Victor Zarnowitz
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Polish economist
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Economics
Victor Zarnowitz's Degrees
- PhD Economics University of Chicago
- Masters Economics University of Chicago
- Bachelors Economics University of Warsaw
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Why Is Victor Zarnowitz Influential?
(Suggest an Edit or Addition)According to Wikipedia, Victor Zarnowitz was a leading scholar on business cycles, indicators, and forecast evaluation. Zarnowitz was Senior Fellow and Economic Counselor to The Conference Board. He was Professor Emeritus of Economics and Finance, Graduate School of Business, The University of Chicago, and Research Associate, National Bureau of Economic Research .
Victor Zarnowitz's Published Works
Published Works
- Recent Work on Business Cycles in Historical Perspective: Review of Theories and Evidence (1984) (380)
- Rational Expectations and Macroeconomic Forecasts (1985) (318)
- Business Cycles: Theory, History, Indicators and Forecasting (1993) (285)
- Forecasting the U.S. Unemployment Rate (1998) (266)
- Twenty-Two Years of the Nber-Asa Quarterly Economic Outlook Surveys: Aspects and Comparisons of Forecasting Performance (1992) (232)
- The Accuracy of Individual and Group Forecasts from Business Outlook Surveys (1982) (123)
- Theory and History Behind Business Cycles: are the 1990s the Onset of a Golden Age? (1999) (113)
- Criteria for Evaluation of Econometric Models (1972) (112)
- An appraisal of short-term economic forecasts (1967) (107)
- Major Changes in Cyclical Behavior (1984) (102)
- Sequential Signals of Recession and Recovery (1982) (95)
- Is the Business Cycle Obsolete (1971) (83)
- Appendix A: The Development and Role of the National Bureau of Economic Research's Business Cycle Chronologies (1986) (76)
- The New ASA-NBER Survey of Forecasts by Economic Statisticians (1969) (69)
- An Analysis of Annual and Multiperiod Quarterly Forecasts of Aggregate Income, Output, and the Price Level (1979) (69)
- What is a Business Cycle? (1991) (61)
- A More Timely and Useful Index of Leading Indicators (2003) (54)
- The Record and Improvability of Economic Forecasting (1986) (50)
- Rationality and the Analysis of International Conflict (1993) (41)
- The Business Cycle Peak of March 2001 (2001) (40)
- Business Cycles and Growth (1992) (38)
- Unfilled Orders, Price Changes, and Business Fluctuations (1962) (37)
- Business cycles in the euro area defined with coincident economic indicators and predicted with leading economic indicators (2010) (36)
- On the Accuracy and Properties of Recent Macroeconomic Forecasts (1978) (33)
- The Development and Role of the National Bureau&Apos;S Business Cycle Chronologies (1984) (31)
- Has Macro-Forecasting Failed? (1991) (31)
- Has the Business Cycle Been Abolished? (1998) (31)
- Orders, Production, and Investment: A Cyclical and Structural Analysis (1974) (28)
- The Recession and Recovery of 1973-1976 (1977) (26)
- Composite Indexes of Leading, Coincident, and Lagging Indicators (1992) (26)
- Business Cycles Observed and Assessed: Why and How They Matter (1997) (26)
- The Composite Index of Leading Economic Indicators: How to Make it More Timely (2001) (23)
- Forecasting with the Index of Leading Indicators (1978) (22)
- New tools for analyzing the Mexican economy: indexes of coincident and leading economic indicators (1996) (19)
- On Functions, Quality, and Timeliness of Economic Information (1980) (18)
- Major Macroeconomic Variables and Leading Indexes: Some Estimates of Their Interrelations, 1886-1982 (1989) (18)
- Business Cycle Analysis of Econometric Model Simulations (1972) (18)
- The Business Cycle Today. (1972) (17)
- On the Dating of Business Cycles (1963) (15)
- Index Numbers and the Seasonality of Quantities and Prices (1961) (15)
- Forecasting Economic Conditions: The Record and the Prospect (1972) (14)
- Forecasting Performance (1993) (13)
- Cloos on Reference Dates and Leading Indicators: A Comment (1963) (12)
- Business Cycles and Growth: Some Reflections and Measures (1981) (12)
- Business Cycle Indicators, Vol. 1: Cyclical Changes in Business Failures and Corporate Profits (1961) (11)
- Business Cycles Analysis and Expectational Survey Data (1984) (11)
- The Regularity of Business Cycles (1987) (11)
- Forecasting Recessions Under the Gramm-Rudman-Hollings Law (1986) (10)
- Facts and Factors in the Recent Evolution of Business Cycles in the United States (1989) (9)
- The Business Cycle Today: An Introduction (1972) (8)
- [New Indexes of Coincident and Leading Economic Indicators]: Comment (1989) (8)
- On the Measurement of Business Cycles and Growth Cycles (2002) (8)
- The Old and the New in U.S. Economic Expansion of the 1990s (2000) (7)
- The Accuracy of Individual and Group Forecasts (1992) (7)
- On the measurement and analysis of aggregate economic activity for China: the coincident economic indicators approach (2009) (7)
- Cost and Price Movements in Business Cycle Theories and Experience: Hypotheses of Sticky Wages and Prices (See Also Wp3132-Send Out Together) (1989) (6)
- The business cycle today (1973) (6)
- Expectations and Forecasts from Business Outlook Surveys (1982) (6)
- Front matter, Business Cycles: Theory, History, Indicators, and Forecasting (1992) (5)
- The Old and the New in the U.S. Economic Expansion (2001) (5)
- A Review of Cyclical Indicators for the United States: Preliminary Results (1973) (5)
- NEW COMPOSITE INDEXES OF COINCIDENT AND LAGGING INDICATORS by (2013) (5)
- The Timing and Severity of the 1980 Recession (1983) (4)
- Major Macroeconomic Variables and Leading Indexes (1992) (4)
- The Timing of Manufacturers' Orders during Business Cycles (1961) (3)
- Cost and Price Movements in Business Cycle Theories and Experience: Causes and Effects of Observed Changes (See Also Wp3131-Send Out Together) (1989) (3)
- Macroeconomics and Business Cycles: An Overview (1992) (3)
- Economic Growth and Fluctuations in Germany: Lessons from 2006 Benchmark Revisions (2007) (2)
- Facts and Factors in the Modern Evolution of U. S. Economic Fluctuations (1992) (2)
- First Quarter 1990 (1990) (2)
- Technology and Price Structure in General Interdependence Systems (1955) (2)
- Measuring Business Changes: A Handbook of Significant Business Indicators (1959) (2)
- Persistent Business Cycles and High Economic Growth: How to Explain Their Long Concurrence in Modern Capitalism? (2007) (2)
- First Quarter 1989 (1989) (1)
- Research during the First 50 Years of the National Bureau (1992) (1)
- Political Economy, Growth, and Business Cycles. Edited by Alex Cukierman, Zvi Hercowitz, and Leonardo Leiderman · Cambridge, Mass.: MIT Press, 1992. xvi + 405 pp. Tables, charts, notes, and index. $45.00. ISBN 0-262-03194-9 (1993) (1)
- Selected Papers No . 46 Signals and Confirmations of Economic Change (2001) (1)
- Simulations and forecasting with macroeconometric models-An overview (1973) (1)
- Federal Budget Projections. (1966) (1)
- Information, Measurement, and Prediction in Economics (1979) (1)
- Cyclical Indicators: Structure, Significance, and Uses (1992) (1)
- Cyclical Aspects of Cost and Price Movements (1992) (1)
- Reports on Selected Bureau Programs (1965) (0)
- Measurement and Presentation of Basic Data (1967) (0)
- An Analysis of Annual and Multiperiod Quarterly Aggregate Forecasts (1992) (0)
- Some Recent Changes in Economic Growth, Cycles and Volatility (2009) (0)
- Appendix I: On Some Recent Studies of Industry Output-Order-Inventory Relations (1973) (0)
- The Problem and the Conceptual Framework (1962) (0)
- Orders, Production, and Industry Structure (1962) (0)
- ON SOME RECENT STUDIES OF INDUSTRY OUTPUT-ORDER- INVENTORY RELATIONS Cost Functions and Production Planning (1973) (0)
- Fluctuations of Demand, Delivery Periods, and Prices (1962) (0)
- Economic Research: Retrospect and Prospect, Volume 1, The Business Cycle Today (1972) (0)
- 1990: A Guide to What is Known About Business Cycles (2016) (0)
- Econometric Model Simulations and the Cyclical Characteristics of the Economy (1992) (0)
- How Trends and Fluctuations Are Observed, Modeled, and Simulated: An Introduction (1992) (0)
- Appendix B: Supplementary Measures of Timing: Standard and Poor's Data (1973) (0)
- A COLLECTION OF AGGREGATIVE (1970) (0)
- On Short-Term Predictions of General Economic Conditions (1992) (0)
- Summary Measures and Types of Error (1967) (0)
- Unfilled Orders, Delivery Periods, and Price Changes (1973) (0)
- Cyclical Conformity and Timing (1973) (0)
- A Collection of Aggregative Economic Forecasts (1967) (0)
- Economic Outlook Survey: Fourth Quarter 1989 (1989) (0)
- Appendix C: Price Deflators for Selected Manufacturing Industries (1973) (0)
- This PDF is a selection from an out-of-print volume from the National Bureau of Economic Research Volume Title: Unfilled Orders, Price Changes, and Business Fluctuations (1970) (0)
- Supplement to NBER Report Four (1968) (0)
- Related Studies and Plans (1967) (0)
- Appendix G: Regressions of Shipments on New Orders: First Results Based on Data for 1948–58 (1973) (0)
- Unfilled Orders and Industrial Activity (1973) (0)
- Appendix E: New Orders and Shipments for Industrial Subdivisions, 1948–62 (1973) (0)
- Major Macroeconomic Variables and Leading Indexes: Some Estimates of Their Interrelations (2017) (0)
- Front matter to Orders, Production, and Investment: A Cyclical and Structural Analysis (1973) (0)
- Main Results and Conclusions (1973) (0)
- Third Quarter 1989 (1989) (0)
- Book Review:Federal Fiscal Policy in the Postwar Recessions Wilfred Lewis, Jr. (1963) (0)
- How Accurate Are the Forecasts (1966) (0)
- COMPARATIVE ADVANTAGES• OF TYPES OF FORECASTS ADVANTAGES OF EXPERTISE IN SECTORAL FORECASTS (1970) (0)
- Time Span of Forecasts and Predictive Accuracy (1967) (0)
- Short-run Variations in Forecasters' Performance (1967) (0)
- Indicators and Stages of Investment in Plant and Equipment (1973) (0)
- A Cross-spectral Analysis of Retail Inventories (2016) (0)
- Second Quarter 1989 (1989) (0)
- Fleeing the Nazis, Surviving the Gulag, and Arriving in the Free World: My Life and Times (2008) (0)
- Front matter to "Unfilled Orders, Price Changes, and Business Fluctuations" (1962) (0)
- Factors Influencing Investment Commitments and Realizations (1973) (0)
- Appendix H: Notes on Some Theoretical Aspects of Variable Delivery Periods (1973) (0)
- Patterns and Diffusion of Cyclical Movements (1973) (0)
- Front matter, "An Appraisal of Short-term Economic Forecasts" (1967) (0)
- NOTES ON SOME THEORETICAL ASPECTS OF VARIABLE DELIVERY (1973) (0)
- CAUSES AND IMPLICATIONS OF CHANGES IN UNFILLED ORDERS (1973) (0)
- Formation of New Business Enterprises (2007) (0)
- Appendix A: Time Series on Orders, Shipments, Production, and Inventories (1973) (0)
- Yardsticks of Predictive Performance (1967) (0)
- Appendix D: Average Monthly Percentage Amplitudes and Related Measures for New Orders, Production, and Shipments: Additional Evidence (1973) (0)
- The Role of Orders in Industrial Production (1973) (0)
- Orders, Production, and Inventory Investment (1973) (0)
- AVERAGE ERRORS OF FORECASTS WITH DIFFERENT sPANs: (1970) (0)
- Size and Frequency of Fluctuations (1973) (0)
- Short-Term Forecasting@@@An Appraisal of Short-Term Economic Forecasts (1969) (0)
- Cyclical Aspects of Incorporations and the Formation of New Business Enterprises (1961) (0)
- Appendix F: Export Orders and Shipments (1973) (0)
- Comparative Advantages of Types of Forecasts (1967) (0)
- INCIDENCE OF FORECASTING ERRORS IN DIFFERENT PERIODS (1970) (0)
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