (2002) (5)
Probabilistic sensitivity analysisin health economics (2011) (5)
Stochastic Mechanistic Interaction (2013) (5)
Discussion of the Papers by Rissanen and by Wallace and Dowe (1999) (5)
Analysis of Interaction for Identifying Causal Mechanisms (2012) (4)
Effects of Causes and Causes of Effects (2021) (4)
Resolving some contradictions in the theory of linear opinion pools (2020) (4)
Comment: Causal Inference from Messy Data (1984) (4)
Conjugate bayesian inference for structural models (1981) (4)
Optimal dynamic treatment regimes - Discussion on the paper by Murphy (2003) (4)
Response to: DNA identification by pedigree likelihood ratio accommodating population substructure and mutations (2011) (4)
New tools for consistency in Bayesian nonparametrics (2003) (4)
New bounds for the Probability of Causation in Mediation Analysis (2017) (4)
Bounding Causes of Effects With Mediators (2019) (4)
On Learnability under General Stochastic Processes (2020) (4)
Asymptotic Properties of Conjugate Bayes Discrete Discrimination (1993) (4)
The effect of treatment on the treated: a decision theoretic perspective (2006) (3)
On the Causes of Effects (2015) (3)
Comments on “non-informative priors do not exist” (1997) (3)
Extreme Point Models in Statistics [with Discussion and Reply] (2016) (3)
Probability-free pricing of adjusted American lookbacks (2011) (3)
A Note on Prediction Markets (2017) (3)
Mutations and the probabilistic approach to incompatible paternity tests (2003) (3)
Extremes of Mixed Environmental Processes (1998) (2)
A Statistical Approach to Modeling Genomic Aberrations in Cancer Cells (2003) (2)
Bayesian Analysis of Cepheid Variable Data (1998) (2)
FORECASTING CAR OWNERSHIP (1978) (2)
Rejoinder: Calibration-Based Empirical Probability (1985) (2)
Basic Concepts of Causal Mediation Analysis and Some Extensions (2013) (2)
Graphical Models for Forensic Analysis (2018) (2)
Sufficient Covariate, Propensity Variable and Doubly Robust Estimation (2015) (2)
A Class of Generalized Dynamic Correlation Models (2018) (1)
Discrimination Based on an Odds Ratio Parameterization (2002) (1)
Probability of causation: Bounds and identification for partial and complete mediation analysis (2016) (1)
Critique of E . T . Jaynes ' s \ Paradoxes of Probability Theory " (2018) (1)
[Inference Based on Estimating Functions in the Presence of Nuisance Parameters]: Comment (1995) (1)
Comparisons of Hyv\"arinen and pairwise estimators in two simple linear time series models (2014) (1)
Comparison of approaches to inference in stationary AR(1) models (2014) (1)
A relationship between randomized manipulation and parameter independence (2003) (1)
Discussion: On the Consistency of Bayes Estimates (1986) (1)
Renyi's Scoring Rules (2016) (1)
Retrospective-prospective symmetry for the Bayesian analysis of case-control studies (2012) (1)
[Savage Revisited]: Comment (1986) (1)
Invited Discussion of the paper ``Bayesian Models for Variable Selection that Incorporate Biological Information'', by Vannucci, M, and Stingo, FC (2011) (1)
STOCHASTIC COMPLEXITY IN STATISTICAL INQUIRY (1991) (1)
Prequential probability: principles and (1999) (1)
Authors’ Response to Comments on Fitting Science Into Legal Contexts (2014) (1)
The Tale Wags the DAG (2022) (1)
Decision-theoretic foundations for statistical causality: Response to Shpitser (2022) (1)
Corrigenda: Influence Diagrams for Causal Modelling and Inference International Statistical Review (2002) 70(2), 161–189 (2002) (1)
Encyclopedia of Statistical Sciences, Vol. 3. Faa di Bruno's Formula- Hypothesis Testing. (1985) (1)
Retrospective-prospective symmetry in the likelihood and Bayesian analysis of case-control studies (2012) (1)
Probability Forecasts and Prediction Markets (2019) (0)
The structural Markov property: estimating graphical models (2008) (0)
Rejoinder (2000) (0)
Volatility in prediction markets: A measure of information flow in political campaigns (2018) (0)
The basic theory of the prequential approach to data analysis is described, and illustrated by means of both simulation experiments and applications to real data-sets. (2016) (0)
Issues for Modellers (2011) (0)
Bayesian Networks in Forensic Science (2020) (0)
Glenn Shafer - A short biography (2022) (0)
Estimation of spatial processes using local scoring rules (2012) (0)
Discussion of "Bayesian Statistcs and the Law"(by Fienberg S. and Finkelstein M. O.) (1994) (0)
Statistical Inference ‐ Further Issues (2014) (0)
Invited Discussion of 'The Philosophy of Statistics', by D.V. Lindley (2000) (0)
A Measure of Local Sensitivity for Proper Scoring Rules in a Bayesian Setting (2011) (0)
Particle Learning for Sequential Bayesian Computation – Rejoinder (2010) (0)
Theory and applications of proper scoring rules (2014) (0)
Rejoinder to Bayesian models for sparse regression analysis of high dimensional data (2010) (0)
A Formal Treatment of Sequential Ignorability (2014) (0)
And the Desert Shall Blossom by Phyllis Barber (review) (2017) (0)
Comments on \ The roles of conditioning in inference " , by N . Reid (2018) (0)
Line Space (2012) (0)
Bayesian and non-Bayesian conditional inference: discussion (1980) (0)
Reaching out, Looking In (2002) (0)
Discussion of "Inference in Forensic Identification" (by Balding D. J. and Donnelly P.) (1995) (0)
The Hyvärinen scoring rule in Gaussian linear time series models (2019) (0)
Correction: Hyper Markov Laws in the Statistical Analysis of Decomposable Graphical Models (1995) (0)
Seconder of the vote of thanks and contribution to the Discussion of “Experimental Evaluation of Algorithm-Assisted Human Decision-Making: Application to Pretrial Public Safety Assessment” by Kosuke Imai, Zhichao Jiang, D. James Greiner, Ryan Halen and Sooahn Shin (2023) (0)
Improving judgements using feedback: discussion (1980) (0)
The science and beauty of nebulae (2013) (0)
Beauty and truth: their intersection in mathematics and science (2013) (0)
Some aspects of statistical inference from non-experimental data (Notes for AMS Working Party) (2006) (0)
On individual risk (2015) (0)
Probability and statistics: Foundations and history. Special Issue in honor of Glenn Shafer (2022) (0)
Hybrid Propagation in Jun tion TreesA (1995) (0)
Rejoinder to "Bayesian Model Selection Based on Proper Scoring Rules" (2015) (0)
The rule of law and public safety in contemporary South Africa (1979) (0)
The Cost of Loss (1999) (0)
Sequential learning, discontinuities and changes: discussion (1980) (0)
Beauty and the grotesque (2013) (0)
Lucky Numbers (Teachers' TV) (2006) (0)
Discussion of causal inference: What and how? (2004) (0)
Beyond subjective and objective in statistics : Discussion on the paper by Gelman and Hennig (2017) (0)
Decision-theoretic foundations for statistical causality: Response to Pearl (2022) (0)
Bayesian model selection based on proper scoring rules - Rejoinder (2015) (0)
Jeffreys's law for general games of prediction: in search of a theory (2009) (0)
Stories from Mesa Country by Jane Candia Coleman (review) (2017) (0)
Local model uncertainty and incomplete-data bias - Discussion (2005) (0)
Forensic Identi cation with Imperfect Evidence (2018) (0)
Local scoring rules for spatial processes (2011) (0)
Sensitivity to models: discussion (1980) (0)
3. WhoNeeds Counterfactuals (1999) (0)
Personalised Decision-Making without Counterfactuals (2023) (0)
Bounds for the probability of causation: a new formulation in Mediation Analysis (2014) (0)
Transparent Parametrizations of Models for Potential Outcomes (2021) (0)
Proposer of the vote of thanks to Glenn Shafer and contribution to the Discussion of ‘Testing by betting: A strategy for statistical and scientific communication’ (2021) (0)
Still further remarks on: "Paternity analysis in special fatherless case without direct testing of alleged father" [Forensic Science International 146S (2004) S159-S161] and remarks on it [FSI 163 (2006) 158-160, FSI 172 (2007) e6-e8]. (2011) (0)
STATISTICS AND THE LAW (2018) (0)
and Identifying the Eect of Treatment on the Treated (2009) (0)
Beauty and happiness: Chinese perspectives (2013) (0)
covariates and linear propensity analysis (2010) (0)
Representing and solving complex DNA identication cases using (2005) (0)
Discussion of the paper 'Bayesian Time Series' by Aguilar, Huerta, Prado and West (1998) (0)
Differential Etiology: Inferring Specific Causation in the Law from Group Data in Science (2022) (0)
Comments on: Assessing probabilistic forecasts of multivariate quantities, with an application to ensemble predictions of surface winds (2008) (0)
Resolving some contradictions in the theory of linear opinion pools (2019) (0)
Robustness of Bayesian Analyses. (1985) (0)
Using TPA for Bayesian inference: a discussion (2010) (0)
Expected Utility Estimation via Cross-Validation (2003) (0)
Martingales and p-values as measures of evidence (2009) (0)
The Hyv\"arinen scoring rule in Gaussian linear time series models (2019) (0)
Binary Regression Models for Contaminated Data (2018) (0)
Invited discussion of 'Chain graph models and their causal interpretations', by S.L. Lauritzen and T.S. Richardson (2002) (0)

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