Scott H. Irwin

Q: What Schools Are Affiliated With Scott H. Irwin

Scott H. Irwin is affiliated with the following schools: Ohio State University, University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign

Scott H. Irwin's AcademicInfluence.com Rankings

Scott H. Irwin

Economics

#3096

World Rank

#3510

Historical Rank

Agricultural Economics

#27

World Rank

#29

Historical Rank

economics Degrees

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Economics

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Scott H. Irwin's Published Works

Number of citations in a given year to any of this author's works

Total number of citations to an author for the works they published in a given year. This highlights publication of the most important work(s) by the author

Published Works

What Do We Know About the Profitability of Technical Analysis? (2007) (534)
Index Funds, Financialization, and Commodity Futures Markets (2011) (417)
Devil or Angel? The Role of Speculation in the Recent Commodity Price Boom (and Bust) (2009) (338)
Testing the Masters Hypothesis in Commodity Futures Markets (2012) (291)
The Adequacy of Speculation in Agricultural Futures Markets: Too Much of a Good Thing? (2008) (250)
Crop Insurance Valuation Under Alternative Yield Distributions (2004) (200)
The Distribution of Futures Prices: A Test of the Stable Paretian and Mixture of Normals Hypotheses (1989) (194)
A speculative bubble in commodity futures prices? Cross-sectional evidence (2009) (185)
Financialization and Structural Change in Commodity Futures Markets (2012) (184)
A test of futures market disequilibrium using twelve different technical trading systems (1988) (156)
The Impact of Index and Swap Funds on Commodity Futures Markets: Preliminary Results (2010) (148)
Surveying Farmers: A Case Study (2002) (144)
The Impact of Index Funds in Commodity Futures Markets: A Systems Approach (2011) (136)
Bubbles in food commodity markets: Four decades of evidence ☆ (2014) (134)
The Profitability of Technical Analysis: A Review (2004) (125)
Market Efficiency and Marketing to Enhance Income of Crop Producers (1998) (118)
The Reaction of Live Hog Futures Prices to USDA Hogs and Pigs Reports (1990) (105)
New Evidence on the Impact of Index Funds in U.S. Grain Futures Markets (2011) (104)
Weather, Technology, and Corn and Soybean Yields in the U.S. Corn Belt (2008) (102)
The value of public information in commodity futures markets (1997) (91)
Futures Market Failure? (2011) (81)
How market efficiency and the theory of storage link corn and ethanol markets (2012) (80)
Real estate, futures, and gold as portfolio assets (1987) (79)
Bubbles, Food Prices, and Speculation: Evidence from the Cftc&Apos;S Daily Large Trader Data Files (2013) (71)
Spreads and Non-Convergence in Chicago Board of Trade Corn, Soybean, and Wheat Futures: Are Index Funds to Blame? (2011) (69)
The Impact of Situation and Outlook Information in Corn and Soybean Futures Markets: Evidence from WASDE Reports (2008) (69)
Smart Money: The Forecasting Ability of CFTC Large Traders in Agricultural Futures Markets (2007) (67)
Improving the Relevance of Research on Price Forecasting and Marketing Strategies (1996) (66)
Price Explosiveness, Speculation, and Grain Futures Prices (2015) (64)
The Value of USDA Situation and Outlook Information in Hog and Cattle Markets (2006) (63)
An Evaluation of Crop Forecast Accuracy for Corn and Soybeans: USDA and Private Information Agencies (2003) (63)
Market Instability in a New Era of Corn, Soybean, and Wheat Prices (2009) (62)
The soybean complex spread: An examination of market efficiency from the viewpoint of a production process (1991) (62)
Managed futures, positive feedback trading, and futures price volatility (1999) (60)
A reality check on technical trading rule profits in the U.S. futures markets (2009) (58)
Economic evaluation of commodity price forecasting models (1993) (54)
Returns to Farm Real Estate Revisited (1988) (51)
The Pricing Performance of Market Advisory Services in Corn and Soybeans over 1995-2004 (2006) (50)
Commodity index investment and food prices: does the “Masters Hypothesis” explain recent price spikes? (2013) (49)
Are Revisions to Usda Crop Production Forecasts Smoothed? (2006) (48)
Impact of WASDE reports on implied volatility in corn and soybean markets (2008) (47)
Monte Carlo Analysis of Mean Reversion in Commodity Futures Prices (1996) (46)
Evaluation of Risk Reductions Associated with Multi-Peril Crop Insurance Products (2003) (46)
Public futures funds (1985) (45)
The Effect of Large Hedge Fund and CTA Trading on Futures Market Volatility (2004) (43)
The Behavior of Bid‐Ask Spreads in the Electronically‐Traded Corn Futures Market (2014) (43)
The Profitability of Technical Trading Rules in Us Futures Markets: A Data Snooping Free Test (2005) (42)
The performance of alternative VAR models in forecasting exchange rates (1994) (41)
The forecasting performance of livestock futures prices: A comparison to USDA expert predictions (1994) (41)
A Reappraisal of Investing in Commodity Futures Markets (2012) (41)
Poor Convergence Performance of CBOT Corn, Soybean and Wheat Futures Contracts: Causes and Solutions (2009) (40)
Outlook vs. Futures: Three Decades of Evidence in Hog and Cattle Markets (2010) (39)
Investment performance of public commodity pools: 1979‐1990 (1993) (39)
Producers' complex risk management choices (2008) (37)
Forecast performance of WASDE price projections for U.S. corn (2015) (36)
The Predictability of Managed Futures Returns (1994) (33)
A reappraisal of the forecasting performance of corn and soybean new crop futures (1999) (33)
Evaluation of Usda Interval Forecasts of Corn and Soybean Prices (2004) (33)
The Impact of Market Advisory Service Recommendations on Producers' Marketing Decisions (2004) (31)
Rational Expectations in Agriculture? A Review of the Issues and the Evidence (1994) (29)
Bubbles, Froth and Facts: Another Look at the Masters Hypothesis in Commodity Futures Markets (2017) (28)
USDA Announcement Effects in Real‐Time (2018) (28)
An Analysis of the Profiles and Motivations of Habitual Commodity Speculators (1998) (27)
Non-Convergence in Domestic Commodity Futures Markets: Causes, Consequences, and Remedies (2013) (25)
The Performance of Chicago Board of Trade Corn, Soybean, and Wheat Futures Contracts after Recent Changes in Speculative Limits (2007) (22)
Option‐based evidence of the nonstationarity of expected S&P 500 futures price distributions (1992) (22)
THE THEORY OF CONTRARY OPINION: A TEST USING SENTIMENT INDICES IN FUTURES MARKETS (2003) (21)
The Performance of Agricultural Market Advisory Services in Corn and Soybeans (2006) (21)
The Value Of Usda Outlook Information: An Investigation Using Event Study Analysis (2001) (21)
Noise Traders, Market Sentiment, and Futures Price Behavior (1997) (20)
Recent Convergence Performance of CBOT Corn, Soybean, and Wheat Futures Contracts (2008) (20)
Live and Feeder Cattle Options Markets: Returns, Risk, and Volatility Forecasting (2011) (20)
Financialization and the returns to commodity investments (2018) (20)
Forecasting Cash Price Volatility of Fed Cattle, Feeder Cattle, and Corn: Time Series, Implied Volatility, and Composite Approaches (2000) (20)
A Reality Check on Technical Trading Rule Profits in US Futures Markets (2005) (20)
Forecasting Fed Cattle, Feeder Cattle, and Corn Cash Price Volatility: The Accuracy of Time Series, Implied Volatility, and Composite Approaches (2001) (19)
Are Corn Trend Yields Increasing at a Faster Rate (2008) (19)
Evaluation of Selected USDA WAOB and NASS Forecasts and Estimates in Corn and Soybeans (2014) (19)
USDA Corn and Soybean Acreage Estimates and Yield Forecasts: Dispelling Myths and Misunderstandings (2011) (19)
Heterogeneity in the Likelihood of Market Advisory Service Use by U.S. Crop Producers (2005) (18)
The Marketing Style of Advisory Services for Corn and Soybeans in 1995 (1999) (18)
ADVISORY SERVICE MARKETING PROFILES FOR CORN OVER 1995-2000 (2003) (18)
The New Era of Crop Prices --- A Five-Year Review (2013) (18)
New Evidence that Index Traders Did Not Drive Bubbles in Grain Futures Markets (2017) (18)
Does the Performance of Illinois Corn and Soybean Farmers Lag the Market (2005) (18)
Optimal Hedging with a Subjective View: An Empirical Bayesian Approach (2005) (17)
Understanding USDA Corn and Soybean Production Forecasts: An Overview of Methods, Performance and Market Impacts (2003) (17)
Empirical confidence intervals for USDA commodity price forecasts (2011) (17)
Commodity Storage under Backwardation: Does the Working Curve Still Work? (2016) (17)
Style and Performance of Agricultural Market Advisory Services (2007) (17)
An examination of option-implied s&p 500 futures price distributions (1996) (16)
Improving the accuracy of outlook price forecasts (2011) (16)
A note on the factors affecting technical trading system returns (1987) (16)
Understanding Usda Corn and Soybean Production Forecasts: Methods, Performance and Market Impacts Over 1970-2004 (2005) (16)
Composite and Outlook Forecast Accuracy (2012) (16)
When do the USDA forecasters make mistakes? (2013) (16)
Weak- and Strong-Form Rationality Tests of Market Analysts' Expectations of USDA Hogs and Pigs Reports (1992) (15)
1998 Pricing Performance of Market Advisory Services for Corn and Soybeans (2000) (15)
New Generation Grain Marketing Contracts (2003) (15)
Crop Farmers’ Use of Market Advisory Services (2004) (15)
Early Prospects for 2009 Soybean Yields in Illinois, Indiana, and Iowa (2009) (14)
Speculation and corn prices (2018) (14)
Energy futures prices and commodity index investment: New evidence from firm-level position data (2014) (14)
1997 Pricing Performance of Market Advisory Services for Corn and Soybeans (1997) (13)
1996 Pricing Performance of Market Advisory Services for Corn and Soybeans (1998) (13)
Forthcoming in Applied Economics Policy and Perspectives i. Title: The 'Necessity' of New Position Limits in Agricultural Futures Markets: The Verdict from Daily Firm Level Position Data (2016) (13)
Do Big Crops Get Bigger and Small Crops Get Smaller? Further Evidence on Smoothing in U.S. Department of Agriculture Forecasts (2013) (13)
The Financialization of Commodity Futures Markets or: How I Learned to Stop Worrying and Love the Index Funds (2010) (13)
Returns to individual traders in agricultural futures markets: skill or luck? (2013) (13)
Are USDA reports still news to changing crop markets? (2019) (13)
Forming Expectations for the 2016 U.S. Average Soybean Yield: What About El Niño? (2016) (12)
The New Era of Corn, Soybean, and Wheat Prices (2008) (12)
Development of a Market Benchmark Price for Agmas Performance Evaluations (1999) (12)
Further Evidence on the Usefulness of CTA Performance Information in Public Commodity Pool Prospectuses and a Proposal for Reform (1998) (12)
The performance of exchange rate forecasting models: An economic evaluation (1991) (12)
Rolling Back the Write Down of the Renewable Mandate for 2014: The RINs Market Rings the Bell Again (2014) (12)
Understanding Usda Corn and Soybean Production Forecasts: Methods, Performance and Market Impacts Over 1970-2005 (2006) (12)
Forming Expectations for the 2015 U.S. Average Winter Wheat Yield: What Does History Teach Us? (2015) (12)
Ethanol Production Profits: The Risk from Lower Prices of Distillers Grains (2015) (11)
Efficiency Analysis of Agricultural Market Advisory Services: A Nonlinear Mixed-Integer Programming Approach (2004) (11)
How Could We Have Been So Wrong? The Puzzle of Disappointing Returns to Commodity Index Investments (2013) (11)
Price Explosiveness and Index Trader Behavior in the Corn, Soybean, and Wheat Futures Markets (2012) (11)
Understanding the Behavior of Biodiesel RINs Prices (2014) (11)
Reaction of Wheat, Corn, and Soybean Futures Prices to USDA "Export Inspections" Reports (1996) (11)
Accuracy Trends and Sources of Forecast Errors in WASDE Balance Sheet Categories for Corn and Soybeans (2006) (11)
The Role of Market Advisory Services in Crop Marketing and Risk Management: A Preliminary Report of Survey Results (2001) (10)
The Cost of Post‐Harvest Forward Contracting in Corn and Soybeans (2015) (10)
The Profitability of Biodiesel Production in 2015 (2015) (10)
The Price of Biodiesel Rins and Economic Fundamentals (2018) (10)
The Relationship between Stocks-to-Use and Corn and Soybean Prices: An Alternative View (2016) (10)
Do Falling Gasoline Prices Threaten the Competitiveness of Ethanol (2014) (10)
Understanding the Pricing of Distillers' Grain Solubles (2013) (10)
To What Surprises Do Hog Futures Markets Respond? (2008) (10)
The 1995 Through 1998 Pricing Performance of Market Advisory Services for Wheat (2000) (10)
The EPA's Proposed Ethanol Mandates for 2014, 2015, and 2016: Is There a 'Push' or Not? (2015) (10)
Informational Content of Government Hogs and Pigs Reports: Comment (1995) (9)
Recent Trends in the Profitability of Ethanol Production (2014) (9)
The New Era of Corn and Soybean Prices Is Still Alive and Kicking (2016) (9)
Forming Expectations About 2008 U.S. Corn and Soybean Yields — Application of Crop Weather Models that Incorporate Planting Progress (2008) (9)
Surveying Farmers: A Research Note (1999) (9)
Why Do Blenders Share Retroactively Reinstated Tax Credits with Biodiesel Producers (2015) (9)
A New Era in Crop Prices (2011) (9)
Long-Term Corn, Soybeans, and Wheat Price Forecasts and the Farm Bill Program Choice (2015) (9)
A Performance Comparison of a Technical Trading System with ARIMA and VAR Models for Soybean Complex Prices (1990) (9)
RINs Gone Wild (2013) (9)
Advisory Service Marketing Profiles for Corn in 2001 (2004) (8)
Ethanol Prices Drive Corn Prices, Right? (2013) (8)
How Much Will Falling Gasoline Prices Affect Ethanol and Corn Demand (2014) (8)
Advisory Service Marketing Profiles for Soybeans in 2001 (2004) (8)
Are farm asset values too volatile (1990) (8)
U.S. Crop Farmers' Use of Market Advisory Services (2006) (8)
1995 Pricing Performance of Market Advisory Services for Corn and Soybeans (1997) (8)
Further Evidence on the Competitiveness of Ethanol in Gasoline Blends (2015) (8)
Mapping algorithms, agricultural futures, and the relationship between commodity investment flows and crude oil futures prices (2018) (8)
More on Ethanol RINs Pricing (2013) (8)
Are Agricultural Options Overpriced (2011) (8)
Clues from the RINs Market about the EPA's RVO Proposals for 2014, 2015, and 2016 (2015) (7)
When does USDA information have the most impact on crop and livestock markets? (2020) (7)
Early Planting and 2015 Corn Yield Prospects: How Much of an Increase? (2015) (7)
The Profitability of Ethanol Production in 2016 (2016) (7)
Future price responses to USDA's Cold Storage report (1997) (7)
Do Agricultural Market Advisory Services Beat the Market? Evidence from the Corn and Soybean Markets Over 1995-1998 (2000) (7)
Wheat Forward Contract Pricing: Evidence on Forecast Power and Risk Premia (2005) (7)
The Farmdoc Project: This Is Still Your Father's Extension Program (2004) (7)
Implications of Changing the Biodiesel Tax Credit from a Blender to a Producer Credit (2015) (7)
Testing for Yield Persistency: Is It Skill or is It Luck? (2004) (7)
Does the Masters Hypothesis Explain Recent Food Price Spikes (2012) (7)
The Effects of Futures Trading by Large Hedge Funds and CTAs on Market Volatility (2000) (7)
THE COST OF FORWARD CONTRACTING (2004) (7)
Could a variable ethanol blender’s tax credit work? (2011) (7)
Estimating the Biodiesel Supply Curve (2013) (7)
The Changing Role of USDA Inventory Reports in Livestock Markets (2019) (7)
Ethanol - Does the RFS Matter? (2012) (7)
Should Farmers Follow the Recommendations of Market Advisory Services? A Hierarchical Bayesian Approach to Estimation of Expected Performance (2010) (7)
Recent Trends in the Profitability of Biodiesel Production (2014) (6)
What's Behind the Plunge in RINs Prices? (2013) (6)
Potential Impact of Alternative RFS Outcomes for 2014 and 2015 (2013) (6)
Modeling Farmers' Use of Market Advisory Services (2001) (6)
Freeze It - A Proposal for Implementing RFS2 through 2015 (2013) (6)
How to Think About Biodiesel RINs Prices under Different Policies (2017) (6)
Assessing South American Soybean Yield Risks: Estimating the Yield Trend (2016) (6)
Will the EPA Reverse Itself on the Write Down of the Renewable Mandate for 2014? The Message from the RINs Market (2014) (6)
The Relationship between Stocks-to-Use and Corn Prices Revisited (2015) (6)
What if the EPA Implements RFS Mandates for Renewable Fuels at Statutory Levels (2015) (6)
The Pricing Performance of Market Advisory Services in Corn and Soybeans Over 1995-2003 (2005) (6)
Further Evidence on Soybean Marketing Strategies: The Role of Options (1989) (6)
Pricing of 2014 Biodiesel RINs under Alternative Policy Scenarios (2014) (6)
Portfolios of Agricultural Market Advisory Services: How Much Diversification Is Enough? (2005) (6)
Noise trader sentiment in futures markets (2013) (6)
The Marketing Performance of Illinois Corn and Soybean Producers (2004) (6)
Are USDA Soybean Yield Forecasts Getting Better or Worse over Time (2014) (6)
$25 spring wheat was a bubble, right? (2015) (6)
Do Big Corn Crops Always Get Bigger (2014) (6)
Returns to Investing in Commodity Futures: Separating the Wheat from the Chaff (2020) (6)
2009 Final Corn and Soybean Yield Forecasts (2009) (6)
The Other General Waiver: RFS and Severe Economic Harm (2017) (5)
An Updated Look at the Profitability of Ethanol Production (2013) (5)
The Performance of Agricultural Market Advisory Services in Marketing Wheat (2000) (5)
1999 Pricing Performance of Market Advisory Services for Corn and Soybeans (2000) (5)
Estimating the Biomass-Based Diesel Supply Curve (2013) (5)
Biodiesel Supply Response to Production Profits (2013) (5)
Complex Choices: Producers Risk Management Strategies (2005) (5)
Forecast Performance of Futures Price Models for Corn, Soybeans, and Wheat (2007) (5)
ESTIMATING FARM-LEVEL YIELD DISTRIBUTIONS FOR CORN AND SOYBEANS IN ILLINOIS (2000) (5)
Filling the Gaps in the Renewable Fuels Standard with Biodiesel (2017) (5)
Recent Trends in Biodiesel Prices and Production Profits (2013) (5)
Why Are Ethanol Prices and Production Profits So High (2014) (5)
Quantile Regression Estimates of Confidence Intervals for WASDE Price Forecasts (2010) (5)
Forming Corn and Soybean Price Expectations for 2016-17 (2016) (5)
RINs Gone Wild? (round 2) (2015) (5)
Do Agricultural Market Advisory Services Beat the Market? Evidence from the Wheat Market Over 1995-1998 (2001) (5)
Pre-Harvest Pricing Strategies in Ohio Corn Markets: Their Effect on Returns and Cash Flow (2001) (5)
Progression of USDA Corn and Soybean Acreage Estimates and Prospects for Final Estimates for 2015 (2015) (5)
The 2014 U.S. Average Corn Yield: Big or Really Big? (2014) (5)
Quantile Regression Methods of Estimating Confidence Intervals for WASDE Price Forecasts (2008) (5)
2014 Really Was an Amazing Year for Ethanol Production Profits (2015) (5)
A Look at the Profitability of Ethanol Plants (2012) (5)
Supply Fundamentals and Grain Futures Price Movements (2020) (5)
The Value of Soybean Oil in the Soybean Crush: Further Evidence on the Impact of the U.S. Biodiesel Boom (2017) (5)
Where Are Gasoline Prices Headed (2015) (5)
Why Isn't the Price of Ethanol RINs Plummeting? (2015) (5)
The Marketing Performance of Illinois and Kansas Wheat Farmers (2009) (5)
Is Storage at a Loss Merely an Illusion of Spatial Aggregation (2009) (5)
Hog Options: Contract Redesign and Market Efficiency (2010) (4)
What's Up with RINs Prices? (2016) (4)
How Bad Was the 2012 Corn and Soybean Growing Season (2012) (4)
Does it Matter Whether the EPA Targets Volumetric or Fractional RFS Standards (2015) (4)
Who Wins if the EPA Reverses Itself on the Write Down of the Renewable Mandate in 2014 (2014) (4)
Who Wins and Who Loses? Trader Returns and Risk Premiums in Agricultural Futures Markets (2020) (4)
U.S. Soybean Yield Trends for Irrigated and Non-Irrigated Production (2017) (4)
The Pricing Performance of Market Advisory Services in Wheat Over 1995-2004 (2009) (4)
Was 2012 Really the 'Big One' for U.S. Corn Yields? (2013) (4)
Implying the Probability of an EPA Reversal on the Write Down of the Renewable Mandate from the RINs Market (2014) (4)
Is Speculation Driving Up the Price of RINs (2013) (4)
What Happened to the Profitability of Ethanol Production in 2017 (2018) (4)
On the Value of Ethanol in the Gasoline Blend (2017) (4)
More on Biodiesel RINs Pricing (2013) (4)
Why is the Price of Biodiesel RINs Plummeting (2015) (4)
Sunshine vs. Predatory Trading Effects in Commodity Futures Markets: New Evidence from Index Rebalancing (2020) (4)
Trilogy for troubleshooting convergence: Manipulation, structural imbalance, and storage rates (2020) (4)
Is the Long Ethanol Boom Coming to a Close (2012) (4)
Are There Acres Missing from the USDA's Prospective Plantings Report? (2014) (4)
Coronavirus Impacts on Midwestern Row‐Crop Agriculture (2020) (4)
The market response to government crop news under different release regimes (2020) (4)
RFS Standards Beyond 2017—Biodiesel or Bust? (2016) (4)
The Private Sector Approach to Grain Marketing: The Case of Agricultural Market Advisory Services (2000) (4)
Empirical Confidence Intervals for WASDE Forecasts of Corn, Soybean, and Wheat Prices (2009) (4)
How Much Can Outlook Forecasts be Improved? An Application to the U.S. Hog Market (2008) (4)
2014: A Tough Year for Biodiesel Producers (2014) (4)
Estimating the cost of pre-harvest forward contracting corn and soybeans in Illinois before and after 2007 (2017) (4)
The Ethanol Blend Wall, Biodiesel Production Capacity, and the RFS...Something Has to Give (2013) (4)
More on the Competitive Position of Ethanol as an Octane Enhancer (2016) (4)
Another Wrinkle in the RFS: The Small Refinery Exemption (2017) (4)
Long-Term Corn Price Forecasts and the Farm Bill Program Choice (2015) (4)
Alternative 2010 Corn Production Scenarios and Policy Implications (2010) (4)
Opening Up the Black Box: More on the USDA Corn Yield Forecasting Methodology (2016) (3)
Submitted Article The Adequacy of Speculation in Agricultural Futures Markets: Too Much of a Good Thing? (2010) (3)
Is There a Problem with USDA Grain Stocks Estimates in Corn (2014) (3)
The Grand Bargain? Trading an E15 RVP Waiver for a RINs Price Cap (2018) (3)
Recent Ethanol Blending Margins (2014) (3)
Is the corn futures market noisier? The impact of high frequency quoting (2020) (3)
E85 Pricing and Recent Consumption Trends (2013) (3)
DOES THE MARKET ANTICIPATE SMOOTHING IN USDA CROP PRODUCTION FORECASTS (2004) (3)
The Role of Sampling Errors in Explaining Recent Surprises in USDA Corn Stocks Estimates: Part I (2014) (3)
The EPA's Proposed 2017 RFS Standards: Is a Push Still a Push? (2016) (3)
Changes in Informational Value and the Market Reaction to USDA Reports in the Big Data Era (2016) (3)
Biodiesel Supply, Demand, and RINs Pricing (2013) (3)
Prospects for Timely Planting of the 2014 Corn Crop (2014) (3)
Advisory Service Marketing Profiles for Corn over 2002-2004 (2006) (3)
Implications of Credit Market Problems for Crop Prices (2008) (3)
Revisiting the Estimation of Biomass-Based Diesel Supply Curves (2017) (3)
Update on the Shutdown Price of Corn for Ethanol Plants (2012) (3)
Do Markets Correct for Smoothing in USDA Crop Production Forecasts? Evidence from Private Analysts and Futures Prices (2017) (3)
The Impact of Situation and Outlook Information in Corn and Soybean Futures Markets: Evidence from WASDE Reports (2008) (3)
The ‘Necessity’ of New Position Limits in Agricultural Futures Markets: (2014) (3)
Do Composite Procedures Really Improve the Accuracy of Outlook Forecasts (2009) (3)
An Alternative View of Biodiesel Production Profits: The Role of Retroactively Reinstated Blender Tax Credits (2017) (3)
The Real Price of Crude Oil and Gasoline (2015) (3)
Can Private Forecasters Beat the USDA? Analysis of Relative Accuracy of Crop Acreage and Production Forecasts (2020) (3)
The Relationship between Biodiesel and Soybean Oil Prices (2017) (3)
The Economic Value of Situation and Outlook Programs: A Review of Theory and Empirical Evidence (1994) (3)
Do Agricultural Market Advisory Services Beat the Market? Evidence from the Corn and Soybean Markets Over 1995-1997 (1999) (3)
Where Should We Be Now With Corn Yield Expectations (2012) (3)
The 2014 U.S. Average Soybean Yield: Headed for a New Record? (2014) (3)
USDA Corn and Soybean Production Forecasting Procedures Revisited With a Focus on Derived Ear Weights (2013) (3)
Sensitivity Analysis of New Corn and Soybean Pricing Models (2016) (3)
The Coronavirus and Ethanol Demand Destruction (2020) (3)
How Long Should We Expect Corn and Soybean Prices to Remain Above or Below Average (2013) (3)
Prospects for Ethanol Production Profits Dim as Gasoline Prices Plummet (2014) (2)
USDA Corn and Soybean Yield Forecast Errors Across Report Release Months (2011) (2)
What's Driving the Surge in Ethanol Imports? (2012) (2)
Still Another Wrinkle in the RFS: A RINs Price Cap (2017) (2)
Alternative 2011 Corn Production, Consumption, and Price Scenarios (2011) (2)
Understanding and Evaluating WAOB/USDA Corn Yield Forecasts (2015) (2)
The EPA's Renewable Fuel Standard Rulemaking for 2018 -- Still a Push (2017) (2)
How Much Impact Will Early U.S. Corn Planting Have on Potential Yield (2012) (2)
OPTIMAL HEDGING WITH VIEWS: A BAYESIAN APPROACH (2004) (2)
When Should We Start Paying Attention to Crop Condition Ratings for Corn and Soybeans (2017) (2)
"Investing" in Commodity Futures Markets: Are the Lambs Being Led to Slaughter? (2011) (2)
Exploding Ethanol RINs Prices: What's the Story? (2013) (2)
The Acreage Puzzle (2015) (2)
Mid-Year Update on Ethanol Production Profits (2015) (2)
2011 U.S. Corn and Soybean Yield Expectations (2011) (2)
New Era Crop Price Distributions and Marketing the 2012 and 2013 Crops (2013) (2)
New Corn and Soybean Pricing Models and World Stocks-to-Use Ratios (2016) (2)
Writing Papers in Economics Using Fake Latex (2019) (2)
Hot July Weather and Corn Yields (2011) (2)
Economic Policy and Outlook in 1988 for Agribusiness (1987) (2)
What is a Reasonable Starting Point for Estimating the U.S. Corn Yield in 2012 (2012) (2)
The Historic Pattern of U.S Soybean Yields, Any Implications for 2012? (2012) (2)
Explanations for Recent Surprises in USDA Corn Stocks Estimates: How Well Do they Hold Up? (2014) (2)
A New Era in Real Agricultural Prices (2011) (2)
Decision Time for the RFS (2013) (2)
Off-the-Chart Profitability of Ethanol Production (2014) (2)
Is the Supply Curve for Commodity Futures Contracts Upward Sloping? (2019) (2)
Rapid Corn Planting Progress, But Well Below the Record Pace (2013) (2)
Brazilian Ethanol Imports - Implications for U.S. Ethanol and Corn Demand (2013) (2)
Have the Accuracy of USDA's August Corn and Soybean Production Forecasts Changed? (2011) (2)
Uncertainty About 2016 U.S. Average Corn and Soybean Yields Persists (2016) (2)
To batch or not to batch? The release of USDA crop reports (2021) (2)
IFES 2014: Can One Monster Crop End the New Era of Grain Prices? (2014) (2)
How Much of the 2013 Corn Crop Will Be Planted Late (2013) (2)
How Many Days Does It Take to Plant the U.S. Corn Crop (2018) (2)
Evaluation Of Market Advisory Service Performance In Hogs (2003) (2)
What to Make of High Early Season Crop Condition Ratings for Soybeans (2018) (2)
2007 U.S CORN PRODUCTION RISKS: WHAT DOES HISTORY TEACH US? (2007) (2)
Research on Price Forecasting and Marketing Strategies: Improving Our Relevance (1994) (2)
Does the Bias in Early Season Crop Condition Ratings for Corn and Soybeans Vary with the Magnitude of the Ratings (2018) (2)
What's Driving the Non-Linear Trend in U.S. Average Soybean Yields? (2017) (2)
Accuracy of USDA Forecasts of Corn Ending Stocks (2014) (2)
The Real Price of Natural Gas (2015) (2)
Livestock/Corn Price Ratios in the New Era (2011) (2)
The Impending Collision of Biofuels Mandates with Market Reality (2012) (2)
The Impact of Measurement Error on Estimates of the Price Reaction to USDA Crop Reports (2007) (2)
Forming Expectations for 2016 U.S. Average Corn and Soybean Yields: What about El Niño Transitions? (2016) (2)
The Relationship between Planting Intentions, Actual Plantings, and Prevented Plantings over 2007-2013 (2014) (2)
Hot Summer Weather and 2011 Corn and Soybean Yields (2011) (2)
The Profitability of Biodiesel Production in 2016: Feasting on an Expiring Tax Credit? (2016) (2)
The Biofuels Era - A Changing of the Guard? (2012) (2)
The New Upside-Down Relationship of Ethanol and Gasoline Prices (2016) (2)
The Profitability of Technical Analysis in Commodity Markets (2011) (2)
Corn Planting Speed Revisited (2011) (2)
Blender and Producer Sharing of Retroactively Reinstated Biodiesel Tax Credits: Time for a Change? (2017) (1)
Big Corn and Soybean Crops Get Bigger is a Myth (2016) (1)
Weekly Outlook: A Review of USDA Crop Yield Forecasting Methodology (2015) (1)
Trends in Crude Oil and Gasoline Prices (2011) (1)
Heterogeneity in Economic Behavior (2005) (1)
The order flow cost of index rolling in commodity futures markets (2022) (1)
Assessing Argentina Soybean Yield Risks: Historical Deviations from Trend (2016) (1)
High Gasoline and Ethanol RINs Prices: Is There a Connection? (2013) (1)
Using FSA Acreage Data to Project NASS January Planted Acreage Estimates for Corn and Soybeans (2016) (1)
Ethanol Production Profits Hit the Wall (2014) (1)
More on Small Refinery Exemptions and Ethanol Demand Destruction (2018) (1)
Biomass-Based Biodiesel Prices--How Much Does Policy Matter? (2017) (1)
Corn Prices Pressured by Both Supply and Demand Factors (2013) (1)
Mid-Year Update on the Competitiveness of Ethanol in Gasoline Blends (2015) (1)
Ethanol Blending Margins, RFS2 Compliance, and the Price of Gasoline (2013) (1)
The EPA's Renewable Fuel Standard Rulemaking for 2017 Was More Aggressive than Expected (2016) (1)
Is the U.S. Corn Boom Ending (2013) (1)
The Truly Amazing Continuing Story of Natural Gas Prices (2012) (1)
Projecting the 2015-16 Corn Balance Sheet and Price Implications (2015) (1)
Are There Predictable Crop Price Cycles (2017) (1)
Shifting Trade Patterns and Higher Crude Oil Prices Brighten Prospects for U.S. Ethanol and Corn (2014) (1)
Intraday Bid Ask Spread Variation in the Electronically Traded Corn Futures Market (2012) (1)
The Biodiesel Waiver Provision in the RFS (2017) (1)
Hedging Effectiveness in a Vertical Marketing Channel for Two Periods (1990) (1)
Mean Reversion in Corn and Hog Bases (1993) (1)
How Should We Use Within-Season Crop Condition Ratings for Corn and Soybeans? (2017) (1)
What's Up with Rising Biodiesel Production Profits? (2017) (1)
The Market Timing Value of Univariate and Multivariate Time Series Models Within the Soybean Complex (1992) (1)
2009 Soybean Yield Prospects Improving (2009) (1)
New Evidence on the Value of Public Information in Commodity Markets (2000) (1)
Projecting Biodiesel RINs Prices under Different Policies (2017) (1)
Returns to Capital in Agriculture: A Historical View Using Portfolio Theory (1986) (1)
Why are Gasoline and Diesel Prices So High? (Relative to Crude Oil Prices) (2015) (1)
Measuring the Accuracy of Forecasting Corn and Soybean Yield with Good and Excellent Crop Condition Ratings (2018) (1)
Where Are Diesel Prices Headed (2015) (1)
The Historic Pattern of U.S Winter Wheat Yields, Any Implications for 2012? (2012) (1)
Efficient Portfolios of Market Advisory Services: An Application of Shrinkage Estimators (2005) (1)
What's Up with Ethanol Production Profits? (2017) (1)
Is Storage at a Loss Merely an Illusion of Aggregation (2006) (1)
Forming Expectations for 2016 U.S. Average Winter and Spring Wheat Yields: What About El Niño? (2016) (1)
Late Corn Planting and Planting Speed (2011) (1)
The Crop Acreage Puzzle Revisited—With Implications for 2016 (2016) (1)
Returns to Traders and Existences of a Risk Premium of a Risk Premium in Agricultural Futures Markets (2011) (1)
Tracking the Performance of Marketing Professionals: 1995-2000 Results for Corn and Soybeans (2000) (1)
Seasonality and the Ethanol Blending Margin (2011) (1)
Large Seed and Residual Use of Soybeans and Prospects for Year-Ending Stocks (2015) (1)
Bubbles in Grain Futures Markets: When are They Most Likely to Occur? (2013) (1)
What Can We Learn About Corn and Soybean Yields From Crop Tours (2014) (1)
HOW TO GROUP MARKET PARTICIPANTS? HETEROGENEITY IN HEDGING BEHAVIOR (2003) (1)
The Role of Weather in the Pattern of Corn Prices over Time (2017) (1)
2009 Corn Yield Prospects Continue to Improve (2009) (1)
The Remarkable Foresight of Biodiesel RINs Traders (2013) (1)
Biodiesel hedging under binding renewable fuel standard mandates (2021) (1)
Expanding the Ethanol Blend Wall - a Role for E85? (2013) (1)
2009 Corn Yield Prospects Improving (2009) (1)
U.S. Gasoline Consumption: Where to From Here? (2016) (1)
How Tough of a Year was 2018 for Ethanol Production Profits (2019) (1)
Will the Shift in Soybean Acreage Impact National Yield in 2017? A State-Level Trend Analysis (2017) (1)
Market Reaction to Inefficiencies in USDA Crop Production Forecasts (2016) (1)
What Combination of Corn and RINs Prices Makes E85 Competitive (2013) (1)
Assessing Brazilian Soybean Yield Risks: Historical Deviations from Trend (2017) (1)
Assessing Brazilian Corn Yield Risks with the First and Second Crops: Historical Deviations from Trend (2016) (0)
Welcome to farmdoc Daily (2011) (0)
farmdoc daily Reaches 500 (2013) (0)
More about the Historic Pattern of U.S Winter Wheat Yields (2012) (0)
IFES 2016: Long-Term Weather and Prospects for a Recovery in Corn Prices (2017) (0)
IFES 2015: The Outlook for Conventional Biofuels is Brighter than You Think (2015) (0)
Thinking Out of the Box about Crop and Livestock Marketing (2012) (0)
Forecasting Soybean Complex Prices: Univariate and Multivariate Time Series Models (1989) (0)
U.S. Corn Exports--The Rest of the Story (2011) (0)
2012 Corn Crop To Be The Earliest Ever Planted (2012) (0)
Optimal Hedging with Views : a Bayesian Approach Practitioners (2004) (0)
Should We Be Surprised about the U.S. Average Yield of Corn and Soybeans in 2017 (2017) (0)
Reaction to USDA Corn and Soybean Production, Consumption, and Price Projections (2015) (0)
Revisiting Recent Corn Stocks Estimates (2011) (0)
What Price of Crude Oil Makes Ethanol Production Profitable (2012) (0)
What Happens when Peter can't Pay Paul: Risk Management at Futures Exchange Clearinghouses (2006) (0)
Speculation by Commodity Index Funds (2023) (0)
Domestic Biodiesel versus Brazilian Ethanol Revisited (2013) (0)
The Forward Contract’s Income Shifting Option and Implications on the Forward Basis (2010) (0)
Assessing South American Corn and Soybean Yield Risks: Exploring the Data Sources (2016) (0)
Agricultural Options: Trading Puts and Calls in the New Grain and Livestock Futures Markets (1990) (0)
Does the Market Read Too Much into the USDA's March 1 and June 1 Corn Stocks Estimates? (2016) (0)
Test-Bed Aircraft Scanner (1982) (0)
Marketing Corn, Soybeans, and Wheat in the New Era (2011) (0)
The RFS and Domestic Consumption of Conventional Ethanol and Biomass-Based Diesel to 2022 (2016) (0)
USDA Jolts the Markets (2012) (0)
Release of iFarm Premium Calculator and iFarm Payment Evaluator (2016) (0)
Advisory Service Marketing Profiles for Hard Red Winter Wheat over 1995-2004 (2009) (0)
Trends in Gasoline and Ethanol Prices (2011) (0)
Noise Trader Sentiment and Futures Price Behavior: An Empirical Investigation (1997) (0)
How to Hedge Selectively : A Bayesian Approach (2008) (0)
Identifying the Impact of Financialization in Commodity Futures Prices from Index Rebalancing (2017) (0)
The Pricing Performance of Market Advisory Services in Cattle Over 1995-2004 (2012) (0)
Forming Expectations for the 2017 Brazil and Argentina Corn and Soybean Yields: The Impact of La Niña (2017) (0)
Discussion of Proposed Change in Chicago Board of Trade Delivery Area for Corn and Soybean Futures Contracts (1997) (0)
The Performance of Futures Funds: Implications for Futures Market Efficiency (1984) (0)
Ethanol Price Discovery in U.S. Terminal Markets (2022) (0)
USDA Reports a Jumble of Surprises (2012) (0)
Information Transmission between Livestock Futures and Expert Price Forecasts (2013) (0)
The Market Timing Value of Outlook Price Forecasts (1991) (0)
PUTTING THE RISK PROTECTION ACT OF 2000 TO WORK: APPLIED MARKETING STRATEGIES (PowerPoint Presentation) (2001) (0)
How Many Acres of Corn are Needed in 2013 (2012) (0)
So How Do I Make Corn and Soybean Pricing Decisions (2008) (0)
Some Perspective on the USDA's August 1 Corn and Soybean Yield Projections (2016) (0)
Do Big Crops Get Bigger and Small Crops Get Smaller? Further Evidence on Smoothing in USDA Crop Production Forecasts (2007) (0)
Corn Prices, Basis, and Spreads (2011) (0)
Dissecting Corn Price Movements with Directed Acyclic Graphs (2013) (0)
New Milestone for farmdoc daily: 1,000 Articles and Counting (2015) (0)
Recent Observations on the Tolerance of Corn Yield to Drought Conditions (2012) (0)
Information Transmission between Hog Futures and Expert Price Forecasts (2018) (0)
Seasonal Price Patterns of Indiana Commodities (1985) (0)
Rationing Old Crop Corn and Ethanol Shutdown Prices (2012) (0)
Are Gasoline Prices Still High Relative to Crude Oil Prices (2016) (0)
A Pattern Change for Biodiesel Production Profitability in 2017 (2018) (0)
Farmland: A Good Investment? (1989) (0)
Farmer’s Income Shifting Option in Post-harvest Forward Contracting (2012) (0)
Perfect Supply Identification in the Biomass-Based Diesel Market with Shifts in Demand Due to Changing (2017) (0)
USDA Interval Forecasts of Corn and Soybean Prices: Overconfidence or Rational Inaccuracy? (2003) (0)
An Investigation of Pricing Models for Live Cattle and Feeder Cattle Options (1989) (0)
The Calibration Of Expected Soybean Price Distributions: An Option Based Approach (1990) (0)
IFES 2012: The Impact of Biofuels Mandates on Grain and Oilseed (2012) (0)
To What Surprises Do Hog Futures Markets Respond? (2008) (0)
Is Speculation Driving Commodity Prices (2011) (0)
Mid-Year Update on Biodiesel Production Profits (2015) (0)
Results from tests, with van-mounted sensor, of magnetic leader cable for aircraft guidance during roll-out and turnoff (1983) (0)
farmdoc daily Turns Five Today (2016) (0)
Themes: Agriculture and Trade; Agribusiness and Finance (2009) (0)
Do Interest Rates Explain Disaggregate Commodity Price Growth (2006) (0)
Do Warm Winters Tell Us Anything about Summer Temperatures and Corn Yields (2012) (0)
Do High Prices Destroy Demand (2011) (0)
U.S. Agricultural Policy Effectiveness: An Analysis of Income and Capital Gain Returns Impacts (1987) (0)
Interpreting Recent Data on Corn Planting Progress (2011) (0)
IFES 2013: The RFS and Crop Markets: Where to from Here? (2014) (0)
The Dunn and Hargitt Commodity Price Date Bank (1988) (0)
What Price of Corn is Required to Make E85 Competitive (2013) (0)
The Predictability of Commodity Trading Advisor Returns (1991) (0)
IFES 2017: What Is Up with Soybean Yields? (2017) (0)
Preface to the Centennial Issue (2010) (0)
Discussion Guide for 1990 Livestock Outlook (1989) (0)
Deal-Making on the RFS: Follow the North Star (2018) (0)
Tackle Economic, Agronomic and Technological Issues at Top Farmer Crop Workshop (2012) (0)
Major Concepts of Efficient Market Hypothesis Violations of Fama ’ s Assumptions Implications of Market Efficiency for Marketing Strategies Routine Strategies Systematic Strategies Marketing Strategies Using Individual-Generated Forecasts Marketing Strategies Based on Market-Generated Forecasts of P (1997) (0)
Implications of Recent Trends in U . S . Gasoline Consumption for Ethanol (2019) (0)
The Competitiveness of Ethanol in E10 Gasoline Blends during the Coronavirus Crisis (2020) (0)
Grain Stocks Estimates: Can Anything Explain the Market Surprises of Recent Years? (2014) (0)
The Bias of Simple Bid-Ask Spread Estimators (2022) (0)
Prospects for Timely Planting of the 2018 Soybean Crop (2018) (0)
A Bayesian Implementation of the Standard Optimal Hedging Model: Parameter Estimation Risk and Subjective Views (2005) (0)
Plenary Panel: Managing Risk in Today's Markets (2013) (0)
Should Farmers Follow the Recommendations of Market Advisory Services? A Bayesian Approach to Performance Evaluation (2006) (0)
Are Hog and Cattle Futures Prices Biased (1999) (0)
NONSTATIONARITY OF SOYBEAN FUTURES PRICE DISTRIBUTIONS: OPTION-BASED EVIDENCE (1990) (0)
Do Recent Precipitation Deficits Tell Us Anything about Next Summer's Precipitation? (2012) (0)
Solving the Commodity Markets' Non-Convergence Puzzle (2013) (0)
The Relationship between Commodity Investment Flows and Crude Oil Futures Prices: Real or Spurious? (2016) (0)
Rationing the 2012 Corn Crop Revisited (2012) (0)
Do Big Soybean Crops Always Get Bigger (2014) (0)
THE REACTION OF LIVESTOCK FUTURES PRICES TO NEW INFORMATION (1991) (0)
Accounting for Heterogeneity in Hedging Behavior: Comparing & Evaluating Grouping Methods (2011) (0)
Bahn Farm Commodity Prices : Why the Boom and What Happens Now ? (2008) (0)
ARE AGRICULTURAL COMMODITY FUTURES GETTING NOISIER ? THE IMPACT OF HIGH FREQUENCING QUOTING IN THE CORN MARKET (2016) (0)
A Structural Approach to Disentangling Speculative and Fundamental Influences on the Price of Corn (2014) (0)
Speculation and Gasoline Prices: Is There a Link? (2012) (0)
How Much Will the Cost of a RINs Bundle Decline if the Conventional Ethanol Gap Disappears (2018) (0)
Economic Policy and Outlook in 1987 for Agribusiness (1986) (0)
2014 Farm Bill Commodity Program Survey (2015) (0)
Has the Performance of the Hog Options Market Changed (2006) (0)
Do Extreme CIT Position Changes Move Prices in Grain Futures Markets? (2022) (0)
Producers Use of Risk Management Tools : What, When and Why? (2002) (0)
New evidence on market response to public announcements in the presence of microstructure noise (2021) (0)
Does the Biodiesel Tax Credit Change the Advanced Biofuels Landscape (2013) (0)
Owning Corn and Soybeans beyond Harvest in 2014/15 (2014) (0)
farmdoc daily Gets Social (Media) (2012) (0)
Corn Basis Revisited (2012) (0)
Trends in Crude Oil and Natural Gas Prices (2011) (0)
Revisiting Surprises in USDA's Quarterly Grain Stocks Estimates--Evidence from Wheat (2016) (0)
farmdoc daily is One Year Old (2012) (0)
October USDA Reports (2011) (0)
Are Corn and Soybean Options Too Expensive (2006) (0)
Rationing the 2012 Corn Crop - Are We There Yet? (2012) (0)
Winter Precipitation and Corn Yield (2012) (0)
Does Noise in Market Expectations Dilute Price Reactions to USDA Reports (2018) (0)
Save the Date: Announcing the Schedule of 2011 IFES Meetings (2011) (0)
Agribusiness Policy and Outlook for 1989 (1988) (0)
A New Era in Livestock Prices (2011) (0)
Revisiting USDA Corn and Soybean Grain Stocks Estimates (2016) (0)

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