Scott Ferson
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Computer Science
Scott Ferson 's Degrees
- PhD Computer Science Stanford University
- Masters Computer Science University of California, Berkeley
- Bachelors Computer Science University of California, Berkeley
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Why Is Scott Ferson Influential?
(Suggest an Edit or Addition)According to Wikipedia, Scott David Ferson is Chair of Uncertainty in Engineering at University of Liverpool, Professor in its School of Engineering, and director of the Institute for Risk and Uncertainty there. Before joining the University of Liverpool, Ferson taught as an adjunct professor at Stony Brook University and did research at Applied Biomathematics, a small think tank on Long Island, New York. He is a Fellow of the Society for Risk Analysis and a recipient of its Distinguished Educator Award in 2017. From Shelbyville, Indiana, Ferson received a Ph.D. from Stony Brook University and an A.B. from Wabash College.
Scott Ferson 's Published Works
Published Works
- Combination of Evidence in Dempster-Shafer Theory (2002) (1072)
- Risk assessment in conservation biology (1993) (792)
- Constructing Probability Boxes and Dempster-Shafer Structures (2003) (706)
- Different methods are needed to propagate ignorance and variability (1996) (632)
- Challenge problems: uncertainty in system response given uncertain parameters (2004) (560)
- Measuring shape variation of two-dimensional outlines (1985) (398)
- Imprecise probabilities in engineering analyses (2013) (371)
- Quantitative Methods for Conservation Biology (2002) (325)
- Model validation and predictive capability for the thermal challenge problem (2008) (276)
- Putting Things in Order: A Critique of Detrended Correspondence Analysis (1987) (273)
- Making Consistent IUCN Classifications under Uncertainty (2000) (272)
- Sensitivity analysis for models of population viability (1995) (227)
- Experimental uncertainty estimation and statistics for data having interval uncertainty. (2007) (215)
- What Monte Carlo methods cannot do (1996) (204)
- Issues related to the detection of boundaries (2000) (195)
- Arithmetic with uncertain numbers: rigorous and (often) best possible answers (2004) (185)
- Reconstructibility of Density Dependence and the Conservative Assessment of Extinction Risks (1990) (163)
- Summary from the epistemic uncertainty workshop: consensus amid diversity (2004) (160)
- Dependence in probabilistic modeling, Dempster-Shafer theory, and probability bounds analysis. (2004) (153)
- SETTING RELIABILITY BOUNDS ON HABITAT SUITABILITY INDICES (2001) (150)
- Sensitivity analysis using probability bounding (2006) (121)
- Computing variance for interval data is NP-hard (2002) (121)
- Ecological modeling in risk assessment : chemical effects on populations, ecosystems, and landscapes (2001) (121)
- Inferring Threat from Scientific Collections (1995) (119)
- Correlations, dependency bounds and extinction risks (1995) (106)
- Validation of imprecise probability models (2009) (94)
- Equivalence of methods for uncertainty propagation of real-valued random variables (2004) (88)
- A new Cauchy-based black-box technique for uncertainty in risk analysis (2004) (87)
- Exact Bounds on Finite Populations of Interval Data (2005) (82)
- Role of Ecological Modeling in Risk Assessment (2003) (82)
- Is it a Crime to Belong to a Reference Class (2001) (80)
- DO SYMBIOTIC PEA CRABS DECREASE GROWTH RATE IN MUSSELS (1986) (77)
- Comparative, collaborative, and integrative risk governance for emerging technologies (2018) (73)
- Probability bounds analysis in environmental risk assessments (2003) (70)
- Hybrid processing of stochastic and subjective uncertainty data (1995) (69)
- Treatments of Uncertainty and Variability in Ecological Risk Assessment of Single-Species Populations (2003) (68)
- Logistic sensitivity and bounds for extinction risks (1996) (68)
- Whereof one cannot speak: When input distributions are unknown (1998) (68)
- Accounting for uncertainty in DNA sequencing data. (2015) (63)
- Probability bounds analysis (1998) (60)
- Sensitivity in risk analyses with uncertain numbers. (2006) (60)
- Extreme event risk analysis for age-structured populations (1989) (57)
- Satellite conjunction analysis and the false confidence theorem (2017) (57)
- Realism and Relevance of Ecological Models Used in Chemical Risk Assessment (2003) (57)
- Analysis and Portrayal of Uncertainty in a Food-Web Exposure Model (2002) (55)
- Dependence in Dempster-Shafer theory and probability bounds analysis* (2004) (49)
- Interval versions of statistical techniques with applications to environmental analysis, bioinformatics, and privacy in statistical databases (2007) (48)
- Inferring ecological risk from toxicity bioassays (1996) (45)
- Conservative Uncertainty Propagation in Environmental Risk Assessments (1995) (44)
- Varying correlation coefficients can underestimate uncertainty in probabilistic models (2006) (39)
- Probabilistic bounding analysis in the Quantification of Margins and Uncertainties (2011) (39)
- Outlier Detection under Interval Uncertainty: Algorithmic Solvability and Computational Complexity (2003) (37)
- Is “no test is better than a bad test”? Impact of diagnostic uncertainty in mass testing on the spread of COVID-19 (2020) (30)
- Natural language of uncertainty: numeric hedge words (2015) (30)
- Uncertainty in risk analysis: towards a general second-order approach combining interval, probabilistic, and fuzzy techniques (2002) (27)
- Propagating Uncertainty in Ecological Risk Analysis Using Interval and Fuzzy Arithmetic (1992) (27)
- Dependable Handling of Uncertainty (2003) (26)
- Computational Methods for Decision Making Based on Imprecise Information (2006) (26)
- Strategies for Risk Communication (2008) (26)
- Comparison of deterministic and probabilistic calculation of ecological soil screening levels (2002) (24)
- Automated quality assurance checks on model structure in ecological risk assessments (1996) (24)
- Absolute Bounds on the Mean of Sum, Product, etc.: A Probabilistic Extension of Interval Arithmetic (2002) (24)
- The effect of the initial age-class distribution on extinction risks: implications for the reintroduction of Leadbeater's possum (1995) (23)
- Case Study Part 1: How to Calculate Appropriate Deterministic Long-Term Toxicity to Exposure Ratios (TERs) for Birds and Mammals (2005) (23)
- Exact Bounds on Sample Variance of Interval Data (2002) (22)
- Hybrid arithmetic (1995) (22)
- Competing Reviews, or Why do Connell and Schoener Disagree? (1986) (22)
- Exact Upper Bound on the Mean of the Product of Many Random Variables with Known Expectations (2003) (20)
- Probability bounds analysis for nonlinear dynamic process models (2011) (20)
- Probability Bounds Analysis Solves the Problem of Incomplete Specification in Probabilistic Risk and Safety Assessments (2001) (20)
- Case Study Part 2: Probabilistic Modelling of Long-term Effects of Pesticides on Individual Breeding Success in Birds and Mammals (2005) (20)
- Combining Interval and Probabilistic Uncertainty: Foundations, Algorithms, Challenges { An Overview (2005) (20)
- Model Validation under Both Aleatory and Epistemic Uncertainty. (2007) (20)
- Computing mean and variance under Dempster-Shafer uncertainty: Towards faster algorithms (2006) (20)
- How To Take Into Account Dependence Between the Inputs: From Interval Computations to Constraint-Rel (2006) (20)
- From Interval Methods of Representing Uncertainty to a General Description of Uncertainty (1999) (19)
- Probability boxes as info-gap models (2008) (19)
- Modeling Correlation and Dependence Among Intervals (2006) (18)
- Probabilities, intervals, what next? extension of interval computations to situations with partial information about probabilities (2004) (17)
- Computing best-possible bounds for the distribution of a sum of several variables is NP-hard (2006) (17)
- Quality assurance for Monte Carlo risk assessment (1995) (17)
- Representation, Elicitation, and Aggregation of Uncertainty in Risk Analysis - from Traditional Probabilistic Techniques to More General, More Realistic Approaches: A Survey (2001) (16)
- SAND 2002-0835 Unlimited Release Printed April 2002 Combination of Evidence in Dempster-Shafer Theory (2002) (16)
- Trade-off between sample size and accuracy: Case of measurements under interval uncertainty (2009) (16)
- Constructor:synthesizing information about uncertain variables. (2005) (15)
- Outlier detection under interval and fuzzy uncertainty: algorithmic solvability and computational complexity (2003) (15)
- From computation with guaranteed intervals to computation with confidence intervals: a new application of fuzzy techniques (2002) (14)
- Optimising cargo loading and ship scheduling in tidal areas (2020) (13)
- Evolved Altruism, Strong Reciprocity, and Perception of Risk (2008) (13)
- Bounding uncertainty analyses (2010) (13)
- Predicting recovery of a fish population after heavy metal impacts (2000) (11)
- Risk Analysis and Society: Risk of Extreme and Rare Events: Lessons from a Selection of Approaches (2003) (11)
- Variability and Measurement Error in Extinction Risk Analysis: The Northern Spotted Owl on the Olympic Peninsula (2000) (11)
- TWO-DIMENSIONAL OUTLINES (1985) (11)
- Special issue of Mechanical Systems and Signal Processing “Imprecise probabilities—What can they add to engineering analyses?” (2013) (9)
- Demographic modeling of selected fish species with RAMAS (1991) (9)
- Computational Methods for Decision Making (2006) (8)
- Structural Reliability Assessment with Fuzzy Probabilities (2011) (8)
- Judgment under uncertainty: Evolution may not favor a probabilistic calculus (1996) (8)
- A Collaborative Decision Support System Framework for Vertical Farming Business Developments (2021) (8)
- Use of RAMAS to estimate ecological risk: Two fish species case studies (1991) (8)
- Computing with Confidence: Imprecise Posteriors and Predictive Distributions (2014) (8)
- Fuzzy Probability in Engineering Analyses (2011) (8)
- Trade-Off between Sample Size and Accuracy: Case of Dynamic Measurements under Interval Uncertainty (2008) (8)
- How the concept of information as average number of "yes"-"no" questions (bits) can be extended to intervals, p-boxes, and more general uncertainty (2005) (7)
- BLACK-BOX PROPAGATION OF FAILURE PROBABILITIES UNDER EPISTEMIC UNCERTAINTY (2019) (7)
- Epistemic Uncertainty in Agent-based Modeling (2016) (7)
- A Feasible Algorithm for Locating Concave and Convex Zones of Interval Data and Its Use in Statistics-Based Clustering (2004) (7)
- Propagating uncertainty through a quadratic response surface model (2008) (7)
- Computing Higher Central Moments for Interval Data (2004) (6)
- Absolute Bounds on the Mean of Sum, Product, Max, and Min: A Probabilistic Extension of Interval Arithmetic (2002) (6)
- Interval Computations as a Particular Case of a General Scheme Involving Classes of Probability Distributions (2001) (6)
- Temporal Variability and Ignorance in Monte Carlo Contaminant Bioaccumulation Models: A Case Study with Selenium in Mytilus edulis (2001) (6)
- Population Models - Scalar Abundance (2001) (6)
- Verified Computation with Probabilities (2011) (6)
- Response to the comment Confidence in confidence distributions! (2021) (6)
- Do we have compatible concepts of epistemic uncertainty (2016) (5)
- Computing with confidence (2021) (5)
- Dependent Possibilistic Arithmetic using Copulas (2021) (5)
- Problem Formulation for Probabilistic Ecological Risk Assessments (2010) (5)
- Fuzzy Regression in Fisheries Science: Some Methods and Applications (1998) (4)
- Courtship and Mating of the Copperhead (1988) (4)
- Model uncertainty in risk analysis (2014) (4)
- Response of Plants to Interacting Stresses (Ropis): Program Rationale, Design, and Implications (1994) (4)
- A Frequency/Consequence‐based Technique for Visualizing and Communicating Uncertainty and Perception of Risk (2008) (4)
- COMPUTING WITH UNCERTAINTY: INTRODUCING PUFFIN THE AUTOMATIC UNCERTAINTY COMPILER (2019) (4)
- Epistemic Uncertainty Workshop (2002) (4)
- Statistical Methods in Food and Consumer Research. Food Science and Technology. Maximo C. Gacula, Jr. , Jagbir Singh , Bernard S. Schweigert , John Hawthorn , George F. Stewart (1985) (4)
- Setting Cleanup Targets in a Probabilistic Assessment (2003) (4)
- Integration of Environmental Models in a Geographical Spreadsheet (1992) (3)
- Microbial Risk Analysis of Foods.Emerging Issues in Food Safety. Edited byDonald W. Schaffner. Washington (DC): ASM Press. $99.95. xii + 270 p.; ill.; index. 978‐1‐55581‐461‐8. 2008. (2008) (3)
- Constrained Mathematics for Calculating Logical Safety and Reliability Probabilities with Uncertain Inputs (1999) (3)
- Ecological risk assessment for mink and short‐tailed shrew exposed to PCBs, dioxins, and furans in the Housatonic River area (2016) (3)
- Propagating Uncertainties in Modeling Nonlinear Dynamic Systems (2008) (3)
- Reliability of Risk Analyses for Contaminated Groundwater (2003) (3)
- Neural network model for imprecise regression with interval dependent variables (2022) (2)
- Older people's family relationships in disequilibrium during the COVID-19 pandemic. What really matters? (2022) (2)
- Fitting a Normal Distribution to Interval and Fuzzy Data (2007) (2)
- Checking for errors in calculations and software: Dimensional balance and conformance of units (2001) (2)
- How High Is High Enough? Assessing Financial Risk for Vertical Farms Using Imprecise Probability (2022) (2)
- Combining Interval, Probabilistic, and Fuzzy Uncertainty: Foundations, Algorithms, Challenges -- An Overview (2005) (2)
- Bivariate dependency tracking in interval arithmetic (2023) (2)
- Statistic Inference under Two Structurally Different Approaches to Interval Data (2011) (2)
- Distribution-free risk analysis (2022) (2)
- Probability bounds analysis for Python (2022) (2)
- Singhing with confidence: visualising the performance of confidence procedures (2021) (2)
- Coverage Probability Fails to Ensure Reliable Inference (2019) (2)
- New Mathematical Derivations Applicable to Safety and Reliability Analysis (1999) (2)
- Risk Assessment for Controlling Mosquito Vectors with Engineered Nucleases, Part I: Sterile Male Construct\\ Record of expert elicitation (2015) (1)
- Do Unto the Environment As You Would Have the Environment Do Unto You (2000) (1)
- Robust online updating of a digital twin with imprecise probability (2023) (1)
- How to Gauge the Quality of a Testing Method When Ground Truth Is Known with Uncertainty (2020) (1)
- Book Review:An Essay on the Importance of Being Nonlinear. Bruce J. West (1987) (1)
- D. Decision Making (1999) (1)
- MYTHS ABOUT CORRELATIONS AND DEPENDENCIES 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 AND THEIR IMPLICATIONS FOR RISK ANALYSIS (2005) (1)
- Book Review:Possibility Theory: An Approach to Computerized Processing of Uncertainty. Didier Dubois, Henri Prade (1989) (1)
- Commentary: IUCN classifications under uncertainty (2012) (1)
- Book Review:Biological Delay Systems: Linear Stability Theory. N. MacDonald (1990) (1)
- Efficient Algorithms for Computing Mean and Variance Under Dempster-Shafer Uncertainty (2005) (1)
- Handling the Uncertainty with Confidence in Human Reliability Analysis (2021) (1)
- Uncertainty Arithmetic on Excel Spreadsheets: Add-in for Intervals, Probability Distributions and Probability Boxes (2011) (1)
- Adding Constraints to Situations When, In Addition to Intervals,We Also Have Partial Information about Probabilities (2006) (1)
- Correlated Boolean Operators for Uncertainty Logic (2022) (1)
- Using fuzzy intervals to represent measurement error and scientific uncertainty in endangered species classification (1999) (1)
- Book Review:Morphometric Tools for Landmark Data: Geometry and Biology. Fred L. Bookstein (1993) (1)
- Constructing Consonant Predictive Beliefs from Data with Scenario Theory (2021) (1)
- Why Product of Probabilities ( Masses ) for Independent Events ? A Theorem (2004) (0)
- Theory and Practice Developments in Numerical Ecology P. Legendre L. Legendre (1989) (0)
- Book Review:Computers in Biology: An Introduction. Robert Ransom, Raymond J. Matela (1986) (0)
- The Creation of Puffin, the Automatic Uncertainty Compiler (2021) (0)
- HAPPENINGS (2003) (0)
- Bridging the gulf between ecologists and engineers (2002) (0)
- Correction: Is no test better than a bad test: Impact of diagnostic uncertainty on the spread of COVID-19. (2021) (0)
- Towards a Framework for Non-intrusive Uncertainty Propagation in the Preliminary Design of Aircraft Systems (2023) (0)
- Projecting uncertainty through black boxes (2008) (0)
- Microcomputer Software for Stochastic Demography and Ecological Risk Analysis (1988) (0)
- Finally, A New Toolbox for Conservation Biology?@@@Quantitative Methods for Conservation Biology (2001) (0)
- Book Review:Biolexicon. A Guide to the Language of Biology. Charles Blinderman (1991) (0)
- HAPPENINGS (2005) (0)
- Prediction And Decision Making From Bad Data (2019) (0)
- Happenings (2006) (0)
- Sensitive landscape features for detecting biotic effects of global change. Final report (1995) (0)
- HAPPENINGS (2003) (0)
- Book Review:Ecological Simulation Primer. Gordon L. Swartzman, Stephen P. Kaluzny (1988) (0)
- A Possibilistic Interpretation of Ensemble Predictions: Application to Shipping Optimization in Tidal Areas (2020) (0)
- Statistically Detecting Clustering for Rare Events (2011) (0)
- Protecting patient privacy while preserving medical information for research (2014) (0)
- Why Product of Probabilities (Masses) for Independent Events? A Remark (2005) (0)
- While, In General, Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) Is NP-Hard, Many Practical UQ Problems Can Be Made Feasible (2021) (0)
- How to measure a degree of mismatch between probability models, p-boxes, etc.: A decision-theory-motivated utility-based approach (2008) (0)
- Correlation-Based And-Operations Can Be Copulas: A Proof (2023) (0)
- Towards Puffin: The Creation of an Uncertainty Compiler (2021) (0)
- Logistic Regression Through the Veil of Imprecise Data (2021) (0)
- 6-1-2004 Computing Higher Central Moments for Interval Data (2013) (0)
- Quantitative Software Tools for Conservation Biology (1992) (0)
- Happenings (2006) (0)
- Book Review:Mathematical Models of Morphogenesis. Rene Thom, W. M. Brookes, D. Rand, G. M. Bell (1985) (0)
- HAPPENINGS (2003) (0)
- Belongingness challenged: Exploring the impact on older adults during the COVID-19 pandemic (2022) (0)
- Happenings (2003) (0)
- Measuring uncertainty when pooling interval-censored data sets with different precision (cid:63) (2022) (0)
- Happenings (2005) (0)
- Beyond probabilities: A possibilistic framework to interpret ensemble predictions and fuse imperfect sources of information (2021) (0)
- Comment on: British Society for Rheumatology guideline on diagnosis and treatment of giant cell arteritis. (2020) (0)
- HAPPENINGS (2005) (0)
- Should data ever be thrown away? Pooling interval-censored data sets with different precision (2022) (0)
- Do Unto the Environment as You Would Have the Environment Do Unto You@@@Fragile Dominion: Complexity and the Commons (2000) (0)
- How to Detect and Avoid Pitfalls, Traps and Swindles (2010) (0)
- Uncertainty Quantification for Qualified Signature Discovery from Text (2014) (0)
- HAPPENINGS (2007) (0)
- A Problem in the Bayesian Analysis of Data without Gold Standards (2019) (0)
- Book Review:The Fourth Dimension: Toward a Geometry of Higher Reality. Rudy Rucker (1986) (0)
- Summary Minutes of the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) Science Advisory Board (SAB) Expert Elicitation Advisory Panel Meeting Public Teleconference, April 22, 2009 (2009) (0)
- Transformation of measurement uncertainties into low-dimensional feature vector space (2021) (0)
- Results of the Initial Screening of Ecological Models - by Model Analysis Team (2001) (0)
- Quality assurance checks on ecological risk assessments (1995) (0)
- Interrval Uncertainty in Logistic Regression (2021) (0)
- Happenings (2007) (0)
- Book Review:The Fractal Geometry of Nature. Benoit B. Mandelbrot (1983) (0)
- On the dimensionality of inference in credal nets with interval probabilities (2019) (0)
- Introduction and Objectives (2010) (0)
- Optimising cargo loading and ship scheduling subject to uncertain sea levels (2018) (0)
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