Philip E. Tetlock
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American political science writer
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Philip E. Tetlockpolitical-science Degrees
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Political Science Psychology
Philip E. Tetlock's Degrees
- Bachelors Psychology University of British Columbia
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Why Is Philip E. Tetlock Influential?
(Suggest an Edit or Addition)According to Wikipedia, Philip E. Tetlock is a Canadian-American political science writer, and is currently the Annenberg University Professor at the University of Pennsylvania, where he is cross-appointed at the Wharton School and the School of Arts and Sciences. He was elected a Member of the American Philosophical Society in 2019.
Philip E. Tetlock's Published Works
Number of citations in a given year to any of this author's works
Total number of citations to an author for the works they published in a given year. This highlights publication of the most important work(s) by the author
Published Works
- Accounting for the effects of accountability. (1999) (2081)
- The psychology of the unthinkable: taboo trade-offs, forbidden base rates, and heretical counterfactuals. (2000) (1068)
- Accountability and complexity of thought. (1983) (931)
- The Impact of Accountability on Judgment and Choice: Toward A Social Contingency Model (1992) (867)
- Accountability: The neglected social context of judgment and choice. (1985) (707)
- Social and cognitive strategies for coping with accountability: conformity, complexity, and bolstering. (1989) (686)
- Accountability: A social check on the fundamental attribution error. (1985) (679)
- Predicting ethnic and racial discrimination: a meta-analysis of IAT criterion studies. (2013) (641)
- A value pluralism model of ideological reasoning (1986) (634)
- Thinking the unthinkable: sacred values and taboo cognitions (2003) (602)
- Conflicts Of Interest And The Case Of Auditor Independence: Moral Seduction And Strategic Issue Cycling (2006) (564)
- Taboo Trade‐offs: Reactions to Transactions That Transgress the Spheres of Justice (1997) (552)
- Reasoning and Choice (1991) (541)
- Sober Second Thought: The Effects of Accountability, Anger, and Authoritarianism on Attributions of Responsibility (1998) (538)
- Accountability and the perseverance of first impressions. (1983) (504)
- Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction (2015) (494)
- Accountability and judgment processes in a personality prediction task. (1987) (482)
- Counterfactual Thought Experiments in World Politics Logical, Methodological, and Psychological Perspectives (1996) (479)
- Symbolic Racism: Problems of Motive Attribution in Political Analysis (1986) (470)
- Accountability: a social magnifier of the dilution effect. (1989) (469)
- Impression management versus intrapsychic explanations in social psychology - a useful dichotomy (1985) (467)
- Social functionalist frameworks for judgment and choice: intuitive politicians, theologians, and prosecutors. (2002) (437)
- Cognitive style and political ideology. (1983) (404)
- Expert Political Judgment: How Good Is It? How Can We Know? (2005) (381)
- Rage and reason: the psychology of the intuitive prosecutor (1999) (380)
- Integrative Complexity of Communications in International Crises (1977) (351)
- Cognitive style and political belief systems in the British House of Commons. (1984) (347)
- Political diversity will improve social psychological science. (2014) (341)
- The Promise of Prediction Markets (2008) (336)
- Biculturalism A Model of the Effects of Second-Culture Exposure on Acculturation and Integrative Complexity (2006) (309)
- Attribution bias: On the inconclusiveness of the cognition-motivation debate (1982) (308)
- Providing public assistance: Cognitive and motivational processes underlying liberal and conservative policy preferences. (1993) (293)
- Cognitive Biases and Organizational Correctives: Do Both Disease and Cure Depend on the Politics of the Beholder? (2000) (289)
- Moral heuristics. Commentaries. Author's reply (2005) (276)
- Mass Public Decisions on Go to War: A Cognitive-Interactionist Framework (1999) (265)
- Racial prejudice and attitudes toward affirmative action (1997) (265)
- The Effects of Top Management Team Integrative Complexity and Decentralized Decision Making on Corporate Social Performance (2011) (256)
- Accountability amplifies the status quo effect when change creates victims (1994) (251)
- Motivation and personality: Conceptual/integrative complexity (1992) (248)
- Allocating scarce resources : a contingency model of distributive justice (1992) (248)
- Acculturation Strategies and Integrative Complexity (2009) (237)
- TARGET ARTICLE: Attributions of Implicit Prejudice, or "Would Jesse Jackson 'Fail' the Implicit Association Test?" (2004) (234)
- Strong claims and weak evidence: reassessing the predictive validity of the IAT. (2009) (231)
- Taboo Trade-Offs, Relational Framing, and the Acceptability of Exchanges (2005) (222)
- The New Racism (1991) (214)
- Judgments of Social Justice: Compromises Between Equality and Efficiency (1993) (206)
- Psychological Strategies for Winning a Geopolitical Forecasting Tournament (2014) (205)
- Revising the value pluralism model: Incorporating social content and context postulates. (1996) (198)
- Motivation and personality: The conceptual/integrative complexity scoring manual (1992) (190)
- Theory-Driven Reasoning About Plausible Pasts and Probable Futures in World Politics: Are We Prisoners of Our Preconceptions? (1999) (184)
- Integrative complexity of American and Soviet foreign policy rhetoric: A time-series analysis. (1985) (176)
- Close-call counterfactuals and belief-system defenses: I was not almost wrong but I was almost right. (1998) (172)
- Pre- to postelection shifts in presidential rhetoric: Impression management or cognitive adjustment. (1981) (167)
- ""Attributions of Implicit Prejudice, or" Would Jesse Jackson 'Fail'the Implicit Association Test?", 15 Psychol (2004) (163)
- Identifying Victims of Groupthink From Public Statements of Decision Makers (1979) (159)
- An Alternative Metaphor in the Study of Judgment and Choice: People as Politicians (1991) (157)
- The Slavery Debate in Antebellum America: Cognitive Style, Value Conflict, and the Limits of Compromise (1994) (155)
- Prejudice, Politics, and the American Dilemma. (1994) (155)
- Political psychology or politicized psychology: Is the road to scientific hell paved with good moral intentions? (1994) (154)
- From what might have been to what must have been: counterfactual thinking creates meaning. (2010) (153)
- Reflections on American Racism (1986) (150)
- Identifying and Cultivating Superforecasters as a Method of Improving Probabilistic Predictions (2015) (150)
- Assessing political group dynamics : a test of the groupthink model (1992) (149)
- War, Peace, and Integrative Complexity (1977) (148)
- The Limits of Fungibility: Relational Schemata and the Value of Things (2003) (147)
- Psychology and International Relations Theory (2003) (146)
- Principled Tolerance and the American Mass Public (1989) (143)
- Coping with Accountability Cross-Pressures: Low-Effort Evasive Tactics and High-Effort Quests for Complex Compromises (2000) (138)
- The psychology of intelligence analysis: drivers of prediction accuracy in world politics. (2015) (135)
- People as intuitive prosecutors: The impact of social-control goals on attributions of responsibility (2007) (135)
- Supreme Court decision making: Cognitive style as a predictor of ideological consistency of voting. (1985) (127)
- Unmaking the West : "what-if?" scenarios that rewrite world history (2006) (124)
- Poking Counterfactual Holes in Covering Laws: Cognitive Styles and Historical Reasoning (2001) (122)
- Using the IAT to predict ethnic and racial discrimination: small effect sizes of unknown societal significance. (2015) (121)
- On the Assignment of Punishment: The Impact of General-Societal Threat and the Moderating Role of Severity (2004) (118)
- Elements of Reason: Coping with Trade-Offs: Psychological Constraints and Political Implications (2000) (118)
- A Cognitive Analysis of Japan's 1941 Decision for War (1980) (112)
- Nonconsequentialist decisions. Commentaries. Author's reply (1994) (110)
- Behavior, society, and nuclear war (1993) (107)
- Combining multiple probability predictions using a simple logit model (2014) (105)
- Implicit Bias and Accountability Systems: What Must Organizations Do to Prevent Discrimination? (2009) (102)
- From the Commercial to the Communal: Reframing Taboo Trade-Offs in Religious and Pharmaceutical Marketing (2012) (99)
- The dilution effect: judgmental bias, conversational convention, or a bit of both? (1996) (94)
- Personality and isolationism: Content analysis of senatorial speeches. (1981) (94)
- Reasoning Chains: Causal Models of Policy Reasoning in Mass Publics (1986) (94)
- Good Judgment in International Politics: Three Psychological Perspectives (1992) (91)
- Stability and change in the complexity of senatorial debate: Testing the cognitive versus rhetorical style hypotheses. (1984) (91)
- Two Reasons to Make Aggregated Probability Forecasts More Extreme (2014) (89)
- Explaining Teacher Explanations of Pupil Performance; A Self-Presentation Interpretation. (1980) (89)
- Cognitive appraisals and emotional experience: Further evidence (1989) (87)
- The Good Judgment Project: A Large Scale Test of Different Methods of Combining Expert Predictions (2012) (86)
- ACCOUNTABILITY AND AUDITORS' JUDGMENTS ABOUT CONTINGENT EVENTS (1996) (84)
- Distilling the Wisdom of Crowds: Prediction Markets vs. Prediction Polls (2017) (82)
- How Americans Think about Trade: Reconciling Conflicts among Money, Power, and Principles (2001) (79)
- 'I couldn't have known': accountability, foreseeability and counterfactual denials of responsibility. (2000) (78)
- Improving Intelligence Analysis With Decision Science (2015) (74)
- Intelligent management of intelligence agencies: beyond accountability ping-pong. (2011) (74)
- Flattering and Unflattering Personality Portraits of Integratively Simple and Complex Managers (2004) (73)
- Reports Of Solving The Conflicts Of Interest In Auditing Are Highly Exaggerated (2006) (72)
- Psychology and Social Policy (1992) (72)
- Accountability and Ideology: When Left Looks Right and Right Looks Left (2013) (71)
- Forecasting Tournaments (2014) (66)
- Emerging Perspectives on Judgment and Decision Research: Bridging Individual, Interpersonal, and Institutional Approaches to Judgment and Decision Making: The Impact of Accountability on Cognitive Bias (2003) (65)
- Flattering and unflattering personality portraits of integratively simple and complex managers. (1993) (65)
- The Fallacy of Democratic Elitism: Elite Competition and Commitment to Civil Liberties (1991) (63)
- Policy‐Makers' Images of International Conflict (1983) (63)
- Experiments Behind the Veil: Structural Influences on Judgments of Social Justice (2003) (63)
- Integrative Complexity at Forty: Steps Toward Resolving the Scoring Dilemma (2014) (62)
- Toward a meaningful metric of implicit prejudice. (2015) (60)
- The influence of self-presentation goals on attributional reports. (1981) (59)
- Antidiscrimination Law and the Perils of Mindreading (2007) (59)
- Perceptual dehumanization of faces is activated by norm violations and facilitates norm enforcement. (2016) (58)
- Losing Our Religion: On the Precariousness of Precise Normative Standards in Complex Accountability Systems (1998) (57)
- The Great Rationality Debate (2002) (57)
- Accountability and Close-Call Counterfactuals: The Loser Who Nearly Won and the Winner Who Nearly Lost (2000) (56)
- Developing expert political judgment: The impact of training and practice on judgmental accuracy in geopolitical forecasting tournaments (2016) (56)
- Expectations and Emotions of Olympic Athletes (2005) (55)
- Integrative complexity and political decisions that lead to war or peace. (2001) (53)
- Liberal and Conservative Approaches to Justice: Conflicting Psychological Portraits (1993) (52)
- Sacred versus Pseudo-sacred Values: How People Cope with Taboo Trade-Offs (2017) (47)
- Churchill's Cognitive and Rhetorical Style: The Debates Over Nazi Intentions and Self-Government for India (1996) (47)
- The Performer-Audience Connection: Emotion to Metaphor in Dance and Society. (1984) (47)
- Monitoring the Integrative Complexity of American and Soviet Policy Rhetoric: What Can Be Learned? (1988) (46)
- Cognitive and Rhetorical Styles of Traditionalist and Reformist Soviet Politicians: A Content Analysis Study (1989) (45)
- Bringing probability judgments into policy debates via forecasting tournaments (2017) (44)
- Predicting behavior in economic games by looking through the eyes of the players. (2010) (44)
- Taboo Scenarios: How to Think about the Unthinkable (2012) (43)
- Analysis of the Dynamics of Political Reasoning: A General-Purpose Computer-Assisted Methodology (1989) (43)
- Biculturalism (2006) (42)
- Political Culture and the Problem of Double Standards: Mass and Elite Attitudes Toward Language Rights in the Canadian Charter of Rights and Freedoms (1989) (42)
- Psychological perspectives on justice: Of ants and grasshoppers: The political psychology of allocating public assistance (1993) (41)
- Restructuring structured analytic techniques in intelligence (2018) (39)
- Is It A Bad Idea To Study Good Judgment (1992) (37)
- Individual Differences in Information Processing (2007) (34)
- Process Versus Outcome Accountability (2014) (34)
- Confidence Calibration in a Multiyear Geopolitical Forecasting Competition (2017) (33)
- The Value of Precision in Probability Assessment: Evidence from a Large-Scale Geopolitical Forecasting Tournament (2018) (33)
- Calibrating Prejudice in Milliseconds (2008) (32)
- Psychological Perspectives on Nuclear Deterrence (1991) (31)
- The punitiveness paradox: When is external pressure exculpatory – And when a signal just to spread blame? (2010) (31)
- Popularity as a Poor Proxy for Utility: The Case of Implicit Prejudice (2017) (30)
- Probability aggregation in time-series: Dynamic hierarchical modeling of sparse expert beliefs (2014) (27)
- Psychological advice on foreign policy: What do we have to contribute? (1986) (25)
- Why so Few Conservatives and Should we Care? (2015) (24)
- How generalizable is good judgment? A multi-task, multi-benchmark study (2017) (23)
- Disentangling Reasons and Rationalizations: Exploring Perceived Fairness in Hypothetical Societies (2009) (22)
- Effects of emotions and social processes on bounded rationality (2001) (21)
- Distilling the Wisdom of Crowds: Prediction Markets versus Prediction Polls (2017) (21)
- Accountability Systems and Group Norms: Balancing the Risks of Mindless Conformity and Reckless Deviation (2017) (20)
- Unmaking the West (2006) (20)
- Rethinking the training of intelligence analysts (2016) (20)
- BICULTURALISM AND INTEGRATIVE COMPLEXITY: TESTING THE ACCULTURATION COMPLEXITY MODEL. (2006) (20)
- Accountability and adaptive performance under uncertainty: A long-term view (2017) (20)
- 39. Psychology and politics: the challenges of integrating levels of analysis in social science (2007) (20)
- Human Nature and World Politics: Cognition, Identity, and Influence (2000) (19)
- Integrative Complexity Coding Raises Integratively Complex Issues (2014) (19)
- Testing deterrence theory: Some conceptual and methodological issues. (1987) (19)
- Is self‐categorization theory the solution to the level‐of‐analysis problem? (1986) (19)
- Statement on Prediction Markets (2007) (19)
- Bias, Information, Noise: The BIN Model of Forecasting (2020) (19)
- Validating the Contribution-Weighted Model: Robustness and Cost-Benefit Analyses (2016) (19)
- SECOND THOUGHTS ABOUT EXPERT POLITICAL JUDGMENT: REPLY TO THE SYMPOSIUM (2010) (18)
- Heuristics and Biases: Theory-Driven Reasoning about Plausible Pasts and Probable Futures in World Politics (2002) (18)
- Punctuated incongruity: A new approach to managing trade-offs between conformity and deviation (2014) (18)
- Small Steps to Accuracy: Incremental Belief Updaters Are Better Forecasters (2020) (17)
- Are markets more accurate than polls? The surprising informational value of “just asking” (2019) (17)
- Behavior, society, and international conflict (1993) (17)
- AUTHORS' RESPONSE: The Implicit Prejudice Exchange: Islands of Consensus in a Sea of Controversy (2004) (17)
- Citizens and Politics: Public Opinion and Democratic Politics: The Problem of Nonattitudes and Social Construction of Political Judgment (2001) (16)
- Biases in research evaluation: Inflated assessment, oversight, or error-type weighting? (2007) (16)
- Interfacing With Faces: Perceptual Humanization and Dehumanization (2017) (15)
- Theoretically Framing Relational Framing (2005) (15)
- Correcting Judgment Correctives in National Security Intelligence (2018) (14)
- Proscribed Forms of Social Cognition: Taboo Trade-offs, Blocked Exchanges, Forbidden Base Rates, and Heretical Counterfactuals (2004) (14)
- Item response models of probability judgments: Application to a geopolitical forecasting tournament. (2015) (14)
- A neglected dimension of good forecasting judgment: The questions we choose also matter (2017) (14)
- Debunking the Myth of Value-Neutral Virginity: Toward Truth in Scientific Advertising (2016) (14)
- From discipline-centered rivalries to solution-centered science: Producing better probability estimates for policy makers. (2019) (14)
- Counterfactual Thought Experiments in World Politics: (2020) (14)
- On the Difference between Binary Prediction and True Exposure with Implications for Forecasting Tournaments and Decision Making Research (2013) (13)
- A Better Crystal Ball � e Right Way to � ink About the Future (2020) (13)
- Balancing Fairness and Efficiency: The Impact of Identity-Blind and Identity-Conscious Accountability on Applicant Screening (2015) (13)
- Middle-Class Blacks and the Ambiguities of Success (1993) (13)
- Henry Kissinger's implicit theory of personality: A quantitative case study (1986) (13)
- The simulation manifesto: The limits of brute‐force empiricism in geopolitical forecasting (2021) (12)
- Inducing belief instability without a persuasive message: The roles of attitude centrality, individual cognitive differences, and sensory deprivation. (1976) (12)
- The price of not putting a price on love (2016) (12)
- What Makes Foreign Policy Teams Tick: Explaining Variation in Group Performance at Geopolitical Forecasting (2019) (12)
- Psychological and cultural foundations of prejudice: The case of anti‐Semitism in Quebec (1993) (12)
- Thinking about Russia: plausible pasts and probable futures. (2000) (12)
- Association, Culture, and Collective Imprisonment: Tests of a Two-Route Causal-Moral Model (2012) (11)
- Heuristics and Biases: Intuitive Politicians, Theologians, and Prosecutors: Exploring the Empirical Implications of Deviant Functionalist Metaphors (2002) (11)
- Self-monitoring and the attitude–behavior relationship: A closer look at the Ajzen, Timko, and White study. (1985) (11)
- Situated Social Identities Constrain Morally Defensible Choices: Commentary on Bennis, Medin, & Bartels (2010) (2010) (11)
- The Challenge of Debiasing Personnel Decisions: Avoiding Both Under- and Overcorrection (2008) (10)
- Forecasting tournaments, epistemic humility and attitude depolarization (2019) (10)
- Robust forecast aggregation: Fourier L2E regression (2018) (10)
- Methodological Themes and Variations (1989) (10)
- Implicit Attitude Measures (2015) (9)
- An IRT forecasting model: linking proper scoring rules to item response theory (2017) (9)
- Rational Versus Irrational Prejudices (2012) (9)
- From wrongdoing to imprisonment: Test of a causal–moral model (2012) (9)
- The boundaries of the thinkable (2008) (9)
- Theory- versus imagination-driven thinking about historical counterfactuals: are we prisoners of our preconceptions? (2005) (9)
- Judging political judgment (2014) (8)
- Some Thoughts on Fourth-Generational Models of Social Cognition (1990) (8)
- Integrative Complexity in Politics (2018) (8)
- Cognitive Structural Analysis of Political Rhetoric: Methodological and Theoretical Issues (2012) (8)
- An Empirical Inquiry into the Relation of Corrective Justice to Distributive Justice (2006) (8)
- Taboo Trade-Offs: Constitutive Prerequisites for Political and Social Life (2000) (7)
- Transparency Should Trump Trust: Rejoinder to McConnell and Leibold (2009) and Ziegert and Hanges (2009) (2009) (7)
- SHOULD “SYSTEMS THINKERS” ACCEPT THE LIMITS ON POLITICAL FORECASTING OR PUSH THE LIMITS? (2012) (7)
- Assessing Objective Recommendation Quality through Political Forecasting (2017) (7)
- The selfishness-altruism debate: In defense of agnosticism (1989) (7)
- Wise teamwork: Collective confidence calibration predicts the effectiveness of group discussion (2021) (7)
- It may be harder than we thought, but political diversity will (still) improve social psychological science. (2015) (6)
- Learning in U.S. and Soviet Foreign Policy: In Search of an Elusive Concept (2019) (6)
- gauging the heuristic value of heuristics (2005) (6)
- Experimental Political Philosophy: Justice Judgments in the Hypothetical Society Paradigm (2006) (6)
- The Theory of Democratic Elitism Revisited: A Response to Vengroff and Morton (2000) (5)
- Detecting and Punishing Unconscious Bias (2013) (5)
- Brutality Under Cover of Ambiguity (2015) (5)
- The Marketcast Method for Aggregating Prediction Market Forecasts (2013) (5)
- Forecasting the Accuracy of Forecasters from Properties of Forecasting Rationales (2021) (5)
- Reply: Strategic Calculation and Political Values—The Dynamics of Language Rights (1990) (5)
- Process and Outcome Accountability (2015) (4)
- Adversarial collaboration aborted but our offer still stands (2009) (4)
- How experts think about counterfactuals in business history: The role of theoretical commitments and disciplinary perspectives (2007) (4)
- A renewed appeal for adversarial collaboration (2009) (3)
- False dichotomy alert: Improving subjective-probability estimates vs. raising awareness of systemic risk (2022) (3)
- What do forecasting rationales reveal about thinking patterns of top geopolitical forecasters? (2021) (3)
- Poking Counterfactual Holes in Covering Laws: Cognitive Styles and Political Learning (2016) (3)
- Diversity Paradoxes (2007) (3)
- Correspondence and Coherence: Indicators of Good Judgment in World Politics (2005) (3)
- How Politicized Is Political Psychology and Is There Anything We Should Do About It (1994) (3)
- Vying for Rhetorical High Ground in Accountability Debates (2011) (3)
- Insights into the accuracy of social scientists’ forecasts of societal change (2023) (3)
- The ever‐shifting psychological foundations of democratic theory: Do citizens have the right stuff? (1998) (3)
- Reciprocal Scoring: A Method for Forecasting Unanswerable Questions (2021) (2)
- Keep your enemies close: Adversarial collaborations will improve behavioral science. (2022) (2)
- The consequences of taking consequentialism seriously (1994) (2)
- Preface to the 2017 Edition (2018) (2)
- Chapter 12. Improving the Accuracy of Geopolitical Risk Assessments (2019) (2)
- The Psychology of War and Peace. (1987) (2)
- Why Quantitative Probability Assessments Are Empirically Justifiable in Foreign Policy Analysis (2015) (2)
- Integrative complexity of text and of reader as moderators of aesthetic evaluations (1988) (2)
- WITHDRAWN: Implicit Prejudice and Accountability Systems: What Must Organizations Do to Prevent Discrimination? (2009) (2)
- Crowd Prediction Systems: Markets, Polls, and Elite Forecasters (2022) (2)
- Assessing the sincerity of politicians: the case of President George W. Bush (2007) (2)
- Some thoughts about thought systems (1991) (2)
- Decomposing the effects of crowd-wisdom aggregators: The bias–information–noise (BIN) model (2022) (2)
- Behavior, Society, and Nuclear War: Vol. 1. (1991) (2)
- 14. Cognitive Structural Analysis of Political Rhetoric: Methodological and Theoretical Issues (2020) (1)
- Wasted Money or Worthy Investment? Ideological Values Color Perceptions of Escalation of Commitment (2014) (1)
- Accountability in Social Systems: A Psychological Perspective (1995) (1)
- Who Gets What from Whom (1987) (1)
- Skew-Adjusted Extremized-Mean: A Simple Method for Identifying and Learning From Contrarian Minorities in Groups of Forecasters (2022) (1)
- Human Nature and World Politics : Cognition , Identity , and In ̄ uence (2001) (1)
- Counterfactual Reasoning: Public Policy Aspects (2001) (1)
- Psychologists as Policy Advocates: The Roots of Controversy (2019) (1)
- Portfolio Structuring and the Value of Forecasting (2016) (1)
- The Psychology of Futurology and the Future of Psychology (1994) (1)
- Prospecting for Evidence for Prospect Theory. (1999) (1)
- Political or Politicized Psychology: Is the Distinction Worth Respecting? (1996) (1)
- Cognitive Style and Judging (2010) (1)
- Political Attitudes over the Life Span: The Bennington Women after Fifty Years. By Duane F. Alwin, Ronald Cohen, and Theodore M. Newcomb Madison: University of Wisconsin Press, 1991. 422p. $40.00 cloth, $21.95 paper. (1993) (1)
- Accelerating Learning in Active Management: The Alpha-Brier Process (2019) (1)
- Experiments Behind the Veil: A Hypothetical Societies Approach to the Study of Social Justice (2002) (1)
- Decomposing the Effects of Crowd-Wisdom Aggregators: The Bias-Information-Noise (BIN) Model (2021) (1)
- Psychological Advice about Political Decision Making: Heuristics, Biases, and Cognitive Defects (2019) (1)
- A Behaviorally Informed Survey-Powered Market Agent (2014) (1)
- Can we accelerate learning from history? South Africa then and now: Commentary on Schoemaker 2020 (2020) (1)
- Gauging the Politicization of Research Programs (2020) (1)
- Book Review (2002) (1)
- The Help-Decliner’s Dilemma: How to Decline Requests for Help at Work Without Hurting One’s Image (2018) (1)
- The Power of Precise Predictions (2015) (1)
- Navigating Interpersonal Workplace Communication Challenges: An Interaction-Focused Perspective (2021) (0)
- Like good wine, good research takes time. (1993) (0)
- Mending the Tripartite Division of Mind. (1997) (0)
- A great historiometrician examines greatness. (1995) (0)
- CHAPTER 2. The Ego-deflating Challenge of Radical Skepticism (2009) (0)
- Experimental history: The slow, painful birth of a new field. Rejoinder to commentaries on Lustick and Tetlock (2021) (2021) (0)
- Psychological strategies for winning a geopolitical forecasting tournament (2014) (0)
- 8-2008 Psychological Approaches (2018) (0)
- PSYCHOLOGICAL SCIENCE: The First 5 Years (1994) (0)
- Science Magazine (2006) (0)
- Agreeing to Disagree: A Respectful Reply to a Senior Statesman of Political Psychology (1995) (0)
- No Easy Solutions@@@Presidential Decisionmaking in Foreign Policy: On the Effective Use of Information and Advice (1980) (0)
- The effects of inoculation, distraction and sensory deprivation on attitude change and counterarguing (1976) (0)
- Are Progressives in Denial About Progress? Yes, but So Is Almost Everyone Else (2022) (0)
- National Race and Politics Survey 1991 (2014) (0)
- Prejudice, Politics, and the American Dilemma (1996) (0)
- Shoring Up the Shaky Psychological Foundations of a Micro-Economic Model of Ideology: Adversarial Collaboration Solutions (2021) (0)
- Why so Few Conservatives and Should we Care? (2015) (0)
- The 19th Annual Carnegie Symposium on Cognition: Political Cognition (1987) (0)
- The complete politicization of psychological knowledge. (1988) (0)
- CHAPTER 4. Honoring Reputational Bets (2009) (0)
- Judgments, Decisions, and Public Policy: The Virtues of Cognitive Humility: For Us as Well as Them (2001) (0)
- Understanding Attitudes about War: Modeling Moral Judgments. By Bunk Gregory, Sechtest Donald, and Tamshiro Howard. Pittsburgh, PA: University of Pittsburgh Press, 1996. 237p. $45.00 cloth, $19.95 paper. (1997) (0)
- CHAPTER 5. Contemplating Counterfactuals (2009) (0)
- The road less traveled: Understanding adversaries is hard but smarter than ignoring them. (2022) (0)
- The internal validity obsession (2022) (0)
- or error-type weighting? (2006) (0)
- Integrative complexity chapter ( 27 ) Internet copy for personal use only (2000) (0)
- CHAPTER 8. Exploring the Limits on Objectivity and Accountability (2009) (0)
- Is all Psychological Knowledge Reducible to Ideology (1987) (0)
- Organizational Group Dynamics Q-Sort (2013) (0)
- CHAPTER 3. Knowing the Limits of One’s Knowledge (2009) (0)
- Political Psychology: The Challenges of Sustaining Interdisciplinary Research Programs. (2004) (0)
- CHAPTER 7. Are We Open-minded Enough to Acknowledge the Limits of Open-mindedness? (2009) (0)
- We Didn't See Donald Trump Coming. But We Could Have. (2016) (0)
- Political Attitudes, Cognitive Style, and Political Persuasion (2019) (0)
- False Dichotomy Alert: Cultivating Talent at Probability Estimation vs. Raising Awareness of Systemic Risk (2022) (0)
- Some Pessimistic Ruminations on Disentangling Causal Processes in Presidential Elections (1990) (0)
- Full Accuracy Scoring Accelerates the Discovery of Skilled Forecasters (2023) (0)
- CHAPTER 4. Honoring Reputational Bets Foxes Are Better Bayesians than Hedgehogs (2018) (0)
- Improving Judgments of Existential Risk: Better Forecasts, Questions, Explanations, Policies (2022) (0)
- SynopsesFrom wrongdoing to imprisonment: Test of a causal-moral model (2012) (0)
- CHAPTER 1. Quantifying the Unquantifiable (2009) (0)
- The Integrated Graduate Education and Training Program in Politics, Economics, Psychology and Public Policy (2005) (0)
- Political Paranoia: The Psychopolitics of Hatred . By Robert S. Robins and Jerrold M. Post. New Haven, CT: Yale University Press, 1997. 366p. $30.00. (2000) (0)
- AUTHOR INDEX TO VOL. 24 (2012) (0)
- Long-Range Subjective-Probability Forecasts of Slow-Motion Variables in World Politics: Exploring Limits on Expert Judgment (2023) (0)
- Multi-Investigator Survey 1994 (2014) (0)
- CHAPTER 6. The Hedgehogs Strike Back (2009) (0)
- The Market Experience: The Worst System Except for all the Others? (1994) (0)
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Other Resources About Philip E. Tetlock
What Schools Are Affiliated With Philip E. Tetlock?
Philip E. Tetlock is affiliated with the following schools:
What Are Philip E. Tetlock's Academic Contributions?
Philip E. Tetlock is most known for their academic work in the field of political science. They are also known for their academic work in the fields of and psychology.
Philip E. Tetlock has made the following academic contributions:
