Tim Palmer
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British meteorologist
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Earth Sciences
Tim Palmer 's Degrees
- Bachelors Mathematics University of Oxford
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Why Is Tim Palmer Influential?
(Suggest an Edit or Addition)According to Wikipedia, Timothy Noel Palmer CBE FRS is a mathematical physicist by training. He has spent most of his career working on the dynamics and predictability of weather and climate. Among various research achievements, he pioneered the development of probabilistic ensemble forecasting techniques for weather and climate prediction . These techniques are now standard in operational weather and climate prediction around the world, and are central for reliable decision making for many commercial and humanitarian applications.
Tim Palmer 's Published Works
Number of citations in a given year to any of this author's works
Total number of citations to an author for the works they published in a given year. This highlights publication of the most important work(s) by the author
Published Works
- Monsoons: Processes, predictability, and the prospects for prediction (1998) (2597)
- The ECMWF Ensemble Prediction System: Methodology and validation (1996) (1581)
- Sahel rainfall and worldwide sea temperatures, 1901–85 (1986) (1178)
- Stochastic representation of model uncertainties in the ECMWF ensemble prediction system (2007) (1001)
- DEVELOPMENT OF A EUROPEAN MULTIMODEL ENSEMBLE SYSTEM FOR SEASONAL-TO-INTERANNUAL PREDICTION (DEMETER) (2004) (886)
- Alleviation of a systematic westerly bias in general circulation and numerical weather prediction models through an orographic gravity wave drag parametrization (1986) (752)
- Ensemble forecasting (2008) (710)
- Breaking planetary waves in the stratosphere (1983) (707)
- The Singular-Vector Structure of the Atmospheric Global Circulation (1995) (702)
- Signature of recent climate change in frequencies of natural atmospheric circulation regimes (1999) (615)
- Quantifying the risk of extreme seasonal precipitation events in a changing climate (2002) (612)
- Intraseasonal oscillations in 15 atmospheric general circulation models: results from an AMIP diagnostic subproject (1996) (570)
- A nonlinear dynamical perspective on model error: A proposal for non‐local stochastic‐dynamic parametrization in weather and climate prediction models (2001) (524)
- Singular Vectors, Metrics, and Adaptive Observations. (1998) (503)
- The rationale behind the success of multi-model ensembles in seasonal forecasting-II (2005) (499)
- Malaria early warnings based on seasonal climate forecasts from multi-model ensembles (2006) (492)
- EC-Earth A Seamless Earth-System Prediction Approach in Action (2010) (487)
- A Summary of the CMIP5 Experiment Design (2010) (481)
- A Nonlinear Dynamical Perspective on Climate Prediction (1999) (455)
- The «surf zone» in the stratosphere (1984) (441)
- Predicting uncertainty in forecasts of weather and climate (2000) (434)
- Interannual Tropical Rainfall Variability in General Circulation Model Simulations Associated with the Atmospheric Model Intercomparison Project (1996) (412)
- The prospects for seasonal forecasting—A review paper (1994) (405)
- Extended-range atmospheric prediction and the Lorenz model (1993) (360)
- Tropical-Extratropical Interaction Associated with the 30–60 Day Oscillation and Its Impact on Medium and Extended Range Prediction (1990) (341)
- A Spectral Stochastic Kinetic Energy Backscatter Scheme and Its Impact on Flow-Dependent Predictability in the ECMWF Ensemble Prediction System (2009) (330)
- Representing model uncertainty in weather and climate prediction (2005) (312)
- Dynamical Seasonal Prediction (2000) (310)
- Toward Seamless Prediction: Calibration of Climate Change Projections Using Seasonal Forecasts (2008) (305)
- The new ECMWF seasonal forecast system (system 4) (2011) (288)
- Predictability and finite‐time instability of the northern winter circulation (1993) (284)
- Stochastic parametrization and model uncertainty (2009) (271)
- On the reliability of seasonal climate forecasts (2013) (268)
- ENSEMBLES: A new multi‐model ensemble for seasonal‐to‐annual predictions—Skill and progress beyond DEMETER in forecasting tropical Pacific SSTs (2009) (268)
- Influence of the Atlantic, Pacific and Indian Oceans on Sahel rainfall (1986) (265)
- Uncertainty in weather and climate prediction (2011) (264)
- The economic value of ensemble forecasts as a tool for risk assessment: From days to decades (2002) (260)
- Development of a European Multi-Model Ensemble System for Seasonal to Inter-Annual Prediction (DEMETER) (2004) (256)
- High-Resolution Global Climate Simulations with the ECMWF Model in Project Athena: Experimental Design, Model Climate, and Seasonal Forecast Skill (2012) (227)
- Modeling Interannual Variations of Summer Monsoons (1992) (218)
- Using numerical weather prediction to assess climate models (2007) (217)
- A probability and decision‐model analysis of PROVOST seasonal multi‐model ensemble integrations (2000) (216)
- The rationale behind the success of multi-model ensembles in seasonal forecasting — II. Calibration and combination (2005) (215)
- Impact of Ensemble Size on Ensemble Prediction (1998) (213)
- The Sensitivity of the ECMWF Model to the Parameterization of Evaporation from the Tropical Oceans (1992) (209)
- A Probability and Decision-Model Analysis of a Multimodel Ensemble of Climate Change Simulations (2001) (199)
- Stochastic Parameterization: Towards a new view of Weather and Climate Models (2015) (189)
- Computation of optimal unstable structures for a numerical weather prediction model (1993) (177)
- Towards the probabilistic Earth‐system simulator: a vision for the future of climate and weather prediction (2012) (176)
- Ensemble prediction using dynamically conditioned perturbations (1993) (159)
- Response of two atmospheric general circulation models to sea-surface temperature anomalies in the tropical East and West Pacific (1984) (157)
- Sensitivity Analysis of Forecast Errors and the Construction of Optimal Perturbations Using Singular Vectors (1998) (155)
- Probabilistic prediction of climate using multi-model ensembles: from basics to applications (2005) (151)
- Parametrization and influence of subgridscale orography in general circulation and numerical weather prediction models (1989) (151)
- Model error in weather forecasting (2001) (149)
- Predictability of seasonal atmospheric variations (1994) (147)
- Regimes in the wintertime circulation over northern extratropics. I: Observational evidence (1990) (145)
- The ECMWF Ensemble Prediction System (1997) (145)
- ECMWF seasonal forecast system 3 and its prediction of sea surface temperature (2011) (144)
- Physical Climate Processes and Feedbacks (2001) (144)
- The new VarEPS‐monthly forecasting system: A first step towards seamless prediction (2008) (139)
- Addressing model uncertainty in seasonal and annual dynamical ensemble forecasts (2009) (139)
- Tropical singular vectors computed with linearized diabatic physics (2001) (132)
- Strategies: Revolution in Climate Prediction is Both Necessary and Possible: A Declaration at the World Modelling Summit for Climate Prediction (2009) (131)
- The past and the future of El Niño (1997) (130)
- Diagnostic Study of a Wavenumber-2 Stratospheric Sudden Warming in a Transformed Eulerian-Mean Formalism (1981) (129)
- Dynamical Seasonal Predictability of the Asian Summer Monsoon (2001) (125)
- Impact of localized tropical and extratropical SST anomalies in ensembles of seasonal GCM integrations (1994) (124)
- Extended‐range predictions with ECMWF models: Time‐lagged ensemble forecasting (1990) (119)
- A modelling and observational study of the relationship between sea surface temperature in the North‐West atlantic and the atmospheric general circulation (2007) (119)
- Ensemble prediction of tropical cyclones using targeted diabatic singular vectors (2001) (118)
- Stochastic parametrizations and model uncertainty in the Lorenz ’96 system (2013) (118)
- Simulating regime structures in weather and climate prediction models (2012) (116)
- Atmospheric Seasonal Predictability and Estimates of Ensemble Size (1997) (115)
- On the predictability of the extreme summer 2003 over Europe (2009) (114)
- Seasonal skill and predictability of ECMWF PROVOST ensembles (2000) (113)
- A nonlinear dynamical perspective on climate change (1993) (113)
- A study of the predictability of tropical Pacific SST in a coupled atmosphere-ocean model using singular vector analysis : The role of the annual cycle and the ENSO cycle (1997) (112)
- Relations between interannual and intraseasonal monsoon variability as diagnosed from AMIP integrations (1997) (109)
- Extended-Range Probabilistic Forecasts of Ganges and Brahmaputra Floods in Bangladesh (2010) (107)
- Dynamically‐based seasonal forecasts of Atlantic tropical storm activity issued in June by EUROSIP (2007) (107)
- Addressing model error through atmospheric stochastic physical parametrizations: impact on the coupled ECMWF seasonal forecasting system (2014) (106)
- Record-breaking winters and global climate change (2014) (104)
- Systematic Model Error: The Impact of Increased Horizontal Resolution versus Improved Stochastic and Deterministic Parameterizations (2012) (103)
- Atmospheric seasonal forecasts of the twentieth century: multi‐decadal variability in predictive skill of the winter North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) and their potential value for extreme event attribution (2017) (103)
- A note on the general concept of wave breaking for Rossby and gravity waves (1985) (103)
- Simulating weather regimes: impact of model resolution and stochastic parameterization (2015) (100)
- Impact of 2007 and 2008 Arctic ice anomalies on the atmospheric circulation: Implications for long‐range predictions (2010) (100)
- The ECMWF ensemble prediction system: Looking back (more than) 25 years and projecting forward 25 years (2018) (98)
- Taphonomy and the Mesozoic marine revolution; preservation state masks the importance of boring predators (1998) (98)
- Revolutionizing Climate Modeling with Project Athena: A Multi-Institutional, International Collaboration (2013) (98)
- Predictability of a Coupled Model of ENSO Using Singular Vector Analysis. Part II: Optimal Growth and Forecast Skill (1997) (95)
- Simulations of an observed stratospheric warming with quasigeostrophic refractive index as a model diagnostic (1982) (94)
- Analysis and model dependencies in medium‐range ensembles: Two transplant case‐studies (1999) (92)
- Impact of a quasi-stochastic cellular automaton backscatter scheme on the systematic error and seasonal prediction skill of a global climate model (2008) (92)
- The 1988 US drought linked to anomalous sea surface temperature (1989) (92)
- The scientific challenge of understanding and estimating climate change (2019) (88)
- An Earth-system prediction initiative for the twenty-first century (2010) (88)
- Rethinking Superdeterminism (2019) (87)
- Assessment of representations of model uncertainty in monthly and seasonal forecast ensembles (2011) (86)
- Singular Vectors: The Effect of Spatial Scale on Linear Growth of Disturbances. (1995) (85)
- Current status and future developments of the ECMWF Ensemble Prediction System (2000) (84)
- Toward a new generation of world climate research and computing facilities (2010) (82)
- Single Precision in Weather Forecasting Models: An Evaluation with the IFS (2017) (81)
- Stochastic weather and climate models (2019) (80)
- Predictability of the Atmosphere and Oceans: From Days to Decades (1996) (80)
- Benefits of increased resolution in the ECMWF ensemble system and comparison with poor‐man's ensembles (2003) (79)
- Climate forecasting: Build high-resolution global climate models (2014) (78)
- Extended range predictions with ECMWF models : influence of horizontal resolution on systematic error and forecast skill (1990) (78)
- Climate SPHINX: evaluating the impact of resolution and stochastic physics parameterisations in the EC-Earth global climate model (2017) (77)
- On the Prediction of Forecast Skill (1988) (77)
- Historical reconstruction of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation from the ECMWF operational ocean reanalysis (2007) (76)
- Diagnosing the Origin of Extended-Range Forecast Errors (2010) (76)
- Decadal climate prediction: opportunities and challenges (2010) (74)
- Forcing singular vectors and other sensitive model structures (2003) (72)
- Reliability of decadal predictions (2012) (69)
- Singular vectors and the predictability of weather and climate (1994) (68)
- Introduction. Stochastic physics and climate modelling (2008) (67)
- A forecast quality assessment of an end-to-end probabilistic multi-model seasonal forecast system using a malaria model (2005) (67)
- Decadal climate prediction with the European Centre for Medium‐Range Weather Forecasts coupled forecast system: Impact of ocean observations (2011) (66)
- Stochastic and Perturbed Parameter Representations of Model Uncertainty in Convection Parameterization (2015) (65)
- Convective Forcing Fluctuations in a Cloud-Resolving Model: Relevance to the Stochastic Parameterization Problem (2007) (64)
- Ensemble prediction: a pedagogical perspective (2008) (63)
- The UKC3 regional coupled environmental prediction system (2017) (63)
- Changing frequency of occurrence of extreme seasonal temperatures under global warming (2005) (63)
- A study of wintertime circulation anomalies during past El Niño events using a high resolution general circulation model. I: Influence of model climatology (1986) (63)
- Impact of increasing greenhouse gas concentrations in seasonal ensemble forecasts (2006) (61)
- Properties of the Eliassen-Palm flux for planetary scale motions (1982) (61)
- The use of imprecise processing to improve accuracy in weather & climate prediction (2014) (60)
- A study of wintertime circulation anomalies during past El Niño events using a high resolution general circulation model. II: Variability of the seasonal mean response (1986) (59)
- Benchmark Tests for Numerical Weather Forecasts on Inexact Hardware (2014) (58)
- Estimates of flow‐dependent predictability of wintertime Euro‐Atlantic weather regimes in medium‐range forecasts (2018) (57)
- Developments in dynamical seasonal forecasting relevant to agricultural management (2006) (57)
- Decaying Singular Vectors and Their Impact on Analysis and Forecast Correction (1998) (56)
- The Intra-Seasonal Oscillation and its control of tropical cyclones simulated by high-resolution global atmospheric models (2012) (55)
- Aspects of stratospheric sudden warmings studied from a transformed Eulerian‐mean viewpoint (1981) (53)
- A dynamical interpretation of the global response to Equatorial Pacific SST anomalies (1993) (53)
- Stochastic parameterization and El Niño-Southern Oscillation. (2017) (53)
- Opportunities and challenges for machine learning in weather and climate modelling: hard, medium and soft AI (2021) (51)
- On the use of inexact, pruned hardware in atmospheric modelling (2014) (51)
- Nonlinear Dynamics and Climate Change: Rossby's Legacy (1998) (50)
- Comparison of the ECMWF seasonal forecast System 1 and 2, including the relative performance for the 1997/98 El Nino (2002) (50)
- The European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) Program on Extended-Range Prediction (1990) (50)
- Numerical Simulations of the Madden and Julian Oscillation (1988) (48)
- Influence of a stochastic parameterization on the frequency of occurrence of North Pacific weather regimes in the ECMWF model (2005) (48)
- Understanding the Anomalously Cold European Winter of 2005/06 Using Relaxation Experiments (2010) (48)
- Impact of hindcast length on estimates of seasonal climate predictability (2015) (46)
- Extended-range predictions with ecmwf models: Interannual variability in operational model integrations (1990) (46)
- Stochastic Physics and Climate Modelling (2018) (44)
- Forecast quality assessment of the ENSEMBLES seasonal-to-decadal Stream 2 hindcasts (2010) (44)
- Introducing independent patterns into the Stochastically Perturbed Parametrization Tendencies (SPPT) scheme (2017) (43)
- More reliable forecasts with less precise computations: a fast-track route to cloud-resolved weather and climate simulators? (2014) (42)
- Generalization of Cowling's theorem (1982) (42)
- Stratospheric sudden coolings and the role of nonlinear wave interactions in preconditioning the circumpolar flow (1983) (41)
- The role of the tropical West Pacific in the extreme Northern Hemisphere winter of 2013/2014 (2016) (40)
- Potential improvement to forecasts of two severe storms using targeted observations (2002) (40)
- Variability in seasonal forecast skill of Northern Hemisphere winters over the twentieth century (2017) (39)
- Singular vectors, predictability and ensemble forecasting for weather and climate (2013) (39)
- Simulating weather regimes: impact of stochastic and perturbed parameter schemes in a simple atmospheric model (2015) (38)
- On the use of scale‐dependent precision in Earth System modelling (2017) (38)
- Medium and extended range predictability and stability of the Pacific/North American mode (2006) (37)
- Endangered rivers and the conservation movement (1987) (37)
- Modelling: Build imprecise supercomputers (2015) (36)
- Opportunities for energy efficient computing: A study of inexact general purpose processors for high-performance and big-data applications (2015) (35)
- How confident are predictability estimates of the winter North Atlantic Oscillation? (2019) (35)
- Diagnosing the causes of bias in climate models – why is it so hard? (2011) (33)
- Sensitivity analysis of atmospheric low‐frequency variability (1997) (33)
- Climate extremes and the role of dynamics (2013) (32)
- A personal perspective on modelling the climate system (2016) (32)
- Evaluation of ensemble forecast uncertainty using a new proper score: Application to medium‐range and seasonal forecasts (2015) (32)
- Signal and noise in regime systems: A hypothesis on the predictability of the North Atlantic Oscillation (2018) (31)
- Forecasting disease risk with seasonal climate predictions (2000) (30)
- Oceanic Stochastic Parameterizations in a Seasonal Forecast System (2015) (30)
- Stochastic Subgrid-Scale Ocean Mixing: Impacts on Low-Frequency Variability (2017) (30)
- On the use of programmable hardware and reduced numerical precision in earth‐system modeling (2015) (30)
- Short-term tests validate long-term estimates of climate change (2020) (29)
- Building Tangent‐Linear and Adjoint Models for Data Assimilation With Neural Networks (2021) (28)
- Scale-Selective Precision for Weather and Climate Forecasting (2019) (28)
- The Ensemble Prediction System - Recent and Ongoing Developments (2007) (28)
- Vehicle Chassis/Suspension Dynamics Analysis - Finite Element Model vs. Rigid Body Model (1998) (28)
- Decadal climate prediction with the ECMWF coupled forecast system : Impact of ocean observations (2010) (28)
- Predictability of Weather and Climate: Predictability of weather and climate: from theory to practice (2006) (27)
- The impact of stochastic physics on tropical rainfall variability in global climate models on daily to weekly time scales (2017) (27)
- The primacy of doubt: Evolution of numerical weather prediction from determinism to probability (2017) (27)
- Improving Weather Forecast Skill through Reduced-Precision Data Assimilation (2018) (27)
- Dynamics of Decadal Climate Variability and Implications for its Prediction (2010) (26)
- Handling uncertainty in science (2011) (26)
- Edward Norton Lorenz (2008) (26)
- Machine Learning Emulation of Gravity Wave Drag in Numerical Weather Forecasting (2021) (25)
- Can wave coupling improve operational regional ocean forecasts for the north-west European Shelf? (2018) (25)
- Impact of initial conditions versus external forcing in decadal climate predictions: A sensitivity experiment (2015) (24)
- The use of high resolution numerical simulations of tropical circulation to calibrate stochastic physics schemes (2004) (24)
- THE MONTE CARLO FORECAST (1990) (24)
- Diagnosis of Extratropical Variability in Seasonal Integrations of the ECMWF Model (1994) (24)
- Accuracy of climate change predictions using high resolution simulations as surrogates of truth (2011) (24)
- The Snake River: Window To The West (1991) (24)
- A Possible Relationship between Some “Severe” Winters in North America and Enhanced Convective Activity over the Tropical West Pacific (1986) (23)
- Style and Sensation in the Contemporary French Cinema of the Body (2006) (23)
- Reliable low precision simulations in land surface models (2018) (23)
- Global warming in a nonlinear climate - Can we be sure? (2005) (23)
- Accelerating High-Resolution Weather Models with Deep-Learning Hardware (2019) (22)
- Discretization of the Bloch sphere, fractal invariant sets and Bell’s theorem (2020) (22)
- A study of reduced numerical precision to make superparameterization more competitive using a hardware emulator in the OpenIFS model (2017) (21)
- The Invariant Set Hypothesis: A New Geometric Framework for the Foundations of Quantum Theory and the Role Played by Gravity (2011) (21)
- Brutal Intimacy: Analyzing Contemporary French Cinema (2011) (21)
- Seasonal and decadal forecasts of Atlantic Sea surface temperatures using a linear inverse model (2017) (20)
- Under your skin: Marina de Van and the contemporary French cinéma du corps (2007) (20)
- The Impact of El Niño on an Ensemble of Extended-Range Forecasts (1987) (20)
- A Finite Element Tire Model and Vibration Analysis: A New Approach (1998) (20)
- Seasonal Forecasts of the Twentieth Century (2020) (20)
- Does the ECMWF IFS convection parameterization with stochastic physics correctly reproduce relationships between convection and the large-scale state? (2015) (19)
- Lifelines, The Case for River Conservation (1994) (19)
- Predictability of Weather and Climate: List of contributors (2006) (19)
- A real time scheme for the prediction of forecast skill (1991) (19)
- Development of a European Ensemble System for Seasonal to Inter-Annual Prediction (DEMETER) (2004) (19)
- Choosing the Optimal Numerical Precision for Data Assimilation in the Presence of Model Error (2018) (19)
- The influence of north‐west Atlantic sea surface temperature: An unplanned experiment (1995) (18)
- Predicting uncertainty in numerical weather forecasts (2002) (18)
- Posits as an alternative to floats for weather and climate models (2019) (17)
- Observational Error Structures and the Value of Advanced Assimilation Techniques (2000) (17)
- The new ECMWF Variable Resolution Ensemble Prediction System (VAREPS): methodology and validation (2006) (16)
- Number Formats, Error Mitigation, and Scope for 16‐Bit Arithmetics in Weather and Climate Modeling Analyzed With a Shallow Water Model (2020) (16)
- Parameterising the multiscale structure of organised convection using a cellular automaton (2005) (15)
- Seasonal to annual ocean forecasting skill and the role of model and observational uncertainty (2018) (15)
- Ensemble superparameterization versus stochastic parameterization: A comparison of model uncertainty representation in tropical weather prediction (2017) (15)
- Climate SPHINX: Evaluating the impact of resolution and stochastic physics parameterisations in climate simulations (2016) (15)
- VIRTUAL PROVING GROUND : AN INTEGRATED TECHNOLOGY FOR FULL VEHICLE ANALYSIS AND SIMULATION (1999) (14)
- Potential use of the ECMWF Ensemble Prediction System in cases of extreme weather events (1997) (14)
- An Earth-system Prediction Initiative for the 21 st Century (2010) (14)
- Exploiting the chaotic behaviour of atmospheric models with reconfigurable architectures (2017) (14)
- Gravitational energy-momentum: The Einstein pseudotensor reexamined (1980) (14)
- Decadal climate variability, predictability and prediction: Opportunities and challenges (2010) (13)
- Bell's conspiracy, Schrödinger's black cat and global invariant sets (2015) (13)
- Identification of ‘energetic’ swell waves in a tidal strait (2014) (13)
- The impact of stochastic parametrisations on the representation of the Asian summer monsoon (2018) (13)
- A Generative Deep Learning Approach to Stochastic Downscaling of Precipitation Forecasts (2022) (13)
- A CERN for climate change (2011) (13)
- Bitwise efficiency in chaotic models (2017) (12)
- Diagnosing forecast error using relaxation experiments (2008) (12)
- Finite-Time Instabilities of Lower-Stratospheric Flow. (1996) (12)
- Impact of stochastic physics on tropical precipitation in the coupled ECMWF model (2017) (12)
- The characteristics of Hessian singular vectors using an advanced data assimilation scheme (2009) (12)
- Examination of targeting methods in a simplified setting (2000) (12)
- Towards the Probabilistic Earth-System Model (2008) (12)
- Beyond skill scores: exploring sub‐seasonal forecast value through a case‐study of French month‐ahead energy prediction (2020) (12)
- A power law for reduced precision at small spatial scales: Experiments with an SQG model (2018) (11)
- Architectures and Precision Analysis for Modelling Atmospheric Variables with Chaotic Behaviour (2015) (11)
- Initialisation Strategies for Decadal Hindcasts for the 1960-2005 Period Within the ENSEMBLES Project (2007) (11)
- The importance of nonlinear wave processes in a quiescent winter stratosphere (1984) (11)
- Ambitious partnership needed for reliable climate prediction (2022) (11)
- Chapter 8 Response of the uk Meteorological Office General Circulation model To Sea-Surface Temperature Anomalies in the Tropical Pacific Ocean (1985) (10)
- A Vision for Numerical Weather Prediction in 2030. (2020) (10)
- More accuracy with less precision (2021) (10)
- Stochastic modelling and energy-efficient computing for weather and climate prediction (2014) (10)
- Large scale tropical extratropical interactions on time scales of a few days to a season (1988) (10)
- Heavy Vehicle Suspension Frame Durability Analysis Using Virtual Proving Ground (2005) (10)
- PREDICTABILITY OF WEATHER AND CLIMATE: FROM THEORY TO PRACTICE – FROM DAYS TO DECADES (2003) (9)
- Extreme rainfall prediction using the European Centre for Medium‐Range Weather Forecasts ensemble prediction system (1996) (9)
- Progress towards a probabilistic Earth system model: examining the impact of stochasticity in the atmosphere and land component of EC-Earth v3.2 (2019) (9)
- The Invariant Set Postulate: A New Geometric Framework for the Foundations of Quantum Theory and the Role Played by Gravity (2008) (9)
- Lorenz, G\"{o}del and Penrose: New perspectives on determinism and causality in fundamental physics (2013) (9)
- Experimental Tests of Invariant Set Theory (2021) (9)
- Predictability of coupled processes (2006) (9)
- Process and resolution impacts on UK coastal wave predictions from operational global-regional wave models (2017) (9)
- 1 Predictability of weather and climate : from theory to practice (2006) (9)
- America by rivers (1996) (8)
- Reduced‐precision parametrization: lessons from an intermediate‐complexity atmospheric model (2020) (8)
- Analogues of potential vorticity in electrically-conducting fluids (1988) (8)
- Solving difficult problems creatively: a role for energy optimised deterministic/stochastic hybrid computing (2015) (8)
- Stanislaus, the struggle for a river (1982) (8)
- Experimental Non-Violation of the Bell Inequality (2017) (8)
- Compressing atmospheric data into its real information content (2021) (8)
- Is Science Fiction a Genre for Communicating Scientific Research? A Case Study in Climate Prediction (2010) (8)
- Derrick's theorem in curved space (1979) (8)
- How does the CMIP6 ensemble change the picture for European climate projections? (2020) (8)
- Edward Norton Lorenz. 23 May 1917 — 16 April 2008 (2009) (7)
- QUANTUM REALITY, COMPLEX NUMBERS, AND THE METEOROLOGICAL BUTTERFLY EFFECT (2005) (7)
- Understanding the Weathering Behaviour of Caen Stone (2008) (7)
- Atmospheric model intercomparison project: Monsoon simulations (1994) (7)
- Human Creativity and Consciousness: Unintended Consequences of the Brain’s Extraordinary Energy Efficiency? (2020) (7)
- Fluid Simulations Accelerated With 16 Bits: Approaching 4x Speedup on A64FX by Squeezing ShallowWaters.jl Into Float16 (2021) (7)
- Predictability of Weather and Climate: DEMETER and the application of seasonal forecasts (2006) (7)
- Supermeasured: Violating Statistical Independence without violating statistical independence (2021) (6)
- Optimising the use of ensemble information in numerical weather forecasts of wind power generation (2019) (6)
- Flow dependent ensemble spread in seasonal forecasts of the boreal winter extratropics (2018) (6)
- Who's That Lying in My Coffin? An Imposter Exposed by 14C Dating (2011) (6)
- Assessing the robustness of multidecadal variability in Northern Hemisphere wintertime seasonal forecast skill (2020) (6)
- Calibrating Climate Change Time-Slice Projections with Estimates of Seasonal Forecast Reliability (2016) (6)
- A comparative method to evaluate and validate stochastic parametrizations (2009) (6)
- Covariant conservation equations and their relation to the energy-momentum concept in general relativity (1978) (6)
- The Impact of a Stochastic Parameterization Scheme on Climate Sensitivity in EC‐Earth (2019) (5)
- Neuronal noise as a physical resource for human cognition (2014) (5)
- Forecast-based attribution of a winter heatwave within the limit of predictability (2021) (5)
- Climate Modelling in Low Precision: Effects of Both Deterministic & Stochastic Rounding. (2021) (5)
- Correlation of Explicit Finite Element Road Load Calculations for Vehicle Durability Simulations (2006) (5)
- Extended-range ensemble forecasting at ECMWF (1988) (5)
- A simple pedagogical model linking initial-value reliability with trustworthiness in the forced climate response (2017) (5)
- A Finite Theory of Qubit Physics (2018) (5)
- Machine-Learned Preconditioners for Linear Solvers in Geophysical Fluid Flows (2020) (5)
- Side of the Angels: Dalton Trumbo, the Hollywood Trade Press, and the Blacklist (2005) (4)
- Understanding the Origin of the Anomalously Cold European Winter 2005/06 Using Relaxation Experiments (2009) (4)
- Conservation equations and the gravitational symplectic form (1978) (4)
- A Stochastic Representation of Subgrid Uncertainty for Dynamical Core Development (2019) (4)
- $p$-adic Distance, Finite Precision and Emergent Superdeterminism: A Number-Theoretic Consistent-Histories Approach to Local Quantum Realism (2016) (4)
- Discretisation of the Bloch Sphere, Fractal Invariant Sets and Bell's Theorem. (2018) (4)
- Resilience in the developing world benefits everyone (2020) (4)
- 518 Using NWP to assess climate models (2007) (3)
- Multi-decadal variability in predictive skill of the winter North Atlantic Oscillation in a new dataset of Atmospheric Seasonal Forecasts of the 20th Century (2017) (3)
- Invariant Set Theory (2016) (3)
- Quantum Reality, Complex Numbers and the Meteorological Butterfly Effect (2004) (3)
- Discretisation of the Bloch Sphere , Invariant Set Theory and the Bell Theorem (2019) (3)
- Field Guide to California Rivers (2019) (3)
- DEMETER and the application of seasonal forecasts (2003) (3)
- Predictability from a dynamical meteorological perspective (2006) (3)
- 362 Potential improvement of forecasts of two severe storms using targeted observations (2002) (3)
- Single-Precision in the Tangent-Linear and Adjoint Models of Incremental 4D-Var (2020) (3)
- Crashing the millionaires' club: Popular women's cinema in twenty-first century France (2012) (3)
- Quantum Theory and The Symbolic Dynamics of Invariant Sets: Towards a Gravitational Theory of the Quantum (2012) (3)
- $p$-adic Distance, Finite Precision and Emergent Superdeterminism: A Number-Theoretic Consistent-Histories Approach to Local Quantum Realism (2016) (2)
- A ug 2 02 1 Comment on “ Analysis of the superdeterministic invariant-set theory in a hidden-variable setting (2021) (2)
- Mixed‐Precision for Linear Solvers in Global Geophysical Flows (2021) (2)
- Modes of Masculinity in Contemporary French Cinema (2014) (2)
- Youghiogheny, Appalachian River (1984) (2)
- B401 Predictability of wintertime Euro-Atlantic weather regimes in medium-range forecasts (2014) (2)
- Jean-Pierre Melville and 1970s French film style (2002) (2)
- An Amateur of Quality: Postwar French Cinema and Jean-Pierre Melville’s Le Silence de la mer (2007) (2)
- Case study comparisons of UK macro-tidal regime wave and current interaction processes; mesoscale wave model versus coastal buoy data (2015) (2)
- A Local Deterministic Model of Quantum Spin Measurement (1995) (2)
- Stochastic-Dynamic Parametrisation in Weather and Climate Prediction Models: An Introduction (2005) (2)
- The physics of numerical analysis: a climate modelling case study (2020) (2)
- Invariant Set Theory and the Symbolism of Quantum Measurement (2015) (2)
- On the magnetic flux linkage of an electrically-conducting fluid: A treatment of the relativistic case using the exterior calculus formalism (1979) (2)
- The primacy of doubt (2006) (2)
- State of the sector: US worker cooperatives in 2017 (2019) (2)
- Classical soloists’ life histories and the music conservatoire (2021) (2)
- Contemporary Feminine French Cinema and Lucile Hadzihalilovic's Innocence (2009) (1)
- Influence of stochastic physics on the frequency of occurrence of North Pacific weather regimes in the ECMWF model (2005) (1)
- Severe Weather Prediction (2002) (1)
- 603 Diagnosing the Origin of Extended-Range Forecast Error (2009) (1)
- Invariant Set Theory (2016) (1)
- Invariant Set Theory: Violating Measurement Independence without Fine Tuning, Conspiracy, Constraints on Free Will or Retrocausality (2015) (1)
- Building tangent-linear and adjoint models for data assimilation with neural networks (2021) (1)
- Is climate science doing its part to address the challenge of climate change (2019) (1)
- Recent changes of the ECMWF Ensemble Prediction System (2010) (1)
- Influence of a new stochastic physics scheme on weather regimes in the North Pacific region (2005) (1)
- Causal Incompleteness: A New Perspective on Quantum Non-locality (2005) (1)
- Introducing the Probabilistic Earth-System Model: Examining The Impact of Stochasticity in EC-Earth v3.2 (2019) (1)
- A Realistic Deterministic Quantum Theory Using Borelian-Normal Numbers (2002) (1)
- Esso Energy Award Lecture, 1986 Advances in numerical weather prediction for aviation forecasting (1987) (1)
- A Gravitational Theory of the Quantum (2017) (1)
- Prediction of hydrometeorological , meteorological and climatological hazards (2012) (1)
- Bell's theorem, non-computability and conformal cyclic cosmology: A top-down approach to quantum gravity (2021) (1)
- Impact of horizontal resolution on simulations of summertime Euro-Atlantic blocking (2010) (1)
- Bell Inequality Violation with Free Choice and Local Causality on the Invariant Set (2019) (1)
- The Original Rockumentary (2003) (1)
- Your minds on free will (2021) (1)
- Comparing TIGGE multi-model and ECMWF calibrated ensembles (2010) (1)
- Inter 43 Development of a European ulti-Model Ensemble System for Seasonal to InterAnnual Prediction ( DEMETER ) (2004) (1)
- The Economic Value of Seasonal Forecasts (1998) (1)
- Don't Look Back: An Interview with Marina de Van (2010) (1)
- Remembrance of things to come: Nicole Vedrès, Paris 1900 and the post-war French essay film (2020) (1)
- Drift: Paule Delsol inside and outside the French New Wave (2017) (1)
- Melodramas of the Everyday: An Interview with Julie Lopes-Curval (2021) (1)
- America's Great National Forests, Wildernesses, and Grasslands (2016) (1)
- Paris, city of shadows: French crime cinema before the New Wave (2008) (1)
- Twilight of the Hemlocks and Beeches (2018) (1)
- Human Creativity and Consciousness: Unintended Consequences of the Brain's Extraordinary Energy Efficiency? (2020) (1)
- A Gravitational Theory of the Quantum (2017) (1)
- Pacific High: Adventures In The Coast Ranges From Baja To Alaska (2002) (1)
- ADVANCED SIMULATIONS FOR MOBILITY PREDICTIONS IN VARIABLE TERRAIN PROFILES (2019) (1)
- More power needed to probe cloud systems (2005) (1)
- A Slight Chance of Rain (2014) (0)
- The Use of Scale-Dependent Precision to Increase Forecast Accuracy in Earth System Modelling (2016) (0)
- Making the paper: Tim Palmer (2006) (0)
- Qué podemos predecir del cambio y la variabilidad del clima (2005) (0)
- On the interaction of stochastic forcing and regime dynamics (2023) (0)
- Editorial (2021) (0)
- Directory of World Cinema: France (2013) (0)
- Tests of oceanic stochastic parameterisation in a seasonal forecast system. (2015) (0)
- Irreversible and the Cinéma du corps (2015) (0)
- Inexact hardware and the trade between precision and performance in earth system modelling (2015) (0)
- Chaotic behaviour of deterministic disszpafiue sysrems. By M. Marek and I. Schreiber. Cambridge University Press. Pp. 367 ISBN 0 521 32167 0. Price £45 (hardback) (1993) (0)
- Decadal prediction with the ECMWF coupled system (2009) (0)
- Exchanges Call for Contributions Newsletter of the Climate Variability and Predictability Programme ( CLIVAR ) (1996) (0)
- WELCOME TO THE WORLD OF CALIFORNIA RIVERS (2019) (0)
- Quantified: Belgium (2006) (0)
- A WORD OF WARNING (2019) (0)
- Remembering John Pruitt (19522019) (2019) (0)
- Connecticut College Computer Science Department (2016) (0)
- Climate Change Modelling at Reduced Float Precision with Stochastic Rounding (2022) (0)
- Reliability of Initial-Value Predictions and Climate Attributions: The Importance of Seamlessness (Invited Presentation) (2017) (0)
- Gaspar Noé: Alone Against Everything (2015) (0)
- Iraqis determined to exercise right to vote (2013) (0)
- Monsoons: AMIP simulations of the 1987 and 1988 drought and flood regimes (1993) (0)
- Impact of Stochasticity in Simulating Weather Regimes (2014) (0)
- The one-minute solo (2020) (0)
- The extreme Northern Hemisphere winter of 2013/4: The role of tropical SSTs (2015) (0)
- Gone with the wind (2022) (0)
- DECACAL CLIMATE PREDICTION: OPPORTUNITIES AND CHALLENGES (2009) (0)
- Editorial (2019) (0)
- Stochastic ocean parametrizations: Impacts on model uncertainty estimates and low frequency variability (2016) (0)
- Editorial (2022) (0)
- Intraseasonal and Seasonal NAO Variations: Predictability and Influence on Medium-Range Forecasts (2003) (0)
- Basketmaking as an activity to enhance brain injury neurorehabilitation (2021) (0)
- The Monstrous: Preface (2021) (0)
- Editorial (2018) (0)
- Momentum transfer in gravitation theory (1979) (0)
- 514 Ensemble Forecasting (0)
- Ensemble prediction and data assimilation at ECMWF (2010) (0)
- In Memoriam: Hannah Frank, 1984–2017 (2018) (0)
- Incorporating Flow-dependent Model Errors in Local Ensemble Transform Kalman Filter: Role of Stochastic Back-scatter (2011) (0)
- Bellucci’s Body: From Rape to Reverence (2015) (0)
- Can NWP help to improve seasonal predictions of extreme events? A summer 2003 case study (2009) (0)
- Model uncertainty in global ocean models: Stochastic parametrizations of ocean mixing (2016) (0)
- Abstracts - Invited Speakers (2011) (0)
- Short-term tests validate long-term estimates of climate change (2020) (0)
- Options In Ensemble Prediction (2002) (0)
- Ensemble techniques for seasonal prediction (1995) (0)
- Working Group 4: Climate-Ocean Interaction on Time Scales of Decades to Centuries (1990) (0)
- Editorial (2020) (0)
- The French New Wave: Insurrection Generation (2021) (0)
- Eureka moments or hard graft (2016) (0)
- The essence of chaos. By E. N. Lorenz. University of Washington Press, Seattle. 1994. Pp. 240. Price US$19.95 (hardback). ISBN 0 295 97270 X (1994) (0)
- Forcing Adjoints and Forcing Singular Vectors for Atmospheric Winter Circulations (2003) (0)
- Case: Necrotizing fasciitis – delay in diagnosis (2008) (0)
- A Slight Chance of Rain - eScholarship (2014) (0)
- Cassel, Bellucci, Dupontel: Irreversible as Rogue Star Vehicle (2015) (0)
- Noé Destroys All Things: Irreversible’s Narrative and Stylistic Design (2015) (0)
- Civilization and Its Discontents: Irreversible in the French Film Ecosystem (2015) (0)
- Ensemble forecasting at ECMWF (2009) (0)
- Rule of Thumb (2000) (0)
- Incorporation of climatology into a Backus-Gilbert variational scheme for atmospheric temperature retrieval (1979) (0)
- Using reduced-precision arithmetic in the adjoint model of MITgcm (2020) (0)
- A Next Generation Software Platform for LS-DYNA Modeling and Configurable Vertical Application Development (2009) (0)
- Signal and noise in regime systems : a hypothesis on the 3 predictability of the North Atlantic Oscillation (2019) (0)
- Where the River Stops Running (2006) (0)
- All of the Evil of This World: Irreversible’s Critical Reception in France, the UK and North America (2015) (0)
- Formulation of Quantum Theory Using Computable and Non-Computable Real Numbers (2001) (0)
- THE BUTTERFLY AND THE PHOTON: NEW PERSPECTIVES ON UNPREDICTABILITY, AND THE NOTION OF CASUAL REALITY, IN QUANTUM PHYSICS (2011) (0)
- Is s cIence FIct Ion a Genre For commun Icat InG s cIent IFIc r esearch? A case Study in c limate Prediction (2010) (0)
- Ankle Injury (Ankle Sprain) (2006) (0)
- It's all just physics (2014) (0)
- Preface (2005) (0)
- The twenty‐first century? (2002) (0)
- Editorial (2020) (0)
- The Heart of America: Our Landscape, Our Future (1999) (0)
- The use of inexact hardware to mimic subgrid-scale variability (2014) (0)
- REQUEST FOR A SPECIAL PROJECT 2017 – 2019 MEMBER STATE : United Kingdom Principal Investigators (2016) (0)
- Throne of Blood: Kurosawa, East and West (2005) (0)
- Beside Du Côté de la côte (1958): Agnès Varda’s early applied cinephilia (2022) (0)
- Trees & Forests of America (2008) (0)
- Roundtable on the French New Wave, Fifty Years On: Part 1 (2011) (0)
- Music technology and the loop sampler (2020) (0)
- An exploratory study on the effect of a four-week stroboscopic vision training program on soccer dribbling performance (2022) (0)
- Collaborative music teaching and learning with partners beyond the school (2010) (0)
- AMIP: Diagnostic subproject on the variability in the tropics: Synoptic to intraseasonal time scales (1992) (0)
- Editorial (2019) (0)
- Deconstructing and re-imagining repertoire in music teacher training (2016) (0)
- Inexact hardware in geophysical modelling and the use of rounding errors to represent sub-grid-scale variability (2015) (0)
- Mineralogical, Geothermal, and Porosity Analysis of the Eagle Mills Formation, Newton County, Mississippi (2018) (0)
- Advancing Weather and Climate Forecasting for our Changing World (2022) (0)
- Memories Of Media: An Interview With Carine Tardieu (2017) (0)
- Frontier poetry: new adventures in contemporary French horror cinema (2021) (0)
- Teaching (Like) Hannah Frank (1984–2017): A Tribute (2019) (0)
- Forecast and sensitivity experiments on the UK Meteorological Office GCM with El Nino SST anomalies (1986) (0)
- Quantifying the usefulness of European subseasonal forecasts using a real-world energy-sector framework (2020) (0)
- How much precision is needed for accurate weather and climate simulations (2018) (0)
- Stochastic weather and climate models (2019) (0)
- Multigrid shallow water equations on an FPGA (2015) (0)
- War and peace in the contemporary French film ecosystem: Valérie Donzelli’s La Guerre est déclarée (2017) (0)
- Horrible Histories of Cinema: Archival Outreach at the Fondation Jérôme Seydoux-Pathé (2019) (0)
- The impact of stochastic physics on tropical variability in weather forecast models (2016) (0)
- Forecasting The Onset Of The East African Rains (2017) (0)
- Undecidability, Fractal Geometry and the Unity of Physics (2021) (0)
- Impact of Stochastic Parameterization Schemes on Coupled and Uncoupled Climate Simulations with the Community Earth System Model (2015) (0)
- Supplementary material to "The UKC3 regional coupled environmental prediction system" (2018) (0)
- Pre-processed data of atlas in EUCP-WP2 (2021) (0)
- Performance-based sub-selection of CMIP6 models for impact assessments in Europe (2023) (0)
- Improving the Stochastically Perturbed Parametrisation Tendencies Scheme using High-Resolution Model Simulations (2016) (0)
- Determining the range for CMIP climate projections for Europe using a sub-selected model ensemble based on key model performance indicators and key regional physical processes. (2020) (0)
- DEMETER and beyond: scientific results, technical lessons, future perspectives (2003) (0)
- Deep Learning for Verification of Earth-System Parametrisation of Water Bodies (2022) (0)
- Editorial (2020) (0)
- Wave-tide interaction and future coastal hazards (2018) (0)
- Theory of linear gravity waves April 1987 (1997) (0)
- FST Graduation 2020 Introduction (2020) (0)
- Comment on esd-2022-31 Anonymous Referee # 2 Referee comment on " Performance based sub-selection of CMIP 6 models for impact assessments in Europe " by Tamzin (2022) (0)
- The Met Office operational wave forecasting system: the evolution of the Regional and Global models (2022) (0)
- EUCP Atlas of constrained climate projections (2021) (0)
- Three-tier operational probabilistic precipitation and hydrological forecasting of large-scale un-gauged river basins: Developing a basis for strategic and tactical decisions for water management, agricultural planning (2005) (0)
- Diagnostic studies of stratospheric sudden warmings in a transformed Eulerian-mean formalism (1981) (0)
- Causal Incompleteness: A New Perspective on Quantum Non-locality (2005) (0)
- Signal and noise in chaotic systems: understanding the predictability of the NAO (2018) (0)
- Project acronym: ENSEMBLES Project title: ENSEMBLE-based Predictions of Climate Changes and their Impacts Instrument: Integrated Project Thematic Priority: Global Change and Ecosystems (2007) (0)
- New geometric concepts in the foundations of physics (2015) (0)
- Impact of Vertical Structure on Perturbation Growth (1998) (0)
- From Determinism to Probability in Numerical Weather Prediction (2018) (0)
- Multi-model seasonal forecasting for the North Atlantic and Europe (2004) (0)
- A Realistic Deterministic Quantum Theory Using Borelian-Normal Numbers (2002) (0)
- Improving Weather Forecasts Through Reduced Precision Data Assimilation (2017) (0)
- Improvements made to simulated tropical variability in climate models by stochastic physics (2016) (0)
- Climate‐change modelling at reduced floating‐point precision with stochastic rounding (2023) (0)
- Reporting year 2018 Project Title : The use of imprecise arithmetic to increase resolution in atmospheric models Computer Project Account : spgbtpia Principal Investigator ( s ) : (2018) (0)
- AN INTRODUCTION TO THE RIVERS (2019) (0)
- Weather and climate models in 16-bit arithmetics: Number formats, error mitigation and scope (2020) (0)
- Seasonal Forecast Skill And Teleconnections Over East Africa (2017) (0)
- Project Title : Impact of atmospheric stochastic physics in high-resolution climate simulations with EC-Earth Computer Project Account : spitvonh Start Year-End Year : 2016-2018 (2019) (0)
- Reporting year 2017 Project Title : The use of imprecise arithmetic to increase resolution in atmospheric models Computer Project Account : spgbtpia (2017) (0)
- Extratropical Response to SST Anomalies and the Barotropic Model (1990) (0)
- Representing Model Uncertainty in the ECMWF Convection Scheme (2013) (0)
- Anomalous Atmospheric Flows and Blocking. Edited By Roberto Benzi, Barry Saltzman and Aksel Wiin‐Nielsen. Volume 29 In the Advances In Geophysics Series. Published By Academic Press Inc, Florida, 1986, Pp. Xvi + 459, £71.00 (2007) (0)
- A perturbed land surface parameter experiment with the ECMWF seasonal forecasting system (2012) (0)
- Predictability of Weather and Climate: Preface (2006) (0)
- Systematic Model Error and Seasonal Predictability of the Asian Summer Monsoon (2000) (0)
- ON THE OPERATIONAL USE OF EPS , TO FORECAST SEVERE WEATHER AND EXTREME EVENTS ( Submitted by (2001) (0)
- Four Key Reasons Why Our Comprehensive Weather and Climate Models Should Be Stochastic (2013) (0)
- Wary partnership (2021) (0)
- uncertainty in the Lorenz ' 96 system Stochastic parametrizations and model (2013) (0)
- The representation of Northern Hemisphere climate modes in the DEMETER multi-model system (2003) (0)
- Improved Techniques for Targeting Additional Observations to Improve Forecast Skill (1999) (0)
- Extended intraseasonal predictions using Bayesian empirical methods and slow manifold climate modeling (2005) (0)
- On the reliability of ECMWF's seasonal forecasts (2014) (0)
- Fow-Dependence of Ensemble Spread (2003) (0)
- Lorenz, G\"{o}del and Penrose: New perspectives on geometry and determinism in fundamental physics (2013) (0)
- Unified Prediction of Weather and Climate (2018) (0)
- Climate SPHINX: High-resolution present-day and future climate simulations with an improved representation of small-scale variability (2016) (0)
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