Robert L. Winkler*
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Robert L. Winkler*'s AcademicInfluence.com Rankings
Robert L. Winkler*mathematics Degrees
Mathematics
#5276
World Rank
#7436
Historical Rank
Operations Research
#28
World Rank
#28
Historical Rank
Measure Theory
#663
World Rank
#904
Historical Rank

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Mathematics
Robert L. Winkler*'s Degrees
- PhD Operations Research Stanford University
- Masters Operations Research Stanford University
Why Is Robert L. Winkler* Influential?
(Suggest an Edit or Addition)Robert L. Winkler*'s Published Works
Number of citations in a given year to any of this author's works
Total number of citations to an author for the works they published in a given year. This highlights publication of the most important work(s) by the author
Published Works
- The accuracy of extrapolation (time series) methods: Results of a forecasting competition (1982) (1401)
- Scoring Rules for Continuous Probability Distributions (1976) (718)
- A General Framework for Forecast Verification (1987) (697)
- Averages of Forecasts: Some Empirical Results (1983) (610)
- Combining Probability Distributions From Experts in Risk Analysis (1999) (582)
- Statistics : Probability, Inference and Decision (1975) (479)
- Combining Probability Distributions from Dependent Information Sources (1981) (457)
- The Assessment of Prior Distributions in Bayesian Analysis (1967) (413)
- The Consensus of Subjective Probability Distributions (1968) (376)
- An Introduction to Bayesian Inference and Decision (1972) (358)
- Reliability of Subjective Probability Forecasts of Precipitation and Temperature (1977) (350)
- Combining Economic Forecasts (1986) (333)
- “Good” Probability Assessors (1968) (332)
- Interactive Elicitation of Opinion for a Normal Linear Model (1980) (324)
- Probability Forecasting in Meteorology (1984) (324)
- Diagnostic verification of probability forecasts (1992) (271)
- Scoring Rules and the Evaluation of Probability Assessors (1969) (271)
- Uncertainty in probabilistic risk assessment (1996) (266)
- Limits for the Precision and Value of Information from Dependent Sources (1985) (256)
- Scoring rules and the evaluation of probabilities (1996) (216)
- Hailfinder: A Bayesian system for forecasting severe weather (1996) (215)
- The Combination of Forecasts (1983) (211)
- The Optimizer's Curse: Skepticism and Postdecision Surprise in Decision Analysis (2006) (210)
- Separating probability elicitation from utilities (1988) (205)
- Simple robust averages of forecasts: Some empirical results (2008) (191)
- The Quantification of Judgment: Some Methodological Suggestions (1967) (185)
- The Forecasting accuracy of major time series methods (1986) (167)
- A Decision-Theoretic Approach to Interval Estimation (1972) (152)
- Scoring rules in probability assessment and evaluation (1970) (152)
- The Determination of Partial Moments (1972) (150)
- Evaluating and Combining Physicians' Probabilities of Survival in an Intensive Care Unit (1993) (149)
- Probabilistic Prediction: Some Experimental Results (1971) (149)
- Experiments in the laboratory and the real world (1973) (135)
- Misinterpretations of precipitation probability forecasts (1980) (131)
- Combining forecasts: A philosophical basis and some current issues (1989) (126)
- Is it Better to Average Probabilities or Quantiles? (2012) (119)
- Assessing Dependence: Some Experimental Results (2000) (108)
- Decision modeling and rational choice: AHP and utility theory (1990) (102)
- Multiple Experts vs. Multiple Methods: Combining Correlation Assessments (2004) (100)
- Advances in Decision Analysis: Aggregating Probability Distributions (2007) (93)
- Scoring Rules, Generalized Entropy, and Utility Maximization (2008) (92)
- Evaluating probabilities: asymmetric scoring rules (1994) (90)
- Nonlinear Utility and the Probability Score (1970) (86)
- Are two (inexperienced) heads better than one (experienced) head? Averaging house officers' prognostic judgments for critically ill patients. (1990) (83)
- Unanimity and compromise among probability forecasters (1990) (79)
- Forecasting: theory and practice (2020) (78)
- Sensitivity of Weights in Combining Forecasts (1992) (78)
- Coherent combination of experts' opinions (1995) (76)
- Evaluating Decision Strategies for Equity of Public Risks (1985) (75)
- Risky Choices and Correlated Background Risk (2005) (75)
- Risk Sharing and Group Decision Making (1981) (73)
- Assessing the Value of Frost Forecasts to Orchardists: A Dynamic Decision-Making Approach (1982) (73)
- Learning, Experimentation, and the Optimal Output Decisions of a Competitive Firm (1982) (71)
- OPTIMAL SPECULATION AGAINST AN EFFICIENT MARKET (1976) (70)
- Warner's Randomized Response Model: A Bayesian Approach (1979) (70)
- Aggregating Point Estimates: A Flexible Modeling Approach (1993) (69)
- Multiattribute Utility Satisfying a Preference for Combining Good with Bad (2009) (68)
- The Accuracy of Extrapolation (Time Series) Methods (1982) (68)
- A BAYESIAN MODEL FOR PORTFOLIO SELECTION AND REVISION (1975) (65)
- Personal probabilities of probabilities (1975) (65)
- Expert resolution (1986) (64)
- Probability Elicitation, Scoring Rules, and Competition Among Forecasters (2007) (62)
- Generalized Almost Stochastic Dominance (2014) (59)
- Sampling Distributions of Post-sample Forecasting Errors (1989) (58)
- Credible Interval Temperature Forecasting: Some Experimental Results (1974) (58)
- Implications of errors in survey data: a Bayesian model (1992) (57)
- Evaluating Quantile Assessments (2009) (55)
- subjective probability forecasting experiments in meteorology: some preliminary results (1974) (53)
- Calibrating and Combining Precipitation Probability Forecasts (1987) (51)
- Screening probability forecasts: contrasts between choosing and combining (1995) (48)
- Probability Forecasts and Their Combination: A Research Perspective (2018) (41)
- Decision Making with Multiattribute Performance Targets: The Impact of Changes in Performance and Target Distributions (2007) (41)
- Judgments under Uncertainty (2006) (41)
- Combining Interval Forecasts (2016) (40)
- forecasters and probability forecasts: some current problems1,2 (1971) (40)
- The Role of Informative Priors in Zero-Numerator Problems (2002) (40)
- Sensitivity to Distance and Baseline Distributions in Forecast Evaluation (2009) (40)
- Modifying Variability and Correlations in Winner-Take-All Contests (2004) (40)
- Ambiguity, probability, preference, and decision analysis (1991) (39)
- Repetitive decision making and the value of forecasts in the cost-loss ratio situation: a dynamic model (1985) (39)
- Multiple Criteria Decision Making (1973) (38)
- The M5 uncertainty competition: Results, findings and conclusions (2021) (38)
- WHY BAYESIAN ANALYSIS HASN'T CAUGHT ON IN HEALTHCARE DECISION MAKING (2001) (37)
- State of the Art: RESEARCH DIRECTIONS IN DECISION MAKING UNDER UNCERTAINTY* (1982) (36)
- Tailored Scoring Rules for Probabilities (2011) (35)
- Between First- and Second-Order Stochastic Dominance (2017) (34)
- Probability Forecasts: A Survey of National Weather Service Forecasters (1974) (34)
- Bayesian Models for Forecasting Future Security Prices (1973) (32)
- Multivariate Concave and Convex Stochastic Dominance (2010) (31)
- Strategic Choice of Variability in Multiround Contests and Contests with Handicaps (2004) (31)
- Ambiguity and decision modeling: A preference-based approach (1992) (29)
- Competitive Bidding with Dependent Value Estimates (1980) (28)
- The value of climate information: A decision‐analytic approach (1983) (28)
- Quantile Evaluation, Sensitivity to Bracketing, and Sharing Business Payoffs (2016) (27)
- The effect of nonstationarity on combined forecasts (1992) (26)
- On multivariate quantiles under partial orders (2009) (26)
- Why do some combinations perform better than others? (2020) (25)
- Informational Differences Between Limit and Market Orders for a Market Maker (1981) (25)
- Nonstationarity and Portfolio Choice (1976) (24)
- Adaptive Forecasting Models Based on Predictive Distributions (1978) (23)
- An Assessment of the Risk of Chronic Lung Injury Attributable to Long-Term Ozone Exposure (1995) (22)
- Probabilistic temperature forecasts: The case for an operational program (1979) (21)
- On Equivalent Target-Oriented Formulations for Multiattribute Utility (2006) (21)
- Several Bayesians: A review (1993) (20)
- Repeated gambles, learning, and risk aversion (1992) (20)
- Aggregating Forecasts: An Empirical Evaluation of Some Bayesian Methods (1996) (19)
- Rewarding Expertise in Probability Assessment (1977) (19)
- The Role of Attitude Toward Risk in Strictly Competitive Decision-Making Situations (1978) (16)
- Analysis of Alternative National Ambient Carbon Monoxide Standards (1984) (16)
- De Finetti’s Methods of Elicitation (1987) (15)
- The Importance of Communicating Uncertainties in Forecasts: Overestimating the Risks from Winter Storm Juno (2015) (15)
- Equal Versus Differential Weighting in Combining Forecasts (2015) (15)
- Performance-Based Incentive Plans (1980) (15)
- The Use of Credible Intervals in Temperature Forecasting: Some Experimental Results (1977) (15)
- On the choice of a consensus distribution in Bayesian analysis (1972) (14)
- Bayesian point estimation and prediction (1974) (14)
- On seeking a best performance measure or a best forecasting method (1992) (14)
- Forecasters and Probability Forecasts: the Responses to a Questionnaire (1971) (14)
- The Use of Probabilities in Subjective Quantitative Precipitation Forecasts: Some Experimental Results (1985) (13)
- Decision Theory and Social Ethics: Issues in Social Choice. (1979) (12)
- Between First and Second-Order Stochastic Dominance (2015) (12)
- Bayesian statistics: An overview. (1993) (12)
- Market structure: The specialist as dealer and broker (1986) (12)
- Casey's Problem: Interpreting and Evaluating a New Test (1999) (12)
- Data Base Error Trapping and Prediction (1991) (12)
- Subjective Probabilistic Tornado Forecasts: Some Experimental Results (1982) (12)
- Comments on: Assessing probabilistic forecasts of multivariate quantities, with an application to ensemble predictions of surface winds (2008) (10)
- All Roads Lead to Risk Preference: A Turnpike Theorem for Conditionally Independent Returns (1989) (10)
- Scoring Rules, Entropy, and Imprecise Probabilities (2007) (10)
- Research needs and the phenomena of decisionmaking and operations (1985) (10)
- On the Generalizability of Experimental Results (1974) (9)
- On Uncertainty in Medical Testing (2004) (9)
- Multiattribute One-Switch Utility (2012) (9)
- Introduction to Decision Theory.@@@Statistical Decision Theory With Business and Economic Applications: A Bayesian Approach. (1980) (9)
- [Combining Probability Distributions: A Critique and an Annotated Bibliography]: Comment (1986) (8)
- Point and Area Precipitation Probability Forecasts: Some Experimental Results (1976) (8)
- Murder and (of?) the likelihood principle: A Trialogue (1990) (8)
- Information Aggregation in Probabilistic Prediction (1973) (8)
- When to Abandon a Research Project and Search for a New One (2018) (7)
- A Bayesian Approach to Nonstationary Processes (1973) (7)
- Extremizing and Anti-Extremizing in Bayesian Ensembles of Binary-Event Forecasts (2017) (5)
- Assessing the risk of chronic lung injury attributable to long-term ozone exposure (1991) (5)
- Bayesian Ensembles of Binary-Event Forecasts (2017) (5)
- Duality Between Maximization of Expected Utility and Minimization of Relative Entropy When Probabilities are Imprecise (2009) (5)
- Concepts and applications of modern decision models (1977) (4)
- Subjective Probability Forecasting in the Real World: Some Experimental Results (1973) (4)
- Intuitive bayesian point estimation (1970) (4)
- Ranking Distributions when only Means and Variances are Known (2020) (4)
- The impact of testing errors on value of information: A quality-control example (1995) (4)
- Multivariate Almost Stochastic Dominance (2018) (4)
- Experimental point and area precipitation probability forecasts for a forecast area with significant local effects (1977) (4)
- Comment Bayesian Model Building and Forecasting (1985) (4)
- Statistical Analysis: Theory Versus Practice (1974) (4)
- Averaging Probability Forecasts: Back to the Future (2018) (4)
- The Elicitation of Continuous Probability Distributions (1973) (4)
- [Quantifying Probabilistic Expressions]: Comment: Representing and Communicating Uncertainty (1990) (3)
- Book Review:Management Decision Making Under Uncertainty: An Introduction to Probability and Statistical Decision Theory. T. R. Dyckman, S. Smidt, A. K. McAdams (1971) (3)
- Subjective Probability Forecasting: Some Real World Experiments (1975) (3)
- A Health Risk Assessment for Use in Setting the U.S. Primary Ozone Standard (1989) (2)
- Evaluation of Probabilities: A Level Playing Field? (1999) (2)
- Risk assessment: Consulting the experts (1981) (2)
- Nonstationary Means in a Multinormal Process (1973) (2)
- Combining Patient Utility with Health Status Assessment to Improve Medical Decision Making (1996) (2)
- Some Probability Paradoxes in Choice from Among Random Alternatives: Comment (1972) (1)
- Acute Ozone Exposure-Response Relationships for Use in Health Risk Assessment (1991) (1)
- Cognitive Processes and the Assessment of Subjective Probability Distributions: Comment (1975) (1)
- Resolute and Correlated Bayesians (2022) (1)
- Evaluating Quantile Forecasts in the M5 Uncertainty Competition (2022) (1)
- [Statisticians Can Matter]: Comment (1978) (1)
- Normativity, Epistemic Rationality, and Noisy Statistical Evidence (2021) (1)
- Bayesian Statistical Analysis of Experimental Data (1973) (1)
- Coordinating Editor and Applications Editor (1978) (0)
- Decisions with Several Objectives under Uncertainty: Sufficient Conditions for Multivariate Almost Stochastic Dominance Based on Means and Variances (2021) (0)
- Dynamic Generalized Linear Models and Bayesian Forecasting: Comment (1985) (0)
- Rethinking the Foundations of Statistics: Separating Probability Elicitation from Utilities (1999) (0)
- Uncertainty about Processes That Shift over Time: Modeling and Analysis: Comment (1989) (0)
- Chapter 2 Multivariate Concave and Convex Stochastic Dominance (2017) (0)
- Book Review:An Introduction to Bayesian Statistical Decision Processes. Bruce W. Morgan (1969) (0)
- Index of authors, volume 175, 2012 (2012) (0)
- Statistical Practice The Role of Informative Priors in Zero-Numerator Problems: Being Conservative Versus Being Candid (2002) (0)
- OF FINANCIAL AND QUANTITATIVE ANALYSIS JUNE 1976 NOHSTATIONARITY AND PORTFOLIO CHOICE (2009) (0)
- Are Two (Inexperienced) Heads Better Than One (Experienced) Head? Averaging House Officers?? Prognostic Judgments for Critically Ill Patients (1992) (0)
- ON THE GENERALIZABILITY OF EXPERIMENTAL (1974) (0)
- Time series models for count or qualitative observations: A.C. Harvey and C. Fernandes, Journal of Business and Economic Statistics 7 (1989) 407-422 (1991) (0)
- Basic statistics : a user oriented approach (manuscript) (1981) (0)
- 2010 / 44 Multivariate concave and convex stochastic dominance (2010) (0)
- Tables of nth Order Partial Moments About the Origin for the Standard Normal Distribution, n = 1(1)6 (1970) (0)
- Book Review:Statistical Analysis for Business Decisions. William S. Peters, George W. Summers (1968) (0)
- Exploring Statistics with the IBM P. C.@@@Introduction to Statistical Computer Packages.@@@ISP: Interactive Statistical Programs.@@@IBM PC Statistics: Basic Programs and Applications.@@@Minitab Handbook.@@@Conversational Statistics in Education and Psychology with IDA. (1986) (0)
- Risk and Energy Systems: Deterministic versus Probabilistic Models (1973) (0)
- Warm Weather: A Preliminary Look at a Limited Sample of Data (1974) (0)
- Information Aggregation inProbabilistic Prediction (1973) (0)
- Statistical and Methodological Issues in Psychology and Social Sciences Research (1982) (0)
- A Bayesian Approach to Portfolio Selection and Revision (1973) (0)
- The Value of Information in Speculative Markets (1974) (0)
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What Schools Are Affiliated With Robert L. Winkler*?
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