Prakash Loungani
Indian academic
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Economics
Prakash Loungani's Degrees
- PhD Economics University of Maryland, College Park
- Masters Economics University of Maryland, College Park
- Bachelors Economics Delhi University
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Why Is Prakash Loungani Influential?
(Suggest an Edit or Addition)According to Wikipedia, Prakash Loungani is a macroeconomist known for his work on the difficulty of forecasting recessions , which has been featured in the Financial Times and The Guardian and on the BBC. He has nudged macroeconomists towards adopting the goal of “inclusive growth” through research on understanding and lowering unemployment ; documenting the impact of austerity on inequality ; and uncovering the role of unfettered capital mobility across national borders in lowering labor’s share of income . His early research focused on understanding the impacts of oil prices on the economy. He is an advisor and senior personnel manager in the International Monetary Fund's Independent Evaluation Office. He blogs as The Unassuming Economist.
Prakash Loungani's Published Works
Published Works
- The role of energy in real business cycle models (1992) (427)
- Oil Price Shocks and the Dispersion Hypothesis (1986) (304)
- The Differential Impact of Uncertainty on Investment in Small and Large Businesses (2000) (302)
- Central bank independence, inflation and growth in transition economies (1995) (216)
- Measuring Energy Security: Trends in the Diversification of Oil and Natural Gas Supplies (2011) (215)
- How Accurate are Private Sector Forecasts? Cross-Country Evidence from Consensus Forecasts of Output Growth (2000) (206)
- The Global Disconnect: The Role of Transactional Distance and Scale Economies in Gravity Equations (2002) (199)
- Okun's Law: Fit at 50? (2013) (191)
- The Effects of Monetary Policy Shocks on Inequality (2016) (185)
- Product Market Competition and the Impact of Price Uncertainty on Investment: Some Evidence from US Manufacturing Industries (1996) (175)
- Labor market policies and IMF advice in advanced economies during the Great Recession (2013) (171)
- The Distributional Effects of Fiscal Consolidation (2013) (169)
- Oil Prices and Inflation Dynamics: Evidence from Advanced and Developing Economies (2017) (153)
- Okun&Apos;S Law: Fit at Fifty? (2013) (140)
- Sources of Inflation in Developing Countries (2001) (130)
- China and Emerging Asia: Comrades or Competitors? (2003) (121)
- Regional Labor Fluctuations: Oil Shocks, Military Spending, and Other Driving Forces (1997) (108)
- Capital Flight from Russia (2000) (105)
- Stock market dispersion and unemployment (1990) (103)
- Global Housing Cycles (2012) (101)
- Was China the First Domino?: Assessing Links between China and the Rest of Emerging Asia (1998) (100)
- How quickly do forecasters incorporate news? Evidence from cross-country surveys (2006) (97)
- World Trade in Services: Evidence from a New Dataset (2017) (97)
- Uncertainty and Unemployment (2015) (96)
- The distributional effects of capital account liberalization (2018) (95)
- Was China the first domino? Assessing links between China and other Asian economies (1999) (87)
- The Aggregate and Distributional Effects of Financial Globalization: Evidence from Macro and Sectoral Data (2018) (80)
- Capital Account Liberalization and Inequality (2015) (79)
- The long-run decoupling of emissions and output: Evidence from the largest emitters (2018) (79)
- Cyclical fluctuations and sectoral reallocation: Evidence from the PSID☆ (1989) (77)
- Understanding international commodity price fluctuations (2014) (76)
- Testing the Prebisch-Singer Hypothesis Since 1650: Evidence from Panel Techniques that Allow for Multiple Breaks (2013) (73)
- Do Forecasters Believe in Okun’s Law? An Assessment of Unemployment and Output Forecasts (2014) (72)
- Regional Labor Market Adjustment in the United States: Trend and Cycle (2017) (68)
- Information Rigidities: Comparing Average and Individual Forecasts for a Large International Panel (2014) (64)
- Aggregate Uncertainty and Sectoral Productivity Growth: The Role of Credit Constraints (2016) (62)
- Decoupling of Emissions and GDP: Evidence from Aggregate and Provincial Chinese Data (2018) (62)
- Capital Mobility and the Output-Inflation Tradeoff (1997) (60)
- The effect of changes in reserve requirements on investment and GNP (1994) (59)
- Business Cycles in Emerging Market Economies (2000) (57)
- Information Rigidity in Growth Forecasts: Some Cross-Country Evidence (2011) (56)
- The East Asian Crisis: Macroeconomic Developments and Policy Lessons (1998) (51)
- Flying Geese or Sitting Ducks: China's Impact on the Trading Fortunes of Other Asian Economies (2006) (51)
- The Human Cost of Recessions: Assessing It, Reducing It (2010) (50)
- Can Reform Waves Turn the Tide? Some Case Studies using the Synthetic Control Method (2016) (50)
- Does One Law Fit All? Cross-Country Evidence on Okun’s Law (2019) (49)
- Minimum Wages and Firm Employment: Evidence from China (2014) (49)
- New Evidence on Cyclical and Structural Sources of Unemployment (2011) (48)
- Okun's Law; Fit at 50? (2013) (45)
- Asian Financial Integration: Trends and Interruptions (2011) (44)
- Globalization and Inflation-Output Tradeoffs (2005) (43)
- The distributional effects of fiscal austerity (2014) (37)
- Regional Labor Market Adjustments in the United States and Europe (2014) (37)
- Further Cross-Country Evidence on the Accuracy of the Private Sector's Output Forecasts (2002) (37)
- COVID-19 will raise inequality if past pandemics are a guide. 08/05/2020 (2020) (35)
- Testing the Prebisch-Singer Hypothesis since 1650 : Evidence from Panel Techniques that Allow for Multiple Breaks (2013) (33)
- Uncertainty and Unemployment; The Effects of Aggregate and Sectoral Channels (2015) (33)
- Global Food Prices and Domestic Inflation: Some Cross-Country Evidence (2015) (30)
- Information Rigidity and the Expectations Formation Process: A Simple Framework and New Facts Prepared by Olivier Coibion and Yuriy Gorodnichenko 1 (2012) (29)
- Explaining unemployment: sectoral vs aggregate shocks (1997) (29)
- There Will Be Growth in the Spring (2002) (29)
- Confronting Inequality (2019) (29)
- Structural unemployment and public policy in interwar Britain: A review essay (1991) (29)
- How Well Do Economists Forecast Recessions? (2018) (29)
- The East Asian Crisis (1998) (27)
- Globalization and Equilibrium Inflation-Output Tradeoffs (2005) (27)
- Stock market dispersion and business cycles (1991) (25)
- Will COVID-19 Have Long-Lasting Effects on Inequality? Evidence from Past Pandemics (2021) (25)
- Product Market Competition and the Impact of Price Uncertainty on Investment : Some Evidence From U.S. Manufacturing Industries (1995) (24)
- Globalization and Disinflation: The Efficiency Channel (2005) (22)
- Regional Labor Market Adjustments in the United States (2014) (19)
- Emissions and Growth: Trends and Cycles in a Globalized World (2017) (18)
- Comparing cities in developed and developing countries: Population, land area, building height and crowding (2021) (18)
- Wage Moderation in Crises; Policy Considerations and Applications to the Euro Area (2015) (17)
- Rethinking Development Policy: Deindustrialization, Servicification and Structural Transformation (2018) (16)
- Evidence on nominal wage rigidity from a panel of U.S. manufacturing industries (1995) (15)
- Crying Wolf on Poverty: Or How the Millennium Development Goal for Poverty Has Already Been Reached By (2003) (15)
- Cross-country evidence on the quality of private sector fiscal forecasts (2015) (14)
- Designing Labor Market Institutions in Emerging and Developing Economies (2019) (14)
- Investing to Mitigate and Adapt to Climate Change: A Framework Model (2016) (14)
- The rise in inequality after pandemics: can fiscal support play a mitigating role? (2021) (14)
- Supply-side sources of inflation: evidence from OECD countries (1995) (14)
- From the Global to the National Cycle: An Intricate Liaison (2013) (14)
- Predicting when the economy will turn (2002) (13)
- The Distributional Effects of Government Spending Shocks in Developing Economies (2018) (13)
- Rethinking development policy: What remains of structural transformation? (2020) (13)
- Information Rigidities in Economic Growth Forecasts: Evidence from a Large International Panel (2013) (12)
- The Tragedy of Unemployment (2010) (12)
- FISCAL CONSOLIDATION AND INEQUALITY IN ADVANCED ECONOMIES: HOW ROBUST IS THE LINK? (2016) (12)
- Comrades or competitors? On trade relationships between China and emerging Asia (2004) (11)
- Do IMF fiscal forecasts add value (2018) (11)
- How Accurate Are Private Sector Forecasts (2000) (11)
- Information Rigidity in Growth Forecasts; Some Cross-Country Evidence (2011) (10)
- Monetary policy, macroprudential regulation and inequality: An introduction to the special section (2017) (10)
- Do IMF forecasts respect Okun’s law? Evidence for advanced and developing economies (2019) (9)
- Firm size and the impact of profit-margin uncertainty on investment: do financing constraints play a role? (1996) (9)
- On the Determinants of the Okun’s Law: New Evidence from Time-Varying Estimates (2019) (9)
- Global Food Prices and Domestic Inflation : Some Cross-Country Evidence (2015) (9)
- Stock-market-based measures of sectoral shocks and the unemployment rate (2010) (8)
- Measuring Energy Security : Trends in the Diversification of Oil and Natural Gas Supplies (2011) (8)
- Unemployment And Sectoral Shifts: Evidence From The Psid (1989) (8)
- Unconventional monetary policy in a nonlinear quadratic model (2020) (8)
- How Clear is the Crystal Ball (2001) (7)
- The Elusive Quest for Energy Independence (2009) (7)
- World Trade in Services (2017) (7)
- Will the Economic Impact of COVID-19 Persist? Prognosis from 21st Century Pandemics (2021) (6)
- There Will Be Growth in the Spring: How Credible are Forecasts of Recovery? (2002) (6)
- Cross-country Evidence on the Quality of Fiscal Forecasts * (2011) (6)
- Designing Labor Market Institutions in Emerging Market and Developing Economies : Evidence and Policy Options (2019) (6)
- The Power of Two: Inclusive Growth and the IMF (2017) (5)
- In defense of globalization (2005) (5)
- Information Rigidity in Growth Forecasts (2011) (5)
- Wage Moderation in Crises (2015) (5)
- Stock Market Dispersion, Unemployment And Gnp (1989) (5)
- Inflation Anchoring and Growth: The Role of Credit Constraints (2021) (4)
- What Lies beneath? A Sub-National Look at Okun’s Law in the United States (2018) (4)
- Sectoral shifts in interwar Britain (1990) (4)
- Financial Globalization, Fiscal Policies and the Distribution of Income (2020) (4)
- Moving closer? Comparing regional adjustments to shocks in EMU and the United States (2020) (4)
- Out of the Ballpark: The Global Recession of 2007-08 in Historical Context (2009) (4)
- How Should We Measure City Size? Theory and Evidence within and Across Rich and Poor Countries (2019) (4)
- Book Review: The White Man’s Burden: Why the West’s Efforts to Aid the Rest Have Done So Much Ill and So Little Good (2006) (4)
- Financial Liberalization, Inequality and Inclusion in Low-Income Countries (2017) (4)
- Macroeconomic effects of labor reallocation A comment (1996) (4)
- Modelling state energy consumption: Forecasts for Florida, 1987-2006 (1990) (4)
- Countering contagion: Does China's experience offer a blueprint? (2001) (4)
- Inequality and Locational Determinants of the Distribution of Living Standards in India (2020) (4)
- Global Food Prices and Domestic Inflation (2015) (4)
- Stock market dispersion and real economic activity: evidence from quarterly data (1990) (4)
- The Open Economy Phillips Curve: 'New Keynesian' Theory and Evidence (2002) (3)
- Breaking the Dynamic of Relative Primary Commodity Prices in Levels and Volatilities since 1650 (2013) (3)
- Designing Labor Market Institutions in Emerging Market and Developing Economies: A Review of Evidence and IMF Policy Advice (2020) (3)
- Beyond the austerity dispute: new priorities for fiscal policy (2016) (3)
- Inflation Anchoring and Growth: Evidence from Sectoral Data (2018) (3)
- Housing Prices: More Room to Fall? (2010) (3)
- An Assessment of the IMF's Unemployment Forecasts (2019) (3)
- Minimum Wages and Firm Employment (2014) (3)
- Information Rigidities : Comparing Average and Individual Forecasts for a Large International Panel (2014) (3)
- Trends and Cycles in CO2 Emissions and Incomes: Cross-Country Evidence on Decoupling (2022) (2)
- Job creation and destruction (1997) (2)
- Labor market fluctuations in Japan and the U.S.--how similar are they? (1997) (2)
- How Well Do Economists Forecast Recessions (2018) (2)
- Honoring Herman: A special section for Stekler (2015) (2)
- Asian Financial Integration (2011) (2)
- Testing the Prebisch-Singer Hypothesis since 1650 (2013) (2)
- Making Globalization Inclusive: Job Creation and Wage Inequality in Developing Economies (2019) (2)
- Slow Recovery to Nowhere? A Sectoral View of Labor Markets in Advanced Economies (2011) (2)
- Optimal Control of a Global Model of Climate Change with Adaptation and Mitigation (2018) (2)
- Does Growth Create Jobs in the G-20 Economies? (2015) (1)
- International Jobs Report: Update November 2016 (2016) (1)
- Aggregate Uncertainty and Sectoral Productivity Growth (2016) (1)
- Conference on Housing, Stability, and the Macroeconomy: International Perspectives (2015) (1)
- Cyclical or Structural? Evidence on the Sources of U.S. Unemployment (2017) (1)
- Managing House Price Booms: Evolution of IMF Surveillance and Policy Advice (2019) (1)
- IMF Research Bulletin June 2013 (2013) (1)
- The Human Cost of Recessions (2010) (1)
- Forecasting issues in developing economies (2019) (1)
- Trade, Growth and Inequality: Evidence from China (Preliminary), by Bin Grace Li, Prakash Loungani, and Jonathan D. Ostry (2018) (1)
- Labor mobility, unemployment and sectoral shifts: evidence from micro data (1989) (1)
- Measuring Energy Security (2011) (1)
- WP / 18 / 270 Optimal Control of a Global Model of Climate Change with Adaptation and Mitigation (2018) (0)
- - 1-Globalization and Equilibrium Inflation-Output Tradeoffs (2005) (0)
- Reseña de libro: "The Great Inflation its Aftermarth: the Past and Present of American Affluence", by Robert J. Samuelson (2008) (0)
- Macro Effects of Formal Adoption of Inflation Targeting (2023) (0)
- Emerging Economy Business Cycles: Financial Integration and Terms of Trade Shocks Prepared by Ila Patnaik, Rudrani Bhattacharya, Madhavi Pundit 1 (2013) (0)
- Inflation Anchoring, Real Borrowing Costs, and Growth: Evidence from Sectoral Data (2019) (0)
- International Jobs Report: Update 2015 (2015) (0)
- What Lies beneath? A Sub-National Look at Okun’s Law in the United States (2018) (0)
- Okun's Law (2013) (0)
- 3. Are New Economic Policy Rules Desirable to Mitigate Rising National Inequalities? (2019) (0)
- Multinationals and East Asian Integration: Wendy Dobson and Chia Siow Yue (Eds.); International Development Research Centre, Ottawa, 1997 (1999) (0)
- Reseña de libro: "The Age of Turbulence: Adventures in a New World", por Alan Greenspan (2007) (0)
- Does Easing Monetary Policy Increase Financial Instability ? by Ambrogio Cesa-Bianchi and Alessandro Rebucci (2015) (0)
- Inequality Dynamics amidst Rapid Growth: A Post Liberalization Indian Perspective (2019) (0)
- The Power of Two: Inclusive Growth and the IMF (2017) (0)
- Economists Speak Prakash Loungani Inside the Economist ’ s Mind : Conversations with Eminent Economists (2008) (0)
- Frameworks for State Energy Policy: The Case of Florida (1991) (0)
- Applied time series analysis for business and economic forecasting: Sufi M. Nazem, (Marcel Dekker, Inc., New York and Basel, 1988), pp. 431, $89.75 (1990) (0)
- Global House Prices: Trends and Cycles (2020) (0)
- Designing Labor Market Institutions in Emerging Market and Developing Economies: A Review of Evidence and IMF Policy Advice (2020) (0)
- US Monetary Policy Announcements and the Term Structure of Interest Rate Differentials: Evidence from Hong Kong and Singapore (2005) (0)
- WP / 17 / 196 Oil Prices and Inflation Dynamics : Evidence from Advanced and Developing Economies (2017) (0)
- International Jobs Report: Edition 2015 (2015) (0)
- Dual Plenary Session: Energy & The Economy (2014) (0)
- Globalization and Equilibrium Inflation-Output Tradeoffs [with Comments] (2005) (0)
- Financial Globalization, Fiscal Policies and the Distribution of Income (2020) (0)
- Reseña de libro: "How Soccer Explains the World: An Unlikely theory of Globalization", por Franklin Foer (2004) (0)
- Research Summary: The Future Wealth of Nations: World Trade in Services (2017) (0)
- Capital Account Liberalization and Inequality1 (2015) (0)
- WP / 14 / 26 Regional Labor Market Adjustments in the United States and Europe (2014) (0)
- Will it Hurt? Who Will It Hurt? The Macroeconomic and Distributional Effects of Fiscal Austerity (2011) (0)
- Excess Savings Are Recession-Specific and Compensatory: Evidence From the US (2022) (0)
- Information Rigidities in Economic Growth Forecasts (2013) (0)
- Painful Medicine (2011) (0)
- Economic Policy in the International Economy: Sources of Inflation in Developing Countries (2003) (0)
- Global Housing Cycles; by Deniz Igan and Prakash Loungani; IMF Working Paper 12/217; August 1, 2012 (2012) (0)
- Corregir el capitalismo (2019) (0)
- Capital Account Liberalization and Inequality; by Davide Furceri and Prakash Loungani; IMF Working Paper WP/15243; November 2015 (2015) (0)
- Slow Recovery to Nowhere? Labor Market Issues in Advanced Economies: Introduction (2018) (0)
- Linkages Between Financial and Macroeconomic Indicators in Emerging Markets and Developing Economies (2022) (0)
- Slow Recovery to Nowhere? Labor Market Issues in Advanced Economies: Introduction (2018) (0)
- Decoupling of emissions and incomes: It’s happening (2018) (0)
- Can Reform Waves Turn the Tide? Some Case Studies using the Synthetic Control Method (2018) (0)
- Economic Forecasts: Hard to Rely on? (2008) (0)
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